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HomeMy WebLinkAboutagenda.council.worksession.20090602lom MEMORANDUM 0 TO: Mayor, City Council, and Board of County Commissioners FROM: Chris Forman, City Forester Parks Department Gary Tennenbaum, Land Steward n THRU: Jeff Woods, Manager Parks and Recreation \ Stephen Ellsperman, Parks and Open Space Di to� Dale Will, Pitkin County Open Space and Trails irector DATE OF MEMO: May 29, 2009 MEETING DATE: June 2, 2009 RE: Smuggler Mountain Open Space Forestry and Mountain Pine Beetle Management Recommendations CC: Steve Barwick, City Manager Randy Ready, Assistant City Manager Hilary Fletcher, Pitkin County Manager SUMMARY: The Smuggler Mountain Open Space Management Plan, the guiding document for the management of the open space, provides specific direction on the management of forest resources on the property, including direction to complete data inventory, analysis, and management recommendations for the forest resources on the property. The inventory and analysis portions of this effort have been completed and were presented to both City and County Open Space Boards on May 6, 2009. Since that time, professional forestry consultants (Colorado State Forest Service and Jeff Webster RPF) have been hired to provide specific management recommendations along with the associated costs and impacts of implementing those recommendations as well as providing feedback on the proposed stewardship plan offered by For the Forest. Staff has reviewed these recommendations and prepared a list of various actionable items to present as recommendations to move forward in regards to forest management within Smuggler Mountain Open Space. There are negative impacts to some of the action items in this memo. Staff will attempt to identify and minimize all of them, but some of the impacts will not be known till further studies and monitoring are complete. Staff intends to keep adapting Page 1 of 5 management recommendations as conditions change and new science emerges. In summary, staffs recommendations include ongoing public outreach and education of our changing forests, hazard tree monitoring and removal along roads and trails, verbenone applications, localized removal of brood trees, and monitoring for effectiveness of our actions. As a result of the review process, staff believes that a combination of removing brood (trees containing beetles) and a verbenone application is a strategy that might work to slow beetle infestation, but ultimately we agree with the Colorado State Forest Service report that indicates all susceptible lodgepole pines on Smuggler Mountain will succumb to the mountain pine beetle epidemic over the next several years. A long term forest management plan with collaboration with the US Forest Service is the best strategy to adapt to the forest of the future. City and County staff presented these recommendations to the City Open Space and Trails Board on Thursday May 28, 2009. The Board unanimously approved these recommendations at that time. BAGI' GROUND: The Smuggler Mountain Open Space Management Plan provides specific directO related to the management of the forest resources on the site, and those guidelines have been considered throughout this process of developing specific actionable recommendations for this year. Due to very tight timelines to act this year, it is important to note that all long term effects of our actions may not be fully realized at this time, including but not limited to public values regarding recreational use and aesthetic quality of the Open Space. The following recommendations have been evaluated and made with every effort to make the best possible management decisions with the information currently available to us and the consultants. One of the toughest challenges stems from the realization that Smuggler Open Space is surrounded by the White River National Forest in which mountain pine beetle is currently at pandemic levels. DISCUSSION: The recommendations made by staff for review of this Board has five components that we feel are actionable with potential to accomplish this summer. These recommendations will be presented to both City and County Open Space and Trails Boards with all management decisions and costs to be shared by both City of Aspen and Pitkin County, with a contribution from For the Forest. I. Education/Public Outreach The next few years will bring quite a change to the surrounding forests, and regardless of what management activities occur on Smuggler Mountain, mountain pine beetle is going to change our forests. Due to this inevitable ecological shift, the first recommendation from staff is to continue our efforts to educate the public regarding these changes here in the Roaring Fork Valley. These educational opportunities include the development and installation of 2 interpretive signs on Smuggler Open Space, a cooperative public meeting to be held with US Forest Service, Colorado State Forest Service, City of Aspen, and Pitkin County, a radio spot discussing changing forest conditions, as well as a 30 minute `show' on Grassroots TV. We also proposed to continue working with the Roaring Fork Valley Forest Coalition as well as For The Forest to further public awareness of the mountain pine beetle role in forest ecology. We anticipate the cost of these efforts to be approximately $10,000 to be shared equally between the City of Aspen and Pitkin County. Both parties have appropriated funds to accomplish such tasks. Page 2 of 5 II Hazard Tree Monitoring and Removal The Smuggler Mountain Open Space Management Plan, the guiding document for the management of the open space, provided specific direction on the management of forest resources on the property, including hazard trees in regards to public safety. It is important to note that all dead trees do not constitute a hazard and do not harbor any beetles. Typically, it takes 5 to 10 years for a dead tree to structurally fail; therefore removal of large quantities of trees due to mountain pine beetle impact is not necessary all at once. It is recommended that we continue monitoring trees on an annual basis to locate and mitigate any tree that poses a threat along designated trails. A field survey was conducted by City and County staff on May 13, 2009, revealing 24 trees that are hazards. Some of the trees are subalpine fir, Douglas fir, and aspen that can be felled and left onsite with no threat of spreading insects or disease. All trees are easily accessible and can be removed by in-house staff as part of our already budgeted responsibilities. These trees will be used on the property for slope and road stabilization this summer. III. Verbenone Applications Verbenone is a semiochemical that mimics a pheromone produced by mountain pine beetle. This product essentially indicates to beetles that there is no room and they should find another area to inhabit trees. This technology is still being studied for its effectiveness, and is not a way to stop the beetles just on its own merit. hi two separate reports provided to staff by Colorado State Forester Kelly Rogers and professional forester Jeff Webster, both indicate that on most accounts Verbenone does not work well in epidemic situations (Attachments A and B). The good news about this product is that it is simply a behavioral manipulator of beetles and their insect predators and has not shown any ill effects on the environment or wildlife. Staff is recommending the use of Verbenone this year as an experiment to potentially slow the impacts of mountain pine beetle, though we expect that the beetles will eventually overcome the effectiveness of this product. It is also important to note that if this product works to slow the beetle attack, it is necessary to apply annually for the next 5 years at a minimum. We have no information regarding how long applications must continue, but we do know that they must continue until the surrounding populations of mountain pine beetle decrease significantly. Application of this product must be done in one of two ways; pouches or flakes. Pouches are currently available and must be stapled to tree trunks at a rate of 20 to 30 pouches per acre. Effectiveness of this treatment is directly proportionate to the amount of area covered, and it has been noted by the Verbenone experts that only treating areas along trails and roads are not advisable. The recommended treatment area would encompass the roads and trail, but would also cover approximately 120 acres at a cost of approximately $40,000 assuming $50 per man hour of application and 30 pouches per acre per year. This includes the cost of removal of the pouches after use. Page 3 of 5 The other application method is the dispersal of small flakes containing Verbenone. Staff does not recommend the use of the non -biodegradable flake, as it will persist in our environment indefinitely. The other option is a biodegradable flake currently in the research phase, but the manufacturer is not willing to allow the use on public property, so this option is not available this M111,1111r.10 We have initiated conversations with For the Forest to share costs associated with the verbenone pouch applications and they have shown a willingness to provide funds to offset some costs with the application in 2009. IV. Removal of Brood Trees This action item consists of the removal