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HomeMy WebLinkAboutagenda.council.worksession.20150721 CITY COUNCIL WORK SESSION July 21, 2015 4:00 PM, City Council Chambers MEETING AGENDA I. Cash-in-Lieu of Housing II. 2015 Budget Update and 2016 Budget Assumptions III. Internal Controls Update IV. ERP Project Update Page 1 of 6 MEMORANDUM TO: Mayor and Council THROUGH: Barry Crook, Assistant City Manager FROM Mike Kosdrosky, APCHA Executive Director Chris Everson, Affordable Housing Project Manager DATE: June 17, 2015 MEETING DATE: June 23, 2015 RE: Fee-In-Lieu (FIL) Mitigation Methodology/Models REQUEST OF COUNCIL: Staff seeks a final decision by Council regarding Fee-in-Lieu (FIL) methodology/models for affordable housing (AH) mitigation. The goal is not to establish a specific fee, but to develop a reliable, defensible, predictable, and updatable methodology/mode upon which a fee can be calculated and the ordinance that established that fee can be amended . PREVIOUS COUNCIL ACTION: Council generally agreed FIL should eventually be phased out as an AH mitigation option, but also agreed it should remain an option for the present. Council directed staff to investigate and advance the following methodologies/models:  Explore and refine Option No. 4 (below) – a new methodology using assessor actual land value and prevailing construction cost; and  Some combination of Option No. 5 and Option No. 6 (below) – historical cost to develop plus estimated future development costs. BACKGROUND: At the March 31, 2015 work session City Council reviewed seven AH mitigation options: 1) Continue current methodology used in APCHA Guidelines; 2) Market affordability gap method proposed by RRC/Rees Consulting in 2012; 3) Staff-modified market affordability gap method; 4) New gap methodology separating land cost from construction cost; 5) Historical cost to develop method; 6) Estimated future development cost method; and/or 7) Remove FIL as an AH mitigation option altogether. P1 I. Page 2 of 6 Council directed APCHA and City staff to recommend a methodology to calculate fee-in-lieu (FIL) mitigation rates. Aspen’s fee-in-lieu mitigation option has long been in place as one of several available to offset the employee housing impacts resulting from development or re-development of commercial and residential property. Some consider the City’s current FIL rate so low that it is, for all but fractional mitigation purposes, an unreliable mitigation tool. The concern being that FIL may not generate enough revenue to offset the cost of providing additional employee housing. DISCUSSION: The assigned task was not to establish a specific fee, but to recommend a FIL methodology/model based on the criteria that it be reliable, predictable, updatable, and defensible. Staff has come up with the two FIL methodologies/models per City Council’s request plus an alternative to Option #4 (above) based on average, not actual, assessor land value. 1. Fee-in-Lieu Model #1A: 2015 Average Assessor Land Value with Future Estimated Development Cost Based on Recent Construction Cost. 2. Fee-in-Lieu Model #1B: 2015 Actual Assessor Land Value with Future Estimated Development Cost Based on Recent Construction Cost. 3. Fee-in-Lieu Model #2: Combination of Historical and Future Estimated Development Cost with Historical Land Cost. Density projections for each project are based on assumptions we have been using for some time now, and cost projections follow using escalation assumptions as listed in the tables. Fee-in-Lieu Model #1A This proposed methodology estimates future AH project costs based on recent construction cost experience and an average 2015 land value calculated from Pitkin County assessor data. This removes any specific land from the subsequent calculations and provides a kind of “land gap cost” approach to establishing the cost of land in any model to construct affordable housing. Average land value was calculated using assessor data with corresponding neighborhood codes from assessor’s office and by omitting the top and bottom 10% of values. This is done to address the concerns that very high property values – which we would not target for a building program – would not be part of the cost calculation. It also removes properties from the lower end of the cost spectrum and focuses the cost calculation on the “middle” portion of the available land in the UGB. With a resulting sample size of 1,474 parcels within the Urban Growth Boundary (UGB), the average land value was calculated to be $8.6 million per acre. This value is then prorated to the size of each parcel for each project shown. Density projections for each project are based on