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HomeMy WebLinkAboutagenda.council.special.202107291 AGENDA CITY COUNCIL SPECIAL MEETING July 29, 2021 4:00 PM, Hosted by BOCC I.CALL TO ORDER II.ELECTED OFFICIALS TRANSPORTATION COMMITTEE EOTC Packet III.ADJOURN 1 Elected Officials Transportation Committee (EOTC) Thursday, July 29, 2021 - 4:00pm Location – Pitkin County BOCC Meeting Room; Host and Chair – Pitkin County EOTC Background, Documents, and Packet Materials may be found here: https://pitkincounty.com/1322/Elected-Officials-Transportation-Committ EOTC Vision: We envision the Roaring Fork Valley as the embodiment of a sustainable transportation system emphasizing mass transit and mobility that contributes to the happiness and wellbeing of residents and visitors. EOTC Mission: Work collectively to reduce and manage the volume of vehicles on the road and parking system and continue to develop and support a comprehensive multimodal, long-range strategy that will insure a convenient, equitable and efficient transportation system for the Roaring Fork Valley. Summary of State Statute and Ballot Requirements: The 0.5% County Transit Sales and Use Tax shall be used for the purpose of financing, constructing, operating and managing a public, fixed route mass transportation system within the Roaring Fork Valley. Public Comment Instructions: Seating is limited for in person attendance / public comment in order to continue social distancing. Masks are highly suggested. Joining by Zoom is also available (see details below). Please click the link below to join the webinar: https://us02web.zoom.us/j/83875742929?pwd=cmY1c09zVG9PcEg2Z2N6bmhQMFNsQT09 Password: 024693 Note: Zoom does require the participant to have or create an account. Please ‘raise your hand’ prior to Public Comment. If you would like to provide comments on one of the agenda items during the meeting please ‘raise your hand’ and the host or chair will unmute you when the chair acknowledges public comment for each item. I. 4:00 - 4:10 PUBLIC COMMENT (Comments limited to three minutes per person) II.4:10 - 4:20 EOTC COMMITTEE MEMBER UPDATES 1 2 III. 4:20 – 5:45 REPORT OUT ON THE FOLLOWING STUDIES AND PROVIDE ADMINISTRATIVE DIRECTION ON THE STAFF PROPOSED 2021 NEAR TERM TRANSIT IMPROVEMENT PROGRAM: 1)INTEGRATED MOBILITY SYSTEM (IMS) STUDY 2)UPPER VALLEY TRANSIT ENHANCEMENT (UVTE) STUDY David Pesnichak, Transportation Administrator Decision Needed: Administrative Direction to Proceed with Staff Proposed 2021 EOTC Near Term Transit Improvement Program IV. 5:45 – 6:15 MAROON CREEK ROUNDABOUT RECONSTRUCTION 2022 FUNDING REQUEST David Pesnichak, Transportation Administrator; and, Andrew Knapp, PE, Resident Engineer, CDOT Glenwood Springs Residency Decision Needed: Approval of 2022 Maroon Creek Roundabout Reconstruction Funding Request, Approval of an Amended 2021 EOTC Budget, and Authorization for Signature on the Resolution of Approval for Town of Snowmass Village and City of Aspen (Pitkin County will be authorized separately as a Supplemental Budget Request) V.6:15 – 6.30 UPDATES-INFORMATION ONLY (Q&A) A.Brush Creek Park and Ride to AABC Trail Connection Feasibility Study B.Brush Creek Park and Ride – One-Season Food Truck / Farm Stand Experiment C.Buttermilk Park and Ride Signage D. No-Fare Service Cost Transfer from EOTC to RFTA E.Town of Snowmass Village Transit Center – Progress Update (Provided by David Peckler, Transportation Director, Town of Snowmass Village) *Next meeting is October 28, 2021 – City of Aspen to Host & Chair 2 Page 12 Page 43 Page 54 3 2021 WORK PLAN – FOR REFERENCE ONLY 3 4 2021 WORK PLAN – FOR REFERENCE ONLY 4 5 2021 WORK PLAN – FOR REFERENCE ONLY 5 6 2021 WORK PLAN – FOR REFERENCE ONLY 6 7 2021 WORK PLAN – FOR REFERENCE ONLY 7 8 2021 BUDGET – FOR REFERENCE ONLY 8 9 ELECTED OFFICIALS TRANSPORTATION COMMITTEE (EOTC) AGREEMENTS & DECISIONS REACHED AT THE MARCH 25, 2021 MEETING Location (In Person and Virtual) – Town of Snowmass Village Town of Snowmass Village - Host & Chair Elected Officials in Attendance: Aspen – 5 Pitkin County - 4 Snowmass - 4 Torre Kelly McNicholas Kury Markey Butler Ward Hauenstein Steve Child Tom Goode Skippy Mesirow George Newman Bill Madsen Ann Mullins Greg Poschman Alyssa Shenk Rachael Richards Absent: Patti Clapper, Bob Sirkus ______________________________________________________________________________ Agreements & Decisions Reached PUBLIC COMMENT None COMMITTEE MEMBER UPDATES Rachael Richard provided an update and overview of a new transportation funding bill that is expected to be introduced in the Colorado Legislature in the spring of 2021. Proposed 2021 EOTC IGA Update David Pesnichak - Transportation Administrator Mr. Pesnichak explained the background and context of the proposed EOTC IGA update. Mr. Pesnichak explained that the Intergovernmental Agreement (IGA) between the City of Aspen, Town of Snowmass Village and Pitkin County that created the EOTC’s organizational structure is still in its original form from its adoption in 1993. Following guidance from the 2019 EOTC retreat, the EOTC adopted a Strategic Plan and updated Comprehensive Valley Transportation Plan (CVTP) in 2020. Among the final steps to be taken from the direction obtained at the retreat in 2019 includes clarifying the decision making structure and updating the guiding documents for the EOTC. In accordance with the accepted 2020 and 2021 EOTC Work Plan, this is to be accomplished through an update to the 1993 IGA and considered in the spring of 2021 following adoption of the Strategic Plan and updated CVTP. 9 10 It was noted that although the IGA, Resolution 61 and Resolution 62 were adopted separately in 1993, they are also all interdependent. While these separate adoptions appears to have been logical in 1993 in advance of the election for the ½ cent transit sales and use tax, maintaining them as independent documents at his point is cumbersome. As a result, Staff recommended an updated IGA that combines the relevant provisions from the original IGA, Resolution 61, and Resolution 62. Mr. Pesnichak noted that the recommended changes from the staff, managers, attorneys, and bond counsel reviews have been incorporated into the proposed IGA draft. Further, while the primary goal of this update is the clarify decision making and governance, Staff referred the proposed IGA to Pitkin County bond council to ensure no inadvertent impacts to revenue distribution, bonds or bond holders would occur with this update. The draft proposal included four primary changes to governance and decision making for the EOTC including: 1) Identifying the organizational structure and committee name, 2) That EOTC meetings are to be held as noticed special meetings where voting at those meetings is to be final, 3) Identifying the decision making processes, and 4) Identifying what a quorum means to the EOTC. Staff recommended that the EOTC adopt the staff proposed IGA update. The Committee discussed how the proposed IGA would impact an EOTC meeting where one party does not have a quorum. Following some deliberation, Mr. Pesnichak explained that since the EOTC would meet in noticed special meetings for each jurisdiction, in this situation an EOTC meeting would need to be either: 1) rescheduled or continued to another date where a quorum can be established or, 2) rescheduled for individual meetings within each jurisdiction. Further, it was noted that the intent of this IGA update was to not only bring the IGA document up to current times, but also raise the bar for the Committee and how decisions are made. Some committee members expressed concern that should quorum not be able to be achieved, the EOTC could end up having many meetings within individual jurisdictions and thereby missing a shared understanding of the topic at hand. Other committee members stated that with the presence of online participation, a quorum should be regularly achievable for each jurisdiction. The question arose whether proxy voting could be used to help gain a quorum at EOTC meetings. However, since neither the City of Aspen nor the Town of Snowmass Village allow for proxy voting, that was not an option that could be considered. It was noted that the sentence that identified a quorum for the committee was unclear, particularly how the EOTC is to respond if a quorum cannot be achieved. As a result, it was recommended that this sentence in Section 2.a. of the proposed IGA be amended. 10 11 The committee also discussed a desire for Administrative Direction to require agreement by all three parties instead of just two as recommended. There was general agreement that Administrative Direction should be agreed upon by all three jurisdictions and as a result, this section was recommended to be amended. The EOTC voted to adopt the staff recommended 2021 IGA Update with the following amendments: 1) Clarify the options available to the EOTC should a quorum not be established at an EOTC meeting in Section 2.a., and 2) Identify that Administrative Direction is to be agreed upon by all three parties, not just two, by amending Section 2.f. and the EOTC Decision Making Process Overview table. Staff was directed to create the exact wording for these amendments, have the amendments reviewed by City of Aspen, Town of Snowmass Village and Pitkin County attorneys, and present the updated IGA draft to each jurisdiction for a final vote. The vote for the 2021 EOTC IGA update with the aforementioned amendments was conducted by jurisdiction. The vote was as follows: Pitkin County: 4-0 Town of Snowmass Village: 4-0 City of Aspen: 5-0 11 12 AGENDA ITEM SUMMARY EOTC MEETING DATE: July 29, 2021 AGENDA ITEM TITLE: Integrated Mobility System (IMS) Study and Upper Valley Transit Enhancement (UVTE) Study Report Out and Administrative Direction STAFF RESPONSIBLE: David Pesnichak, Transportation Administrator CONSULTING TEAMS: IMS: Fehr and Peers UVTE: Mead and Hunt ISSUE STATEMENT: In 2020 and 2021 the EOTC with support from RFTA and CDOT, commissioned two studies: the Integrated Mobility System (IMS) study and the Upper Valley Transit Enhancement (UVTE) study. While these two studies were conducted independently and with separate consulting teams, the IMS can be viewed as the umbrella study. The UVTE, which focusses on infrastructure improvements to increase access to and efficiency of transit, is a first step in progressing BRT Enhancements, which is one of the five strategies of the IMS. Based on the results of these two studies, Staff has developed an EOTC Near Term Transit Improvement Program that prioritizes the most productive and feasible efforts identified in these two studies into three priority tiers. The efforts identified in the first and second tiers are those projects that are most in need, feasible in the near term, and/or are necessary to progress later efforts. Staff will utilize the direction provided from EOTC 2021 Near Term Transit Improvement Program as guidance to help develop the coming EOTC Budgets and Work Plans starting with 2022. As a result, Staff is looking for Administrative Direction to proceed with the proposed EOTC 2021 Near Term Transit Improvement Program as proposed. BACKGROUND: Memo Contents -Integrated Mobility System (IMS) study o Background o Outcomes -Upper Valley Transit Enhancement (UVTE) study o Background o Outcomes -EOTC Near Term Transit Improvement Program o Purpose and Legal Standing o Components of the Program o How the Program will be Utilized -Staff Recommendation 12 13 Integrated Mobility System (IMS) Study – Phase 2 Background: The Community Forum Task Force on Transportation and Mobility is a 31-citizen member committee that was created to address the transportation issues that have plagued the upper Roaring Fork Valley. The Task Force met in 2016 and 2017. In 2017 the Task Force released the Upper Valley Mobility Report which outline the Integrated Mobility System (IMS). The IMS is comprised of five key pillars or strategies that could be implemented as budgets permit over short, mid, and long-term timeframes. The five strategies identified within the IMS are (See graphic below): phased BRT enhancements, ride sharing, ride hailing, HOV Lane enforcement, and congestion reduction measures. Five Pillars or Strategies of the IMS This analysis of the IMS has been a 2 phase, 1.5-year study starting in 2020 and completing in 2021. Phase 1 - In 2019, the EOTC and RFTA pooled resources to begin an initial analysis of the IMS in 2020, which was completed by Fehr and Peers. The Phase 1 analysis included: a.Refinement and definition of the five strategies identified in the IMS to allow for modeling purposes. 13 14 b. Performance of a high-level effectiveness analysis of the five strategies of the IMS to create a general picture of the potential reduction in vehicle miles travelled (VMT), greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, and reduced single occupancy vehicle (SOV) travel. c. Identification of a draft initial implementation framework. Phase 1 created a ranked effectiveness of the five strategies of the IMS based on anticipated long-term congestion reduction and related greenhouse gas emissions. Phase 1 Anticipated Long Term Effectiveness of the five IMS strategies if implemented independently In addition, Phase 1 highlighted two major takeaways from the analysis: - Interdependency of strategies: Individual measures can have limited impacts on reductions to congestion and greenhouse gas emissions, however their effectiveness can be multiplied when implemented as a system. - No Silver Bullet: When moving forward with congestion mitigation and limiting greenhouse gas emissions, small incremental steps that build on one another are expected to have the greatest overall impact. Based on the identified effectiveness of the five strategies of the IMS along with the two noted takeaways, the Fehr and Peers team developed the following draft implementation outline. Short-Term Implementation (0-5 Years): ‐ HOV lane enforcement on State Highway (SH) 82 ‐ Increase parking prices and expand hours of pricing in downtown Aspen ‐ Speed and reliability improvements along BRT route 14 15 ‐ Implement pilot ridesharing app for commuters Medium-Term Implementation (3-10 Years): ‐ Implement ride hailing service in Aspen/Snowmass Area ‐ Monitor performance to ensure mobility and emissions goals are being met ‐ Expand the City of Aspen’s carsharing program, and begin fleet electrification ‐ Expand the Aspen Downtowner’s service and fleet ‐ Construct new Park & Ride in the Carbondale/El Jebel/Basalt area, and enhance bus connections between Snowmass and Aspen Long-Term Implementation (11+ Years): ‐ Implement dynamic road pricing on SH 82 Throughout Phase 1, Fehr and Peers in conjunction with Staff developed three report out memoranda. At the end of Phase 1, the Transportation Administrator along with the Fehr and Peers team reported these conclusions out to the Pitkin County Board of County Commissioners, the City of Aspen City Council, the Town of Snowmass Village Town Council, and the RFTA Board. These report out meetings all occurred in September of 2020. Phase 2 - With direction from the EOTC and support from RFTA and CDOT, Pitkin County procured the assistance of Fehr and Peers to execute Phase 2 of this study. The Phase 2 analysis was completed in June 2021 and includes the follow elements: a. Develop performance measures and an evaluation framework to ensure the IMS is working well and achieving the desired goals. b. More detailed travel analysis on what trips are likely to be affected by the IMS and more detail on how to mitigate some of the impacts caused by the IMS. c. Using the detailed travel analysis, perform a more detailed transportation GHG emissions analysis. d. Perform an equity impact analysis of the IMS to understand which groups might be disproportionally impacted and develop mitigation measures to address those impacts. e. Perform an autonomous vehicle risk and benefit assessment to understand how the IMS will need to be adjusted to a future with AVs (includes both private AVs and autonomous transit). f. Analyze the potential impacts from COVID-19 on the implementation of the IMS. A final professional written report documenting the methodology, process and findings for the overall IMS can be found in Attachment 3 (due to the size of the report, a link is provided). 15 16 For analysis purposes, Fehr and Peers broke the travel patterns into four “travel markets”: Residents, Workers, Local Visitors, and Non-Local Visitors. Based on the VMT and GHG emissions research conducted by Fehr and Peers, the report made several conclusions: - Non-local visitors contribute the most to the VMT into Aspen and Snowmass Village – more than 50 percent in the summer and nearly as much in the peak winter season - Commuters are the next largest share of VMT and total trip making after non-local visitors - Residents and local visitors represent much smaller shares of total trips and VMT into Aspen and Snowmass Village From this analysis, the report notes that “Based on these results, it is clear that substantial reductions in VMT and GHG emissions into Aspen and Snowmass Village will require a focus on non-local visitors and commuters. However, when evaluating how to manage travel from these two groups, the implications to equity and the overall economic engine of the region must be taken into consideration.” When factoring in Autonomous Vehicles (AVs) and the long-term effects of the COVID-19 pandemic, Fehr and Peers forecasted the anticipated impacts to per capita VMT and per capita transit ridership. The impacts of COVID-19 are expected mostly in the nearer term out to 2030 while widespread AV utilization is not expected until 2030 to 2050. A couple of the more notable factors identified in the Fehr and Peers study impacting long term per capita VMT and GHG emissions include (see report for more detail): - Autonomous Vehicles (AVs) are expected to have both a push and pull effect on VMT over the long term. More specifically, private and rental AVs are expected to notably increase VMT particularly from non-local visitors while transit AVs are expected to slightly decrease VMT among commuters and residents. Overall, AVs are expected to have a stronger push (increase) than a pull (decrease) on VMT within the Upper Valley. - Remote work is not available to a large portion of the Upper Valley work force. As a result, remote work is not expected to have as large of a pull (decrease) impact on VMT and GHG emissions in the long term in the Upper Valley as it could in other locations. In addition, should remote work encourage other workers to move into the Upper Valley to live and work full or part time for a remote employer, this will likely to drive up VMT and transit trips within the resident travel market. Below is the graph created by Fehr and Peers showing the overall expected trends in VMT per capita and Transit Trips per capita out to 2050. This graph combines all of the travel markets evaluated by Fehr and Peers within the Upper Valley. For a breakdown of each travel market and an explanation of the inputs, please see the report linked as Attachment 3. 16 17 Utilizing the analysis on GHG emissions and VMT, the IMS Study report makes several recommendations as discussed below. Outcomes: Based on the results from the IMS Phase 1 and Phase 2 studies, Fehr and Peers established the below implementation packages based on levels of effectiveness to reduce VMT and GHG emissions. To provide some context for these packages, Fehr and Peers provided the following explanation: Each of the packages have independent utility, but some packages, notably packages 1, 2, and 3 would likely not be combined, whereas packages 4 and 5 could be implemented with any combination of other packages. The packages were developed based, in part, on the Phase 1 finding that HOV lane enforcement did not have any direct VMT or GHG emissions benefits, but it strongly enhanced the other IMS strategies. Similarly, given that the Aspen/Snowmass Village area already has strong transit service, the BRT enhancements suggested in the IMS would have less of a stand-alone benefit than we would see in most other communities, but they provide fundamental support to increasing the cost of driving (through parking fees, tolls, or cordon charges) that are part of packages 1-3. 17 18 As is noted in the report from Fehr and Peers, while packages 1 and 2, and particularly Managed Lanes (High Occupancy Toll, or HOT lanes) and a Cordon Toll, can provide the greatest reductions in VMT and GHG emissions they also present significant legal, operational, financial, equity, and public relations hurdles. It is also worth noting that either the implementation of a Managed Lane or a Cordon Toll is likely to require an amended or new Record of Decision (ROD) from the Federal Highways Administration (FHWA) for that respective section of Highway 82. The Fehr and Peers study also reviewed equity concerns, particularly from congestion pricing. In order to offset the increased inequity that Managed Lanes and Cordon Tolling can create, it is recommended that revenues from tolling go back into improving and expanding public transit, bicycling and walking options. The Fehr and Peers report offers the following conclusion regarding equity: … it appears that congestion pricing, in general, could have a greater impact on lower income residents and employees since the price charged does not vary based on income. The effects are less pronounced for priced lanes compared to an overall cordon toll since the priced lanes include a free (although congested) option for those who cannot or do not want to pay for that particular trip. These findings are entirely in-line with the Aspen Institute’s Upper Valley Mobility Report. Implementing congestion pricing on SH 82 could add an additional cost burden for these people, while residents who can afford to both live and work in Aspen would not need to regularly pay this cost, which could add to the disparate impact of tolling. Priced lanes can be seen as inequitable because rush hour travelers who 18 19 commute in the same direction as congestion (where congestion pricing would be most effective) are largely affluent and are more capable of paying the cost (Rand Corporation and Volpe National Transportation Systems Center, 2007). However, there may be options to reinvest tolling revenue into transit facilities as to improve transit performance and mobility for riders. Finally, the IMS Phase 2 study recommended performance measures to be utilized to monitor progress. These are outlined in the chart below. 