of trees that currently hold live beetles in the operable areas of the Open Space. The recommendation from staff is to limit the removal of brood trees in areas with slopes of 40% or less. The exact location of these areas are shown on Attachment C, and were defined by staff as a recommendation by the Colorado State Forest Service report to operate in areas of 40% slope or less and west of the large drainage that runs north into Hunter Creek. Within this area, there are 77 trees to be removed, which can be done utilizing existing roads and traditional log skidding equipment. This will create the need for trail closures, but it has been estimated that this work could be done over the course of 1 week. Some of these old roads are now non -motorized trails, an example is the Hunter Creek Cutoff, and there will be impacts to areas that have been revegetating naturally from years of no motorized use. Trees that are cut down must be transported via skidder to a landing located at the former Wilkinson site to be loaded onto trucks for transport off of Smuggler Mountain. It has been revealed to staff that there are just a few contractors in Colorado with the equipment to navigate Smuggler Road with the only improvements to that road being loose rock removal and minor repair to one cut slope. If a log truck is utilized, it would create 2 to 3 trips up and down Smuggler Road. If smaller trucks are used to transport logs that are cut into smaller pieces at the landing, trips up and down the road are increased significantly. Regardless of the size of truck used, it will be necessary to utilize flaggers during transport. Once the trees leave the mountain, they will either need to be stripped of their bark, cut up, and utilized for firewood for City/County residents, taken to the landfill for processing, chipped and taken to the Glenwood Springs South Canyon Landfill for utilization as fuel in their operations, or taken to a sawmill located in Silt or Montrose. The disposal of slash (limbs and tree tops) also has to be addressed, and though possibly the most expensive method, staff recommends chipping slash into containers/trucks and taken off the mountain. It is not recommended to leave slash in any form on the mountain during spring, as this will increase beetle activity. This method of removing slash will create approximately 8 loads to be moved off the mountain. The cost of the above mentioned logging operation is an estimate but can be utilized as a good reference point: • Road improvement $800 • Felling of trees $2,700 Page 4 of 5 • Skidding • Chipping of slash • Loading • Haul costs of trees • Total Estimated $3,700 $6,400 $L125 $150/11our $17,500 Again, we have initiated conversations with For the Forest to share costs associated with the logging operations and they have shown a willingness to provide funds to offset some costs with the application in 2009. V. Monitoring The implementation of brood tree removal coupled with Verbenone is an experimental process for our ecotype within the Smuggler Mountain Open Space. In order to determine the success of this project, it is imperative to monitor the effects once this year's beetle flight has occurred. These monitoring efforts must continue into the future regardless of what management prescriptions are implemented, and adaptive management must be applied depending upon the results of these continued studies within the area. The recommendation to continual monitoring is of the utmost importance since long term results of our actions may not be apparent for years to come. The cost of this recommendation will be a combination of City and County staff time along with contracting professional forestry consultants proficient in Verbenone technology as well as forest ecology. There are several impacts of these operations that have yet to be determined to their fullest potential, which is a product of a short time frame to produce these recommendations. As an example, the removal of these brood trees will lead to disturbance to the forest floor which could be significant. It is recommended by staff that a long range plan be carefully created and put into effect in 2010 which will incorporate an assessment of actions taken this summer. A few things that will be impacted are recreational use, increased noxious vegetation management needs, potential impacts to moonwort habitat that was identified on the property along the Hunter Creek Cutoff Trail, and actual effectiveness of these efforts in regard to slowing pine beetle infestations within the Open Space. It is imperative that monitoring needs to occur for many years to carefully understand these impacts and how to manage them into the future. ATTACHMENTS: A. Colorado State Forest Service Report B. Jeff Webster RPF Report C. GIS Map of Brood Tree Removal Areas Page 5 of 5 •• • .j• OMY SERVICE Grand Junction District 222 S. 6". St., Rm.#416 Grand Junction, CO 81501 (970)248-7325 May 21, 2009 Chris Foreman City Forester 585 Cemetery Lane Aspen, CO 81611 Chris, I've completed a rough reconnaissance of the Smuggler Mountain Open Space Park. Summarized below are my comments and suggestions for managing the mountain pine beetle (MPB) infestation in this area. First of all, I need to preface any comments or recommendations with a simple observation that I have gleaned from my professional and personal experience in dealing with the current MPB epidemic in Colorado: In my opinion it is very likely that all the mature lodgepole pine in this area will be killed by MPB, within the next 3 years, regardless of the management actions taken. At this point, I feel the best management of any forest with a heavy component of mature lodgepole pine should include planning for the forest of the future, by ensuring (as best you can) that there is an adequate and diverse layer of regeneration to eventually replace the dead lodgepole pine overstory. Having said that, I realize that there is a certain imperative among land managers and the public to "do something" in an attempt to mitigate MPB damage, provide for public safety from falling dead trees, and manage future fuel loading. So, here are some general suggestions for management action, should you make the decision to do something. Specific answers to the questions you posed in your 5/13/09 e-mail follow as well. General Observations and Recommendations: • At this point the MPB activity on the lower slopes of Smuggler Mtn. is generally confined to small groups of trees, usually 10 to 15 infested trees per group. Older dead trees are intermingled, showing evidence that the infestation has been building for 5 years or more. The upper, steep slopes near USFS land show signs of heavier MPB activity, with groups of 75 or more infested trees. The lodgepole pine overstory on Smuggler Mtn. Open Space Park is generally at an age and size that is very susceptible to MPB (average age of the trees is 120-180 years). MPB will likely spread exponentially during this year's flight, and heavy mortality of mature lodgepole will be evident in 2-3 years. • Sanitation cutting (removing currently infested trees) to reduce the MPB population may slow the infestation on the lower slopes of Smuggler Mtn., especially if combined with a Verbenone treatment to disrupt mating behavior. As I have stated, in my opinion it is highly unlikely that the infestation will be stopped by these (or any other) actions. • Limit sanitation cutting to that area where work can be accomplished fairly easily. I recommend that any cutting and removal of trees be confined to the more operable areas of the property, as shown in the cross -hatched area on the attached map. Operable is generally defined as being less than 40% slope. Operating ground -based equipment on slopes steeper than 40% will result in excessive damage to residual trees, grass, shrubs, existing regeneration, and soil. If any cutting or tree removal is done on slopes over 40%, it should be done by careful hand falling and helicopter yarding only. I also recommend confining tree cutting and removals to that area west of the deep gully that runs north into Hunter Creek. There is year-round water in this drainage, and crossing this gully with any equipment will be problematic. The slopes to the east of this drainage are generally steeper than 40% anyway. • Trees to be removed should be located and marked by a professional forester. Identification of currently infested green trees can be difficult. In terms of MPB control, it won't do any good to remove older MPB mortality that is not currently infested. Not every tree with pitch tubes needs to be removed, since only the green trees still have MPB in them. Although some of the older dead trees may eventually pose a falling hazard or contribute to fuel build-up, I wouldn't consider them a priority for removal at this time. • The attached map shows the locations of groups of currently infested trees that were located during my reconnaissance. The red line shows my track. This is not a complete inventory, and does not include the steep upper slopes near USFS land. Note that the groups are numbered, with the second number being the green infested trees found at that location. I will e-mail you a shapefile showing the MPB spots I found. • Hire a qualified contractor to do the work. Make sure the contractor has experience in cutting and removal of large