assumptions shown and development parameters, and cost projections follow using escalation assumptions. P2 I. Page 3 of 6 RESULT: This methodology results in an average 21% increase over the existing fee-in-lieu subsidies per Full-Time Employee (FTE). AH Existing Model #1A Category Subsidy/FTE Subsidy/FTE $ Change % Change Cat 1 $295,077 $351,670 $56,593 19% Cat 2 $246,881 $290,269 $43,388 18% Cat 3 $232,946 $258,197 $25,251 11% Cat 4 $144,393 $199,545 $55,152 38% Fee-in-Lieu Model #1B This proposed methodology estimates future AH project costs based on recent construction cost experience and actual 2015 Pitkin County assessor land values for each parcel in the city inventory. In this approach, those critics who say our embedded cost includes land we purchased at the height of the boom period should not be used to calculate costs going forward. In some cases where actual 2015 Pitkin County assessor land values were not readily available, values for comparable properties were prorated. RESULT: This methodology results in an average 18% decrease from the existing fee-in-lieu subsidies per FTE. AH Existing Model #1B Category Subsidy/FTE Subsidy/FTE $ Change % Change Cat 1 $295,077 $252,944 -$42,133 -14% Cat 2 $246,881 $207,997 -$38,884 -16% Cat 3 $232,946 $175,926 -$57,020 -24% Cat 4 $144,393 $117,274 -$27,119 -19% Fee-in-Lieu Model #2 This proposed model uses a combination of historical projects and future estimated projects. In each case, historical land costs are used. This model represents our best estimates as to the actual total cost of our developing housing on the parcels we currently own. RESULT: This methodology results in an average 6% decrease from the existing fee-in-lieu subsidies per FTE. AH Existing Model #2 Category Subsidy/FTE Subsidy/FTE $ Change % Change Cat 1 $295,077 $284,483 -$10,594 - 4% Cat 2 $246,881 $234,280 -$12,601 - 5% Cat 3 $232,946 $202,208 -$30,738 -13% Cat 4 $144,393 $143,556 -$ 837 - 1% P3 I. Page 4 of 6 Conclusions The criteria to evaluate each methodology/model are:  Is it reliable, predictable, updatable, and defensible? For context, Reliable means that something is consistently good in quality or performance; able to be trusted. Predictable means that something is expected, especially on the basis of previous or known behavior. Updatable means that something can be brought up to date by adding new information or making corrections. Defensible means that something can be defended in argument and is justifiable. The sources of data used to construct each methodology/model include:  the 2015 Pitkin County Assessor,  the Burlingame Phase 2A actual project costs, and  the parcel/property information for each land-banked project site. Each methodology/model’s future project costs estimates are based on verifiable – and therefore more reliable, predictable, updatable and justifiable - information using these three sources. The more unpredictable variables affecting each methodology/model’s FIL subsidy/FTE calculation include:  density;  inflation (land and construction costs);  revenue escalation;  Floor Area Ratio (FAR) at each property;  the number of units built; and  the type of category(ies) built. These variables are often more unpredictable because they are based on assumptions, which can vary widely depending upon future economic conditions and changing political/regulatory circumstances and priorities. Higher densities make the resulting calculations for fees lower. More efficient use of the land spreads the per FTE costs across high land values with more units – thus creating lower values. For example, if the densities at 488 Castle Creek and the Lumber yard were reduced by a third, then the resulting percentage change for each methodology would become +30 percent, -16 percent and +2 percent, respectively. The impact of density change is less on Model #1B and Model #2 than on Model #1A because #1B and #2 result in much lower total land cost and thus land becomes less of a percentage of the overall subsidy. In fact, #1B and #2 both result in roughly the same in total land cost. P4 I. Page 5 of 6 To help illustrate the impact on the models of density decisions – but not to force Council to make premature decisions about density on any of the properties – we show below the impact of a 25% reduction in density on the three models. Fee-in-Lieu Model #1A Instead of in an average 21% increase over the existing fee-in-lieu subsidies per Full-Time Employee (FTE), a 25% reduction in density of future projects results in an additional 14% change on average, for a total average 35% increase. Fee-in-Lieu Model #1B Instead of an average 18% decrease from the existing fee-in-lieu subsidies