19 20 Upper Valley Transit Enhancement (UVTE) Study Background: The UVTE progresses the “BRT Enhancements” strategy identified in the IMS (described above), which is a basic component to the overall success of the IMS. The goal of the UVTE is to identify and prioritize infrastructure projects between Service Center Road (Aspen Airport) and the Maroon Creek Roundabout that: 1) Increase transit efficiency and speed; and, 2) Increase bicycle / pedestrian access to transit stops. This study was set up to identify the most effective, feasible, and implementable infrastructure improvements that will increase the efficiency and accessibility of transit while considering existing plans and redevelopment efforts currently under review. The study also had emphasis on projects that could and should be progressed in the near term. The stages and elements of the study were as follows: a. Existing conditions and needs assessment. b. Identification of possible infrastructure improvements to achieve the stated goals. c. Create a cost/benefit analysis and prioritized list of most impactful and cost effective improvements to achieve the stated goals. d. Develop a final plan for implementation. e. Any unused budgeted funds are to be utilized to create initial concept plans for the top 2-3 identified projects. (To be completed between July 29, 2021 and December 31, 2021) The result is a detailed analysis of the transit, vehicle and access infrastructure through the study corridor. The proposed improvements were modeled to determine effectiveness at improving transit efficiency and access not only at the individual project level but also as a system. Mead and Hunt evaluated the identified improvements utilizing Measurements of Effectiveness (MOEs). These included a rating scale of effectiveness in the following categories: - Multimodal (Person Throughput, HOV Travel Time, Non-Auto Mode Share) - Vehicle (Intersection Level of Service, Auto Travel Time, Crash Reduction) 20 21 - Pedestrian / Bicycle (Walkshed Size, Pedestrian Exposure/Conflicts, Bicycle Level of Traffic Stress) - Transit (Transit Ridership, Transit Travel Time) - Other Impacts (Cost, Regulatory Impact, Stakeholder Preference, Emissions) The improvements that were evaluated through the above Measurements of Effectiveness were first identified primarily from traffic and walk shed models. As a result, it is important to keep in mind that the identified improvements are at the idea and concept generation stage only based on modelling results. Complete designs and thorough feasibility of each of these improvements would be necessary if they move forward. Staff reviewed the results of the analysis conducted by Mead and Hunt and has done further refinement of the recommendations based on legal and other contexts. The staff recommended list of projects is reflected in the proposed EOTC Near Term Transit Improvement Program. Also reflected in the proposed EOTC Near Term Transit Improvement Program, based on the contract with Mead and Hunt, are three projects to progress immediately to concept plan development by Mead and Hunt. As a part of the contract with Mead and Hunt, any remaining funds are to be utilized to progress the top 2-3 infrastructure projects through conceptual design. The amount of time available from the Mead and Hunt team will be limited by the amount of funds available from the current UVTE project budget. The benefit to obtaining a conceptual design of these projects are: 1) it increases public understanding of the project and enables further evaluation; and 2) it is valuable in obtaining grants and furthering permitting with the necessary authorities. It is important to note that a concept plan is not a full construction or permitted design and while it is an important step in that direction, it does not enable the project to be considered “shovel ready”. Further design funding would need to be identified by either the EOTC or other sources for the identified projects in order to achieve full design. Outcomes: The analysis conducted by Mead and Hunt identified several possible improvements for consideration. As an overview description of all the improvements considered, these improvements are outlined below, moving geographically up valley from Service Center Road to the Maroon Creek Roundabout. Please note that the below outline is an overview listing of all improvements considered and each of these projects are not necessarily recommended for further action. The projects recommended for further action are identified in the 2021 EOTC Near Term Transit Improvement Program (Attachment 1 - staff recommendation). Also, a more detailed staff analysis is provided in the 21 22 2021 EOTC Near Term Transit Improvement Program section of this memo along with visuals of the improvements if applicable and available. - HOV Lane Enforcement – Generally, the study identified that enforcement of the existing HOV lanes is necessary to decrease overall congestion or improve transit efficiency. The traffic modeling conducted assumed effective HOV lane enforcement. - HOV Lane Extensions – This modification is to extend the HOV lane moving up valley at the Airport and at the Maroon Creek Roundabout. These extensions would convert limited sections of the existing Bus Only Lane into HOV lane in order to reduce overall congestion at those bottlenecks. - Traffic Signal Technology Improvement – Advanced signal technology was evaluated as a way to improve transit efficiency through this corridor. - Service Center Road – New traffic signal with pedestrian crossing and speed limit reduction from 55mph to 45mph on Highway 82. This improvement is intended to: 1) provide a protected crossing to the RFTA stop on both sides of Highway 82, and 2) increase safety for vehicles on Highway 82 and those entering the Highway from Service Center Road. - Sage Way Sidewalk – It was noted that Sage Way within the AABC does not have consistent sidewalks. This improvement is intended to increase safe bicycle and pedestrian connections to transit stops in this area. - BRT Connection to New Airport Terminal – This evaluation was included within this study in order to identify how to maintain existing transit times should the BRT transit stop be relocated into a new Airport terminal. Operational issues with this approach or other alternatives to serve the airport with transit were not evaluated. Time penalties from luggage was also not calculated as a part of this study. - Harmony / Owl Creek Road – New grade separated bicycle and pedestrian crossing at Buttermilk, a bus bypass lane going up valley at the Harmony signal, and a bus bypass lane going down valley at the Owl Creek signal. A grade separated bicycle and pedestrian crossing is necessary to implement an Owl Creek signal transit bypass lane. These improvements are intended to: 1) provide superior protection for bicyclists and pedestrians across Highway 82 at Buttermilk, 2) removes the pedestrian crossing time at the Owl Creek signal thereby reducing transit and overall vehicle congestion, and 3) increase transit efficiency by allowing transit vehicles the ability to bypass one of the two signals at this intersection. - HAWK Signal at Aspen Country Inn – A HAWK signal (High-Intensity Activated cross WalK beacon) was evaluated as an infrastructure solution to facilitate pedestrians crossing Highway 82 to access the down valley transit stop at Aspen Country Inn. HAWK beacons are designed and intended to be used on high-speed multi-lane highways similar to Highway 82. - Trail from Truscott to Buttermilk on south side of Highway 82. This trail connection was evaluated as a way to create safe pedestrian and bicycle access to existing transit stops along this corridor, including from the Aspen Country Inn. 22 23 - Maroon Creek Roundabout Down Valley Channelization – This improvement would consist of a physical lane separation between the outside and inside lanes on the down valley side of the Maroon Creek Roundabout. This would effectively provide a down valley bypass lane for all traffic, including transit. Because traffic is mixed through the roundabout, in order to speed up transit times at this congestion point it is necessary for all vehicles to move through the roundabout and queues more efficiently. - Cemetery Lane Bus Queue Jump – This queue jump was evaluated in the down valley direction at Cemetery Lane and would enable transit to jump a queue of vehicles stopped at the Cemetery Lane signal. This improvement is intended to increase transit efficiency and could work symbiotically with the Maroon Creek Roundabout Down Valley Channelization. The UVTE study prepared by Mead and Hunt concludes with the following recommendation: Based on the results of the analysis, the spot bus priority improvements (channelization/ queue jumps), in combination with the roundabout channelization and a pedestrian underpass at Owl Creek is suggested for advancement to engineering design. The costs are estimated to be approximately $15 to $18 million. At this time, adjusting the limits of the HOV lanes and/ or dedicated bus lanes is not recommended until further exploration of the reimbursement obligations and compatibility within the Entrance to Aspen Record of Decision can be undertaken. Mobility package phasing is suggested as follows: Short-term Recommendations: • Conduct a pilot channelization of the down valley roundabout outer lane. If successful, permanently deploy (in summer season) • Construct additional bus priority treatments (channelization at Owl Creek/ Harmony), queue jumps at Cemetery Lane • Enforce HOV lane compliance Mid-term Recommendations: • Construct Owl Creek pedestrian underpass • Construct shared use path connection from Aspen Country Inn to Owl Creek 23 24 EOTC Near Term Transit Improvement Program Purpose and Legal Standing The 2021 EOTC Near Term Transit Improvement Program was developed as a method to consolidate the outcomes of the IMS study and the UVTE into one staff recommendation. The purpose of this document is to concisely represent the near term direction that staff feels is appropriate for the EOTC following the conclusion of these two studies. Staff is recommending that this document be accepted as Administrative Direction only, which does not require memorialization in the form of a resolution. However, Administrative Direction does require agreement of the three EOTC jurisdiction to proceed. If accepted, staff will then utilize this document to development the upcoming EOTC budgets and work plans starting in 2022. In addition, this document will provide the necessary direction to Mead and Hunt to proceed with concept plan development through the remainder of 2021 on the identified infrastructure projects. Components of the Program The Staff recommendation is included as the proposed 2021 EOTC Near Term Transit Improvement Program (Attachment 1). This staff recommendation and outcome from the July 29 EOTC meeting is intended to provide staff with direction when preparing the 2022 / 2023 (and possibly beyond) EOTC Work Plans and Budgets. This Program is a 3 tiered consolidated priority approach to identifying which efforts should be kicked off first based on the results of the IMS and UVTE studies. You will notice that the efforts are not individually ranked within each tier. This was done intentionally to allow for some flexibility among the projects within a Tier. This consolidated recommendation is anticipated to be a "near term" work effort prioritization with further discussion needed (likely in a retreat in 2022) to discuss the prioritization of longer term and more intensive efforts such as congestion pricing on Highway 82 and possibly the Entrance to Aspen. Approval of the 2021 Near Term Transit Improvement Program does not allocate any funding for any specific projects. Funding for prioritized projects will occur as a part of the annual EOTC budget process. The 3 Tiers within the Transit Improvement Program include: - Tier 1 - "First Priority" efforts are those that have a higher value to dollar ratio or are important preliminary efforts to Tier 2 projects. This includes three infrastructure projects that are proposed to be moved directly to concept plan development in 2021 as an extension of the current contract with Mead and Hunt. 24 25 - Tier 2 - "Second Priority" efforts are those that have a lower value to dollar ratio or are dependent on an effort identified in tier one. Tier 2 projects can still be pursued sooner should conditions change (e.g. grant opportunity and / or Tier 1 effort is completed). - Tier 3 - "Third Priority" efforts are those that are important but require further clarification from another project (e.g. airport terminal design or AABC Access Control Plan build out), have a significant cost, and/or significant legal hurdles. These projects are not likely to move forward in the near term unless conditions change (e.g. airport terminal design completed, AABC Access Control Plan is progressing, State law is amended, etc.). - The "Other Projects Considered" grouping are those efforts that require significantly more study or showed very little effectiveness in assisting transit efficiency and/or bike/ped access to transit. These projects were pulled from the priority Tiers to identify that staff is not recommending they move forward at this time as a part of the upcoming EOTC Work Plans and Budgets. Similar to Tier 3 projects, however, should conditions change then the prioritization of these efforts can also change. A total of 16 efforts have been prioritized in the 2021 EOTC Near Term Transit Improvement Program. Below is a description of each of the 16 efforts organized by priority tier and in the same order as they appear in the staff recommended Transit Improvement Program document (Attachment 1). Tier 1 - Aspen Country Inn Trail Improvements to Bike / Ped Underpass and Transit Stops at Truscott and Buttermilk Mead and Hunt analyzed this project within the UVTE study. This effort progresses the “BRT Enhancement” strategy within the IMS. The goal of this improvement is to provide basic bicycle and pedestrian infrastructure that connects the Aspen Country Inn (low-income senior priority housing) and other residential and commercial developments along this south side stretch of Highway 82 to transit stops at Truscott and Buttermilk. While this improvement will not bridge the bicycle and pedestrian divide that Highway 82 creates, it will provide safe connections to Truscott, which has a bicycle and pedestrian underpass and Buttermilk, which currently has a signalized bicycle and pedestrian crossing. This improvement is not intended to supplant the EOTC’s support of the Aspen Country Inn’s Taxi in Lieu service, but is instead intended to compliment it. Staff recommends this as a Tier 1 project as it is needed basic bicycle and pedestrian infrastructure to safely reach existing transit services. Staff also recommends that this project move directly to concept plan design by Mead and Hunt in 2021. Note: Staff has received input from a property owner on Hideaway Lane that is supportive of a trail connection along the south side of Highway 82 connecting to the transit stop at Truscott. Please see Attachment 2 for a copy of this letter of support. While the UVTE study generally 25 26 looked at trail connections between Truscott and Buttermilk, an extension of that trail east to Hideaway Lane in order to increase transit connections to those residences can be examined at the time of project development and design. Illustration from Mead and Hunt showing conceptual location of Buttermilk to Truscott trail connection - Design and Feasibility Review of Maroon Creek Roundabout Down Valley Channelization and Down Valley Queue Jump at Cemetery Lane Mead and Hunt analyzed this project within the UVTE study. This effort progresses the “BRT Enhancement” strategy within the IMS. The goal of the Maroon Creek Roundabout down valley channelization and Cemetery Lane down valley queue jump are to increase transit efficiency through the congested Maroon Creek Roundabout and Cemetery Lane signal in the down valley direction. As traffic is mixed through the Roundabout, traffic modeling has shown that reducing conflict points for all traffic through the Roundabout is necessary to decrease transit times. As a result, this improvement is expected to reduce overall congestion in the down valley direction, particularly in the afternoon rush hour, for all traffic including transit. Functionally, this would provide a down valley channelized lane that separates the outside lane with a raised barrier. This channelization would eliminate the need to merge into the roundabout for down valley traffic staying on Highway 82 thereby reducing dwell times and queue lengths entering the roundabout from Aspen. Consistent with current conditions, down valley traffic would then merge into the left lane after the roundabout as the right lane turns into a bus only lane. CDOT has expressed concerns with snow removal with this channelization and has offered a possible seasonal rubber curb solution. Should this project move forward, staff would work with CDOT to identify possible channelization options. One benefit to the removable lane separation 26 27 solution offered by CDOT for this channelization is that this improvement can then be easily piloted for a season to test effectiveness. The down valley queue jump at Cemetery Lane is anticipated to function symbiotically with the Roundabout Channelization and as a result these projects have been grouped together. This fairly simple infrastructure change for a queue jump would allow transit to bypass traffic waiting at the Cemetery Lane signal. This queue jump would also line up transit vehicles well for the Cemetery Lane transit stop. The next steps for both the Maroon Creek Roundabout channelization and the Cemetery Lane queue jump is to move into further preliminary design and feasibility review (e.g. a radii analysis to ensure transit and large trucks can easily navigate a lane separation). Both of these projects would require CDOT permitting and approval. As a result, staff is recommending that this project move directly to concept plan design by Mead and Hunt in 2021. This concept plan will provide a valuable first step toward necessary design, feasibility and permitting discussions. It is worth noting that this effort will not affect the anticipated 2022 Roundabout reconstruction that is being led by CDOT. Should this channelization project progress, any rollout of these improvements would occur after the Roundabout reconstruction is complete. In addition, at this time no changes to curb lines or other pavement improvements conducted in 2022 are expected to be modified. Illustration from Mead and Hunt showing conceptual outline of Maroon Creek Roundabout channelization 27 28 Illustration from Mead and Hunt showing conceptual outline of Cemetery Lane queue jump - Design and Feasibility Review of Harmony / Owl Creek Transit Signal Bypass Lane and Buttermilk Bike / Ped Underpass Mead and Hunt analyzed this project within the UVTE study. This effort progresses the “BRT Enhancement” strategy within the IMS. The goals for these improvements are to: 1) provide superior protection for bicyclists and pedestrians across Highway 82 at Buttermilk, 2) remove the pedestrian crossing time at the Owl Creek signal thereby reducing transit and overall vehicle congestion, and 3) increase transit efficiency by allowing transit vehicles the ability to bypass one of the two signals at this intersection. These improvements would consist of: 1) a grade separated bicycle and pedestrian crossing at Buttermilk, 2) a bus bypass lane going up valley at the Harmony signal, and 3) a bus bypass lane going down valley at the Owl Creek signal. A grade separated bicycle and pedestrian crossing is necessary to implement an Owl Creek signal transit bypass lane since the at-grade bicycle and pedestrian crossing would be eliminated. The next steps for these improvements is to move into further preliminary design and feasibility review. These projects would require CDOT permitting and approval. As a result, staff is recommending that this project move directly to concept plan design by Mead and Hunt in 2021. This concept plan will provide a valuable first step toward necessary design, feasibility and permitting. 28 29 Illustrations from Mead and Hunt showing conceptual outline of Harmony Lane / Owl Creek Bypass and location of new grade separated bicycle and pedestrian crossing - HOV Lane Enforcement Analysis Mead and Hunt, and Fehr and Peers analyzed HOV Lane Enforcement within the UVTE and IMS studies. This effort progresses the “HOV Lane Enforcement” strategy within the IMS. Both studies recommended that the existing HOV lanes be enforced. The UVTE study noted that according to their traffic modeling, enforcement of the existing HOV lanes can help reduce overall congestion. Meanwhile the IMS study noted that although enforcement of the existing 29 30 HOV lanes is not expected to affect VMT or GHG emissions, enforcement of the HOV lane is necessary for other efforts be successful, such as ride sharing programs. Based on discussions up to this point with the Pitkin County Sheriff’s Office, while staff understands the Sheriff’s Office is generally supportive of HOV lane enforcement, staffing concerns and prioritization of other needs prevent regular enforcement of the HOV lane. At this point and looking at experience, it is staff’s opinion that it is unlikely that the Sheriff’s Office will be able to staff up appropriately in order to prioritize HOV lane enforcement. As the Committee members may recall, staff briefly looked into possible automated enforcement systems for the HOV lane in 2019. At that time, the automated enforcement technology had not been proven and was still in experimental stages. Based on this context, a professional analysis of possible automated options vs. cost of hiring staff to conduct HOV lane enforcement is recommended as a first step. It is possible this effort may need to be implemented in a phased approach. Staff is recommending this as a Tier 1 effort since HOV lane enforcement is necessary to progress with other efforts identified in the Transit Improvement Program. - Analysis of Up Valley and Down Valley BRT Direct Service to Snowmass Village Fehr and Peers identified that increased / more efficient up valley and down valley BRT direct service to Snowmass Village could affect VMT and GHG emissions. This effort progresses the “BRT Enhancement” strategy within the IMS. The goal of this analysis is to look at current service levels and routes servicing Snowmass Village from both up valley and down valley directions to determine service levels that will maximize transit ridership. This analysis is not intended to supplant the existing BRT connecting service to Snowmass Village. Before simply increasing service levels to Snowmass Village, this analysis is to look at transit connections to Snowmass Village to evaluate transit effectiveness and efficiency, and determine cost, frequency, and expected utilization of increased/enhanced service levels. It is staff’s opinion that as Snowmass Village is one of the largest transit service areas in the Roaring Fork Valley and service levels to Snowmass Village have increased over the past several years, a comprehensive analysis of existing service levels in collaboration with RFTA and the Town of Snowmass Village is needed at this time. As transit service levels can be adjusted relatively quickly and have a more immediate impact than infrastructure improvements, this analysis is recommended as a Tier 1 effort. 30 31 Tier 2 - Pilot Ridesharing app for Commuters Fehr and Peers analyzed this effort within the IMS study. This effort progresses the “Ride Sharing” strategy within the IMS. This pilot and possible long-term implementation could require contracting with a third party vendor for development and operation of the app. Deployment of an HOV lane enforcement program is necessary for the success of a rideshare app. As a result, staff recommends a pilot ridesharing app as Tier 2 since it is dependent on the prior HOV lane enforcement effort listed in Tier 1. In addition, RFTA is currently working through a First Last Mile Mobility (FLMM) study. While this study is focused bike share, phase 2 of that study may look at ride sharing. As a result, staff would like to build off any ridesharing information and recommendations as appropriate from that study when it is completed. - Analysis of Regional Ride Hailing and Car Sharing Service Fehr and Peers analyzed this effort within the IMS study. This effort progresses the “Ride Hailing” strategy within the IMS. Since the IMS study showed limited potential benefits to VMT and GHG emissions from a regional ride hailing and/or car sharing program, these studies are within the Tier 2 priorities. A regional ride hailing and car sharing program could, however, be complementary to transit ridership if deployed appropriately. In addition, RFTA is currently working through a First Last Mile Mobility (FLMM) study. While this study is focused bike share, phase 2 of that study may look at ride hailing and car sharing. As a result, staff would like to build off any ride hailing and car sharing information and recommendations as appropriate from that study when it is completed. The likely next step for this effort is to conduct an analysis of appropriate programs for regional ride hailing and car sharing. As this is a constantly evolving transportation field, staff anticipates getting the input and advice of a focused expert will be important in rolling out a program that is effective as a compliment to transit service. - Additional Permanent Automated Vehicle Counters on Brush Creek Road, Owl Creek Road, Airport/AABC and Highway 82 in Pitkin County Fehr and Peers analyzed this effort within the IMS study. This effort is important in evaluated the impacts of all strategies within the IMS. Currently, the only permanent counter on Highway 82 in the upper valley is at the Castle Creek bridge. While this counter has been very beneficial over the years and should remain in place, to be able to better track VMT, GHG emissions, and congestion over the long term, additional permanent counters are recommended. 