trees. Have a written contract that specifies things like stump height, slash treatment, how/where trees will be yarded, beginning/end dates, etc. Schedule a trip for potential bidders to look over the project. The contractor will need to be supervised closely during operations. • Consult with experienced and qualified experts in the use of Verbenone to help with the control of MPB. My experience with Verbenone is limited, but by most accounts it does not work well in epidemic situations. Responses to your specific questions: What is the effectiveness of removing brood trees and standing dead trees along these corridors as an effort to reduce MPB attack in the remaining trees? Confining your sanitation cutting to only 150 feet from roads will have virtually no effect on MPB control. The insects will not recognize this or any other boundary. Removal of standing dead trees will have no effect on MPB control. What is the feasibility of implementing the removal of these trees along these corridors in regards to necessary infrastructure, equipment, timing, improvements to existing infrastructure, trail closures, staging areas, and overall end result for extracted timber? Implementing the tree cutting and skidding could be fairly easily accomplished with conventional logging equipment, where slopes are less than 40%. The steeper ground will be much more difficult, and would take special care and equipment to accomplish without doing excessive damage. I recommend against use of ground -based equipment on slopes over 40%. I think only hand falling and helicopter yarding would be feasible in the steeper areas. Transporting of logs off the property once they have been cut and yarded to a central location would be the best option for controlling the spread of MPB, but this option would be difficult at best. Presently, the road is not suitable for full-length log trucks. It could possibly be upgraded to accommodate a stake bed or other truck that could handle short logs. This type of 'short logging" will take more time. Other options would be to treat or process the logs on site. This could include use of an air curtain burner, a portable sawmill, chipping/grinding, or solar treatment with plastic. All of these options would add complexity, time, and expense to the project. • What would be some potential impacts to this area including trails, roads, recreation, noxious vegetation, and wildlife? There would be considerable short term impacts to public use, including closing the main road during hauling operations, as well as closing sections of the park during cutting/skidding operations for public safety. Roads and trails would be minimally affected by skidding of logs. Some rehab or re- seeding of landing areas might be necessary. Slash would have to be dealt with by lopping/scattering, piling/burning, hauling/chipping, etc. Wildlife would be largely unaffected by the tree removal/hauling except for short-term displacement. • What are the foreseeable costs associated with this particular plan of action? There is minimal value of the trees to be removed as forest products, particularly given the difficulty and expense in transporting them off the property. Lumber markets are at an all-time low presently, so even prime sawlogs are not worth much at the mill. The value of the trees as sawlogs or firewood would offset a very small part of the cost of logging. It may be difficult to find a qualified contractor to accomplish this work in the time frame necessary. The cost of cutting and removing trees is highly variable, and will depend on the contractor, but I would guess at least $100 per tree for this project. Helicopter yarding could run twice that. • What are the actual numbers of trees that will be extracted as part of this plan? I came up with a total of 110 currently infested trees within the "operable" area. There are probably 2- 3 times that on the steeper slopes above. If hazard trees were removed along with currently infested trees, you could probably double those numbers. My estimates are probably low, seems like the more you look the more you find in this area. In summary, I think any management activities undertaken to control MPB on Smuggler Mtn. will frankly be difficult, expensive, and of limited value in the face of the full scale epidemic we are likely to experience in the next few years. But I can certainly understand the impetus to take action. I hope this summary is of some use in determining what action to take. It was a pleasure touring the property and assessing your situation. We typically do not charge a fee for the initial site visit and assessment with landowners. Any subsequent work we do for you such as tree marking, contracting, or contract administration would need to be negotiated through a Service Agreement with our office. Give me a call if you are interested in these services at some point. Sincerely, Kelly Rogers District Forester 1 ", Evaluation of FTF Smuggler Mountain Proposal Insert Map of SM Prepared for: City of Aspen 585 Cemetery Lane Aspen, CO 81611 Prepared by: Jeff Webster, Registered Professional Forester #2182 7205 Granada Drive Redding, CA 96002 May 27, 2009 TABLE OF CONTENTS 1. Introduction 2. Tree Numbers and Location 3. Verbenone a) Effectiveness b) Feasibility c) Impacts d) Alternatives e) Costs 4. Effectiveness of Tree Removals 5. Feasibility of Tree Removals a) In b) Improvements needed c) Equipment d) Safety Issues — Potential Road/Trail Closures e) Staging areas f) End Result 6. Impacts of Tree Removal a) Roads b) Trails c) Recreation d) Wildlife e) Noxious Weeds l) Regeneration 7. Costs of Tree Removal a) Proposed Plan b) Alternatives 8. Alternatives a) Do Nothing b) FTF proposal c) Green Dead Only d) Green Dead and Red Dead e) Regeneration 9. Timeline a) Biology b) Layout c) Contracting d) Operations e) Verbenone Application 10. Conclusions 2 Introduction The objective of this report is to analyze the For the Forest proposal A Short Term Stewardship Plan For the Smuggler Mountain Open Space and present some alternatives. This report builds on previous reports that have been done: Historic Assessment of the Smuggler Mountain Open Space (2008), Smuggler Mountain Open Space Management Plan (2008), Smuggler Mountain Stand Exams (2008) and Hunter Creek/Smuggler Mountain Vegetation Assessment. Concerns have been raised about the impact of current and impending Mountain Pine Beetle (MPB) mortality on Smuggler Mountain. What can be done, if anything? The goal is to present the biology and operational issues associated with the proposed and alternatives. This property is a treasured resource of the community of Aspen and Pitkin County. Many do not want to see it changed or disturbed, but it is in the process of change one way or another. Any proposals that are analyzed need to be compared against the alternative of doing nothing. The biggest question of all that needs to be answered by the leaders and owners of the property is what level of management is going to be practiced? Is it going to be custodial or pro -active? Each direction leads to a different set of decisions that have a domino effect. Tree Numbers and Location An intensive reconnaissance of the majority of the heavily used area on the property was conducted on May 20 and 21. All dead trees within the area were located using GPS technology and mapped (see map 1). Data collected includes: 1) estimated year of attack (05 and earlier, 06, 07 and 08) 2) type of attack (pitch out, strip and mass) and 3) Diameter at Breast Height (DBH), see data in table 1. Table 1 — Summary of Trees by Location Trees in Road Buffer Area Trees in Area Year of Analyzed (38 Analyzed (78 Attack ac.) ac. 2005 & earlier 154 282 2006 38 83 2007 34 83 2008 69 117 295 565 Instead of just locating the trees within the proposed 150 foot corridor each side of the roads and trails the majority of the flatter operable area was covered to get a feel for a larger portion of the area (78 acres were covered). Verbenone Verbenone is an anti -aggregate pheromone that is produced by the MPB to signal other beetles that a particular tree has been successfully attack and to go look for another tree. Pheromones are naturally occurring chemicals that alter the behavior of insects they do not kill anything and as such can not be directly compared to insecticides like carbaryl. Verbenone will never be as effective as insecticides, but it is much friendlier to the environment. The only effect is behavioral on the MPB and its insect predators. Effectiveness of Verbenone The pheromone was identified in the 1960's and has had extensive research associated with it over the years with many different delivery mechanisms with variable results. There are two types of product currently labeled for use; pouches and flakes. The majority of the research and use has been done involving pouches (produced by Contech in Canada) designed for protecting high value individual trees. Pouches have been regularly used in campgrounds and on residential properties. Tests show about a 50% reduction in mortality under low to moderate populations of the MPB, but under high population pressure the only thing shown effective is insecticides. The other type is laminated flakes (see picture 1) produced by Hereon Environmental in Pennsylvania. These have been tested on an individual tree basis (Gillette, 2006) and