per FTE, a 25% reduction in density of future projects results in an additional 7% change on average, for a total average 11% decrease. Fee-in-Lieu Model #2 Instead of an average 6% decrease from the existing fee-in-lieu subsidies per FTE, a 25% reduction in density of future projects results in an additional 13% change on average, for a total average 7% increase. To help put this in perspective, the 25% density reduction increases land cost per unit from about $150K to about $200K. 1A 1A 1B 1B 2 2 Sensitivity 100% 75% 100% 75% 100% 75% Cat1 % Change 19% 31% -14% -8% -4% 7% Cat2 % Change 18% 29% -16% -10% -5% 6% Cat3 % Change 11% 23% -24% -18% -13% -2% Cat4 % Change 38% 58% -19% -9% -1% 18% AVG % Change 21% 35% -18% -11% -6% 7% Diff + 14% Diff + 7% Diff + 13% # Units @100% /acre @75% /acre 802 West Main St 12 57 9 43 517 Park Circle 15 45 12 36 488 Castle Creek 33 40 25 30 Bgame Ph2B 79 376 N/A N/A Lumber Yrd 150 21 113 16 P5 I. Page 6 of 6 The only methodology/model option that results in an increase in the existing FIL subsidy per employee is Model #1A with an average increase of 21 percent across Categories 1-4. Models #1B and #2 actually result in decreasing the existing FIL subsidies per employee, with an average decrease across Categories 1-4 of 18 percent and 6 percent, respectively. RECOMMENDED ACTION: Based on the fact that the Pitkin County Assessor’s office does not use average land values in their practice and cautioned against such a practice in this case, and based on the impacts of changes to the density variable and the resulting very high cost of land in Model #1, staff recommends Council discard Methodology/Model #1A and choose between Methodology/Model #1B and #2. If Fee-in-Lieu is supposed to recover the cost of the government developing mitigation housing on behalf of those who have a mitigation requirement, and because Methodology/Model #2 best represents the real cost to the city to develop housing over the next 10-15 years, we recommend Council adopt Model #2. As staff moves forward with community outreach for potential housing development on land which the City owns, the density part of th e equation can be further honed. When that occurs, the calculated values for Fee-in-Lieu under the chosen methodology will be subject to change by some amount, but will likely remain near the ranges described above. ALTERNATIVES: Discontinue FIL as an AH mitigation option – thus depending more on the AH certificate program to provide for fractional and small unit number requirements, and on those with mitigation requirements actually building more housing themselves . ATTACHMENTS: FIL Models #1A, #1B, and #2 worksheets P6 I. FEE In Lieu Model #1A: 2015 Average Assessor Land Value with Future Estimated Development Cost Based on Recent Construction Cost 6/5/2015 Projects Burlingame Ph2A 802 West Main 517 Park Circle 488 Castle Creek Bgame2B Lumber Yard AVERAGE EXISTING CHANGE % Change Actual Projected Future Projected Future Projected Future Projected Future Projected Future Project Parameters: Year Occupied:2014.5 2017 2018 2019 2021 2025 Land acres:7.00 0.21 0.33 0.82 7.00 7.20 Land Sq Ft 304920 9000 14458 35895 304920 313632 FAR / Land Sq Ft 28%90%75%65%28%40.5% FAR:85600 8100 10844 23332 85790 127021 Net Area:86312 8100 10844 23332 84940 127021 FTE:195.75 20.3 27.1 58.3 193.0 317.6 Units:82 12 15 33 79 150 Bedrooms:$172 $12 $15 $33 170 263 Units/acre:11.7 56.0 46.7 40.4 11.3 20.9 FTE/Acre 28.0 98.0 81.7 70.8 27.6 44.1 Avg Category:2.94 TBD TBD TBD TBD TBD Gross Area:94631 8881 11889 25581 93670 139264 Vertical Const Only / Net Area $342 $368 $379 $390 $414 $466 Total Cost / Net Area $514 $707 $766 $821 $1,258 $1,105 $226,850.76 Cost Historical $Assessor $Future $Total Assessor $Future $Total Assessor $Future $Total Assessor $Future $Total Assessor $Future $Total Land $485,594 $1,778,288 $1,778,288 $2,856,721 $2,856,721 $7,092,406 $7,092,406 $60,248,405 $60,248,405 $61,969,788 $61,969,788 Soft Costs $6,993,065 $469,466 $469,466 $647,330 $647,330 $1,434,633 $1,434,633 $5,540,898 $5,540,898 $9,325,930 $9,325,930 Construction: Offsite Infrastructure $2,093,538 $140,546 $140,546 $193,793 $193,793 $429,491 $429,491 $1,658,798 $1,658,798 $2,791,936 $2,791,936 Construction: Onsite Infrastructure $3,301,154 $221,617 $221,617 $305,579 $305,579 $677,234 $677,234 $2,615,642 $2,615,642 $4,402,409 $4,402,409 Construction: Buildings/Landscape $29,503,361 $2,981,113 $2,981,113 $4,110,551 $4,110,551 $9,109,932 $9,109,932 $35,184,755 $35,184,755 $59,219,749 $59,219,749 Construction: Other/Mitigation $2,029,323 $136,235 $136,235 $187,849 $187,849 $416,317 $416,317 $1,607,917 $1,607,917 $2,706,299 $2,706,299 Total