31 32 While the specific locations of these counters are not yet identified, the general locations identified to date are at Brush Creek Road near Highway 82, Owl Creek Road, and on Highway 82 at the AABC / Airport. Another possible location is just down valley of the Brush Creek Park and Ride on Highway 82. The next step for this effort is likely to put out an RFP to install these counters following preliminary discussions with CDOT. Staff anticipates that these counters will require permitting through CDOT for the locations on Highway 82. - Analysis of Valley Wide Commuter Parking, EV Charging, and Ride Hailing / Sharing Pick Up / Drop Off Locations Fehr and Peers analyzed several of these efforts within the IMS study. This analysis progresses the “Ride Sharing”, “Ride Hailing”, and “Congestion Reduction” strategies within the IMS. The purpose of this analysis is to evaluate existing parking availability and pricing to transit riders throughout the Valley, availability and pricing of EV charging, and availability of ride hailing and ridesharing pick up and drop off locations. The goal of this study would be to create and/or enhance parking and parking pricing, EV charging, and ride sharing / hailing at transit transfer locations (first and last mile connections) throughout the Valley to incentivize transit ridership. As a part of the Fehr and Peers IMS study, there are recommendations to “increase parking prices and expand hours of pricing in downtown Aspen” and “construct new Park and Ride in the Carbondale/El Jebel/Basalt area”. This analysis is intended to make headway on both of these efforts by looking at parking in a more holistic fashion and further including EV charging/pricing. Since the expansion of ride sharing and ride hailing services also affect park and ride facilities, staff is also recommending that the available infrastructure be evaluated to facilitate those pick up and drop off locations as appropriate. As is noted earlier, RFTA is currently working through a First Last Mile Mobility (FLMM) study. While this study is focused bike share, phase 2 of that study may look at other first/last mile mobility options. As a result, staff would like to build off any first/last mile information and recommendations as appropriate from that study when it is completed. It is also contemplated that this analysis could and maybe should be progressed in tandem with the previously noted ride sharing, ride hailing, and car sharing efforts. As a result, staff has prioritized this analysis as a Tier 2 priority. Tier 3 - Service Center Road Signalization and Hwy 82 Brush Creek P&R to Airport Speed Limit Reduction Mead and Hunt analyzed this project within the UVTE study. This effort progresses the “BRT Enhancement” strategy within the IMS. The goal of this improvement is to: 1) provide a 32 33 protected crossing to the RFTA stops on both sides of Highway 82, and 2) increase safety for vehicles on Highway 82 and those entering the Highway from Service Center Road. While the signalization of Service Center Road and Highway 82 can achieve both of its intended goals and the traffic models show little to no increase in congestion or travel times, this improvement is not consistent with CDOT’s AABC Access Control Plan (ACP). In addition, the final terminal design for the Airport is yet to be determined. It is staff’s opinion that a final design for a new Airport terminal is necessary before pursuing this project any further. Depending on the outcome of the Airport terminal design and Highway 82 access points, signalization of this intersection may or may not be warranted at that point. Should a signal be warranted and desired following final design of the Airport terminal, then the CDOT ACP will need to be amended. Because of the cumulative costs associated with amendment to the ACP, required permitting studies, design, and high construction costs, signalization is relatively expensive. As a result, staff is recommending this be in a “hold” status as a Tier 3 project pending the outcome of the Airport terminal design. Illustration from Mead and Hunt showing conceptual outline of signalization and at-grade bicycle and pedestrian crossing to the RFTA transit stop 33 34 - Extension of HOV Lanes Up Valley from Airport and / or Down Valley of Maroon Creek Roundabout Mead and Hunt analyzed this project within the UVTE study. This effort progresses the “BRT Enhancement” strategy within the IMS. The goal of this improvement is to improve transit times at the congestion points moving up valley at the Airport and at the Maroon Creek Roundabout. This project would convert limited sections of the dedicated Bus Only lanes into HOV lanes. Models show this would move all vehicles through the congestion points, including transit, more efficiently. This outcome, however, is based on the assumption that the HOV lanes are effectively enforced. As discussed earlier in this memo, a Tier 1 recommendation is to find a solution to HOV lane enforcement for the existing lanes. Staff has significant concerns over converting bus only lanes to HOV lanes if appropriate enforcement is not in place. Further, should the conversion not turn out to be effective, turning the lanes back into Bus Only lanes may be difficult. For the EOTC, since these Bus Only lanes were paid for with funds from the 0.5% Transit Sales and Use Tax, any conversion of Bus Only lanes to HOV lanes (even for limited sections) would require those original construction funds to be repaid back to the EOTC. The source of this refund to the EOTC is unknown. Further, as the Federal Highways Administration (FHWA) Record of Decision (ROD) identifies that these lanes are to be dedicated transit only, any reduction in the lane miles of bus only lanes and expansion of HOV lanes would require FHWA review and possibly an amendment to the original Environmental Impact Statement (EIS) and ROD. For these notable reasons, staff has significant hesitation about this approach. As a result, it has been listed as a Tier 3 priority because of significant legal hurdles. - Dynamic Road Pricing (Cordon Pricing or Managed / HOT Lane) Fehr and Peers analyzed dynamic road pricing - cordon pricing and managed / high occupancy toll (HOT) lanes - within the IMS study. These efforts progress the “Congestion Reduction Measures” strategy within the IMS. The goal of congestion pricing is to limit VMT and GHG emissions. As is noted earlier in this memo and discussed extensively in the Fehr and Peers report, while cordon pricing and managed / HOT lanes are shown to be the most effective IMS strategy at reducing VMT and GHG emissions, they both have significant legal, operational, infrastructure, equity, social, and permitting hurdles. According to the Fehr and Peer’s analysis, although a managed or HOT lane may not require a change to State law to convert the current Bus Only lane, pursuing a cordon toll would likely require a change to State law. Either a cordon toll or a managed / HOT lane would require a review of the appropriate FHWA ROD for Highway 82. It is highly likely that an amendment to the ROD and possibly a new EIS would be necessary. 34 35 Should the State law and ROD hurdles be overcome, implementation of either a managed / HOT lane or a cordon toll will require the development of an ongoing management structure, likely requiring additional staff, and notable infrastructure investment. In addition, the development of a managed / HOT lane or cordon toll will likely have local sociopolitical ramifications ranging from equity to general public acceptance and relations with down valley populations. In general, it is difficult to start charging for a good or service that is perceived or expected to be free. Due to the complicated implementation process should Managed Lanes or a Cordon toll be pursued, staff is recommending that these be programmed for longer-term consideration. In the meantime, Staff is recommending a number of incremental steps (HOV lane enforcement and BRT enhancements for example) to make progress in VMT and GHG reductions while continuing to set the stage for possible implementation of Managed Lanes or a Cordon Toll should it be desired. For all of these reasons, it is staff’s opinion that moving in the direction of dynamic road pricing warrants further discussion (possibly as a topic for a 2022 retreat), particularly relative to other longer term efforts such as the completion of the entrance to Aspen. As the intent of the staff proposed Near Term Transit Improvement Program is to prioritize those efforts that can be progressed relatively soon, staff is recommending that dynamic road pricing be a Tier 3 priority due to significant legal hurdles and a significant monetary cost. - Sage Way Sidewalk Extension Mead and Hunt analyzed this project within the UVTE study. This effort progresses the “BRT Enhancement” strategy within the IMS. The goal of this project is to complete sidewalk gaps along Sage Way within the AABC providing for safer connections to transit. Following review of CDOT’s Access Control Plan (ACP) for the AABC, improvements that can affect a possible sidewalk alignment or could result in construction of these sidewalk connections are possible if the ACP is implemented. ACP implementation is to be triggered by either large development(s) within the AABC and/or possibly redevelopment of the Airport. CDOT has the authority to require the build out of the ACP. As a result, staff is recommending that the Sage Way Sidewalk Extension be a Tier 3 priority pending implementation of the AABC ACP. Other Efforts Considered - Signal Timing for Transit Speed and Reliability Improvement Mead and Hunt analyzed this project within the UVTE study. This effort progresses the “BRT Enhancement” strategy within the IMS. The goal of modeling traffic and transit efficiency impacts from advanced signal timing was to identify if this improvement could notably assist in 35 36 transit speed. The traffic signal modeling extended outside the limits of the study corridor and included Highway 82 from Brush Creek Park and Ride into Aspen. The results of the signal timing modeling did not show notable gains in transit speed or reduced congestion. As a result, staff is not recommending that this be pursued as a part of the Transit Improvement Program. However, there may be value in modeling advanced signal technology on a Valley wide scale as gains may be able to be realized when it is studied over a larger area. - Airport Terminal BRT Routing Mead and Hunt analyzed this project within the UVTE study. This effort progresses the “BRT Enhancement” strategy within the IMS. The goal of this evaluation was limited to identifying what improvements would be necessary in order to route BRT service to a new Airport terminal while maintaining existing transit speeds. Operational issues or other alternatives to serving the Airport with transit were not evaluated as a part of this study. In addition, time penalties from luggage, if it were accommodated, was not calculated. The outcome showed that the down valley leg of the BRT would need to have an unimpeded entry and exit to the terminal, likely grade separated under Highway 82, in order to avoid time delays caused by at-grade turns across Highway 82. The cost of grade separating a bus entrance and exit point under Highway 82 to the new Airport terminal is significant. It is staff’s opinion that other alternatives to serving the new terminal with transit need to be evaluated before any recommendations can be made. At this point, staff does not recommend moving forward with BRT routing to the Airport terminal until further designs of the terminal and a more thorough review of the alternatives, including operations issues, is completed. - HAWK Beacon at Aspen Country Inn Mead and Hunt analyzed this project within the UVTE study. This effort progresses the “BRT Enhancement” strategy within the IMS. The goal of a HAWK signal (High-Intensity Activated cross WalK beacon) was to evaluate an infrastructure solution to facilitate pedestrians crossing Highway 82 to access the down valley transit stop at the Aspen Country Inn. HAWK beacons are designed and intended to be used on high-speed multi-lane highways similar to Highway 82. In the case of the Aspen Country Inn RFTA stop, a HAWK beacon was evaluated as a less expensive infrastructure solution to a grade-separated underpass. This infrastructure improvement could be used to supplant the current Taxi in Lieu program. Operationally, traffic models showed that the installation of this beacon would not cause notable traffic or transit congestion issues. Due to the still high design, permitting, and construction costs for this improvement relative to both the expected level of utilization and the cost of the current Taxi in Lieu program, staff is not 36 37 recommending that this improvement be pursued at this time. Instead, it is staff’s opinion that time, energy and funds are better spent on a trail connection from Truscott to Buttermilk that serves Aspen Country Inn and a bicycle and pedestrian underpass at Buttermilk (see Tier 1 projects). How the Program will be Utilized If accepted as Administrative Direction, the 2021 EOTC Near Term Transit Improvement Program will be used as guidance by staff when creating upcoming budgets and work plans. In addition, the Program will provide valuable guidance to staff as grant and other opportunities come available. This Program is proposed to be adopted as Administrative Direction and is not proposed to be formally adopted by resolution. The reason for this is twofold: 1) the Program is laid out in a way that provides flexibility while still identifying priority. Adopting the Program by formal resolution reduces the flexibility that may be necessary for staff to take action on a project should an opportunity for funding come available. And, 2) as action is taken on the efforts identified in the Program, that effort will be formally adopted by the EOTC as a part of the annual budget and/or work plan. As a result, adopting this Program by resolution would be administratively duplicative. In addition, as a part of the annual budget and work plan development process, each of the efforts and expenditures proposed in that given year will be scored and ranked to identify how well they meet the EOTC’s Mission, Vision, Guiding Principles, and Key Strategies from the 2020 Strategic Plan and the Priorities within the 2020 Comprehensive Valley Transportation Plan (CVTP). In this way, the EOTC will continue to prioritize annual efforts and expenditures by how well they meet the expressed direction of the Committee. BUDGETARY IMPACT: None at this time. RECOMMENDED ACTION: Accept the proposed EOTC 2021 Near Term Transit Improvement Program as Administrative Direction ATTACHMENTS: 1 – Proposed EOTC 2021 Near Term Transit Improvement Program 2 – Letter of Support for Hwy 82 Trail – Tim Johnson 3 – IMS Study Final Report 4 – UVTE Report 37 38 ATTACHMENT 1 - Proposed EOTC 2021 Near Term Transit Improvement Program 38 39 ATTACHMENT 1 39 40 ATTACHMENT 2 – Letter of Support for Hwy 82 Trail – Tim Johnson 40 41 ATTACHMENT 3 –IMS Phase 2 Final Report (Included as linked file due to size) Report also available directly at: https://drive.google.com/file/d/1iMHeJ6PdkFb7EGZinkT8c6dkPRdfHGMY/view?usp=sharing Or by going to the EOTC website (https://www.pitkincounty.com/1322/Elected-Officials-Transportation- Committ) and going to the link labeled “Click Here for Relevant Studies” 41 42 ATTACHMENT 4 – UVTE Final Report (Included as linked file due to size) Report also available directly at: https://drive.google.com/file/d/1gp2TB3foFCb0XsGjEOjIum_RGl5YzoIb/view?usp=sharing Or by going to the EOTC website (https://www.pitkincounty.com/1322/Elected-Officials-Transportation- Committ) and going to the link labeled “Click Here for Relevant Studies” 42 43 AGENDA ITEM SUMMARY EOTC MEETING DATE: July 29, 2021 AGENDA ITEM TITLE: Maroon Creek Roundabout Reconstruction Request STAFF RESPONSIBLE: David Pesnichak, Transportation Administrator ISSUE STATEMENT: The EOTC has a request for funding in 2022 for $271,000 from the Colorado Department of Transportation (CDOT). This funding is for the planned reconstruction of the Maroon Creek Roundabout in 2022. In order to allow CDOT to go out to bid in a timely fashion for this project in the fall of 2021, CDOT has requested approval of these funds from the EOTC in advance of the normal EOTC budget meeting in October. In order to obligate the funds in 2022, the EOTC will need to approve an amended 2021 budget. BACKGROUND: As outlined in the attached letter from Andrew Knapp, P.E., CDOT Glenwood Springs Resident Engineer (See exhibit 1), in 2022 CDOT will be repaving Highway 82 from the Aspen Airport Business Center to the Castle Creek Bridge. Mr. Knapp explains, “As part of this CDOT funded project we are considering reconstructing the Maroon Creek roundabout in concrete pavement and simultaneously making some select safety and operation improvements to the roundabout.” The motivation for redoing the Maroon Creek Roundabout in concrete over asphalt is to prevent the kind of failures seen every few years that results in notable transit and traffic backups and delays. In addition, CDOT is looking to make some safety and operational improvements that will help the Roundabout operate more smoothly. CDOT, as the project lead, has secured a number of internal and external funding sources for the roundabout reconstruction project. As of the writing of this report, the cost for the roundabout reconstruction only is estimated at $2.53 million. The funding sources secured for construction to date include: - City of Aspen:$980,000 - Pitkin County: $100,000 - RFTA:$300,000 - CDOT:$1,190,000 CDOT is also funding the design of the project, which is committed at $157,600. This is above CDOT’s contribution for construction. Pitkin County is also permitting the use of McLain Flats Road as the official detour during construction. 43 44 While the EOTC has a request from CDOT for $271,000 toward this infrastructure project, it is important to note that the EOTC by Statute can only provide funding to projects that improve transit. As a result, Mr. Knapp has provided the following nexus to transit (See Exhibit 1): CDOT is requesting the EOTC participate as a funding partner for this project. Since the EOTC is a transit focused body CDOT is requesting funding participation at the level commensurate with the use of the roundabout by transit vehicles. A traffic study of the Maroon Creek Roundabout dated July 1, 2020 done by Kimley Horn on behalf of the City of Aspen counted bus traffic at 3.57% of vehicles on the day traffic data was recorded. The State Highway Access code considers busses to have a passenger car equivalency of 3 due to their increased length compared to passenger cars. Based on that information CDOT is requesting the EOTC participate at a funding level of 3.57% x 3, or 10.71%. At the current estimated cost of $2.53 million that amounts to a contribution towards the project of $271,000. It is staff’s opinion that this nexus to transit is rational. The benefits to transit are related to increased reliability due to improved operation and fewer infrastructure failures that cause unexpected delays to transit service. In addition to funds for the project, the EOTC is also able to assist by allowing usage of the Dynamic Message Sign (DMS) on Highway 82 located about a mile down valley of the Brush Creek Park and Ride. This sign can provide construction and detour related messaging to motorists and encourage transit ridership. Further, Staff understands that CDOT is considering smart work zone technology to display travel times on portable message boards during construction similar to those used on the Grand Avenue Bridge Project. This is to be a 2022 construction project and as a result, these funds are requested for EOTC’s 2022 budget year. Based on the 2021 EOTC approved budget, the EOTC is projected to have $1,739,224 in unobligated funds in 2022, which allows for adequate funding to support this project. In addition, based on revenue reported through 2021 to date from the Pitkin County Finance Department, it is anticipated that the EOTC will have more funding available than is contemplated in the currently approved 2021 budget. This revenue projection will be updated at the October 28, 2021 budget meeting as a part of the 2022 budget approval process. As a reminder, projects may be funded from the ½ cent Pitkin County Transit Sales and Use Tax that support and have a rational nexus to public mass transportation; satisfactorily meet the Mission, Vision, Guiding Principles, and Key Strategies within the 2020 EOTC Strategic Plan; and are in compliance with the EOTC’s 2020 Comprehensive Valley Transportation Plan (CVTP). EOTC staff from the City of Aspen, Town of Snowmass Village, Pitkin County, RFTA and the Regional Transportation Administrator have considered and ranked this project in accordance to how well it meets 44 45 the EOTC’s Mission, Vision, Guiding Principles, and Key Strategies and the CVTP. This ranking is relative to other projects approved by the EOTC for the 2021 budget year. Out of a possible 40 points, this project scored a 27.7 (See Exhibit 4). This score is on par with other projects funded in 2021 which ranged from a low of 17.2 (Aspen Country Inn Taxi Service in Lieu) to a high of 34.6 (Brush Creek Park and Ride FLAP Grant Improvements). In addition, this project is located on the Highway 82 which is a key transit corridor identified in the CVTP. This project also advances several identified CVTP Regional and Upper Valley Priorities. It is Staff’s recommendation that the EOTC participate as requested in the Maroon Creek Roundabout reconstruction in 2022 as it satisfactorily meets the EOTC Mission, Vision, Guiding Principles, and Key Strategies as well as the CVTP. Functionally, this project will help improve transit speed and reliability in a congested area of the Highway 82 corridor. In addition, it is Staff’s opinion that the EOTC has adequate funding available in 2022 in the amount requested. Should the EOTC vote to approve this amended 2021 budget request, Staff has prepared a resolution of approval for review and signature for the City of Aspen and the Town of Snowmass Village. As the administrating entity for the EOTC budget, Pitkin County would subsequently approve this amended budget as a part of the County’s 3rd quarter supplemental budget process. BUDGETARY IMPACT: $271,000 in 2022 RECOMMENDED ACTION: Approval of 2022 Maroon Creek Roundabout Reconstruction Funding Request, Approval of an Amended 2021 EOTC Budget, and Authorization for Signature on the Resolution of Approval (One for Each Jurisdiction). ATTACHMENTS: Exhibit 1 – Letter from Andrew Knapp, P.E., CDOT Glenwood Springs Resident Engineer Exhibit 2 – Maroon Creek Roundabout Reconstruction Plan Exhibit 3 – Updated EOTC 2021 Budget with Requested Funding Exhibit 4 – EOTC Staff 2021 Budget Amendment Score Sheet Exhibit 5 – Town of Snowmass Village Resolution of Approval Exhibit 6 – City of Aspen Resolution of Approval 45 46 EXHIBIT 1     46 47 EXHIBIT 1               47 48 EXHIBIT 2   48 49 EXHIBIT 3   49 50 EXHIBIT 4 50 51 EXHIBIT 5 TOWN OF SNOWMASS VILLAGE RESOLUTION NO. SERIES OF 2021 A RESOLUTION OF THE TOWN COUNCIL OF THE TOWN OF SNOWMASS VILLAGE, COLORADO, APPROVING THE 1st AMENDED 2021 BUDGET FOR THE PITKIN COUNTY 1/2 CENT TRANSIT SALES AND USE TAX WHEREAS, the Town Council of Snowmass Village, the Aspen City Council and the Pitkin County Board of County Commissioners (the "Parties") have previously identified general elements of their Comprehensive Valley Transportation Plan (the "Plan") which are eligible for funding from the Pitkin County one-half cent transit sales and use tax; and WHEREAS, the Parties entered into an Intergovernmental Agreement (IGA) dated May 3rd, 2021 which identifies the method and process by which the Parties are to implement the Plan; and WHEREAS, at the EOTC meeting held on July 29, 2021, the Parties considered and approved the attached amended 2021 budget for the Pitkin County one-half cent transit sales and use tax; and WHEREAS, the Town of Snowmass Village Council now desires to ratify the budget approval given at the EOTC meeting by adoption of this resolution. NOW THEREFORE BE IT RESOLVED by the Town Council of the Town of Snowmass Village, Colorado, that the attached amended 2021 budget for the one-half cent transit sales and use tax is hereby approved. READ, APPROVED, AND ADOPTED by the Town Council of the Town of Snowmass Village, Colorado on the _____ of July, 2021, upon a motion made by Council Member _____________________________, the second of Council Member ____________________, and upon a vote of ______ in favor and ______ opposed. TOWN OF SNOWMASS VILLAGE _________________________ Bill Madsen, Mayor 51 52 EXHIBIT 5 APPROVED AS TO FORM ________________________ John Dresser, Town Attorney ATTEST: _________________________ Rhonda Coxan, Town Clerk 52 53 EXHIBIT 6 RESOLUTION NO. ____ SERIES OF 2021 A RESOLUTION OF THE CITY COUNCIL OF THE CITY OF ASPEN, COLORADO, APPROVING THE 1st AMENDED 2021 BUDGET FOR THE PITKIN COUNTY 1/2 CENT TRANSIT SALES AND USE TAX WHEREAS, the Aspen City Council, the Pitkin County Board of County Commissioners and the Town Council of Snowmass Village (the "Parties") have previously identified general elements of their Comprehensive Valley Transportation Plan (the "Plan") which are eligible for funding from the Pitkin County one-half cent transit sales and use tax; and WHEREAS, the Parties entered into an Intergovernmental Agreement (IGA) dated May 3rd, 2021 which identifies the method and process by which the Parties are to implement the Plan; and WHEREAS, at the EOTC meeting held on July 29, 2021, the Parties considered and approved the attached amended 2021 budget for the Pitkin County one-half cent transit sales and use tax; and WHEREAS, the City of Aspen wishes to ratify the approvals given at the EOTC meeting by adoption of this resolution. NOW THEREFORE BE IT RESOLVED by the City Council of the City of Aspen, Colorado, that the attached amended 2021 budget for the one-half cent transit sales and use tax is hereby approved. RESOLVED, APPROVED, AND ADOPTED this day of July, 2021, by the City Council for the City of Aspen, Colorado. _________________________ Torre, Mayor I, Nicole Henning, duly appointed and acting City Clerk, do certify that the foregoing is a true and accurate copy of that resolution adopted by the City Council of the City of Aspen, Colorado, at a meeting held July , 2021. _________________________ Nicole Henning, City Clerk 53 54 AGENDA ITEM SUMMARY EOTC MEETING DATE: July 29, 2021 AGENDA ITEM TITLE: Transportation Administrator Updates STAFF RESPONSIBLE: David Pesnichak, Transportation Administrator ISSUE STATEMENT: This memo is intended to keep the EOTC up to date on efforts that are within or could affect areas within the EOTC’s purview. The updates included in this memo are as follows. a)Brush Creek Park and Ride to AABC Trail Connection Feasibility Study b) Brush Creek Park and Ride – One-Season Food Truck / Farm Stand Experiment c)Buttermilk Park and Ride Signage d)No-Fare Service Cost Transfer from EOTC to RFTA e)Town of Snowmass Village Transit Center – Progress Update (Provided by David Peckler, Transportation Director, Town of Snowmass Village) BACKGROUND: The following updates are provided for EOTC information. a.Brush Creek Park and Ride to AABC Trail Connection Feasibility Study As the EOTC may recall from the October 2020 meeting, this is a new partnership project to look at the trail connection from the Brush Creek Park and Ride to the Aspen Airport Business Center starting in 2021. The total feasibility study cost was anticipated to be $75,000 with Pitkin County Open Space and Trails (OST), City of Aspen Parks and Open Space, and the Elected Officials Transportation Committee each contributing $25,000. The EOTC approved $25,000 for this feasibility study in October 2020 for 2021. The City of Aspen, Town of Snowmass Village and Pitkin County have been creating a seamless off highway trail connection throughout the upper valley for over 25 years. The Rio Grande Trail, Owl Creek Trail, Aspen Business Center Trail, and Brush Creek Trail connect the upper valley communities and provide a commuting and recreational amenity. There is one large gap in the system since the Brush Creek Trail currently ends at the Brush Creek Park and Ride, which is a major transportation hub between Aspen and Snowmass Village. Trail users have only one off highway trail option from this lot to connect to the Aspen Airport Business Center and Aspen. This connection takes users down valley towards Woody Creek, down the Aspen Mass Trail to Jaffee Park that connects to a steep soft surface trail to the Rio Grande Trail. 