landscape basis Gillette, 2009). Results from tests applying the flakes with sticker to the bottom 20 feet of Lodgepole pines with attractant baits attached to the tree showed an 85% success rate protecting the trees. For the broadcast applications on fifty acre plots with low to moderate MPB populations a 50-75% reduction in attacks was demonstrated as compared to the control plots. For all of these tests there was no removal of infested trees. Some unpublished work done as operational treatments on a dozen campgrounds and recreation sites in Utah and Wyoming showed an about 80% reduction in attacks by removing infected trees as compared with using verbenone only the previous year (personal comm. Steve Munson, Forest Health Protection, Ogden, Utah). The prescription was 40 pouches per acre with a buffer of 33-66 feet wide around the sites. Using verbenone is not the silver bullet that we would like, but it does show a significant reduction in attacks as compared to control plots and used as an Integrated Pest Management (IPM) approach has promise for slowing the progression of a MPB outbreak. In addition, Hereon has a new bio-degradable flake that is in the research stage and as yet not proven to work. See more information involving the use of this product below under feasibility. To my knowledge there hasn't been an integrated approach used with tree removal involving Lodgepole pine (LP) and verbenone. The project in Merritt, B.C. has been raised as an example. The concept of tree removal and verbenone is excellent. It promotes classic silvicultural practice with pest control chemicals. The biological differences between Merritt and Aspen need to be recognized. The species being protected in Merritt was Ponderosa pine (PP). Although PP is susceptible to MPB, it tends not to be as susceptible as LP. PP once thinned has a much greater ability to release grow new healthy crown and increased diameter, reflected in greater water and nutrient availability to help "pitch out" MPB. MPB tends to attack smaller diameter PP v. a preference for larger LP. PP is a much longer lived species, once released PP will grow and be healthy (assuming good stocking control is maintained) for many decades if not a hundred years or more. LP on the other hand is a shorter lived species and thinning them will result in healthier trees in the short term, but the increased diameter growth ultimately makes them more susceptible once the next drought or stress event occurs that increases the MPB population. We can't change the biology of the species involved, we can alter the conditions to meet management goals. Using removal of trees to reduce density (reduce stress) while applying verbenone to reduce MPB can slow down the attack rate. That time could be used to develop a longer range plan that would involve some regeneration cuts to begin regenerating a new forest. The ultimate solution for reducing the risk to future outbreaks is increased species and age class diversity. The bigger the area this is practiced on a landscape scale the greater the chances of success. There are no guarantees. In this situation the majority of the LP on Smuggler Mountain are over 100 years of age and are at an age and density where they are susceptible, it is rare for LP to live beyond 150-200 years. LP may be protected in the short term with active management (remove infected trees in timely manner with timely verbenone application) but they can not be protected nor expected to live indefinitely. Feasibility of Verbenone Application of verbenone is easy relative the process of removing infected trees, but there are constraints that need to be considered in planning. Pouches are registered and available in the quantities need. Pouches are normally used on small scale but can be used on large scale. They need to be stapled to trees (ideally host species, LP, Whitebark pine, Limber pine and PP in some areas) on a grid of 20-30 feet depending on the amount of active ingredient you want to apply per acre (see picture 2). In areas of limited human activity stapling at head height is acceptable. In places of high human activity they should be stapled out of reach using a hummel hammer. One consideration with pouches is whether you are going to leave them up or take them down after use. They are encapsulated in plastic container and will last for a long time. If they are to be remove the cost of removal needs to be considered. If they are applied with the hummel hammer they are more difficult to remove. Laminated Flakes have been registered for use since 2008. The biggest consideration of the laminated flakes is getting them ordered in a timely manner. It is suggested that they be ordered six weeks prior to application. Since application timing in the case is about last week of June or first week of July this could be a critical impediment. The other consideration that bothers some is that the flakes are made of non - biodegradable pvc materials. Even though they virtually disappear in the vegetation and soil in a relatively short period of time, being non -biodegradable still bothers some, even though they have been used on the East coast as part of the Slow the Spread program for the Gypsy Moth for years. Biodegradable Flakes are currently in the research phase with Hereon Environmental. They may not be purchased for operational applications. They may only be purchased by a qualified researcher and used as part of an experimental project. This is possible, but again ordering the flakes in a timely manner is crucial. Although different equipment is used it still takes time to get the flakes made. A minimum of one month is suggested, but exact timing would have to come from Jim Heath at Hereon Environmental. Considerations on the use of biodegradable flakes are that they may not work. Testing in the lab is showing that they are dissipating to fast (3-4 weeks). They need to last ideally at least two months. Past experience shows that they will last longer in the field due to cool evening temperatures as compared to constant warm temperatures in the lab. Research guidelines limit the amount of active ingredient (AI) to 150 grams per acre. Two possible approaches to the application are to use two applications at 75 grams Al. One approach is to do one application the end of June and the other the end of July. This is not recommended, since 75 grams Al has not been shown to be effective. The other approach is to do a single 150 gram Al application in early to mid July closer to or once beetles are actually emerging. This has the risk of having beetles attacking trees prior to application which will cause conflicting signals to the insects and reduce the effectiveness of the verbenone. This is the preferable risk since 150 grams Al has been proven to be effective on disrupting MPB behavior. The risk is whether it will last long enough. The risk to the manufacturer is the failure of this delivery mechanism in a very public situation that will give verbenone in general a bad name when it is the delivery mechanism that is the problem and not verbenone itself. Research guidelines also limit the application area to 250 acres. This is not a problem per se in that the area of potential treatment on Smuggler is about 172 acres. Any verbenone product is only going to be effective for one season. For the IPM approach of verbenone and tree removal with annual monitoring to have maximum effectiveness the verbenone and tree removals need to be an annual operation until the population of MPB in surrounding areas has subsided. This can take several years. Impacts of Verbenone The impact of verbenone is very minor. It only effects the MPB and predatory insects, that is the beauty of using pheromones, they are extremely specific. One concern folks have is, are we pushing the beetles from the county land onto other adjacent property. Although there are no specific studies to indicate this there are no observations from the numerous studies that have been done to indicate this is happening. The theory is that the longer they fly around confused trying to find a host tree they are burning up valuable energy and die or are exposed for a longer time to insect and bird predators. Toxicologically the chemical is very safe, in fact it is a common ingredient in perfumes. Tests on mammals and fish show no toxic effects. Depending on the color of the flakes applied they may be visible on the ground, although when applied on vegetation they are difficult to find. On bare dirt they are visible, but disappear over time as the soil moves around. The philosophical issue of non -biodegradable flakes is another issue concerning the use of the laminated flakes. Cost of Verbenone Pouches Contech (www.contech-ine.com) is the primary producer of pouches. The price for an order of 500 or more is $7.50/pouch. Each pouch contains 7 grams of Al. The recommendations range from 20 to 30/acre which converts to 140 to 210 grams Al per acre. The representative made it clear that doing single point or linear applications are not advisable. In addition, it was encouraged to practice IPM with the application, i.e. remove the infested trees and you will get better results. Cost of Materials for Pouches 20/acre times $7.50 equals $150/acre (140 grams of AI/ac) 30/acre times $7.50 equals $225/acre (210 grams of AI/ac) Gabor cost for Application The Contech representative estimates about 1-2 acres per man hour depending on slope, access, brush, etc. If one assumes $50/man hour, then that equals an application rate of $25-50/acre. Total cost of materials and application would range from $175-275/acre. To treat the FTF Trail and Road buffers as proposed (72 acres) would cost between $12,600 and $19,800. 