Development $44,406,036 $1,778,288 $3,948,975 $5,727,264 $2,856,721 $5,445,103 $8,301,824 $7,092,406 $12,067,607 $19,160,013 $60,248,405 $46,608,010 $106,856,415 $61,969,788 $78,446,323 $140,416,111 Average Existing Subsidy/FTE Revenues Subsidy Subsidy/FTE Revenues Subsidy Subsidy/FTE Revenues Subsidy Subsidy/FTE Revenues Subsidy Subsidy/FTE Revenues Subsidy Subsidy/FTE Subsidy/FTE Subsidy/FTE Change % Change Category 1 Subsidy per FTE N/A $618,450 $5,108,814 $252,287 $844,480 $7,457,345 $275,090 $1,853,391 $17,306,622 $296,705 $5,889,396 $100,967,018 $523,145 $9,863,580 $130,552,531 $411,121 $351,670 $295,077 $56,593 19% Category 2 Subsidy per FTE $164,721 $1,320,153 $4,407,111 $217,635 $1,802,639 $6,499,185 $239,745 $3,956,278 $15,203,736 $260,653 $13,101,545 $93,754,870 $485,777 $21,942,509 $118,473,602 $373,084 $290,269 $246,881 $43,388 18% Category 3 Subsidy per FTE $138,118 $2,009,962 $3,717,301 $183,570 $2,744,559 $5,557,266 $204,999 $6,023,522 $13,136,491 $225,212 $18,990,941 $87,865,474 $455,262 $31,806,088 $108,610,022 $342,022 $258,197 $232,946 $25,251 11% Category 4 Subsidy per FTE $95,044 $3,330,115 $2,397,149 $118,378 $4,547,198 $3,754,627 $138,502 $9,979,800 $9,180,214 $157,386 $29,446,981 $77,409,433 $401,085 $49,317,898 $91,098,213 $286,876 $199,545 $144,393 $55,152 38% Assumptions: Annual Cost Escalation 1.03 Annual Revenue Escalation 1.02 Net Area / FAR 100% Net Area / FTE 400 2015 AVERAGE Assessor land value calculation: total parcels.. 8162 parcels with neighborhood code.. 2177 exclude types exempt, mine, housing auth.. 1858 exclude parcels with no land value assigned.. 1842 exclude highest and lowest 10% in value/acre.. 1474 avg = $8,606,915 per acre $8,606,915.00 This proposed model estimates future projects based on recent construction cost experience and using an average 2015 land value calculated from Pitkin County assessor data. Density projections are based on assumptions shown. Steps in the calculations are as follows: 1) Establish Land Area; 2) FAR per land area assumption at each property; 3) Net area is a function of FAR; 4) FTEs and Units based upon net area; 5) Land Cost based upon per acre average 2015 assessor land value; 6) Future development costs based on escalation of recent construction cost experience; 7) Sales revenues at each income level based on assumed escalation shown. P 7 I . FEE In Lieu Model #1B: 2015 Actual Assessor Land Value with Future Estimated Development Cost Based on Recent Construction Cost 6/5/2015 Projects Burlingame Ph2A 802 West Main 517 Park Circle 488 Castle Creek Bgame2B Lumber Yard AVERAGE EXISTING CHANGE % Change Actual Projected Future Projected Future Projected Future Projected Future Projected Future Project Parameters: Year Occupied:2014.5 2017 2018 2019 2021 2025 Land acres:7.00 0.21 0.33 0.82 7.00 7.20 Land Sq Ft 304920 9000 14458 35895 304920 313632 FAR / Land Sq Ft 28%90%75%65%28%40.5% FAR:85600 8100 10844 23332 85790 127021 Net Area:86312 8100 10844 23332 84940 127021 FTE:195.75 20.3 27.1 58.3 193.0 317.6 Units:82 12 15 33 79 150 Bedrooms:$172 $12 $15 $33 170 263 Units/acre:11.7 56.0 46.7 40.4 11.3 20.9 FTE/Acre 28.0 98.0 81.7 70.8 27.6 44.1 Avg Category:2.94 TBD TBD TBD TBD TBD Gross Area:94631 8881 11889 25581 93670 139264 Vertical Const Only / Net Area $342 $368 $379 $390 $414 $466 Total Cost / Net Area $514 $736 $742 $582 $699 $721 $226,850.76 Cost Historical $Assessor $Future $Total Assessor $Future $Total Assessor $Future $Total Assessor $Future $Total Assessor $Future $Total Land $485,594 $2,016,000 $2,016,000 $2,600,000 $2,600,000 $1,500,000 $1,500,000 $12,742,165 $12,742,165 $13,106,226 $13,106,226 Soft Costs $6,993,065 $469,466 $469,466 $647,330 $647,330 $1,434,633 $1,434,633 $5,540,898 $5,540,898 $9,325,930 $9,325,930 Construction: Offsite Infrastructure $2,093,538 $140,546 $140,546 $193,793 $193,793 $429,491 $429,491 $1,658,798 $1,658,798 $2,791,936 $2,791,936 Construction: Onsite Infrastructure $3,301,154 $221,617 $221,617 $305,579 $305,579 $677,234 $677,234 $2,615,642 $2,615,642 $4,402,409 $4,402,409 Construction: Buildings/Landscape $29,503,361 $2,981,113 $2,981,113 $4,110,551 $4,110,551 $9,109,932 $9,109,932 $35,184,755 $35,184,755 $59,219,749 $59,219,749 Construction: Other/Mitigation $2,029,323 $136,235 $136,235 $187,849 $187,849 $416,317 $416,317 $1,607,917 $1,607,917 $2,706,299 $2,706,299 Total Development $44,406,036 $2,016,000 $3,948,975 $5,964,975 $2,600,000 $5,445,103 $8,045,103 $1,500,000 $12,067,607 $13,567,607 $12,742,165 $46,608,010 $59,350,174 $13,106,226 $78,446,323 $91,552,549 Average Existing Subsidy/FTE Revenues Subsidy Subsidy/FTE Revenues Subsidy Subsidy/FTE Revenues Subsidy Subsidy/FTE Revenues