54 55 To fill this gap Pitkin County OST completed a feasibility study in 2012 to look at options to provide a more direct connection that would encourage many more users to use the Brush Creek Park and Ride for parking and commuting via bike. The goal is to update this feasibility study. When the feasibility study was completed in 2012 the Pitkin County Open Space Board and BOCC decided to hold off on this project until a partnership could be created. The new feasibility study will identify the possible options and provide updated cost estimates. To date, Pitkin County OST has advertised an RFP for the project and SGM has been selected to lead the effort. Total project cost is now contracted at $108,000 although the EOTC contribution remains at $25,000 for 2021. In order to keep the project moving in 2022, staff anticipates an additional funding request to complete this study in collaboration with the City of Aspen and Pitkin County in 2022. The exact request for 2022 will be determined prior to the October budget meeting. The local project team consists of representatives from the City of Aspen Parks and Open Space Department, Pitkin County Open Space and Trails, the Town of Snowmass Village Parks and Recreation Department, and the Regional Transportation Administrator. This initial phase in 2021 and early 2022 will consist of a feasibility analysis and a determination of possible alignment alternatives including estimated costs. Following review and presentation to each of the trails and open space boards in February 2022, it is anticipated that the alternatives will be presented to the EOTC at the spring 2022 meeting (tentatively March 2022). Should an alternative or set of alternatives appear workable to each of the open space and trails boards and the EOTC, then the next phase will be to vet those alternatives with the public. This public input phase may be accompanied by an additional funding request from the EOTC. This funding request will be reviewed as a part of the appropriate budget cycle when this phase is to be undertaken. b. Brush Creek Park and Ride – One Season Food Truck / Farm Stand Experiment Update As the EOTC may recall, direction was provided at the April 30, 2020 meeting to move forward with a one-season experiment at the Brush Creek Park and Ride that includes the placement of up to one food truck and/or one farm stand. This experiment was anticipated to take place in either the summer of 2021 or 2022 depending on the schedule for the FLAP improvements construction at the Park and Ride, which was unknown at the time. With this direction, the Transportation Administrator moved forward with: 1) obtaining consent from CDOT as the property owner; 2) obtaining a 1041 regulation determination from the Pitkin County Community Development Department; and, 3) obtaining a determination on a Location and Extent Review from the Pitkin County Planning and Zoning Commission. 55 56 To date, CDOT has provided consent for the experiment, the Pitkin County Community Development Department issued a Finding of No Significant Impact (FONSI) in relation to the County 1041 regulations, and in November 2020 the Pitkin County Planning and Zoning Commission approved the Location and Extent, with conditions. As the construction of the FLAP improvements is now set for 2022, Staff prepared for the food truck and/or farm stand experiment to move forward in the summer of 2021. Staff worked through the solicitation process with Pitkin County Procurement to ensure there is a transparent and equitable selection for the food truck and farm stand vendor. In February staff started to advertise and actively search for a food truck and/or farm stand vendor. The closing date for the solicitation was originally March 12, 2021. This deadline was then extended to mid- April, 2021. During this time, although some questions and interest was noted, no food truck or farm stand vendors ultimately submitted a proposal. In accordance with the Pitkin County permit, the timeframe for this experiment to occur is May to September. The vendor(s) will also need to enter into a lease with CDOT as the property owner. Once an interested vendor is identified it is estimated that the lease process with CDOT will take 6 weeks to finalize. The primary purpose for this experiment is to formulate data on the impacts of a vendor(s) at the Park and Ride to support transit ridership. As the current Pitkin County permit only allows this experiment to take place within one season to demonstrate effectiveness of the vendor(s) to encourage transit ridership, it is important that a vendor be onsite for as much of the permitted timeframe as possible. Given these timeframes and the lack of vendor interest between February and May, City, County and Town staff decided at the first part of May to delay the experiment until 2023. Staff felt that with the passage of time and the known timeframe needed to have a lease signed with CDOT before a vendor could be onsite, the value of the experiment was being lost. As a result of the lack of interest from food truck and farm stand vendors this year, Staff is now working with Pitkin County Community Development to amend the Location and Extent Permit that was issued in November 2020 to allow for the experiment to instead take place in summer 2023. Staff is currently in the queue with Pitkin County Community Development to hold a Pre-Application conference and begin the permit amendment process. Further, as the Park and Ride will be under construction in the summer of 2022, having a food truck and/or farm stand on site the first summer season following its redevelopment and following COVID may be a welcome reintroduction to passengers and carpoolers to the facility. Throughout this one-season experiment, Staff will monitor the impacts of the food truck and / or farm stand on transit ridership, carpooling, and Park and Ride usage throughout the season. The findings will be brought back to the EOTC following completion of the experiment. Should the findings from this one season experiment show promising results in encouraging transit ridership then a new Location and Extent application may be submitted to Pitkin County Community Development, with EOTC direction, to have a vendor(s) onsite on a more permanent basis. 56 57 c.Buttermilk Park and Ride Signage Over the course of the past year, it has come to Staff’s attention that there is no signage on Highway 82 indicating the location of the Buttermilk Park and Ride. As a result, the Transportation Administrator, the City of Aspen Parking Director, and the Pitkin County Public Works Director have been working in partnership to find a solution to filling this basic information gap. Adding static metal signage on Highway 82 indicating the location of the Buttermilk Park and Ride appears to be a relatively low cost improvement with potentially notable gains. The anticipated signage would include one up valley and one down valley static metal sign on Highway 82. The signage on Highway 82 for the Buttermilk Park and Ride will be similar to the static metal blue and white signs for Brush Creek Park and Ride. As of the writing of this memo, Staff has obtained a permit from CDOT, ordered and received the signs and is making arrangements for their installation. Based on available funding sources, the Transportation Administrator has identified funds within the EOTC budget that is designated for ‘Professional Services’ that involves participation in regional transportation. As this is an intergovernmental effort and is consistent with the EOTC Strategic Plan and CVTP, the Transportation Administrator worked with SGM in Glenwood Springs to conduct the necessary design, site planning and permitting with CDOT. The cost of permitting and site planning through SGM was $4,000 and within the identified 2021 budget line item. The City of Aspen Parking Department has provide funding for the physical signs while the Pitkin County Public Works Department is managing and funding the installation. d.No Fare Service Cost Transfer from EOTC to RFTA As was initially reviewed at the October 17, 2019 EOTC meeting and again at the October 29, 2020 EOTC meeting, staff has been pursuing discussions with RFTA to consider transferring the Aspen- Snowmass-Woody Creek No-Fare service from the EOTC to RFTA. This transfer of the No-Fare service cost was initiated by the financial impacts caused by HB 19-1240. It was initially hoped that these discussions would have come to resolution in 2020, however due to COVID and the financial uncertainty it created these discussions were postponed until spring 2021. Now with more information on the pandemic and both the EOTC’s and RFTA’s financial situation, staff has resumed discussions to potentially transfer the cost of this service. At these EOTC meetings in 2019 and 2020 staff presented to the Committee the anticipated impacts of Colorado HB 19-1240 Sales and Use Tax Administration (effective June 1, 2019). As a reminder, this state law was the result of the U.S. Supreme Court decision, i.e. South Dakota vs. Wayfair, which requires all retailers, including out-of-state retailers that do not have a physical presence in Colorado, to collect state and local sales tax at the point of delivery. This tax law impacts the sales and use tax revenues that come to the EOTC via the 0.5% Transit Sales and Use Tax. As a result of this law, the EOTC is seeing an increase in local sales tax collections, however these increases are being more than offset by the decreases in use tax collections. 57 58 The goal of transferring the cost of the No-Fare service from the EOTC to RFTA is simply to move this cost from the EOTC where revenues have decreased to RFTA where revenues have increased as a result of HB 19-1240. The purpose of the analysis being conducted by Staff to date is to ensure that any transfer of cost to RFTA will be fully offset by increases in revenue solely from the Pitkin County 0.5% Transit Sales Tax and will not require any additional subsidization from any other RFTA revenue source. In addition, Staff is working so there will be no interruption of the No-Fare service noticeable to customers within Pitkin County because of this cost transfer. As a reminder, the EOTC derives revenue from the 0.5% Pitkin County Sales and Use Taxes. These funding sources are then distributed as follows: - 0.5% Pitkin County Use Tax on construction goods, motor vehicles and fabricated goods are 100% dedicated to EOTC activities, and - 0.5% Pitkin County Sales Tax are 18.96% dedicated to EOTC activities, and 81.04% to RFTA. To represent these revenue sources graphically, the below chart represents actual revenues (2005-2020) and projected revenues (2021-2025) for the EOTC compared to the 81.04% Sales Tax collections from the 0.5% Pitkin County Transit Sales and Use Tax that goes to RFTA. As is shown in the graph, EOTC revenue from the 0.5% Use Tax drops off notably in 2020 but the EOTC sees only a relatively small increase in sales tax revenue. Looking into the future, it is anticipated that 0.5% Use Tax revenues will remain relatively constant at this new lower level driven by the remaining levy on motor vehicle registrations. 58 59 Based on staff’s initial findings of the period between 2018 through 2020, it appears that the 0.5% Pitkin County Use Tax revenues decreased by approximately $1.04 million and the 0.5% Pitkin County Sales Tax revenues increased by $1.1 million. However, the net impact to the EOTC over the two-year period was a decline in its dedicated share of 0.5% Pitkin County Use Tax revenues of approximately $831,517 while the net impact to RFTA was an increase of approximately $902,093. Refer to the chart below: The actual sales and use tax revenue trends are consistent with the initial expectations made in 2019. The increase in revenues to RFTA appear to be sufficient for RFTA to assume all or a portion of the No-Fare service fare offset. However, information is not available to identify the exact amount of sales tax revenues that are attributable to the tax law change on June 2019. Staff plans to continue to review and analyze the information. No decision is required at this time, but staff will continue to work with RFTA staff as RFTA moves into their 2022 budgeting process. 59 60 e. Town of Snowmass Village Transit Center – Progress Update (David Peckler, Transportation Director, Town of Snowmass Village) AG ENDA ITEM SUMMARY TO: Elected Officials Transportation Committee FROM: David Peckler, Town of Snowmass Village Transportation Director MEETING DATE: July 29,2021 SUBJECT: Mall Transit Station Project Update BACKGROUND: In the Spring of 2020, the Town Council formally approved the preferred design for the proposed Mall Transit Station. Upon that approval, staff has worked with the EOTC and the State of Colorado (specifically for a $300,000 MMOF grant) to allocate $1,250,000 of various funding sources to undertake the design of the Station in 2021 in preparation for construction in 2022. Following a competitive bid process, Short Elliott Hendrickson Inc. (SEH) has been selected as the lead design firm for the project. We are utilizing a construction management/general contractor (CM/GC) design and construction approach for this project. We are working through contract details with RA Nelson to be the CM/GC for the project. The adopted Feasibility Study, conceptual design, of the Mall Transit Station was done by SEH and approved by Council in April. Since the adoption staff has completed the Environmental Assessment for the project and has submitted it to the Federal Transit Administration (FTA) for their review and acceptance. This is a requirement of any project that is looking to secure Federal funding for construction. We are responding to questions from FTA that should lead to approve of our request for a Categorical Exclusion. Our project is listed as a Priority Project for the Intermountain Transportation Planning Region (IMTPR). The IMTPR is a Colorado Department of Transportation (CDOT) planning region that covers Pitkin County and the Highway 82 corridor. Our project has been included in latest State legislation for transportation capital funding in SB 260. The legislation has been passed by the State Legislature and we have been awarded $4.5 million for the Transit Station project. We have kept the Roaring Fork Transportation Authority (RFTA) informed on the design work for the transit station and it has been incorporated in their Destination 2040 Plan. RFTA has committed $500,000 to the project. We will be starting detailed design meetings with the Architect, CM/GC, and appropriate staff from RFTA and the Town. 60 61 FINANCIAL IMPACT: Dollars were added to the original Opinion of Probable Cost in the Feasibility Study for inflation and the addition of electric charging stations for some bus stations and car stalls. The original projection was roughly $10 million and that has been increased to $12 million. At present we have $6 million dedicated to the project from the Elected Officials Transportation Committee (EOTC), $4.5 million from the State in SB 260, $500,000 from RFTA and $1 million from the Town BUDGETARY IMPACT: None at this time. RECOMMENDED ACTION: None at this time. ATTACHMENTS: None 61 62 Aspen Institute Integrated Mobility Study Phase 2 MAY 2021 PREPARED FOR 63 Integrated Mobility System (IMS) Study Phase 2 Prepared for: Elected Officials Transportation Committee (EOTC) Supporters: Roaring Fork Transportation Authority (RFTA), and Colorado Department of Transportation (CDOT) May 26, 2021 DN20-0650.01 64 Table of Contents Introduction .................................................................................................................................................................................... 3 Phase 2 VMT and GHG Analysis ............................................................................................................................................. 6 Upper Valley Travel Markets: VMT, GHG Emissions, and Travel Patterns ..................................................... 6 Autonomous Vehicles and COVID-19 Assessment ......................................................................................................14 Residents ...............................................................................................................................................................................15 Commuters ...........................................................................................................................................................................16 Local Visitors ........................................................................................................................................................................17 Non-Local Visitors .............................................................................................................................................................18 Combined Results ..............................................................................................................................................................19 Evaluation Results ......................................................................................................................................................................20 Final Recommendation ....................................................................................................................................................22 Equity Impact & Mitigation Analysis ..................................................................................................................................26 Performance Measures & Evaluation Framework .........................................................................................................29 65 Introduction In partnership with the Elected Officials Transportation Committee (EOTC) and supported by the Roaring Fork Transit Authority (RFTA) and the Colorado Department of Transportation (CDOT), Fehr & Peers evaluated the Integrated Mobility System (IMS) proposal outlined in the Community Forum Task Force on Transportation and Mobility's 2017 Upper Valley Mobility Report to identify both near- and long-term solutions that would improve mobility and reduce air pollution emissions in the upper Roaring Fork Valley. Phase 1 of this study was completed in 2020, and included the following analysis components: • Review and Refinement of Existing Strategies: Fehr & Peers refined the five principal strategies outlined in the IMS and added more specific definition about the strategies (e.g., defined the type of ride-sharing service that is most likely to be developed in the Valley, identified the nominal fees/tolls for congestion management strategies, etc.) so that they could be modeled for how effective the IMS could be at improving mobility and improving traffic congestion. • Perform a High-Level Effectiveness Analysis: This task modeled the effectiveness of the IMS to provide a general picture of the potential reduction in vehicle-miles traveled (VMT), greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, and reduced single-occupant vehicle (SOV) travel. The results of the modeling are shown in Table 1. • Identify an Implementation Framework: Fehr & Peers created a phased implementation framework for improving mobility and reducing the environmental impacts of transportation in the Aspen/Snowmass area, shown in Figure 1. This approach recognizes that some strategies will take more time to implement than others due to political, technical, and financial constraints. Based on our experience in a variety of communities, the short-term strategies identified in this framework can be implemented within a few years given community willingness to advance transportation mobility and sustainability. Over the long run, as the region continues to grow and mobility technologies change, more aggressive mobility management strategies may become necessary. Further mobility management will help ensure a sustainable transportation system from the perspective of economic vitality, quality of life, and environmental outcomes. As noted, these more aggressive strategies will require greater levels of funding, agency/jurisdictional cooperation, and public willingness for additional costs/restrictions on mobility. In exchange, there will be even greater levels of GHG emissions and VMT reductions, particularly for resort/visitor trips. Phase 2 of this study carried the results of Phase 1 forward to create a more detailed VMT and GHG analysis. More specifically, Phase 2: (1) completed a more detailed GHG and travel analysis identifying which trips are most likely to be affected, (2) developed performance measures and evaluation framework for ongoing tracking and progress reporting, (3) looked at potential travel impacts from autonomous vehicles and COVID-19, and (4) evaluated the equity implications of the travel pricing options from the IMS. 66 Table 1: High Level Effectiveness Summary from Phase 1 67 Figure 1: Implementation Framework 68 Phase 2 VMT and GHG Analysis A key part of the Phase 2 work is a more detailed analysis of the different types of travelers in the Upper Valley (e.g., commuters, local visitors, non-local visitors, residents). As will be described in this report, these four traveler groups, or “travel markets,” have very different trip characteristics, and they are likely to respond to and be impacted by the IMS strategies in different ways. For example, parking pricing will have a stronger impact on commuters and day-trip local visitors than residents or multi-day visitors from outside the Roaring Fork Valley. Similarly, ridesharing will be more effective for commuters than visitors. By better understanding these unique travel markets, we can refine the GHG and VMT analysis results, identify the strategies that result in the “biggest bang for the buck,” and better understand the negative impacts and how to mitigate those impacts of some of the IMS strategies. Upper Valley Travel Markets: VMT, GHG Emissions, and Travel Patterns To understand and isolate the unique travel characteristics of the four different travel markets in the Upper Valley, we reviewed the following data sources: • City of Aspen’s 2017 VMT Model • 2017 AirSage travel pattern data • US Census Bureau American Community Survey (ACS) data • US Census Bureau Longitudinal Employer Household Dynamics (LEHD) data • Historical parking survey and occupancy counts provided by the City of Aspen and Snowmass Village • Hotel occupancy rates • Total vehicle volumes on Castle Creek Bridge & Brush Creek Road How Travel Markets are Defined As noted earlier, understanding the characteristics of the people traveling into Aspen and Snowmass Village is important to assessing the benefits and impacts of the different IMS strategies. To separate the traveler markets, this analysis uses data from location-based cell phone application data provided by the AirSage company. The Roaring Fork Transportation Authority (RFTA) purchased AirSage data in 2017 to inform earlier transportation planning work. The AirSage data covered the area between the communities of Parachute and Aspen and included both summer and winter peak season data. AirSage uses anonymous mobile device data (e.g., location data transmitted by cell phones, tablets, smartwatches, cars, etc.) to estimate movement patterns of the traveling public. AirSage uses a sample of mobile devices, aggregates to a geography that cannot identify any specific individuals, and then scales the data to represent the entire population of the County. AirSage separates visitors from residents based on the habitual nighttime location of the mobile device (e.g., AirSage would identify that a mobile device that was in Aspen but spends most nights in Denver as a visitor). AirSage can also identify habitual commuting trips based on the typical day and night locations of a mobile device. 