1 would not recommend this because of the linear nature of the proposal. I would recommend treating a block including a buffer containing the roads and trails. Ideally the bigger the area the better, the mixed conifer/Aspen stands on Smuggler Mountain is about 172 acres. Flakes Non -biodegradable flakes, Hereon Environmental (www.lierconenviron.com) is the only producer of verbenone flakes. They are produced by laminating the Al within two layers of pvc laminated material and cut into 1/8" flakes the Al then releases along the cut edges. The flakes are 15% active ingredient. One kilogram of flakes has 150 grams of Al. All of the research tests to date have been with 150 grams/acre. The label allows up to 500 grams/acre. A crude prescription for application rate is for Low infestation 150 grams/acre, Moderate 300 grams/acre, High 500 grams/acre. Once the infestation gets to high verbenone is not recommended or expected to have much effect. There really is no definition of what constitutes Low or Moderate infestation rate. My personal rating of the current infestation on Smuggler Mountain is that it is in the Low to Moderate stage. Cost of Materials for Flakes Hereon quotes the price at $122/kg (150 grams of Al) so the costs would range by rate: Low (150 g/ac.) equals $122/acre Moderate (300 g/ac.) equals $244/acre Cost for Application Ground application rates are about 1 acre per man hour depending on rate of application, access, slope, brush, etc. Costs would range from about $50-75/acre. Total Costs of broadcast ground application would range from $150-275/acre. Aerial application rates are around $30/acre depending on the size of the project, distance from landing location and distance from home location for operator. An operator out of Craig, CO just did an MCH application on Storm King Ranch in conjunction with the BLM on 400 acres. I don't know what the cost was. Normally aerial operators won't mess with projects less than 100 acres, because of the move in and out costs are to high. Total aerial costs of application would range from $130-230/acre. Aerial application of the FTF proposal would be difficult due to the linear and broken nature of the units. It makes a lot more sense biologically and operationally to treat as a block. See Table 2 for summary of material and application costs by material and application method. The costs estimate for the bio-degradeable flakes is just an estimate Hereon will not quote a price on a research product. To use the biodegradable flakes you will need to add in the costs of research proposal. Estimated Research Costs not Includine Materials (Estimate Onl Research Plan: $2,000 Travel, Lodging, Food, Supervision for Application & Evaluation: $15,000 Data Analysis $5,000 $22,000 Table 2 — Summa of Material and Ar plication Costs Pouches Non- Bio Flakes Rate grams AI/ac Material Ground App. Total Material Ground App. Aerial Total Ground Total Aerial 150 $150 $25 $175 1 $122 $50 $30 $172 $152 200 $225 $50 $275 $133 $60 $40 $193 $173 300 $321 $751 $396 $243 $75 $50 $318 $293 Feasibility of Tree Removal Removing trees from Smuggler Mountain is very doable from an operational point of view. The question is what tools are available to do the job? What social constraints are going to be applied to the project? With a full tool bag including markets, operators and a willing public the job can be done. For Colorado in general and Aspen in particular, logging is not politically correct. The feasibility of doing tree removals will require a significant educational effort to explain and justify operations to remove product. In this 10 the goals being: removal of infested trees to slow the spread of MPB, remove hazard trees, reduce fuel loading and fire risk. Under normal circumstances this is a difficult undertaking. With the current housing market it is difficult remove anything and have a market for it is next to impossible. The bottom line in a good market you might cover your costs for removal. With the current market and likely mitigations required it is going to be a costly. There are numerous options that could be considered for the removal of the trees recommended, due to time constraints on this report and time constraints on tree removal prior to MPB flight in early July, limited options will be considered. Infrastructure and Transportation Roads The biggest issue constraining the implementation of any project on Smugglers Mountain is the Smuggler Mountain road for two reasons; significant recreational use and very poor condition of the road. These both lead to significant concerns of safety for both the recreation users and the operators trying to haul down the road, whether it is logging trucks, flat beds or pick-ups for firewood. With the road being single lane and very steep, any increase in traffic will cause safety issues. It seems quite apparent that there is significant resistance to improving the Smuggler Mountain road for fear it will increase vehicle use that will impact the hikers and bike riders. On the other hand the road needs improvement to reduce ongoing erosion problems. As the road exists now, there are only a couple operators in the state that can get a logging truck down the road with only minor maintenance (remove loose rock from road and minor repair to one cut slope). That would allow for the 3-4 loads of logs that would be generated by removing the "green dead" trees that are currently infected with MPB. If one wanted to do more proactive silviculture requiring numerous trips up and down the road, one would have to do some significant improvements to the road. Trails Many of the trails on Smuggler Mountain are old skid trails that have been blocked off. For the moderate ground less than 35% slope there are adequate skid trails available assuming one could use them. To use them would require some temporary closures. The more productive (larger the equipment) the shorter the closures, the smaller the operator and equipment the longer the closures. The more restrictive the skidding operations due to ground disturbance the longer things will take. The longer the skids due to limitations on trail usage the longer things will take. The more restrictions the more expensive it will be. To operate the moderate slopes on the property there are adequate roads and trails. For the most part there are probably more than needed. The question is which ones if any will be allowed for use, short term and more importantly long term? To answer this question, the leadership needs to decide what level of management the property will have. Once that is decided, staff needs to work with professional foresters to decide on what roads and trails to maintain and which ones to close. For the steeper slopes, the main options are cable logging and helicopter logging. Since there is only limit to no operators with cable capabilities, this leaves the main option as helicopter logging, which is available in the area. This is the most expensive but also allows for the least amount of disturbance and can accomplish the objective in the shortest amount of time, thus limiting the amount of time disrupting the recreational use. Some times helicopter logging increases the recreational use, since many like to watch. Impacts of Tree Removal Disturbance is a big issue that has two conflicting effects. Visual seems to be the first one. The perception seems to be that no one wants to see any disturbance. Silvicultural and Biological treatments require some disturbance to encourage the regeneration of most conifer and hardwood species. The leadership needs to decide on what level of management is going to be allowed to determine what level of disturbance is acceptable and where. The other issue with disturbance is the risk of introducing noxious and exotic weeds or which there are several identified on Smuggler Mountain. These have been introduced by man and will have to be curbed by man. The current use of herbicides by the County and City staff is the most effective methods available. Other mitigations can be used as an integrated approach; washing of equipment prior the entering property, covering disturbed areas with native seed and mulch, timing of operations to reduce introduction of seed at the wrong time. These mitigations are great, but the single biggest problem is probably the dogs on the property getting seed in their fur and transporting it around the property. The FTF proposal indicates disturbance will be "less than 5% bare soil left in removal area" and "any disturbed soil to be reseeded with an approved weed -free native plant mix." This sounds good but, I find these numbers difficult from a common sense and operational point of view. A common rule of thumb on managed properties is that the roads constitute 10% of the land base. That being the case, with the roads and trails created on the property prior to County/City purchase there is probably more than 10% on the moderate slopes. Just using the existing used roads, trails and tailing piles will leave much more than the 5% indicated. The County/City know they have a significant restoration effort on their hands for the mining impacts, but one needs to put some serious thought into what level of disturbance is acceptable. To meet the 5%, over half of the existing roads and trails would need to be eliminated and re -vegetated. 