Subsidy Subsidy/FTE Revenues Subsidy Subsidy/FTE Subsidy/FTE Subsidy/FTE Change % Change Category 1 Subsidy per FTE N/A $618,450 $5,346,525 $264,026 $844,480 $7,200,624 $265,620 $1,853,391 $11,714,216 $200,829 $5,889,396 $53,460,778 $276,999 $9,863,580 $81,688,970 $257,246 $252,944 $295,077 -$42,133 -14% Category 2 Subsidy per FTE $164,721 $1,320,153 $4,644,823 $229,374 $1,802,639 $6,242,464 $230,275 $3,956,278 $9,611,329 $164,777 $13,101,545 $46,248,630 $239,630 $21,942,509 $69,610,041 $219,208 $207,997 $246,881 -$38,884 -16% Category 3 Subsidy per FTE $138,118 $2,009,962 $3,955,013 $195,309 $2,744,559 $5,300,545 $195,529 $6,023,522 $7,544,085 $129,336 $18,990,941 $40,359,233 $209,115 $31,806,088 $59,746,461 $188,147 $175,926 $232,946 -$57,020 -24% Category 4 Subsidy per FTE $95,044 $3,330,115 $2,634,861 $130,117 $4,547,198 $3,497,906 $129,032 $9,979,800 $3,587,807 $61,509 $29,446,981 $29,903,193 $154,939 $49,317,898 $42,234,651 $133,001 $117,274 $144,393 -$27,119 -19% Assumptions: Annual Cost Escalation 1.03 Annual Revenue Escalation 1.02 Net Area / FAR 100% Net Area / FTE 400 This proposed model estimates future projects based on recent construction cost experience and using actual 2015 Pitkin County assessor land values for each parcel. Density projections are based on assumptions shown. Steps in the calculations are as follows: 1) Establish Land Area; 2) FAR per land area assumption at each property; 3) Net area is a function of FAR; 4) FTEs and Units based upon net area; 5) Land Cost based upon per acre average 2015 assessor land value; 6) Future development costs based on escalation of recent construction cost experience; 7) Sales revenues at each income level based on assumed escalation shown. P 8 I . FEE In Lieu Model #2: Combination of Historical and Future Estimated Development Cost with Historical Land Cost 6/5/2015 Projects Burlingame Ph2A 802 West Main 517 Park Circle 488 Castle Creek Bgame2B Lumber Yard AVERAGE EXISTING CHANGE % Change Actual Projected Future Projected Future Projected Future Projected Future Projected Future Project Parameters: Year Occupied:2014.5 2017 2018 2019 2021 2025 Land acres:7.00 0.21 0.33 0.82 7.00 7.20 Land Sq Ft 304920 9000 14458 35895 304920 313632 FAR / Land Sq Ft 28%90%75%65%28%40.5% FAR:85600 8100 10844 23332 85790 127021 Net Area:86312 8100 10844 23332 84940 127021 FTE:195.75 20.3 27.1 58.3 193.0 317.6 Units:82 12 15 33 79 150 Bedrooms:172 12 15 33 170 263 Units/acre:11.7 56.0 46.7 40.4 11.3 20.9 FTE/Acre 28.0 98.0 81.7 70.8 27.6 44.1 Avg Category:2.94 TBD TBD TBD TBD TBD Gross Area:94631 8881 11889 25581 93670 139264 Vertical Const Only / Net Area $342 $368 $379 $390 $414 $466 Total Cost / Net Area $514 $943 $881 $749 $554 $761 Cost Historical $Historical $Future $Total Historical $Future $Total Historical $Future $Total Historical $Future $Total Historical $Future $Total Land $485,594 $3,690,000 $3,690,000 $4,105,000 $4,105,000 $5,400,000 $5,400,000 $477,507 $477,507 $18,250,000 $18,250,000 Soft Costs $6,993,065 $469,466 $469,466 $647,330 $647,330 $1,434,633 $1,434,633 $5,540,898 $5,540,898 $9,325,930 $9,325,930 Construction: Offsite Infrastructure $2,093,538 $140,546 $140,546 $193,793 $193,793 $429,491 $429,491 $1,658,798 $1,658,798 $2,791,936 $2,791,936 Construction: Onsite Infrastructure $3,301,154 $221,617 $221,617 $305,579 $305,579 $677,234 $677,234 $2,615,642 $2,615,642 $4,402,409 $4,402,409 Construction: Buildings/Landscape $29,503,361 $2,981,113 $2,981,113 $4,110,551 $4,110,551 $9,109,932 $9,109,932 $35,184,755 $35,184,755 $59,219,749 $59,219,749 Construction: Other/Mitigation $2,029,323 $136,235 $136,235 $187,849 $187,849 $416,317 $416,317 $1,607,917 $1,607,917 $2,706,299 $2,706,299 Total Development $44,406,036 $3,690,000 $3,948,975 $7,638,975 $4,105,000 $5,445,103 $9,550,103 $5,400,000 $12,067,607 $17,467,607 $477,507 $46,608,010 $47,085,516 $18,250,000 $78,446,323 $96,696,323 Average Existing Subsidy/FTE Revenues Subsidy Subsidy/FTE Revenues Subsidy Subsidy/FTE Revenues Subsidy Subsidy/FTE Revenues Subsidy Subsidy/FTE Revenues Subsidy Subsidy/FTE Subsidy/FTE Subsidy/FTE Change % Change Category 1 Subsidy per FTE N/A $618,450 $7,020,525 $346,693 $844,480 $8,705,624 $321,137 $1,853,391 $15,614,216 $267,690 $5,889,396 $41,196,120 $213,451 $9,863,580 $86,832,743 $273,444 $284,483 $295,077 -$10,594 -4% Category 2 Subsidy per FTE $164,721 $1,320,153 $6,318,823 $312,041 $1,802,639 $7,747,464 $285,792 $3,956,278 $13,511,329 $231,639 $13,101,545 $33,983,972 $176,083 $21,942,509 $74,753,814 $235,406 $234,280 $246,881 -$12,601 -5% Category 3 Subsidy per FTE $138,118 $2,009,962 $5,629,013 $277,976 $2,744,559 $6,805,545 $251,046 $6,023,522 $11,444,085 $196,198 $18,990,941 $28,094,575 $145,568 $31,806,088 $64,890,234 $204,345 $202,208 $232,946 -$30,738 -13% Category 4 Subsidy per FTE $95,044 $3,330,115 $4,308,861 $212,783 $4,547,198 $5,002,906 $184,549 $9,979,800 $7,487,807 $128,371 $29,446,981 $17,638,535 $91,391 $49,317,898 $47,378,425 $149,199 $143,556 $144,393 -$837 -1% Assumptions: Annual Cost Escalation 1.03 Annual Revenue Escalation 1.02 Net Area / FAR 100% Net Area / FTE 400 This proposed model uses a combination of historical projects and future estimated projects. In each case, historical land costs are used. Density projections are based on assumptions shown. Steps in the calculations are as follows: 1) Establish Land Area; 2) FAR per land area assumption at each property; 3) Net area is a function of FAR; 4) FTEs and Units based upon net area; 5) Land Cost based upon historical actual; 6) Future development costs based on escalation of recent actual experience; 7) Sales revenues at each income level based on assumed escalation shown. P 9 I . Response to Fee-In-Lieu (FIL) Mitigation Methodology/Models Page 1 MEMORANDUM TO: Mayor and City Council FROM: APCHA Board of Directors DATE: July 15, 2015 RE: APCHA BOARD OF DIRECTORS RECOMMENDATIONS CONCERNING PROPOSED FEE-IN-LIEU (FIL) MITIGATION METHODOLOGY/ MODELS After reviewing the City’s memo dated June 17, 2015, seeking a final decision from City Council on establishing a methodology to calculate fee-in-lieu (FIL) for mitigation of employee housing, the APCHA Board of Directors believes that none of the methodologies as presented adequately cover the actual or real costs associated with building future employee housing. Therefore, the APCHA Board unanimously recommends to City Council that it either: 1. Eliminate the FIL entirely; or 2. Adopt Methodology Model #1A with a density adjustment of no greater than 75 percent of the allowable maximum density in determining potential cost for a project; however the Board believes somewhere between 50 and 75 percent is more realistic. In our experience, employee housing needs are not adequately met by new commercial and residential development. For example: • Mixed projects allow for a developer to mitigate for only one of the required needs – commercial or free market residential – and at a discount. • Residential construction does not take into account all types of work associated with the creation of that home and/or remodel due to a waiver here or there – and again at a discount. • In most cases, developments that involve an essential public service are waived from providing mitigation. When the City discounts mitigation the taxpayers end up paying the difference. It is important to require realistic FIL exactions. If the FIL charged cannot cover actual costs – mainly construction and land – we fear the City and County will fall further behind in providing future affordable housing opportunities for employees. P10 I. Response to Fee-In-Lieu (FIL) Mitigation Methodology/Models Page 2 Unrealistically low FIL exactions will also undercut and threaten the Affordable Housing Credit Program if those fees are set too artificially low and below the cost for a developer to purchase and mitigate through affordable housing credits. We believe a more accurate and realistic methodology must be considered when calculating FIL. If not, then FIL should be eliminated entirely as an affordable housing mitigation option, and as the least desirable option available. P11 I. City of Aspen 2016 Proposed Budget Assumptions July 16, 2015 P 1 2 I I . Summary of Contents •City Sales Tax •Lodging Tax •Property Tax •Real Estate Transfer Tax •Use Tax Collections •Budget Assumptions 2 P 1 3 I I . City Sales Tax •Recipients of Collections (Total Tax = 2.4%) –Parks & Open Space (1.50%) –Transportation (0.15%) –Kids First/Housing Development (0.45%) –School District (0.30%) •Sunset provisions exist for: –Par k s & Open Space 0.50% Ta x (12/2025) –School District 0.30% Sales Tax (12/2016) $6,000,000 $7,000,000 $8,000,000 $9,000,000 $10,000,000 $11,000,000 $12,000,000 $13,000,000 $14,000,000 $15,000,000 Retail Sales Tax Collections City Collections Inflation Adjusted 3 P 1 4 I I . City Sales Tax 2013 Taxable Sales 2014 Taxable Sales % Chg from 2013 2015 Budget 2015 Forecast % Chg from 2014 2016 Forecast % Chg from 2015 Accommodations 154,203,962 174,238,702 13%172,870,000 188,178,000 8.0%196,650,000 4.5% Restaurants 100,675,103 111,665,603 11%110,790,000 117,249,000 5.0%121,940,000 4.0% Sporting Goods*41,226,893 46,171,246 12%45,880,000 47,556,000 3.0%49,450,000 4.0% Clothing*48,997,465 54,910,508 12%54,020,000 57,107,000 4.0%59,390,000 4.0% Food & Drug 49,658,484 51,966,063 5%51,640,000 