69 Using the, AirSage data, we were able to differentiate between resident trips (trips made by people who live in Aspen or Snowmass Village), commuters (people who work but do not live in Aspen or Snowmass Village), local visitors (people who are not regular commuters but travel to Aspen and Snowmass Village but live in down valley communities) and non-local visitors (people visiting Aspen and Snowmass village, but who do not live anywhere in the analysis area between Parachute and Aspen. One important note is that AirSage does not track ‘trip tours’, so we do not see where non-local visitors are originally traveling from, but instead see the origin for the trip that ends in Aspen or Snowmass Village. An example is that we can identify non-local visitor trips to Aspen that start at the Brush Creek Park and Ride, but we cannot specifically track a “tour” of two trips that starts in Glenwood Springs, stops at the Brush Creek Park and Ride and then continues to Aspen. AirSage anonymizes the trip record when the traveler stops and parks at the Brush Creek Park and Ride and then transfers to a bus—these are counted as two separate trips. Vehicle Trips and VMT by Travel Market The first step in understanding the travel markets and total VMT in the Upper Valley was to review vehicle trip counts at Castle Creek Bridge and Brush Creek Road to quantify the total entering vehicle volumes for Aspen and Snowmass Village. These traffic counts were based on 1993-2020 data from the City of Aspen, and 2016 data from Pitkin County. Next, the vehicle volumes were split out by residents, employees, and visitors. To calculate this split in travel markets, we first used American Community Survey (ACS) census data for the number of residents in both cities, and pulled Longitudinal Employer-Household Dynamics (LEHD) data for the total number of employees, and number of employees who commute from down valley. While the City of Aspen’s VMT model breaks out external VMT (VMT for trips traveling to or leaving Aspen, measured at the Emissions Inventory Boundary), and internal VMT (all trips that are within the Emissions Inventory Boundary), for this analysis, we are not considering VMT of trips that stay within Aspen or Snowmass Village, but are focused on VMT for all trips that cross the Castle Creek Bridge or Brush Creek Road, including trips that travel between Aspen and Snowmass Village. The City of Aspen’s VMT model breaks out VMT by resident, employee, and visitor travel market. For each travel market, the model includes average trip rates, mode shares, average carpool occupancies, and trip lengths. Furthermore, the average number of daily visitors by season are separated by day-trippers, those staying in Aspen, staying in Snowmass Village, and staying down valley. We refined Aspen’s 2017 VMT estimates by updating the ACS and LEHD data to reflect 2019 conditions for residents and employees. To verify the results of the Aspen VMT model, we used a set of data purchased by RFTA from the AirSage company. Specifically, AirSage data was compared to the visitor patterns in the VMT model and were found to be consistent. The Aspen VMT model does not cover Snowmass Village. To estimate visitor, resident, and employee trips to Snowmass Village, a mix of data sources were used. First, Snowmass Village’s historical parking counts and volumes on Brush Creek Road were used to understand the total vehicle trips to Snowmass on an average winter day, and we used the average trip generation rates and carpool occupancies from Aspen’s VMT model to refine the estimates of resident, employee, and visitor trips to the city. The 2017 AirSage 70 data and 2019 RFTA transit ridership data were also used to understand trip flows to Snowmass from down valley, as well as travel between Aspen and Snowmass Village. Table 2 displays the results of the travel market analysis in terms of average daily vehicle trips. VMT can be calculated from the travel market trip data in Table 2 by multiplying the average daily trips by the average trip length for each market. Trip length data are provided by the City of Aspen’s VMT model and are assumed to be similar for Aspen and Snowmass Village. Figure 2 summarizes the VMT results (presented as a total share of travel into both Aspen and Snowmass Village) for each of the four travel markets. From VMT, vehicle-based GHG emissions were then calculated by multiplying the VMT estimates by the CO2 emissions factor provided in the City of Aspen’s GHG Inventory 1. Since vehicle-based GHG emissions are directly related to VMT, the share of GHG emissions from the different travel markets are also depicted in Figure 2. Table 2: Average Daily Vehicle Trips Daily Vehicle Trips - Average Peak Season Snowmass Village (Across Brush Creek Road) Aspen (Across Castle Creek Bridge) Residents - Commute Out 80 590 Residents - Personal 420 1,660 Workers - Commute In 2,380 6,160 Local Visitors 1,480 2,460 Non-Local Visitors 3,870 10,070 Total 8,230 20,940 1 https://www.cityofaspen.com/DocumentCenter/View/4716/2017-Community-wide-Greenhouse-Gas-Inventory 71 Figure 2: Share of Daily VMT by Travel Market In reviewing the data in Table 2 and Figure 2, some notable conclusions can be drawn. Specifically:  Non-local visitors contribute the most to the VMT into Aspen and Snowmass Village – more than 50 percent in the summer and nearly as much in the peak winter season  Commuters are the next largest share of VMT and total trip making after non-local visitors  Residents and local visitors represent much smaller shares of total trips and VMT into Aspen and Snowmass Village Based on these results, it is clear that substantial reductions in VMT and GHG emissions into Aspen and Snowmass Village will require a focus on non-local visitors and commuters. However, when evaluating how to manage travel from these two groups, the implications to equity and the overall economic engine of the region must be taken into consideration. Travel Patterns by Travel Market One of the unique benefits of the AirSage data analysis is a visual depiction of some of the major travel flows into and out of Aspen and Snowmass Village. The following figures visualize the origins of trips destinated for Aspen and Snowmass Village for each of the unique travel markets across an average summer weekday. 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% Residents Workers Local Visitors Non-Local Visitors Aspen & Snowmass Village Peak Season Daily VMT Summer - VMT Winter - VMT 72 Figure 3: Total Daily Person Trips to Aspen & Snowmass While there appear to be larger trip flows from Old Snowmass and Woody Creek, these trips, especially for non-local visitors, are likely due to people stopping for food, gas, and coffee on their way to Aspen and Snowmass Village. Some of the trips originating in Old Snowmass may be trips between Snowmass Village and Aspen or within Snowmass Village due to the large boundary areas of the zones. 73 Figure 4: Daily Commute Person Trips to Aspen & Snowmass Commuter trips show a high concentration of flows from the Brush Creek Park and Ride to Aspen and Snowmass Village. This is consistent with the high share of transit and carpool trips that begin at this park and ride. 74 Figure 5: Daily Local Visitor Person Trips to Aspen & Snowmass Local visitor trips are much more evenly distributed than commuter trips, or trips overall. They are also a smaller proportion, although taken cumulatively, there is a strong flow of up valley trips to Aspen and Snowmass Village. 75 Figure 6: Daily Non-Local Visitor Person Trips to Aspen & Snowmass Non-local visitors show strong flows from Independence Pass and the Brush Creek Park and Ride with more distribution from other down valley communities. 76 Autonomous Vehicles and COVID-19 Assessment Much has been written in the last few months about how travel patterns have changed due to the COVID- 19 pandemic. Research reviewed by Fehr & Peers have shown some startling trends, including dramatic decreases in transit usage, where some systems saw ridership decline by 95% or more as lockdowns and sharp decreases in transit frequencies impacted ridership. There were also large decreases in the overall amount of driving, with reductions in vehicle miles traveled (VMT) averaging about 50% or more nationwide, though those have since started to rebound. A key question being posed by transportation planners across the country relates to which COVID-19 related travel trends will return to pre-pandemic conditions over the next year or two and which trends will stay (e.g., increased telecommuting and greater e-commerce sales and home delivery of goods and services). In addition to COVID-19 induced changes in travel trends, many transportation experts consider emerging technologies, most notably the introduction of fully autonomous vehicles (AVs) to be a major factor in where people live and how they travel in the future. Notably, most research has shown that privately- owned AVs (the situation where people largely purchase their own private cars and do not share rides – much like today) will result in substantial increases in VMT. In a region like the Upper Roaring Fork Valley, where a large portion of VMT is attributed to visitor travel, AVs not only increase total vehicle trips and congestion across Castle Creek Bridge and Brush Creek Road, but they could also increase vehicle trips circulating within each city (if they are operating without any drivers to avoid parking fees), or even increase parking demand (if AVs induce more overall travel, particularly day trips). Fehr & Peers has developed a tool, TrendLab+, that addresses some of the questions on the impacts of the pandemic-related travel shifts and how new technologies will impact VMT and transit trips. TrendLab+ allows users to describe different scenarios in terms of a list of different factors, such as vehicle availability, fuel prices, land use patterns, and transit improvements, which research shows are closely related to VMT and have been disrupted by the COVID-19 pandemic. There are also several inputs related to changing transportation technologies and AVs specifically. TrendLab+ translates the user-defined assumptions into expected rates of return of transit ridership and VMT per capita compared pre-pandemic levels within the short-, medium- and long-term. To estimate the effect of COVID-19 and AVs on VMT per capita in Aspen and Snowmass Village, we ran TrendLab+ for each of the travel markets: residents, commuters, local visitors, and non-local visitors. 77 Residents Figure 7 and Table 3 show the results of TrendLab+ for residents of Aspen and Snowmass Village in the immediate post-COVID (2025), medium-term (2030), and long-term (2050). Figure 7: Resident Travel Trends Table 3: Travel Trends for Residents Travel Trends (compared to 2019 conditions) Metric 2025 2030 2050 VMT per capita 103% 98% 103% Transit Trips per capita 76% 95% 92% In 2025, there is a bump in VMT per capita for residents of Aspen and Snowmass Village because of lingering concerns about using shared modes, as well as inertia from a period of low transit usage, that more than offsets the VMT decreases from telecommuting and e-commerce. In 2030, transit and VMT per capita have both rebounded to slightly below pre-pandemic levels because transit ridership and funding have recovered, but there is less overall travel per capita due to teleworking and e-commerce. Based on current autonomous vehicle market data and trends, we do not expect fully autonomous vehicles to be widely available by 2030. However, over the next few decades, fully autonomous vehicles will be a much larger share of the privately-owned vehicle market. In a desirable area like Aspen and Snowmass Village, where residents tend to have higher incomes than the regional average and could purchase a private AV, we assumed the AV penetration at 50% by 2050. As AV adoption increases, research shows that VMT per capita will increase, at the expense of transit trips per capita since AVs reduce the stress of driving and 78 induce more overall travel. This is reflected in the 2050 travel trends, as VMT per capita increases and transit trips per capita decrease compared to 2030 conditions. Commuters Figure 8 and Table 4 show the results of TrendLab+ for commuters to Aspen and Snowmass Village in the immediate post-COVID, medium-term, and long-term. Figure 8: Commuter Travel Trends Table 4: Travel Trends for Commuters Travel Trends (compared to 2019 conditions) Metric 2025 2030 2050 VMT per capita 97% 99% 105% Transit Trips per capita 95% 108% 99% In the immediate post-pandemic future, both VMT and transit trips per capita are near pre-pandemic conditions for commuters, with minor decreases because of telecommuting and reduced staffing, as well as limited capacity on RFTA buses. By 2030, telecommuting will not be a major factor for commutes into Aspen and Snowmass Village, so VMT and transit trips per capita begin to increase. While other employment sectors may see a long-term shift to more telecommuting, our analysis at Aspen and Snowmass Village employment data from the US Census Bureau indicate that much of the employment in the communities is related to recreation, retail, and services that cannot be performed remotely. 79 In the 2030 time horizon, commuter VMT per capita stays a bit below pre-pandemic levels due to continued transit investments, limited parking supplies, and expanded transportation demand management (TDM) strategies in Aspen and Snowmass Village. However, by 2050, VMT per capita increases and transit trips decrease due to an increase in availability of autonomous vehicles. Transit trips per capita in 2050 do not decrease as much when compared to residents, since we expect a lower AV penetration rate in the commuter market. Local Visitors Figure 9 and Table 5 show the results of TrendLab+ for local visitors (defined as those living in or near the Roaring Fork Valley) to Aspen and Snowmass Village in the immediate post-COVID, medium-term, and long-term. Figure 9: Local Visitor Travel Trends Table 5: Travel Trends for Local Visitors Travel Trends (compared to 2019 conditions) Metric 2025 2030 2050 VMT per capita 104% 99% 113% Transit Trips per capita 94% 108% 101% In 2025, there is a bump in VMT per capita for local visitors to Aspen and Snowmass because of lingering concerns about using shared modes, as well as inertia from a period of low transit usage. By 2030, local visitor VMT per capita is near pre-pandemic levels and transit usage is higher due to improved transit operations as planned transit investments are completed by RFTA. By 2050, the effect of AVs again 80 increases VMT per capita while decreasing transit trips per capita. We expect the AV adoption rate of local visitors to be similar to that of commuters, potentially around 25% by 2050, which is lower than the adoption rate of residents of Aspen and Snowmass Village. Non-Local Visitors Figure 10 and Table 6 show the results of TrendLab+ for non-local visitors to Aspen and Snowmass in the immediate post-COVID, medium-term, and long-term. Non-local visitors are visitors who reside outside of the Roaring Fork Valley (i.e., beyond Glenwood Springs). Figure 10: Non-Local Visitor Travel Trends Table 6: Travel Trends for Non-Local Visitors Travel Trends (compared to 2019 conditions) Metric 2025 2030 2050 VMT per room/visit 104% 114% 118% Transit Trips per room/visit 94% 96% 90% In the case of non-local visitors, we found it helpful to slightly change the unit of analysis for the VMT and transit trip analysis. Since many non-local visitors stay in a hotel room/rental property within the Roaring Fork Valley, we evaluated the change in VMT and transit trips per room or visit rather than per capita, 81 because we anticipate that non-local visitation will increase at a rate beyond typical population growth. In 2025 and 2030 VMT increases, on a per room basis, as regional tourism is rediscovered and remains popular. By 2050, VMT increases additionally because our research indicates that AVs will induce more travel and make it easier to drive to Aspen and Snowmass Village. Specifically, our analysis indicates that non-local visitors could rent an AV, if they don’t already own a private AV, to travel to Aspen/Snowmass Village for the weekend or even a day trip, as people’s value of time is lower when traveling in a fully autonomous vehicle. Research suggests that long distance car trips could increase about 10% with access to fully autonomous vehicles2. Some research indicates that some of this AV visitor travel could occur overnight, similar to how a redeye flight functions. In general, our research indicates that transit trips for non-local visitors never recovers to pre-pandemic levels; however, transit does not play a large role in moving these visitors overall, with the exception of the connecting route between Aspen and Snowmass Village. This route is a good candidate for autonomous transit service, which could operate at higher frequencies across more service hours to provide a direct replacement for driving trips between the two resorts. Lower-cost long-distance autonomous transit services like an AV transit Bustang connection to Denver or Grand Junction could also change the number of visitors to Aspen and Snowmass Village by reducing overall travel costs and making long-distance transit more convenient, but there is little research on this topic and TrendLab+ does not consider this impact. Combined Results Figure 11 and Table 7 show the combined results of TrendLab+ in the immediate post-COVID, medium- term, and long-term across all travel markets, weighted by the total travel share. Figure 11: Combined Travel Trends for all Travel Markets 2 https://www.caee.utexas.edu/prof/kockelman/public_html/TRB18AVLong-DistanceTravel.pdf 82 Table 7: Combined Travel Trends for all Travel Markets Travel Trends (compared to 2019 conditions) Metric 2025 2030 2050 VMT per capita 102% 107% 113% Transit Trips per capita 93% 101% 98% This table represents the combined travel trends for all of the unique travel markets, calculated by weighting the trends for each travel market by their share of total VMT (see Figure 2Error! Reference source not found.). As shown, we expect VMT per capita will continue to increase in Aspen and Snowmass Village, reinforcing the need for the IMS strategies to mitigate against the quality of life, energy consumption, and GHG emissions related to vehicle travel in the Upper Valley. Evaluation Results In Phase 1, we developed an implementation framework for the identified IMS strategies, realizing that some strategies may take more time to implement than others due to political, technical, and financial challenges. With the more in-depth Phase 2 analysis, we considered the synergies of the different IMS strategies and identified five distinct packages that support the goal of VMT, congestion, and emissions reductions. These packages are, shown in Table 8. Table 8: Strategy Packages Package Strategies 1 Cordon Toll on SH 82 Phased BRT Enhancements 2 Managed Lanes on SH 82 Phased BRT Enhancements HOV Lane Enforcement 3 Parking Pricing Phased BRT Enhancements HOV Lane Enforcement 4 Ride Sharing HOV Lane Enforcement 5 Ride Hailing Each of the packages have independent utility, but some packages, notably packages 1, 2, and 3 would likely not be combined, whereas packages 4 and 5 could be implemented with any combination of other 83 packages. The packages were developed based, in part, on the Phase 1 finding that HOV lane enforcement did not have any direct VMT or GHG emissions benefits, but it strongly enhanced the other IMS strategies. Similarly, given that the Aspen/Snowmass Village area already has strong transit service, the BRT enhancements suggested in the IMS would have less of a stand-alone benefit than we would see in most other communities, but they provide fundamental support to increasing the cost of driving (through parking fees, tolls, or cordon charges) that are part of packages 1-3. For each package, we refined the previous modeling and elasticity research completed in Phase 1 to measure how the VMT for each travel market would be affected. Further refinements were made with the understanding that each travel market has different price sensitivities; for example, local visitors and residents may be able to shift departure times to avoid the highest tolls on SH 82 during peak hours, but non-local visitors will likely view the added cost as a small piece of their total vacation cost and therefore be less sensitive to pricing. After calculating the new VMT reduction caused by each strategy implementation, the long-term GHG emission reduction was calculated with Aspen’s standard emission factors, shown in Figure 12. Figure 12: GHG Emission Reduction by Strategy Package for Aspen & Snowmass Aspen’s 2017 VMT model estimates that on-road vehicles were responsible for about 69,000 metric tons of CO2; this estimate includes the VMT from all trips to/from Aspen and Snowmass Village, as well as within the city. The results in Figure 12 show that if Package 1 was implemented, Aspen could see an annual reduction in GHG emissions of about 16,500 metric tons from approximately 5,000 fewer daily vehicle trips across the Castle Creek Bridge. 84 Final Recommendation Package 1 and 2 are the only strategies that dramatically shift the needle in reducing VMT and GHG emissions in Aspen and Snowmass Village. These mobility management strategies will help ensure a sustainable transportation system from the perspective of economic vitality, quality of life, and environmental outcomes. As noted, these more aggressive strategies will require greater levels of funding, agency/jurisdictional cooperation, and public willingness for additional costs/restrictions on mobility. In exchange, there will be even greater levels of GHG emissions and VMT reductions, particularly for visitor trips. Therefore, one of these two packages is therefore recommended as the long-term strategy for managing vehicle travel in the Upper Roaring Fork Valley. This recommendation is in alignment with The Aspen Institute’s Upper Valley Mobility Report that strongly recommends dynamic roadway pricing on SH 82 and considers it the most reliable tool available to reduce traffic jams and carbon emissions in the region. However, the Upper Valley Mobility Report identified that strong social equity measures, such as enhanced and/or free alternative mobility options, are necessary to ensure the roadway toll is not a regressive tax. From the equity research presented in this report, implementing managed lanes on SH 82 would require less equity mitigation than a full cordon toll, as travelers could choose to drive for free in the general-purpose lanes. Given the long-time horizons required to implement either cordon or managed lane tolling into Aspen/Snowmass Village, package 3 could be used as an interim measure, basically extending the parking pricing strategy Aspen currently employs and working to bring more extensive parking pricing and management to Snowmass Village. Additionally, we do not see any downside for the jurisdictions in the area to encourage and perhaps provide technical or a modest financial investment in spurring dynamic ride sharing, as that model was beginning to take off in several communities prior to the COVID-19 pandemic. Also, we feel that there can be gains from expanded ride hailing, particularly the shared-ride model like is offered by Aspen’s Downtowner service. Building Greater Public Acceptance or Tolling In either tolled scenario, public knowledge and acceptance of the new fees, revenue allocation, and economic impact is key to successful congestion pricing, as public support is necessary to overcome the political difficulties of implementation. A key performance metric for gaining public support for tolls on SH 82 is travel time, which can be a more tangible benefit to tolling than reduced GHG emissions or lower energy consumption related to travel. Under normal AM peak hour conditions, travel time on SH 82 for the segment shown in Figure 13, from just north of Woody Creek to the Castle Creek Bridge, is about 27 minutes. 85 Figure 13: AM Peak Hour Speeds on SH 82 – July 2019 Data Under full cordon charge or for travelers in the managed lane, travel time during AM peak hour could decrease to 15 minutes, a 45% decrease that would benefit all people traveling into Aspen. 86 Figure 14: AM Peak Hour Speeds on SH 82 Assuming Cordon Tolling or Managed Lanes For managed lanes, the travel time benefits would only apply to the tolled lanes. Legislative Hurdles In addition to the challenge of convincing the public that there are enough benefits to pricing what is now free travel between down valley communities and Aspen/Snowmass Village, there are potential legal and political challenges to implementing congestion pricing on SH 82, whether as a managed lane or a cordon toll. This section broadly examines the feasibility of tolling existing lanes on SH 82 approaching Aspen and Snowmass Village. The two tolling scenarios outlined in this report are: 1) Converting the existing High-Occupancy Vehicle (HOV) and bus-only lane to an express lane or High- Occupancy Toll (HOT) lane; per state law, all HOT lanes require at least three persons per vehicle to qualify as a toll-free vehicle. 2) Converting all lanes to tolled lanes (creating a toll to enter both Aspen and Snowmass Village) In 2020, CDOT and Colorado’s High Performance Transportation Enterprise (HPTE) released the Colorado Express Lane Master Plan (CELMP), which identified and prioritized corridors for express lane development, including SH 82 between Glenwood Springs and Aspen. Based on a series of scoring factors, such as congestion reduction, transit support, public support/opinion, and planned highway expansion, SH 82 was not selected for prioritization due to its low overall score compared to other higher- volume facilities in the Front Range region. To date, no other regional or state plans have considered the feasibility of constructing toll lanes on SH 82 or converting the existing HOV to HOT lanes. 