12 Equipment Needed The equipment needed will depend on what level of management allowed on the property. Beyond the standard logging equipment of skidders, tractors, loaders and logging trucks, there is a lot of new equipment available for use including Cut to Length (CTL) systems, feller bunchers, hot saws, Tempco's (falling machines that operate on slopes up to 50%). Most of this equipment is designed for high production and large jobs. They also usually result in a fair amount of disturbance, which is good for bare soil needed for regeneration, but bad for desire recreational experience. Other low impact methods do exist, like ATV's with special arches that can lift logs off the ground to limit the amount of disturbance. These are possible but slow and limited to essentially flat ground. Some have suggested that a portable sawmill be set up on Smuggler to process the material generated. This sounds good but this is a slow inefficient process that would take a long time and lead to many more trips up and down the Smuggler Mountain road than preferred. This would also generate considerable noise for extended periods of time Slash Disposal This is a big issue that is often ignored. Whether a project looks good or bad at the end usually depends on the level of slash disposal applied. There are many methods that can be used including: lop and scatter, chipping (left on site or removed), burning (hand piles, landing piles, air curtain incinerators, etc. I am sure there are others but these are the ones I will deal with. Lop and Scatter This involves just cutting the limbs and remaining tops from trees along with any damage trees or brush into small pieces and leaving them on the ground. This is usually the cheapest and easiest to accomplish depending on the minimum height set to which the lopped material must be under. Common limits are below 18-30 inches from ground level. The good part is it works great for erosion control and leaves some of the cones (especially LP) on site to facilitate regeneration. The bad part is it leaves a lot of fine fuels on the ground adding to the fire danger and doesn't look good. Chinning On site; this means chipping any slash and leaving it on site. The good part is that it leaves organic material on site to act as a mulch for moisture retention and erosion control and visually is fairly acceptable, after a year or so one can hardly find the chips. The bad part is additional fuel on the ground as with lop and scatter, but it is in a form that doesn't facilitate the spread of fire nearly as much. The biggest think with chipping especially leaving the chips on site is; do not do it in the spring! Chipping attracts more beetles during the spring during the peak of their flight season (May -September). Chipping is best done in the fall after the beetle flight (after mid -September). Once the chips have weathered a winter there is not nearly as much attraction. 13 Off site; this is the most expensive of the two but is the cleanest and removes any risk of causing an attraction for the beetles. Pros include: leaves the site very clean. Cons include: expensive, removes potential seed, no mulch and erosion control potential, fills up valuable landfill, wastes a valuable resource that should be going into green energy producing biomass fuel for power generation or other biofuels. Burning This is a fairly common practice in many operational situations, there are several approaches each having their own pros and cons. The biggest problems are effect on air quality and liability of escape, especially in Aspen area with high residential and property values. Hand piles; these are commonly created after operations are done to dispose of slash. Usually they are created no larger that 4'x4'x4' and covered with waxed paper or plastic to facilitate burning during wet periods in the fall or early winter. Burning during storm events helps reduce the risk of fire escape, facilitates dispersal of smoke to reduce impacts on air quality and helps reduce scorch on residual trees. Pros include: moderate expense depending on slash load, cleans site up well. Cons include: air quality, liability, potential small patches of soil sterilization that needs re -vegetating and increases risk of noxious weeds. These spots could prove a positive in terms of planting spots. The burn area creates good vegetation control in the short term to provide needed moisture for seedling establishment and nutrients (fire releases nitrogen into the soil). Landing piles; these are commonly created during operations from removal of limbs on trees that could not be cut after falling (under tree). Or they can be tops remaining on landing from a mechanical operation where logs are skidded tree length into the landing and logs are manufactured at the landing. This leaves less slash in the woods but more at the landing. Where markets exist "top" piles on the landing are chipped and sent to biomass facilities for power generation. On this project if things were to be helicopter logged one could chose to fly out the tops with the logs and chip or bum the material at one or two large landings (old mine tailings?). Air curtain; these are large burning machines that material is burned in to get cleaner burned material and reduce smoke emissions. They are expensive and I question whether one could be gotten up the Smuggler Mountain road without improving it significantly. Cost of Tree Removal All costs provided here are estimates for decision making purposes, with the short time frame for gathering information and the lack of specifics on exactly what is going to be done only estimates can be provided. Once a detailed job description is generated actual prices can be gotten from contractors. The analysis presented here is for: 14 1) Skidder Log Green Dead Only With in Road/Trail Buffer Analyzed (GPS'd) = 38 acres of the 72 acres proposed. The 38 acres covers most of the Lodgepole dominated area but not all due to lack of time. 69 Trees 2) Skidder Log Green Dead Only With in Area Analyzed = 78 Acres, 117 Trees 3) Skidder Log All Dead With in Road/Trail Buffer Analyzed = 38 Acres 295 Trees 4) Skidder Log All Dead With in Area Analyzed = 78 acres, 565 Trees 5) Helicopter Log Green Dead Only With in Road/Trail Buffer Analyzed = 38 acres, 69 Trees 6) Helicopter Log Green Dead Only With in Area Analyzed = 78 Acres, 117 Trees 7) Helicopter Log All Dead With in Road/Trail Buffer Analyzed = 38 Acres 295 Trees 8) Helicopter Log All Dead With in Area Analyzed = 78 acres, 565 Trees In addition these costs are from a logger who has his own markets that he factors into his costs. Ideally with more time a forester working with the landowner would investigate the markets and sell the product and then hire logger to do the work. The difference between product sold and logging costs is the profit or loss. There is not enough time to do this under the current circumstances. There is not enough time to make provide information on limitless options, I will provide information for what I consider viable options within the time frame for removal (trees removed no later than July 1). I will separate this in to a few options but generally along two lines of thought; 1) removing "Green Dead" only (to me these are the highest priority to accomplish objective), 2) Green and Dead. Beyond that things will be broken down by operability (steepness of slope) Scenario 1 — Traditional logging with Skidder for trees within 150 of Roads — Removal of Green Dead Only (est. 69 trees) This assumes that the roads and trails will be available for use. Since most trees can be fallen to the road there should be limited disturbance other than along the road. There will be some disturbance. Keep in mind these same areas were logged four years ago prior to County/City purchase. Prices are rounded to the nearest dollar at tree basis. Normally logging costs are by weight or by the thousand board feet, but due to the small specialized nature of this job a per tree basis works best. Road Improvement: For all options the minimum needed is to remove loose rocks from Smuggler Mountain road. Normally there would be additional costs with road grading and watering for dust abatement, but with this small a job it will not be considered. If desired it would have to be added into any job desription. Estimate 2 man days at $50/hour, total equals $800. 