51,966,000 0.0%53,250,000 2.5% Liquor & Marijuana 10,677,724 13,424,410 26%12,320,000 16,781,000 25.0%17,470,000 4.1% General & Misc.41,117,784 42,536,051 3%41,880,000 43,121,000 1.4%44,750,000 3.8% Luxury Goods*25,092,274 28,058,214 12%28,890,000 29,742,000 6.0%30,940,000 4.0% Utilities 40,667,708 41,260,445 1%42,290,000 41,879,000 1.5%43,135,000 3.0% Construction 41,078,207 42,002,794 2%47,110,000 44,523,000 6.0%46,749,000 5.0% Automobile 15,712,733 18,716,363 19%18,800,000 20,401,000 9.0%21,230,000 4.1% Total Taxable Sales 569,108,336 624,950,398 10%626,490,000 658,503,000 5.4%684,954,000 4.0% Net Revenues 11,795,568 13,089,782 11%13,003,000 13,792,600 5.4%14,346,600 4.0% •2014 taxable sales increased 9.8% over 2013 •Through May 2015, sales are up 8.5% over 2014 •Projecting roughly 5.5% growth for 2015 •Benchmark approximate historical average growth of 4% for 2016 4 P 1 5 I I . City Lodging Tax •Recipients include ACRA (1.5%) and Transportation (0.5%) •Trending upward on occupancy and ADR –2014 achieved new highs •2015 and 2016 projected increases of 7.5% & 4.5% respectively 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Avg. ADR $295 $319 $293 $287 $277 $295 $314 $333 Avg. REVPAR $164 $189 $149 $151 $155 $168 $182 $197 Avg. Occupancy 50%52%45%47%50%51%51%53% 40% 42% 44% 46% 48% 50% 52% 54% $0 $50 $100 $150 $200 $250 $300 $350 $300,000 $400,000 $500,000 $600,000 $700,000 $800,000 $900,000 L o d g i n g Ta x Collections (Transportation Share Shown) Lodging Tax Transportation Inflation Adjusted 5 P 1 6 I I . Property Taxes •First glimpse of 2015 estimate will be available in August (from County) •2015 is a reassessment year and impacts from the decline in real estate values will be dropping off from the lookback period •Maximum annual increase to property tax revenue under TABOR is combination of inflation + new construction growth •2015 Allocation: General Fund (35%), Asset Management (65%) •The City does not apply the full mill levy: 2014 credit was 0.273 mills 6 P 1 7 I I . Real Estate Transfer Tax (1.0% Housing) –2014: Annual collections last year were highest since 2007 –2015: Revised projection is roughly 25% above original budget estimate –Jan-Jun revenues 56% above average revenue collections since the real estate collapse –Assuming Jul-Dec roughly 8% below average collections post collapse –2016: 5% increase projected off of revised 2015 estimate Year 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 7 Yr. Avg.2015 Proj.2016 Proj. Jan-Jun $3,043,295 $2,900,680 $2,440,206 $3,001,060 $2,461,700 $2,060,642 $4,031,574 $2,848,451 $4,664,973 $3,879,000 Jul-Dec $2,688,007 $2,980,698 $3,930,105 $2,232,269 $4,131,214 $3,610,955 $4,356,399 $3,418,521 $3,135,027 $4,311,000 Annual $5,731,302 $5,881,378 $6,370,311 $5,233,329 $6,592,914 $5,671,597 $8,387,972 $6,266,972 $7,800,000 $8,190,000 7 P 1 8 I I . Use Tax (2.1%) •Realizing revenue lags use tax deposits typically by three to four years •Timing of project completion and issuance of CO are deciding drivers •2015 projection adjusted upward based on 2014 and 2015 deposits •2016 projected realized revenue increase is 7.5% $42,187 $974,325 $1,186,299 $944,954 $525,938 $911,617 $920,126 $1,112,000 $1,195,000 $- $200,000 $400,000 $600,000 $800,000 $1,000,000 $1,200,000 $1,400,000 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Proj.2016 Proj. Realized Revenue 8 P 1 9 I I . Budget Assumptions •Base Budgeting vs. Alternatives –What defines a supplemental request? •Operating Expenses –2% allowance for materials, goods, and service •Personnel Expenses –Up to 4% merit increases (based on performance review); no change from prior yr. –5% i n c re a s e t o health insurance premiums for employer (and employee) –Raise cafeteria plan benefit from $620 to $700 –Continuation of employee recognition, goals and outcomes awards structure –Adjusted pay ranges by 2% and added new pay range to reflect market conditions –overall labor budget projected to increase roughly 1.5% for 2016 9 P 2 0 I I . Memorandum To: City Council From: Don Taylor, Director of Finance CC: Steve Barwick, City Manager Date: July 17, 2015 Re: Internal Control Audit Recommendations Update. When the city Council received and reviewed the recommendations of the internal control audit they asked that we report back from time to time as to the progress in implementing the recommendations. Here is a status report.