87 Express lanes on state highways in Colorado are currently operated by two organizations: CDOT and HPTE. HPTE is a government-owned business tasked with financing and delivering surface transportation infrastructure; and, as mentioned prior, did not select SH 82 for express lane development. Unlike CDOT, HPTE has the authority to collect revenues and often provides public-private partnership contracts. Per Colorado state law, jurisdictions wishing to convert existing High-Occupancy Vehicle (HOV) lanes to express lanes (HOT lanes) must enter into contracts with private entities for toll operations. To convert HOV lanes on SH 82, the leading jurisdiction (e.g. Pitkin County) would likely collaborate with CDOT and an entity like HPTE to establish a toll system and collect revenue. While there is no Colorado law prohibiting the conversion of HOV lanes to HOT lanes, all existing Express Lanes in the state have been a part of a highway expansion project, due to the challenges of obtaining approval. For any potential conversion, state law requires that CDOT get sign-off from every “affected jurisdiction.” While not clearly defined in a statute, the CELMP references affected jurisdictions as any jurisdiction that the corridor passes through. This would imply that jurisdictional approval required from Pitkin County, the town of Basalt, Snowmass Village, and the City of Aspen. Based upon publicly available documentation, administrative procedures required to introduce an express lane (HOT lane) a state highway are complex. Per Colorado state law, the planning process of establishing tolling facilities, via an entity like a public highway authority or enterprise, consists of several steps: 1. Review by every metropolitan planning organization or regional planning commission that is located in whole or in part of the proposed project, 2. Environmental analysis to ensure that anticipated local and regional emissions levels will conform to state implementation plan guidance (each involved organization or commission may condition its approval of the project based on environmental mitigation efforts), 3. Inclusion of the project in the regional transportation plan and the comprehensive statewide transportation plan, 4. Project information delivery to the relevant metropolitan planning organization or regional planning commission thirty days prior to regional plan amendment (including environmental documentation, operation plans, proposed technology, feasibility and long-term viability); and 5. Consultation with representatives from all local governments located in whole or in part of the project to consider mitigation of negative impacts as a result of construction, operation, or financing of the project. While jurisdictions may designate HOV lanes and convert them to HOT/express lanes, there is no legislation explicitly authorizing the conversion of general-purpose lanes to tolled lanes. To realize the full VMT and GHG benefits from Package 1, Aspen, Snowmass Village, and Pitkin County should prioritize lobbying for legislative change in Colorado. While not a focus of this study, a likely place to place a cordon toll would be on SH 82 just east of Brush Creek Road, and on Brush Creek Road just south/west of SH 82. Independence Pass should also have a cordon toll for travelers accessing the region from the east during summer. An additional toll cordon may be needed on McClain Flats Road/Cemetery Lane, but placement would need to be considered to avoid impacts to local residents along the street, who are not the target of the toll. 88 Implementing Package 1 or 2 will require significant institutional outreach (e.g. CDOT and HPTE), administrative research, future stakeholder engagement, and likely an environmental analysis of the impacts of the tolling. In conclusion, based upon this analysis, conversion of HOV lanes on SH 82 to an express lane is possible under the existing laws while a full cordon toll would need a change to State Law to expressly allow a jurisdiction to toll an existing facility. Equity Impact & Mitigation Analysis As part of the Phase 2 work, we prepared an equity analysis regarding the impact and potential mitigation options of IMS strategy implementation, with a particular emphasis on the tolling packages. Congestion-pricing in the United States generally includes tollways and priced lanes on major corridors that experience recurring traffic congestion. As described by the FHWA in Income-Based Equity Impacts of Congestion Pricing (2008), when planning for these facilities there are three types of equity considerations that relate to the distribution of benefits and impacts: income, geographic, modal. Income equity addresses whether low-income groups are affected by congestion pricing/tolls; geographic equity addresses the impacts of pricing such as traffic diversion; and modal equity addresses public perceptions regarding encouragement of a multimodal transportation. While all equity considerations are important to consider, income equity can have a direct effect on roadway users. On the SH 82 corridor, many workers commute into Aspen and Snowmass Village from areas where housing prices are lower, such as Carbondale and Glenwood Springs, since the housing prices in Aspen/Snowmass Village are some of the highest in the country. Other types of roadway users such as independent contractors (such as trucking and construction) may use the roadway differently and more frequently and these users may value time during the workday differently, therefore benefitting from time savings resulting from congestion pricing or managed lanes. Equity considerations concerning congestion pricing and priced lanes are documented in multiple research and evaluation sources with varying conclusions. Income-Based Equity Impacts of Congestion Pricing. US Department of Transportation, FHWA. 2008. http://media.metro.net/projects_studies/expresslanes/images/fhwahop08040.pdf This report finds that the use of congestion-priced lanes by both low and high-income users is selective, and regardless of income, people pay for access to the lanes when they see utility in the time savings. The report also notes that overall, about half of the users of congestion priced lanes only do so once a week or less. The report makes a distinction between Partial (one or more priced lanes) and Full (full roadway tolling) pricing scenarios to identify the perception of “unfairness” of priced lanes. While equity related data in the Full scenario is limited, the study finds that congestion pricing is not an inequitable way of responding to traffic congestion. Approval ratings are generally high for all income groups, in the 60-80% range because all roadway users value the “insurance” of a reliable trip when they need it. 89 I-405 Express Toll Lanes Analysis: Usage, Benefits, and Equity. TRAC Washington State Transportation Center. 2019. http://depts.washington.edu/trac/research-news/freeway-and-arterial-management/i- 405-express-toll-lanes-analysis-usage-benefits-and-equity/ This study examined the dynamic tolling facility on I-405 in the Seattle area and project benefits to users, as well as how these benefits are distributed across various groups of non-commercial roadway users. Higher income groups were found to use the facility more often compared to lower income groups. Similar to findings in the FHWA report, the study found that lower income users used the facility most strategically and selectively, so they were able to obtain a higher net benefit compared to higher income users. A large number of lower income users used the facility periodically throughout the year, showing that the lanes have value when a driver’s time is limited. Atlanta Regional Managed Lane System Plan – Social Equity and Environmental Effects and Evaluation . Georgia Department of Transportation. 2010. http://www.dot.ga.gov/BuildSmart/Studies/ManagedLanesDocuments/Social%20Equity%20and%20En vironmental%20Effect%20Evaluation.pdf This document provides an overview of potential equity and environmental issues related to implementing managed lanes in the Atlanta region for multiple corridors. The study notes that all users pay the same toll regardless of income status, which is regressive considering the toll represents a different proportion of income for various users. However, transit enhancements paid through toll revenue is a way to redistribute transportation benefits to the corridors. They also note that cash payments should be permitted (or a means to load cash onto a toll transponder) to avoid adverse social impacts, as some users may not have a bank account. Regarding health and environmental impacts, the study notes that a managed lane system offers reduced levels of congestion while also limiting the amount of induced travel (because the faster speeds are offset by a cash toll), which leads to lessened vehicle emissions and improved air quality. Managed Lanes in Texas: A Review of the Application of Congestion Pricing. Texas A&M Transportation Institute. 2016. https://static.tti.tamu.edu/tti.tamu.edu/documents/PRC-15-47-F.pdf This report examines congestion pricing on managed lane facilities in Texas, which has used congestion pricing systems since 1998. Texas facilities include fully dynamic pricing (price changes continuously based on traffic levels) and fixed time of day pricing, where the prices are fixed for a certain time period, but prices are higher during peak travel periods. One unique feature of the managed lanes in the Dallas area is that trucks are allowed to use these lanes but pay higher prices. In most states, trucks are not allowed in managed lanes (although they are allowed on I-25 in Colorado with a $25 surcharge on the regular toll). Many of Texas’ managed facilities were converted from HOV to priced lanes (where carpools are still free) as a way to increase capacity for SOV users where HOV lane demand was lower. Raising revenues for roadway projects, increasing-peak-period congestion, and air quality compliance were all issues intended to be addressed by managed lanes. This study did not explicitly investigate equity issues, but the usage patterns suggest similar benefits and issues as raised by the earlier studies. 90 Equity and Congestion Pricing- A Review of the Evidence. RAND Corporation. 2009. https://www.rand.org/content/dam/rand/pubs/technical_reports/2009/RAND_TR680.pdf This study looks at congestion pricing projects and proposals in the United States that have been rejected based on worries that congestion pricing is inequitable, and the evidence that might support of negate these claims. Equity is defined in this report as the distribution of costs and benefits among members of society, whether monetary or non-monetary. The report includes an assessment of welfare-based evaluations of equity and congestion pricing, noting that the payment of congestion pricing fees is slightly less regressive than sales or gasoline tax, but that lower income users would not benefit as much from congestion pricing because they have less flexibility in travel behavior. The report also discusses ways the implementation of congestion pricing systems such as Cordon Pricing and HOT lanes affects equity. The authors note that the definition of the tolling area relative to the spatial distribution of low-income neighborhoods can affect equity. In Edinburgh, a proposed system would have exempted higher income users because of the city’s administrative boundaries. A British study found that cordon pricing can be progressive, neutral, or regressive depending on how incomes are distributed in the region. For example, if the cordon primarily effects higher income residents/employees but distributes revenues in a way that primarily benefits lower income residents/employees, the cordon fee could be progressive. Conclusions on Equity Impacts of Congestion Pricing and Tolling Based on the literature reviewed above, it appears that congestion pricing, in general, could have a greater impact on lower income residents and employees since the price charged does not vary based on income. The effects are less pronounced for priced lanes compared to an overall cordon toll since the priced lanes include a free (although congested) option for those who cannot or do not want to pay for that particular trip. These findings are entirely in-line with the Aspen Institute’s Upper Valley Mobility Report. Implementing congestion pricing on SH 82 could add an additional cost burden for these people, while residents who can afford to both live and work in Aspen would not need to regularly pay this cost, which could add to the disparate impact of tolling. Priced lanes can be seen as inequitable because rush hour travelers who commute in the same direction as congestion (where congestion pricing would be most effective) are largely affluent and are more capable of paying the cost (Rand Corporation and Volpe National Transportation Systems Center, 2007). However, there may be options to reinvest tolling revenue into transit facilities as to improve transit performance and mobility for riders. Equitable Revenue Redistribution Redistribution of revenue collected from managed lanes is a common equity related theme in the studies reviewed. A 2007 study in King County, WA found that lower income people are more likely to be transit riders and would benefit most from transit speed and reliability improvements. Cities such as Minneapolis and Los Angeles currently dedicate a portion of their highway toll revenue to transit operations (through greater frequency of service) and speed/reliability improvements. 91 Investing a portion of tolling revenue into transit can address all three areas of equity, as it provides an efficient mode of transportation between cities that fundamentally reduces VMT. Given the SH 82 corridor already contains a BUS ONLY lane west of Aspen, transit can currently operate efficiently during times of congestion. However, strategies such as using tolling revenue to subsidize transit fares, increasing frequencies, improving transit stops, and further improving transit speed and reliability through additional BUS ONLY lanes and transit signal priority can be additional options. These improvements would serve both current riders and may attract additional riders. In the context of the Upper Valley, redistributed toll revenues could be used to reduce the cost of the RFTA BRT trip into Aspen and Snowmass Village or as a “feebate” where people who ride transit are given funds for riding transit (subject to a monthly or annual cap) since transit is already free to ride within these communities. Under either tolling strategy, redistributed toll revenue should be directed towards transit improvements and reduced RFTA trip costs to minimize the equity impact of strategy implementation and enhance the alternative mobility options for traveling into Snowmass Village and Aspen. In Pricing Roads Advancing Equity (2019), TRANSFORM describes that congestion pricing generally reduces driving by 15-20% and congestion by 30% or more. While some people may see this decrease as an opportunity to drive alone in a car, the reduced congestion can also help transit operations since it reduces traffic making turns at intersections, allowing for better transit mobility in the curbside BUS ONLY lane. While the economic impact to lower income people resulting from congestion pricing has validity, there are strategies that can be explored to help efficiently and equitably move people through the multimodal corridor. Another consideration to mitigate equity for travelers paying the cordon toll or driving in the managed lane is to implement a two-tiered tolling system for verified low-income travelers who live in or work in Aspen or Snowmass Village. This system could provide transponders with lower tolls for those who are already verified as low-income through RFTA; however, this could result in people exploiting the ability to sell these devices. Another option would be implementing license plate tolling with the option for users to register and verify their income for a discounted toll. This option is analogous to how transit fares and utility payments are reduced to lessen the cost burden on low-income residents who rely on these services. Performance Measures & Evaluation Framework As strategies are implemented, it is important to monitor the success of the program. Performance monitoring will help quantify how well the IMS strategies are working to reduce SOV travel, increase transit ridership, and reduce VMT and GHG emissions in the Upper Valley. The proposed performance measures build off existing data collected and maintained by the City of Aspen, Snowmass Village, RFTA, and Pitkin County. The proposed evaluation framework incorporates all performance measures and provides guidance for when the county and cities should be collecting and evaluating the specified data sources to ensure success of the plan. 92 Traffic Counts The City of Aspen currently collects monthly Average Daily Traffic (ADT) volumes at the Castle Creek bridge on State Highway 82, which serves as the entry point to Aspen. The City’s goal is to maintain monthly ADT at 1993 levels. Table 9 summarizes the 1993 traffic monthly ADT. Table 9: Monthly ADT at Castle Creek Bridge Monthly AADT Year: 1993 January 23,800 February 24,300 March 24,800 April 18,800 May 19,300 June 26,200 July 28,600 August 28,600 September 24,000 October 20,500 November 20,000 December 25,200 In addition to the Castle Creek Bridge counts, we recommend additional count locations be added to monitor the change in vehicle volumes entering Snowmass Village. Snowmass Village has some historical counts on Brush Creek Road, which would be a good screenline location for the city. Based on data collection from Pitkin County, ADT on Brush Creek Road was 10,000 in winter 2003. However, based on discussions with Snowmass Village staff, Owl Creek Road carries an increasing amount of traffic, so both roadways should be considered for additional vehicle counts to understand total volumes. While monthly volumes provide solid data to track over time, they might be more than is necessary or sustainable from a data collection standpoint. Therefore, if twice yearly data can be collected during a peak December and July/August week, this would suffice to track VMT and traffic growth trends into and out of Snowmass over time. We recommend collecting data on both Brush Creek Road and Owl Creek Road immediately south/west of SH 82. VMT VMT data is necessary to quantify congestion reduction and measure GHG emissions from transportation. The City of Aspen currently maintains a VMT model, last updated in 2018, that accounts for all on-road activity occurring within Aspen and as a result of traveling to/from Aspen. This model is used to estimate GHG emissions to evaluate the city’s progress at meeting their Climate Action Plan (CAP) goals and is updated every few years. An update underway for 2021 will include VMT analysis for all of Pitkin County. 93 Because Snowmass Village will now be included in the model, this tool should be used to monitor VMT across the Upper Valley. VMT data for the Upper Valley should be calculated every 2-3 years, and occasionally calibrated using big data VMT sources. GHG Emissions GHG emissions can be calculated from VMT data by multiplying VMT by standard emission factors. The City of Aspen performs a GHG inventory using their VMT model every few years to quantify emissions and understand the progress to meeting the GHG reduction targets set in their Climate Action Plan (CAP). Similarly to the VMT estimation above, once Snowmass Village is included in Aspen’s VMT model, this approach should be used to calculate GHG emissions for the Upper Valley. GHG emissions factors should be updated every 2-3 years to reflect the changing vehicle fleet mix, fuel sources, and carbon content of vehicle fuels/energy sources. Transit Ridership The IMS strategies outlined in the implementation plan rely on the availability of transit to support travel into Aspen and Snowmass. Strategies that aim to reduce single occupancy vehicle trips only succeed when there is a reliable alternative to driving in a private vehicle. A public transit option is also a critical element to reduce the equity impacts of any strategy that increases the cost of driving/parking. While the IMS encourages the use of ridesharing and ridehailing, given the robust transit services provided by RFTA and the City of Aspen, transit will remain one the most viable alternative to driving if congestion and or costs cause drivers to seek other ways to get to and from their destinations. Historical ridership data from RFTA should be used to set a baseline for transit trips into Aspen and Snowmass Village during summer and winter seasons. Trips between Aspen and Snowmass Village should be documented on a regular basis as well to monitor the amount of travel between the two communities on transit. RFTA maintains route and stop-level ridership data for the transit routes serving Aspen and Snowmass Village, which should continue to be tracked every year to understand transit growth and mode shift to transit. Travel Time Being able to quantify travel time changes to Aspen and Snowmass Village through IMS strategy implementation is a key performance measure to build public support. To provide a baseline travel time along SH 82, transportation data vendors such as INRIX, HERE, or Streetlight Data could be used, which allows for purchase of historical speed/travel time data, which would allow Pitkin County to set a baseline of 2019 conditions. Future travel time calculations could continue to rely on big data vendors or traditional floating car surveys. Travel time data should be collected during both summer and winter peak seasons and during the AM and PM peak hours. Travel times for buses, carpools, and general purpose vehicles should collected. Travel time should be collected every 2-3 years. 94 Parking Utilization Parking utilization data for Aspen and Snowmass Village provides another perspective on vehicle trip demand entering both cities. Aspen maintains a comprehensive database of hourly parking occupancy in the parking garage and downtown spaces, as well as daily carpool counts in the residential parking areas. Aspen also collects parking occupancy counts at the Brush Creek Park and Ride, which is the major transit Park and Ride lot for employees and visitors to the Upper Valley. Snowmass Village has more limited parking data; they collect 12 PM counts at the day skier lots and garage during the winter ski season. In the core area of Snowmass Village, parking passes are required for the permitted lots. The parking passes have separate designations for residents, employees, and visitors and are not available to day trippers, so they track a separate pool of travelers. Therefore, the day skier lots and garage in Snowmass primarily serve visitors as well as some employees. Parking data should continue to be collected daily in both Aspen and Snowmass and analyzed every few years to track trends in people parking private vehicles. Parking utilization should be collected for both summer and winter seasons. Summary Table 10 summarizes the performance measures and evaluation framework described above. Table 10: Evaluation Framework Summary Performance Measure Evaluation Details Traffic Counts Collect data during a peak December and July/August week for:  Brush Creek Road  Owl Creek Road Continue to collect monthly ADT vehicle counts at:  Castle Creek Bridge VMT VMT should be calculated every 2-3 years using the City of Aspen VMT model, and occasionally calibrated using Big Data GHG Emissions GHG emissions factors and total GHG emissions should be updated every 2-3 years Transit Ridership Continue to monitor RFTA’s route and stop-level ridership data for the transit routes serving Aspen and Snowmass Village annually 95 Travel Time Travel times for buses, carpools, and general- purpose vehicles should collected every 2-3 years Parking Utilization Parking data should continue to be collected daily during peak seasons in both Aspen and Snowmass and analyzed every 2-3 years 96 Integrated Mobility Study Phase 2 ASPEN INSTITUTE MAY 2021 97 State Highway 82 Upper Valley Transit Enhancement Study Technical Report June 2021 98 This page intentionally left blank. 99 Upper Valley Transit Enhancement Study Technical Report Page i Table of Contents Table of Contents ......................................................................................................................................... i List of Tables ............................................................................................................................................... iv List of Figures ............................................................................................................................................. iv Appendices ................................................................................................................................................. vi 1. Introduction .......................................................................................................................................... 7 2. Corridor Overview ................................................................................................................................ 8 2.1 Study Area and Study Corridor ................................................................................................... 8 2.2 Corridor Travel Patterns .............................................................................................................. 8 3. Previous Studies ................................................................................................................................ 10 4. Existing Roadway Conditions and Traffic Operations ........................................................................ 14 4.1 Roadway Characteristics ........................................................................................................... 