15 Falling Costs: with Lop & Scatter - 50/tree $3,450 Cut only (Assumes chip or burn slash on landing)- $35/tree $2,415 Skidding Costs: This assumes that half of trees are on flatter sloped (<30% slope) and half of trees are on slopes (>30%) that will require pulling of cable and dragging trees to road (this will cause more soil disturbance). <30%: Estimate 1.5 days with skidder at $90/hr to remove 35 trees: 31/tree $1,085 >30%: Estimate 3 days with skidder at $90/hr to remove 34 trees: $64/tree $2,176 Total $3,261 Loading: Due to the scattered nature of the "Green Dead" trees, it is difficult to get a load at any one landing. It doesn't justify moving in a loader to load out the estimated 2 loads of logs. 69 trees at 1 to 2 logs per tree will generate about 100 logs. There will be about 50-75 logs per load. The best way to do it is with a self loading truck with loader mounted on a truck. With the loader mounted on the truck it can't carry the normal payload and thus the rate is higher, I will use $150/hr. Green Dead Only: with scattered nature of logs, estimate 2.5 hours/load 375/1d 2loads $750 Haul Costs The main markets for logs that are outside of zone of MPB infestation are Silt and Montrose. ($150/hr) Silt Round Trip equals 6 hrs, 6 times $150 equals (2 trips) $900/loa $1,800 Montrose (RT) equals 8-9 hrs, 9 times $150 equals (2 trips) $1,350/loa $2,700 Slash Disposal Lop and Scatter is included in the falling costs Chip and Remove (can't leave on site this time of the year) costs $800/load for a 20 foot dumpster hauled to the dump. One can get about 12 trees of slash (tops & limbs) in a 20 foot dumpster. 69 trees/12 equals 6 dumpsters 800/loa $4,800 Burning this is variable depending on hand piles, landing piles or probably a combination. I am going to estimate 2 hand piles/tree with 2 piles create per man hour. Using $50/man hour that is times 69 trees: $50/tree $3,450 Total costs for "Green Dead" within Buffer There are lots of options, but in the time available I will add things up using the most expensive option in each case for consistency. Total Costs: $15,761 or $228/tree Scenario 2 — Traditional logging with Skidder for trees within 78 acre area analyzed — Removal of Green Dead (est. 117 trees) Road Improvement: Same as for scenario 1. Estimate 2 man days at $50/hour, total equals $800. 16 Falling Costs: Same costs per tree as for scenario 1. Lop & Scatter - 50/tree $5,850 Cut only (Assumes chip or burn slash on landing) - 35/tree $4,095 Skidding Costs: This assumes that half of trees are on flatter sloped (<30% slope) and half of trees are on slopes (>30%) that will require pulling of cable and dragging trees to road (this will cause more soil disturbance). Costs will be the same per tree as scenario 1. <30%: Same cost per tree as scenario 1 for 57 trees = 31/tree $1,767 >30%: Same cost per tree as scenario 1 for 60 trees = 64/tree $3,840 Total $5,607 Loading: These are still very scattered trees, so 2.5 hours per load. For 117 trees and a total of 176 logs this is roughly 3 loads at $150/hr= 375/load $1,125 Hauling: The same costs per load and locations still apply just one more load. Silt Round Trip equals 6 hrs, 6 times $150 equals (3 trips) 900/loa $2,700 Montrose (RT) equals 8-9 hrs, 9 times $150 equals (3 trips) $1,350/load $4,050 Slash Disposal Same relative rates apply as scenario 1. Lop and Scatter is included in the falling costs Chip and Remove, 12 trees/load at $800/load, for 117 trees = 10 loads 800/loa $8,000 Burning, same as scenario 1, for 117 trees. 50/tree $5,850 Total for Scenario 2 - Green Dead in Analysis Area $25,432 Scenario 3 — Traditional logging with Skidder for trees within 38 acre proposed road buffer area analyzed — Removal of All Dead lest. 295 trees) Road Improvement: Same as for scenario 1. Estimate 2 man days at $50/hour, total equals $800. Falling Costs: Same costs per tree as for scenario 1. Lop & Scatter - 50/tree $14,750 Cut only - 35/tree $10,325 Skidding Costs: This assumes that half of trees are on flatter sloped (<30% slope) and half of trees are on slopes (>30%) that will require pulling of cable and dragging trees to road (this will cause more soil disturbance). Costs will be the same per tree as scenario 1. <30%: 8 trees/hr (12 logs) for 150 trees = 19 hrs @ $90/hr = $12/tree $1,710 >30%: 4 trees/hr (6 logs) for 145 trees = 36 hrs @ $90/hr = $22/tree $3,240 Total $4,950 Loading: Trees are less scattered but still only 8 trees/ac. 2.0 hour per load. For 295 trees and a total of 443 logs this is roughly 6 loads at $150/load= 300/loa $1,800 17 Hauling: The same costs per load and locations still apply just one more load. Silt Round Trip equals 6 hrs, 6 times $150/hr equals (6 trips) $900/load $5,400 Montrose (RT) equals 8-9 hrs, 9 times $150/hr equals (6 trips) $1,350/load $8,100 Slash Disposal Same relative rates apply as scenario 1. Lop and Scatter is included in the falling costs Chip and Remove, 12 trees/load at $800/load, for 295 trees = 25 loads Burning, same as scenario 1, for 295 trees. 800/loa $20,000 50/tree $14,750 Total for Scenario 3 - All Dead in Road Buffer Area $50,400 Scenario 4 — Traditional logging with Skidder for trees within 78 acre area analyzed — Removal of All Dead (est. 565 trees) Road Improvement: Same as for scenario 1. Estimate 2 man days at $50/hour, total equals $800. Falling Costs: Same costs per tree as for scenario 1. Lop & Scatter - $50/tree $28,250 Cut only - 35/tree $19,775 Skidding Costs: This assumes that half of trees are on flatter sloped (<30% slope) and half of trees are on slopes (>30%) that will require pulling of cable and dragging trees to road (this will cause more soil disturbance). Costs will be the same per tree as scenario 3. <30%: Same cost per tree as scenario 3 for 280 trees = 12/tree $3,360 >30%: Same cost per tree as scenario 3 for 285 trees = $22/tree $6,270 Total $9,630 Loading: These are still very scattered trees, so 2.0 hours per load. For 565 trees and a total of 848 logs this is roughly 12 loads at $150/hi= $300/load $3,600 Hauling: The same costs per load and locations still apply just one more load. Silt Round Trip equals 6 hrs, 6 times $150 equals (12 trips)= 900/ld $10,800 Montrose (RT) equals 8-9 hrs, 9 times $150 equals (12 trips)= $1,350/ld $16,200 Slash Disposal Same relative rates apply as scenario 1. Lop and Scatter is included in the falling costs Chip and Remove, 12 trees/load at $800/load, for 565 trees = 47 loads $800/load $37,600 Burning, same as scenario 1, for 565 trees. 50/tree $28,250 Total for Scenario 4 - All Dead in Analysis Area $96,080 m Scenario 5 — Helicopter logging for trees within 150 of Roads — Removal of Green Dead Only (est. 69 trees) This assumes that the roads and trails will be available for use. Since most trees can be fallen to the road there should be limited disturbance other than along the road. There will be some disturbance. Keep in mind these same areas were logged four years ago prior to County/City purchase. Prices are rounded to the nearest dollar at tree basis. Normally logging costs are by weight or by the thousand board feet, but due to the small specialized nature of this job a per tree basis works best. Road Improvement: For all options the minimum needed is to remove loose rocks from Smuggler Mountain road. Normally there would be additional costs with road grading and watering for dust abatement, but with this small a job it will not be considered. If desired it would have to be added into any job desription. Estimate 2 man days at $50/hour, total equals $800. Falling Costs: with Lop & Scatter - $50/tree $3,450 Cut only (Assumes chip or burn slash on landing)- 35/tree $2,415 Skidding Costs: Skidding (flying) time makes no difference whether it is flat or steep. I will provide two different scenarios; 1) Huey 205 @ $3200/hr, for 20 trees/hr of flying, 2) KMAX @ $4500/hr, for 30 trees/hr. Maximum flying time per day is 6 hours. Helicopter logging requires two landing, I am assuming use of landings at mine tailings on top of Smugglers. Any on USFS would take lengthy environmental analysis and there are no private landowners we know willing to participate. Huey 205: $3200/hr @ 20 trees/hr for 69 trees equals 3.5 hours flying time: 162/tree $11,200 KMAX: $4500/hr @ 30 trees/hr for 69 trees equals 2.3 hours of flying time: 150/tree $10,350 Daily Pier Diem for Crew and Support Vehicles: $900/day $900 One time move in cost for job, $2500: $2,500 Total (worst case) $14,600 Loading: Since all logs will go to a single landing, loading time will be faster. It doesn't justify moving in a loader to load out the estimated 2 loads of logs. 69 trees at 1 to 2 logs per tree will generate about 100 logs. There will be about 50-75 logs per load. The best way to do it is with a self loading truck with loader mounted on a truck. With the loader mounted on the truck it can't carry the normal payload and thus the rate is higher, I will use $150/hr. Green Dead Only: logs on single landing, estimate .75 hours/hr $113/ld 2loads $226 19 Haul Costs The main markets for logs that are outside of zone of MPB infestation are Silt and Montrose. ($150/hr) Silt Round Trip equals 6 hrs, 6 times $150 equals (2 trips) $900/loa $1,800 Montrose (RT) equals 8-9 hrs, 9 times $150 equals (2 trips) $1,350/load $2,700 Slash Disposal Lop and Scatter is included in the falling costs Chip and Remove (can't leave on site this time of the year) costs $800/load for a 20 foot dumpster hauled to the dump. One can get about 12 trees of slash (tops & limbs) in a 20 foot dumpster. 