` GOLF For Golf inventory, COGS year to date looks reasonable at 68% of sales. While the Margin may be a little low by retail standards, golf pro shops have difficulty in marking up at high rates due to category killers in some of the product lines, for example golf clubs. For inventory control, the Golf Pro makes purchases and checks inventory into the system, and makes inventory adjustments in the system as necessary. He leaves comments in the system. Finance reviews an inventory adjustment report directly from the system (PSK) monthly. Finance audits inventory additions to invoices and reviews any adjustments for reasonableness. There have been no issues so far. Inventory shrinkage has averaged between 2-3% over the last several years. POS SYSTEM RECONCILIATION For Clerk’s system, Full Court, the court Clerk establish a username for the accounting manager and had training from Full Court support on system orientation. Next we need to set up a process for P21 III. Page 2 reconciling that system to Eden. In addition to the Full Court reconciliation, we will create monthly revenue reconciliations for the other POS systems such as, Recreation, Parking, Wheeler Ticketing and Bar, Golf, Municipay. There is already a reconciliation in place for Yardi and Innoprise. The bank is reconciled to Eden, but these POS system reconciliations will catch if a transaction was entered and receipted in a subsidiary system, but never made it to the bank or Eden. RECONCILIATION FORMAT This recommendation was made to improve evidence that a reconciliation control occurred. We will roll out a standard reconciliation cover sheet this month. The new Enterprise Resource Planning (ERP) System that is currently in contract negotiations will have bank account reconciliations built into that system. SYSTEM ACCESS REVIEW This has not been started and will likely be complete by end of the year. SAFEGUARDING OF CASH We installed a new Finance safe that includes unique digital codes per employee and unlimited number of combinations, and a drop safe. The safe remains locked throughout the day with pending batches in the safe or dropped in upon receipt. Three separate auto locking cash drawers were installed at the Finance Window. PARKING REVENUE LOSS RECOVERY The City filed a claim with our insurance carrier. Coverage was denied as expected. RECREATION LEAGUE FEES Recreation is matching league payments to the General Ledger to insure payment is received by all teams. DIVERT PARKING CREDIT CARD PROCEEDS This is mitigated through the bank procedures, and we will make it a policy to have two signatures to set up a new account. Other internal audit recommendations: • PARKING REVENUE CONTROLS (Need to check that Parking has been doing the log sheets and reviewing the gate manual open log) • DOCUMENTED POLICIES AND PROCEDURES (need resources) • GOLF COURSE WALK ON PREVENTION (Golf? Accept risk?) • RECREATION FACILITY FREE USAGE (accepted risk) In the last few months we also worked with Wheeler on bar cash over/short logs and review procedures. We worked with Community Development to derive a permit fee calculation template in Excel to verify Eden calculations. We are working with Special Events to improve procedures for selling and recording UPCC VIP tickets. P22 III. Enterprise Resource Why ERP? Continuity of Processes and Information Best Practice Configuration Accessible Information Accessible Information Mobile Applications Electronic Workflow Electronic Documents Integrated Applications esource Planning Why ERP? rocesses and Information Best Practice Configuration Accessible Information Accessible Information Mobile Applications Electronic Workflow Electronic Documents Integrated Applications P 2 3 I V . Software a What is SaaS? Licensed software model Delivered via Web Delivered via Web Outsource hardware & software maintenance Reduced Internal IT Support Costs as aService What is SaaS? Licensed software model Delivered via Web Delivered via Web Outsource hardware & software maintenance Reduced Internal IT Support Costs P 2 4 I V . Strategy GFOA Consulting Internal R Scope Control Leverage Best Practices Leverage Best Practices Simple User Interface & Mobility Change Management Training Strategy GFOA Consulting Resources Scope Control Leverage Best Practices Leverage Best Practices ser Interface & Mobility Change Management Training P 2 5 I V . Progress •GFOA Needs Analysis •Advisory Board & Functional Requirements •RFP Process •RFP Process 7 proposals received •2 Proposals Elevated and Demonstrated SAP & Oracle Cloud Progress Advisory Board & Functional Requirements received 2 Proposals Elevated and Demonstrated SAP & Oracle Cloud P 2 6 I V . Next Steps •Develop Scope of Work •Contract Negotiation •Council Action: Contract Approval Aug •Council Action: Contract Approval Aug •Project Start 4 th Quarter 2015 Next Steps Council Action: Contract Approval Aug -Sep Council Action: Contract Approval Aug -Sep Quarter 2015 P 2 7 I V .