14 4.2 Traffic Volumes ......................................................................................................................... 17 4.3 Crash Analysis .......................................................................................................................... 18 4.4 Model Development and Calibration ......................................................................................... 20 4.5 Measures of Effectiveness ........................................................................................................ 20 4.6 Traffic Operations ...................................................................................................................... 22 5. Transit Operations ............................................................................................................................. 26 6. Existing Pedestrian and Bicycle Infrastructure ................................................................................... 33 6.1 7th and Bleeker (UV) .................................................................................................................. 35 6.2 Hallam and 8th (UV and DV) ...................................................................................................... 36 6.3 Cemetery Lane (DV) ................................................................................................................. 37 6.4 Roundabout (DV) ...................................................................................................................... 38 6.5 Truscott (UV & DV).................................................................................................................... 39 6.6 Aspen Country Inn (UV & DV) ................................................................................................... 40 6.7 Buttermilk (UV and DV) ............................................................................................................. 41 6.8 AABC (UV and DV) ................................................................................................................... 42 6.9 Service Center Road (UV and DV) ............................................................................................ 43 7. Future Traffic Forecasts and Traffic Operations ................................................................................ 44 7.1 Regional Growth and Background Developments ..................................................................... 44 7.2 2025 Volume Development ....................................................................................................... 46 7.3 Analysis Methodology ............................................................................................................... 47 7.3.1 Traffic Analysis Methodology................................................................................................. 47 7.3.2 Transit Ridership Methodology .............................................................................................. 47 100 Upper Valley Transit Enhancement Study Technical Report Page ii 7.3.3 Pedestrian/Bicycle Analysis Methodology ............................................................................. 49 7.4 2025 No Build Analysis ............................................................................................................. 51 7.4.1 2025 No Build Scenario ......................................................................................................... 51 7.4.2 2025 No Build Results ........................................................................................................... 51 7.4.2.1 Traffic Operations .......................................................................................................... 51 7.4.2.2 Travel Times .................................................................................................................. 53 7.4.2.3 Transit ........................................................................................................................... 56 7.4.2.4 Figure 40: 2025 No Build Mode SharePedestrian and Bicycle ...................................... 57 7.5 Alternatives Development and Evaluation ................................................................................. 58 7.6 2025 Alternative 1 – Maximized Multimodal Right-of-Way ........................................................ 58 7.6.1 2025 Alternative 1 Scenario .................................................................................................. 58 7.6.1.1 Intersection Improvements ............................................................................................ 58 7.6.1.2 Bus Priority Improvements ............................................................................................ 62 7.6.1.3 Pedestrian and Bicycle Improvements .......................................................................... 64 7.6.1.4 Transportation Systems Management and Operations/ Transportation Demand Management .................................................................................................................................. 65 7.6.2 2025 Alternative 1 Results .................................................................................................... 65 7.6.2.1 Traffic Operations .......................................................................................................... 67 7.6.2.2 Travel Times .................................................................................................................. 68 7.6.2.3 Transit ........................................................................................................................... 69 7.6.2.4 Pedestrian and Bicycle .................................................................................................. 71 7.7 2025 Alternative 2 – Spot Multimodal Improvements ................................................................ 78 7.7.1 2025 Alternative 2 Scenario .................................................................................................. 78 7.7.1.1 Intersection Improvements ............................................................................................ 78 7.7.1.2 Bus Priority Improvements ............................................................................................ 79 7.7.1.3 Pedestrian and Bicycle Improvements .......................................................................... 79 7.7.1.4 Transportation Systems Management and Operations/Transportation Demand Management .................................................................................................................................. 80 7.7.2 2025 Alternative 2 Results .................................................................................................... 80 7.7.2.1 Traffic Operations .......................................................................................................... 80 7.7.2.2 Travel Times .................................................................................................................. 81 7.7.2.3 Transit ........................................................................................................................... 83 7.7.2.4 Pedestrian and Bicycle .................................................................................................. 84 7.8 2025 Alternative 3 – Traffic Technology Application.................................................................. 87 7.8.1 2025 Alternative 3 Scenario .................................................................................................. 87 7.8.1.1 Signal Operations .......................................................................................................... 87 101 Upper Valley Transit Enhancement Study Technical Report Page iii 7.8.1.2 Transportation Systems Management and Operations/Transportation Demand Management .................................................................................................................................. 88 7.8.2 2025 Alternative 3 Results .................................................................................................... 88 7.8.2.1 Roadway Conditions and Traffic Operations ................................................................. 88 7.8.2.2 Travel Times .................................................................................................................. 90 7.8.2.3 Transit ........................................................................................................................... 91 7.8.2.4 Pedestrian and Bicycle .................................................................................................. 92 7.9 2025 Alternative 4 Evaluation .................................................................................................... 93 7.9.1 2025 Alternative 4 Scenario .................................................................................................. 93 7.9.1.1 Intersection Improvements ............................................................................................ 93 7.9.1.2 Bus Priority Improvements ............................................................................................ 93 7.9.1.3 Pedestrian and Bicycle Improvements .......................................................................... 94 7.9.1.4 Transportation Systems Management and Operations/Transportation Demand Management .................................................................................................................................. 94 7.9.2 2025 Alternative 4 Results .................................................................................................... 94 7.9.2.1 Roadway Conditions and Traffic Operations ................................................................. 94 7.9.2.2 Travel Times .................................................................................................................. 96 7.9.2.3 Transit ........................................................................................................................... 97 7.9.2.4 Pedestrian and Bicycle .................................................................................................. 97 8. Comparison of Alternatives ................................................................................................................ 99 8.1 Transit Ridership .......................................................................................................................... 105 9. Summary of Findings and Recommended Mobility Package ........................................................... 109 9.1 Summary of Findings .............................................................................................................. 109 10. Recommendations and Phasing .................................................................................................. 112 10.1 Mobility Package Phasing ........................................................................................................... 112 102 Upper Valley Transit Enhancement Study Technical Report Page iv List of Tables Table 1: Signalized Intersection Level of Service Delay Ranges .............................................................. 22 Table 2: Unsignalized Intersection Level of Service Delay Ranges .......................................................... 22 Table 3: Existing Capacity Analysis Table (HCM) ..................................................................................... 23 Table 4: Existing Capacity Analysis Table (VisSim) .................................................................................. 24 Table 5: Existing Transit Frequency .......................................................................................................... 29 Table 6: Ridership ..................................................................................................................................... 29 Table 7: Background Development Trip Generation Volumes .................................................................. 45 Table 8: 2025 No Build Capacity Analysis Table (HCM) ........................................................................... 52 Table 9: 2025 No Build Capacity Analysis Table (VisSim) ........................................................................ 52 Table 10: 2025 Alternative 1 Capacity Analysis Table (HCM)................................................................... 66 Table 11: 2025 Alternative 1 Capacity Analysis T able (VisSim)................................................................ 67 Table 12: 2025 Alternative 2 Capacity Analysis Table (HCM)................................................................... 80 Table 13: 2025 Alternative 2 Capacity Analysis Table (VisSim)................................................................ 81 Table 14: 2025 Alternative 3 Capacity Analysis Table (HCM)................................................................... 88 Table 15: 2025 Alternative 3 Capacity Analysis Table (VisSim)................................................................ 89 Table 16: 2025 Alternative 4 Capacity Analysis Table (HCM)................................................................... 94 Table 17: 2025 Alternative 4 Capacity Analysis Table (VisSim)................................................................ 95 Table 18: Capacity Analysis Comparison (HCM) .................................................................................... 102 Table 19: Capacity Analysis Comparison (VisSim) ................................................................................. 103 List of Figures Figure 1: Seasonal Traffic Variations .......................................................................................................... 9 Figure 2: Diurnal Bi-directional Distribution ................................................................................................. 9 Figure 3: Seasonal Transit Ridership Variations ....................................................................................... 10 Figure 4: Forecasted vs. Actual Traffic Patterns ....................................................................................... 13 Figure 5: Typical Section - North of Service Center Road......................................................................... 15 Figure 6: Typical Section - South of Airport Entrance ............................................................................... 15 Figure 7: Typical Section - Between Harmony Road and Owl Creek Road .............................................. 16 Figure 8: Typical Section - South of Tiehack Road ................................................................................... 16 Figure 9: Typical Section - Maroon Creek Bridge ..................................................................................... 16 Figure 10: Typical Section - North of Roundabout .................................................................................... 17 Figure 11: Typical Section - North of Cemetery Lane ............................................................................... 17 Figure 12: Typical Section - South of Cemetery Lane ............................................................................... 17 Figure 13: Crash Types in the Study Corridor ........................................................................................... 18 Figure 14: Crash Locations in the Centra l Portion of the Study Corridor, 2015 to 2020 ............................ 19 Figure 15: Person Throughput Illustration ................................................................................................. 21 Figure 16: Existing AM Peak Hour Modeled Travel Time ......................................................................... 25 Figure 17: Existing PM Peak Hour Modeled Travel Time ......................................................................... 26 Figure 18: SH 82 Corridor Transit Services .............................................................................................. 28 Figure 19: Summer 2019 Transit Ridership .............................................................................................. 30 Figure 20: Existing Ridership .................................................................................................................... 31 Figure 21: Existing Mode Share ................................................................................................................ 31 Figure 22: Pedestrian and Bicycle Infrastructure Map: Pedestrian and Bicycle I nfrastructure Map .......... 34 Figure 23: 7th and Bleeker (UV) Walkshed ............................................................................................... 35 103 Upper Valley Transit Enhancement Study Technical Report Page v Figure 24: Hallam and 8th (UV and DV) Walkshed ................................................................................... 36 Figure 25: Cemetery Lane (DV) Walkshed ............................................................................................... 37 Figure 26: Roundabout (DV) Walkshed .................................................................................................... 38 Figure 27: Truscott (UV & DV) Walkshed.................................................................................................. 39 Figure 28: Aspen Country Inn (UV & DV) Walkshed ................................................................................. 40 Figure 29: Buttermilk (UV and DV) Walkshed ........................................................................................... 41 Figure 30: AABC (UV and DV) Walkshed ................................................................................................. 42 Figure 31: Service Center Road (UV and DV) Walkshed .......................................................................... 43 Figure 32: Background Development Locations ....................................................................................... 44 Figure 33: Background Improvements ...................................................................................................... 46 Figure 34 Elasticity Formula...................................................................................................................... 47 Figure 35: Intersection Conflict Points ...................................................................................................... 50 Figure 36: Bicycle Level of Traffic Stress .................................................................................................. 51 Figure 37: 2025 No Build AM Peak Hour Modeled Travel Time ................................................................ 54 Figure 38: 2025 No Build PM Peak Hour Modeled Travel Time ................................................................ 55 Figure 39: 2025 No Build Transit Ridership .............................................................................................. 56 Figure 40: 2025 No Build Mode Share ...................................................................................................... 57 Figure 41: Bicycle Level of Stress - No Build ............................................................................................ 57 Figure 42: SH 82 at Service Center Road – New Traffic Signal ................................................................ 58 Figure 43: SH 82 at Owl Creek Road – Pedestrian Underpass ................................................................ 59 Figure 44: SH 82 Up Valley HOV Lane Extension .................................................................................... 60 Figure 45: Down Valley Channelization at Maroon Creek Roundabout .................................................... 61 Figure 46: Additional Signal Phase for Buses Exiting Airport Guideway ................................................... 62 Figure 47: Additional Signal Phase for Buses Entering Airport Guideway ................................................ 62 Figure 48: Channelized Bus Bypass Lanes at Harmony/Owl Creek ......................................................... 63 Figure 49: Cemetery Lane Queue Jump and Lane Extension .................................................................. 64 Figure 50: Trail Connection Between Owl Creek and Truscott ................................................................. 65 Figure 51: 2025 Alt 1 AM Peak Hour Modeled Travel Time ...................................................................... 68 Figure 52: 2025 Alt 1 PM Peak Hour Modeled Travel Time ...................................................................... 69 Figure 53: Alternative 1 Transit Ridership ................................................................................................. 70 Figure 54: Alternative 1 Mode Share ........................................................................................................ 70 Figure 55: Alternative 1 Overall Walkshed ................................................................................................ 71 Figure 56: Alternative 1 - Roundabout (DV) Walkshed ............................................................................. 72 Figure 57: Alternative 1 - Truscott (UV & DV) Walkshed .......................................................................... 73 Figure 58: Alternative 1 - Aspen Country Inn (UV & DV) .......................................................................... 74 Figure 59: Alternative 1 - Buttermilk (UV & DV) Walksheds ...................................................................... 75 Figure 60: Alternative 1 - AABC (UV & DV) Walksheds ............................................................................ 76 Figure 61: Alternative 1 - Service Center Road (UV & DV) Walksheds .................................................... 77 Figure 62: Bicycle Level of Stress - Alternative 1 ...................................................................................... 78 Figure 63: Channelization and Up Valley Lane Assignment ..................................................................... 79 Figure 64: 2025 Alt 2 AM Peak Hour Modeled Travel Time ...................................................................... 82 Figure 65: 2025 Alt 2 PM Peak Hour Modeled Travel Time ...................................................................... 82 Figure 66: Alternative 2 Transit Ridership ................................................................................................. 83 Figure 67: Alternative 2 Mode Share ........................................................................................................ 83 Figure 68: Alternative 2 - Aspen Country Inn (UV & DV) Walksheds ........................................................ 84 Figure 69: Alternative 2 - AABC (UV & DV) Walksheds ............................................................................ 85 Figure 70: Alternative 2 - Service Center Road (UV & DV) Walksheds .................................................... 86 Figure 71: Traditional Ring and Barrier Signal Phasing (Top) vs. Lead-Lag Left-turn Phasing (Bottom) .. 87 Figure 72: 2025 Alt 3 AM Peak Hour Modeled Travel Time ...................................................................... 90 104 Upper Valley Transit Enhancement Study Technical Report Page vi Figure 73: 2025 Alt 3 PM Peak Hour Modeled Travel Time ...................................................................... 91 Figure 74: Alternative 2 Transit Ridership ................................................................................................. 92 Figure 75: Alternative 3 Mode Share ........................................................................................................ 92 Figure 76: 2025 Alt 4 AM Peak Hour Modeled Travel Time ...................................................................... 96 Figure 77: 2025 Alt 4 PM Peak Hour Modeled Travel Time ...................................................................... 97 Figure 78 Alternative 4 Transit Ridership .................................................................................................. 98 Figure 79 Alternative 4 Mode Share ......................................................................................................... 98 Figure 80: Person Throughput Comparison .............................................................................................. 99 Figure 81: Travel Time Comparison ........................................................................................................ 101 Figure 82: Fuel Used and Efficiency ....................................................................................................... 104 Figure 83: Emissions Comparison .......................................................................................................... 105 Figure 84: Transit Ridership Comparison................................................................................................ 106 Figure 85: Mode Share Comparison ....................................................................................................... 107 Figure 86: Cross-Product of Ped/Vehicle Conflicts ................................................................................. 