69 trees/12 equals 6 dumpsters $800/load $4,800 Burning this is variable depending on hand piles, landing piles or probably a combination. I am going to estimate 2 hand piles/tree with 2 piles create per man hour. Using $50/man hour that is times 69 trees: $50/tree $3,450 Total costs for "Green Dead" within Buffer There are lots of options, but in the time available I will add things up using the most expensive option in each case for consistency. Total Costs: $26,576 Scenario 6 — Helicopter logging for trees within 78 acre area analyzed — Removal of Green Dead (est, 117 trees) Road Imkrovement: Same as for scenario 1. Estimate 2 man days at $50/hour, total equals $800. Falling Costs: Same costs per tree as for scenario 1. Lop & Scatter - 50/tree $5,850 Cut only (Assumes chip or burn slash on landing) - 35/tree $4,095 Skidding Costs: Huey 205: $3200/hr @ 20 trees/hr for 117 trees equals 5.85 hours flying time: 160/tree $18,750 KMAX: $4500/hr @ 30 trees/hr for 69 trees equals 3.9 hours of flying time: $150/tree $16,770 Daily Pier Diem for Crew and Support Vehicles: $900/day $900 One time move in cost for job, $2500: $2,500 Total (worst case) $22,150 Loading: Since all logs will go to a single landing, .75 hours per load. For 117 trees and a total of 176 logs this is roughly 3 loads at $150/hr— $113/load 339 Hauling: The same costs per load and locations still apply just one more load. Silt Round Trip equals 6 hrs, 6 times $150 equals (3 trips) $900/load $2,700 Montrose (RT) equals 8-9 hrs, 9 times $150 equals (3 trips) $1,350/load $4,050 20 Slash Disposal Same relative rates apply as scenario 1. Lop and Scatter is included in the falling costs Chip and Remove, 12 trees/load at $800/load, for 117 trees = 10 loads Burning, same as scenario 1, for 117 trees. 800/load 50/tree 8 000 $5,850 Total for Scenario 6 - Green Dead in Analysis Area $41,189 Scenario 7 — Helicopter logging for trees within 38 acre proposed road buffer area analyzed — Removal of All Dead (est. 295 trees) Road Improvement: Same as for scenario 1. Estimate 2 man days at $50/hour, total equals $800. Falling Costs: Same costs per tree as for scenario 1. Lop & Scatter - 50/tree $14,750 Cut only - 35/tree $10,325 Skidding Costs: Huey 205: $3200/hr @ 20 trees/hr for 295 trees equals 14.75 hours flying time: 160/tree $47,200 KMAX: $4500/hr @ 30 trees/hr for 295 trees equals 9.8 hours of flying time: 150/tree $44,100 Daily Pier Diem for Crew and Support Vehicles: (3 days) $900/day $2,700 One time move in cost for job, $2500: $2,500 Total (worst case) $52,400 Loading: Since all logs will go to a single landing, .75 hours per load. For 295 trees and a total of 443 logs this is roughly 6 loads at $150/hr— $113/load 678 Hauling: The same costs per load and locations still apply just one more load. Silt Round Trip equals 6 hrs, 6 times $150/hr equals (6 trips) 900/load $5,400 Montrose (RT) equals 8-9 hrs, 9 times $150/hr equals (6 trips) $1,350/loa $8,100 Slash Disposal Same relative rates apply as scenario 1. Lop and Scatter is included in the falling costs Chip and Remove, 12 trees/load at $800/load, for 295 trees = 25 loads $800/load $20,000 Burning, same as scenario 1, for 295 trees. 50/tree $14,750 Total for Scenario 7 - All Dead in Road Buffer Area $96,728 21 Scenario 8 — Helicopter logging with Skidder for trees within 78 acre area analyzed — Removal of All Dead (est. 565 trees) Road Improvement: Same as for scenario 1. Estimate 2 man days at $50/hour, total equals $800. Falling Costs: Same costs per tree as for scenario 1. Lop & Scatter - 50/tree $28,250 Cut only - 35/tree $19,775 Skidding Costs: Huey 205: $3200/hr @ 20 trees/hr for 565 trees equals 28.25 hours flying time: 160/tree $90,400 KMAX: $4500/hr @ 30 trees/hr for 565 trees equals 18.83 hours of flying time: $150/tree $84,750 Daily Pier Diem for Crew and Support Vehicles: (5 days) $900/day $4,500 One time move in cost for job, $2500: $2,500 Total (worst case) $97,400 Loading: Since all logs will go to a single landing, .75 hours per load. For 565 trees and a total of 848 logs this is roughly 12 loads at $150/hr— $113/load $1,356 Hauling: The same costs per load and locations still apply just one more load. Silt Round Trip equals 6 hrs, 6 times $150 equals (12 trips) = 900/ld $10,800 Montrose (RT) equals 8-9 hrs, 9 times $150 equals (12 trips) _ $1,350/1 $16,200 Slash Disposal Same relative rates apply as scenario 1. Lop and Scatter is included in the falling costs Chip and Remove, 12 trees/load at $800/load, for 565 trees = 47 loads Burning, same as scenario 1, for 565 trees. $800/load $37,600 50/tree $28,250 Total for Scenario 8 - All Dead in Analysis Are $181,606 In table 3 is a summary of some potential logging costs options. I think these costs are somewhat high, but I would rather be high than come in over budget. I think in reality there will not be quite as many tree, especially for the "All Dead" categories since there are quite a few trees that are older than 2005 that were included in the 2005 category due to the set up of the database on short notice. Many of those trees are small and/or of poor condition that will not make a log or fall apart after being fallen and will have to be cleaned up on site if reducing fuel hazard and safety hazard is the objective. 22 Additional factors to consider is there are more trees we did not cover the entire operable area nor the steep slopes due to lack of time. From a safety factor there are additional dead trees (sub -alpine, spruce and Aspen) that pose a hazard that need to be considered. These are relative estimates only to facilitate decision making, actual prices need to come from bids once the exact scope and scale of project is determined Tahle 3 - Summary of logging Costs Skidding Skidding Skidding Skidding Helicopter Helicopter Helicopter Helicopter Green Green All Dead All Dead Green Green All Dead All Dead Only in Only in in in Only in Only in in in Analyzed Analyzed Analyzed Analyzed Analyzed Analyzed Analyzed Analyzed Buffer Area Buffer Area Buffer Area Buffer Area Road Costs $800 $800 $800 $800 $800 $800 $800 $800 Falling Costs $3,450 $5,850 $14,750 $28,250 $3,450 $5,850 $14,750 $28,250 Skidding Costs $3,261 $5,607 $4,950 $9,630 $14,600 $22,150 $52,400 $97,400 Loading Costs $750 $1,125 $1,800 $3,600 $226 $339 $678 $1,356 Hauling Costs $2,700 $4,050 $8,100 $16,200 $2,700 $4,050 $8,100 $16,200 Slash Disposal $4,800 $8,000 $20,000 $37,600 $4,800 $8,000 $20,000 $37,600 $15,761 $25,432 $50,400 $96,080 $26,576 $41,189 $96,728 $181,606 Number of Trees 69 117 295 565 1 69 117 295 565 Cost per Tree $228 1 $217 1 $171 $170 $385 $352 $328 $321 Acres 38 1 78 1 38 78 38 78 38 78 Cost per Acres $415 $326 $1,326 $1,232 $699 E528 $2,5451 E21328 2 2 8 7 2 2 8 1 7 Alternative No time to address reasonable alternatives, but one needs to keep in mind that disturbance may be an issue, but if nothing is done, fire will be the disturbance some day and with no mitigation trees along the roads and trails corridors will need to be removed, essentially creating an accidental regeneration cut. Pro -active planning will provide better results. Timeline Biology If anything is going to be done it does need to be done before this beetle flight prior to July 1, and for sure before the beetle flight next year. A better time to do operations would be late fall and early winter. 23 Operations during the spring when the trees are growing is always inherently risky. The bark slips off a lot easier and always results in more tree damage. With more tree damage more attractant for the beetles. Layout This is going to be a time consuming process and will take at least a full time position for at least a month in addition to technician support for marking timber, flagging roads to be used, flagging streams for protection, etc. In addition to putting together prospectus, contracts, etc. Property line location is critical for logging and verbenone application. After layout there will be the administration of the job that will take at least 2 weeks, depending on the size of the project. Contracting If this was private property a contract could be done with a contractor of choice and operations could start relatively quickly. Knowing agency contracting procedures unless and emergency is designated I wonder how this can be done in time to meet biological timelines. A good contract is critical to getting a good job. Operations Getting a good operator will be critical to future operation, if low bid is accepted without due diligence and a poor job is done, then there may not be another chance. Verbenone Application In order to get the verbenone application done in a timely and safe manner the falling, skidding and potential flying operations need to be complete. Conclusion Time does not provide for adequate summary here, but a few key points are: 1) Concept, the idea of tree removal and verbenone is the right idea, the bigger the area treated the better it will work. Flakes have been proven to be better than pouches and will provide better protection on a landscape basis. Using an IPM approach will provide the best results. 2) Treating just the road and trail buffers will not be as effective as treating a larger area encompassing the roads and trails. 3) Road and trail use for operations is critical to getting a reasonable price and provides the opportunity to at least fix badly need erosion controls. 4) Getting the "Green Dead" removed on as large an area as possible should be the priority, removing the hazard trees can wait another year for a better planned operation. 24 a�:...� • . ,,. ^ y ro f �� U`,7S HUMe. Cfbk C4f4ry y .. �.. 3 � •. . B f ' ', 73"t. tY � •f • •J�• Aa iP `�'E'T`nc r ..�y`.. A I. T .: y 9`C, `poP `,. FE :. r ••• %i .y,^ t��sm <IY�c �" oP .. �9 :�� J .. 6 s • `\\\ • ��� �� .. i •• • •s •. i�.%...; r i p t °'� Y �� ...,. - �.r.. p ��: • •� • •