108 Appendices Apendix I: Existing Traffic Volumes Apendix II: Capacity Analysis and Other MOE Worksheets for Existing Conditions Apendix III: 2025 Traffic Volumes Apendix IV: Capacity Analysis and Other MOE Worksheets for 2025 No Build Apendix V: Capacity Analysis and Other MOE Worksheets for 2025 Alternative 1 Apendix VI: Capacity Analysis and Other MOE Worksheets for 2025 Alternative 2 Apendix VII: Capacity Analysis and Other MOE Worksheets for 2025 Alternative 3 Apendix VIII: Capacity Analysis and Other MOE Worksheets for 2025 Alternative 4 Appendix IX: Pedestrian Conflict Worksheets Appendix X: Previous Study Recommendation Summary Matrix 105 Upper Valley Transit Enhancement Study Technical Report Page 7 1. Introduction State Highway 82 (SH 82) is a vital link from Glenwood Springs to the City of Aspen and contains one of the strongest rural transit systems in the state and nation carrying over 5 million passengers a year. The corridor segment in the Upper Valley between the Aspen Airport and downtown Aspen has become increasingly congested in winter and summer tourist seasons, despite significant recent investments in new transit services, specifically the VelociRFTA Bus Rapid Transit (BRT) service, eight local bus transit routes in the Upper Valley, rush hour High Occupancy Vehicle (HOV) lanes, and a robust trail network. While long- term plans include additional investment in high quality dedicated transitway infrastructure, this study focuses on the development and evaluation of short-term alternatives to enhance transit operations and improve pedestrian and bicycle safety and accessibility to existing transit stops. The County and RFTA have recently completed and continue to plan for significant investment in transit and multimodal infrastructure including enhanced bus shelters, fleet upgrades, and bike share expansions to support expanded sustainable mobility options and accommodate future travel demand. The SH 82 corridor currently does current provide a modest amount of transit priority such as dedicated bus lanes in short segments. Despite these interventions, recurring traffic congestion along the corridor, which carries 26,000 vehicles per day according to Colorado Department of Transportation (CDOT) data, has hindered efforts to provide reliable and fast transit service . Additionally, several gaps and barriers in pedestrian and bicycle access to bus stops remain such as safe crossings of SH 82 and connections from side streets and commercial centers. This study will evaluate the SH 82 corridor and identify specific short- term physical and operational strategies to increase transit efficiency and provide enhanced safety and access for pedestrians and bicyclists. With limited ability to widen existing roads and intersections, the study builds on previous plans and analysis, utilizes advanced traffic modeling tools , and identifies innovative bus priority and traffic control treatments to balance bus speeds and reliability with general vehicle traffic congestion. The recommendations will identify practical, cost -effective, multimodal mobility solutions to prioritize transit, pedestrian, and bicycle travel and support future near- and long-term capital programming and redevelopment efforts. This report is organized to present existing conditions, identify alternative improvement concepts and to present future No Build and Build conditions. The study scope includes: 1) documenting p revious studies and recommendations; 2) discusses existing traffic, transit and walking, and biking conditions; 3) forecasting future traffic projections; 4) developing and evaluating a menu of improvement options; and 5) benefit/cost analysis and recommendations for a transit enhancement mobility improvement package for the corridor. Throughout the study, stakeholder engagement was performed to solicit input on transportation issues and concerns, existing condition data, alternatives to be evaluated, and draft recommendations. Recurring stakeholder coordination occurred with Pitkin County, the Roaring Fork Transportation Authority, the City of Aspen, the CDOT, and the Town of Snowmass Village. 106 Upper Valley Transit Enhancement Study Technical Report Page 8 2. Corridor Overview 2.1 Study Area and Study Corridor The study network includes SH 82 from Brusch Creek to 3rd Street in downtown Aspen (approximately 5.5 miles). VelociRFTA stops within the study corridor include: • Brusch Creek • Aspen Airport • Buttermilk • 8th Street 2.2 Corridor Travel Patterns To establish peak period traffic volumes for baseline design, a comprehensive review of historical and monthly traffic volume data from permanent CDOT traffic count stations (located to the north of Brush Creek Road) was performed. The Upper Valley experiences significant tourism during the winter and summer seasons but with seasonal differences in the travel patterns. More tourists arrive by airplane during the winter while more tourists arrive by private auto during the summer. Both seasonal peaks experience a traditional AM and PM commuter bell curve over a typical day, with up-valley traffic being the peak direction in the AM and down-valley traffic, the peak direction in the PM. Overall traffic volumes peak in the summer, leading to the selection of these volumes for analysis in this study. Figure 1 below shows the average daily traffic volumes by month for the past three years, indicating the highest peak of approximately 26,000 vehicles per day occurs in the summer (July). The red line benchmarks the community maximum traffic volume goal set in 1993. Figure 2 shows the diurnal bi- directional distribution of up-valley (southbound) and down-valley (northbound) traffic at Airport Drive over a typical summer midweek day, with the PM peak being higher and longer than the AM. 107 Upper Valley Transit Enhancement Study Technical Report Page 9 Figure 1: Seasonal Traffic Variations Figure 2: Diurnal Bi-directional Distribution 108 Upper Valley Transit Enhancement Study Technical Report Page 10 The corridor is served by up to 8 Roaring Fork Transportation Authority bus routes and enjoys a seasonal mode share of up to 35 percent of all trips and accounts for a significant percentage of the 5 million annual transit ridership for RFTA. Headways for the routes serving the study segment of SH 82 range from 10 (for BRT) to 30 minutes for local buses, and spans of service range from 12 to 18 hours per day. Routes include Snowmass Village and Woody Creek, VelociRFTA BRT, Roaring Fork Valley Local, Roaring Fork Valley Express, City of Aspen Burlingame Route, Mountain Connector Buttermilk, Ci ty of Aspen Castle/Maroon Route, and the Mountain Connector Aspen Highlands route. The collection of monthly ridership data from 2019 helped to identify the peak transit ridership periods. January and March exceeded 60,000 riders across all routes, while J uly and August exceed 50,000 riders as Figure 3 shows. Figure 3: Seasonal Transit Ridership Variations 3. Previous Studies The State Highway 82 corridor has been the subject of numerous transportation plans and studies over the last 30 years by CDOT, Pitkin County, Aspen, and the RFTA. A comprehensive matrix summarizing all previous transportation recommendations within the study segmen t by type (e.g., alignment, road configuration, mode, technology, station locations, park and ride facilities, phasing, policy, access management, transit operations, and bicycle/pedestrian) and applicability for this study (e.g., within the implementation timeline) and compatibility with the record of decision is included in Appendix IX. 109 Upper Valley Transit Enhancement Study Technical Report Page 11 The project team reviewed the following to inform the present analysis: Entrance to Aspen FEIS (1997) and Record Of Decision (1998) These documents were the culmination of a planning process that developed preferred alternatives for SH 82 from Service Center Drive to Aspen. The preferred alternative comprised light-rail transit from the airport to Aspen and intercept lots at key locations along the corridor. Corridor Investment Study (2003) This effort considered a larger study area than the Basalt to Buttermilk and Entrance to Aspen RODs, seeking to establish a transit vision for the full SH 82 corridor from Glenwood Springs to Aspen. The recommendation was pursuing light rail transit as a long-term vision while recognizing that buses would likely provide service at first. Access Control Report (2005) This study examined access management throughout the corridor . A key recommendation was to convert Service Center Drive and BMC West into right-in/right-out only intersections, closing the BMC east driveway, and eliminating left turns onto SH 82 at the Inn at Aspen. Entrance to Aspen Reevaluation (2007) This report documented the reevaluation of the 1997 EIS. Analysis results affirmed the findings of the EIS. Turn Restriction Analysis (2008) This study considered, but did not recommend, eliminating right turns onto SH 82 at Truscott Drive. Bus Lanes Operation Study (2008) This study considered measures to increase the efficiency of the SH 82 bus lanes such as HOV conversion and permission for private operators. The findings determined these changes would not lead to major improvements and were also likely precluded by the 1998 ROD. Roundabout Improvement Plan (2008) This plan assessed the Maroon Creek Road roundabout and contained recommendations for alterations to add entry curvature, address spiral deficiency, and improve lane utilization. Access Control Plan (2012) This study considered a wide variety of access management measures . The recommendations consisted of constructing a full movement intersection at BMC West, closing the BMC East Driveway, realigning Harmony Place and Owl Creek Road to be a single intersection, and eliminating left turns onto SH 82 at the Inn at Aspen. Aspen Area Community Plan (2012) This plan reconsidered the ROD preferred alternative but did not lead to any new recommendations. 110 Upper Valley Transit Enhancement Study Technical Report Page 12 Bicycle/Pedestrian Plan (2015) This plan encompassed the corridor from Parachute to Aspen and documented three recommendations east of Service Center Drive: an underpass at Buttermilk, a pathway on the south side of SH 82 between Buttermilk and the Inn at Aspen, and an underpass at the Aspen Country Inn. Community Forum Upper Valley Mobility Report (2017) This was a comprehensive study of transportation issues in the Valley that contained recommendations for several new policy approaches: encouraging ride sharing/hailing, better enforcem ent of HOV lanes, peak- hour congestion pricing, and updated parking strategies. Short Range Transit Plan (2018) This plan recorded recommendations for adjustments to transit routes and service frequency. It also affirmed the Upper Valley Mobility Report’s focus on policy updates while adding several transit -specific strategies—preferential benefits for carpooling, a transit app with integrated fare payment, and formalization of slug lining. Roundabout In-Service Review (2020) This study documented the critical assessment of operations of the Maroon Creek Roundabout, and findings endorsed further geometric improvements and a restriping plan that would add a second westbound lane from Cemetery Lane to the roundabout. 111 Upper Valley Transit Enhancement Study Technical Report Page 13 Figure 4 illustrates a quick comparison along the corridor of 2015 initial forecasted traffic volumes by segment and 2015 actual observed traffic volumes by segment. The data indicates that the further up valley any segment is, the larger the gap between predicted and observed traffic volumes . While no single factor can explain the discrepancy in traffic volumes, some factors may include economic downturns, cost of gasoline, improved transit and multimodal accessibility, and increased air travel to Aspen. Figure 4: Forecasted vs. Actual Traffic Patterns 112 Upper Valley Transit Enhancement Study Technical Report Page 14 4. Existing Roadway Conditions and Traffic Operations 4.1 Roadway Characteristics The SH 82 study corridor is about 5.5 miles, with six signalized intersections (Brush Creek, Aspen Airport, Harmony Road, Owl Creek Road, Truscott Place/Pyramid Road and Cemetery) one roundabout (Maroon Creek Road/Castle Creek Road), five unsignalized intersections (Service Center Road, Sage Way, Stage Road, Tiehack Road, Hideaway Lane), and three unsignalized business entrances). At the east end, there is a transit center adjacent to the roundabout. Speed limits along the corridor vary from 55 miles per hour (MPH) down valley to 25 MPH within downtown Aspen. The typical cross-section along the corridor varies from multilane divided to two-lane undivided. The study corridor has a number of existing transit, pedestrian, and bicycle infrastructure in place to prioritize sustainable transportation modes. A shared use path runs along the down-valley side of SH 82 from 7th Street to the Airport. Six grade-separated (tunnel) pedestrian crossings are provided along with three marked at-grade crosswalks within the study segment. A peak hour HOV lane for vehicles with two or more occupants exists along SH 82 from north of Brush Creek Road to the airport. An exclusive bus lane exists from the airport to the roundabout in the up va lley direction and from the roundabout to Buttermilk in the down valley direction . Figures 5 through 12 on the following pages summarize the typical roadway configurations for each block . 113 Upper Valley Transit Enhancement Study Technical Report Page 15 • Figure 5 – North of Service Center Road to Brush Creek Road − 4 travel lanes − 12’ lane widths, shoulder and median widths vary − 55 MPH posted speed − No sidewalks or paths − Peak hour directional exclusive Bus/ HOV right lane Figure 5: Typical Section - North of Service Center Road • Figure 6 – South of Airport Entrance − 4 lanes with auxiliary turn lanes − 12’ lane widths, shoulder and median width varies − 55 MPH posted speed − No sidewalks or paths − Exclusive bus lane on shoulder, peak hour/directional HOV right lane Figure 6: Typical Section - South of Airport Entrance • Figure 7 – Between Harmony Road and Owl Creek Road − 4 lanes with auxiliary turn lanes − 11’ to 12’ lane widths, shoulder and median widths vary − 45 MPH posted speed − Off-road shared use path − HOV lane ends, exclusive bus lane (SB)/right-turn lane use (NB) 114 Upper Valley Transit Enhancement Study Technical Report Page 16 Figure 7: Typical Section - Between Harmony Road and Owl Creek Road • Figure 8 – South of Tiehack Road − 4 lanes − 11’ lane widths, shoulder and median lane widths vary − 45 MPH posted speed − Off road shared use path − Exclusive bus lane Figure 8: Typical Section - South of Tiehack Road • Figure 9 – Maroon Creek Bridge − 4 lanes − 10’ bus and 12’ vehicle lane widths, 6’ shoulder − 45 MPH posted speed − Separate shared use path − Exclusive bus lane Figure 9: Typical Section - Maroon Creek Bridge • Figure 10 – North of Roundabout − 4 lanes − 12’ lane widths, 6’ shoulders, median varies − 45 MPH posted speed − Separated shared use path − Exclusive bus lane 115 Upper Valley Transit Enhancement Study Technical Report Page 17 Figure 10: Typical Section - North of Roundabout • Figure 11– North of Cemetery Lane − 2 lanes − 14’ lane widths, shoulder and median widths vary − Separate shared use path − 35 MPH posted speed Figure 11: Typical Section - North of Cemetery Lane • Figure 12 – South of Cemetery Lane − 2 lanes − 14’ lane widths − Separate shared use path − 35 MPH posted speed Figure 12: Typical Section - South of Cemetery Lane 4.2 Traffic Volumes AM and PM peak hour turning movement volumes reflecting peak summer (July) volumes were developed using a combination of traffic count data from previous studies including the Upper Valley Mobility Study, the Fire Place North Forty Fire District Housing – Level II Traffic Assessment, and the Aspen Airport Business Center Interim Traffic Study Results memorandum. CDOT’s Online Transportation Information System (OTIS) – Traffic Data Explorer was also used to access data from a Continuous Count station on 116 Upper Valley Transit Enhancement Study Technical Report Page 18 SH 82 to determine seasonality and growth factors. The volumes were adjusted with seasonality and growth factors to reflect summer 2019 conditions and then balanced. A spreadsheet of peak hour turning movement counts can be found in Appendix I. 4.3 Crash Analysis In the Study Corridor from Brush Creek Road to 7th and Main, a total of 202 crashes occurred between 2016 and 2020. There were 38 injuries reported and zero fatalities. No pedestrians, bikes, or transit vehicles were involved in any crashes, although one invovled a school bus. Rear-end crashes accounted for over half (57 percent), which may be attributed to recurring traffic congestion experienced throughout the year (Figure 13). The relatively high number of sideswipe crashes crashes (10 percent) also may be attributed to recurring congestion as well as the number of difficult merge areas in the corridor. In the central portion of the corridor (Figure 14), crashes are not particularly concentrated in specific hot spots, although there is a slightly higher concentration of crashes between Stage Road and Truscott Place/Pyramid Road, particularly rear-end crashes. Figure 13: Crash Types in the Study Corridor 117 Upper Valley Transit Enhancement Study Technical Report Page 19 Figure 14: Crash Locations in the Central Portion of the Study Corridor, 2015 to 2020 118 Upper Valley Transit Enhancement Study Technical Report Page 20 4.4 Model Development and Calibration The study intersections were coded into a Synchro network to perform capacity analysis. Synchro is software program for deterministic and macroscopic signal analysis that models street networks and traffic signal systems. Geometric data such as number of lanes, lane configuration, storage lengths, tapers, and distances between intersections were input into Synchro. Additionally, existing signal timings and phasing obtained from CDOT were coded into a Synchro traffic model along with existing traffic volumes. The model was calibrated to match field verified conditions. Synchro software and the methodology in the National Academy of Science’s Transportation Research Board Highway Capacity Manual (HCM) do not account for the potential impacts of upstream or downstream bottlenecks at intersections. Therefore, Vissim, a microsimulation tool, was utilized to evaluate the overall operations of the corridor and the interaction between segments/roadways . The Vissim model can account for these impacts and can also model specific multimodal and transit inputs (i.e., BRT, HOV) that Synchro cannot. The Vissim results reflect the impact of adjacent signals, turn bay spillover, etc. on each analysis segment/point and identify areas plagued by heavy congestion, long queues, and/or slow speeds A base Vissim model was developed using existing scaled aerial photography for the project Study Area. The existing AM and PM peak hour volumes and lane configurations were then input in Vissim. To confirm the calibration of the model, the simulated traffic volumes, speeds, and travel times along US 29 were compared to the location-based analytics data such as INRIX (July 2019) and Google predicted travel times (July 2019). Additionally, field observations and stakeholder input were gathered to further refine the calibration. Default parameters were changed as needed during calibration to ensure model outputs reflected real world conditions. 4.5 Measures of Effectiveness A robust set of performance measures were selected and utilized to evaluate the existing conditions and alternative improvements along the study corridor. The measures of effectiveness are described in detail within the discussion of each mode, but include the following: • Multimodal: Person Throughput, HOV Travel Time, Non -Auto Mode Share • Vehicle: Intersection Level of Service, Auto Travel Time, Crash Reduction • Pedestrian/Bicycle: Walkshed Size, Pedestrian Exposure/Conflicts, Bicycle Level of Traffic Stress • Transit: Transit Ridership, Transit Travel Time • Other: Cost, Regulatory Impact, Stakeholder Preference, Emission Intersection capacity analyses were performed using the industry HCM methodology . Synchro implements HCM methods of analysis, which were used for the intersection capacity analysis of all study intersections during weekday AM and PM peak hours. Performance measures of effectiveness from the Synchro model include level of service, volume -to- capacity (v/c) ratio, and average vehicle delay, which are defined as follows: Level of Service (LOS) is a qualitative measure describing operational conditions of an intersection or any other transportation facility. LOS measures the quality of traffic service and may be determined for intersections, roadway segments, or arterial corridors on the basis o f delay, congested speed, v/c ratio, or 119 Upper Valley Transit Enhancement Study Technical Report Page 21 vehicle density by functional class. At intersections, LOS is a letter designation that corresponds to a certain range of roadway operating conditions. The levels of service range from A to F, with A indicating the b est operating conditions and F indicating the worst, or a failing, operating condition . The volume-to-capacity ratio (v/c ratio) is the ratio of current flow rate to the capacity of the intersection . This ratio is often used to determine how sufficient ca pacity is on a given roadway. Generally speaking, a ratio of 1.0 indicates that the roadway is operating at capacity . A ratio of greater than 1.0 indicates that the facility is operating above capacity as the number of vehicles exceeds the roadway capacity . Delay (Control delay) is the portion of delay attributed to traffic signal operation for signalized intersections. Control delay (overall delay) can be categorized into deceleration delay, stopped delay, and acceleration delay. End-to-end travel times by mode, person throughput, and vehicle emissions, defined in the following paragraphs, were also extracted from the Vissim microsimulations: End-to-end travel times were measured between the SH 82 at Brush Creek Road intersection and the N. 3rd Street at Main Street intersection. The network was extended beyond N 3rd Street so that all vehicles were able to enter the network (i.e., no denied entry vehicles). In any instances during the PM peak hour where the down valley queue extended beyond N. 3rd Street, the delay of time in queue was added to the total travel time. Person throughput is defined as the number of distinct persons able to travel the system/network during the analysis period. Vehicle throughput (vehicles/hour) is collected and then converted to person throughput using average vehicle occupancy. Typical person-throughput by mode per lane per hour is shown in Figure 15. Vehicle fuel consumption, fuel efficiency, and emissions were also reported as a secondary measure and are used as comparison measures between the alternatives. Table 1 and Table 2 show each LOS and their corresponding delay values for signalized and unsignalized intersections, respectively. Figure 15: Person Throughput Illustration 120 Upper Valley Transit Enhancement Study Technical Report Page 22 Table 1: Signalized Intersection Level of Service Delay Ranges Signalized Intersections Level of service Delay range (sec) General Description A <10 Free Flow B >10 and <20 Stable Flow (slight delays) C >20 and <35 Stable Flow (acceptable delays) D >35 and <55 Approaching Unstable Flow (high delay, occasionally wait through more than one signal cycle before proceeding) E >55 and <80 Unstable Flow (excessive delay) F >80 Forced Flow (congested and queues fail to clear) Table 2: Unsignalized Intersection Level of Service Delay Ranges Unsignalized Intersections Level of service Delay range (sec) A <10 B >10 and <15 C >15 and <25 D >25 and <35 E >35 and <50 F >50 4.6 Traffic Operations The SH 82 corridor is characterized by seasonal and directional variations in traffic demand and recurring congestion and queuing that hinders general vehicle as well as HOV, and transit bus mobility and results in unpredictable travel times and unreliable transit service. The congestion is most prevalent up valley during the morning peak period between the Maroon Creek Roundabout and the Airport and down valley during the evening peak period between the Maroon Creek Roundabout and Downtown Aspen . Existing traffic congestion is a result of a high level of activity and travel needs in the corridor (e.g., school trips, commute trips, recreational trips), and the congestion is anticipated to worsen as growth and economic development continue to expand in the corridor and the region . Several intersections operate at a failing LOS F in one or more peak hours that leads to residual queueing, unpredictable travel times, and impacts to buses. Table 3 summarizes the intersection operations using the HCM methodology, and Table 4 summarizes the intersection operations using the microsimulation methodology. 121 Upper Valley Transit Enhancement Study Technical Report Page 23 Table 3: Existing Capacity Analysis Table (HCM) 1 – At signalized intersections, up valley through movements reported in AM and down valley through movements reported in PM. 2 – At unsignalized intersections, worst side-street approach reported. 122 Upper Valley Transit Enhancement Study Technical Report Page 24 Table 4: Existing Capacity Analysis Table (Vissim) The following intersections operate with LOS E or F during at least one peak hour based on at least one of the methodologies described above: • SH 82 at Brush Creek Road (PM) • SH 82 at Service Center Road (AM/PM) • SH 82 at Airport Business Center Road (AM/PM) • SH 82 at Airport Exit/Mountain Rescue Station (AM/PM) • SH 82 at Harmony Road (AM) • SH 82 at Aspen Country Inn (AM) • SH 82 at Hideaway Lane (AM/PM) • SH 82 at Maroon Creek Road/Castle Creek Road (AM/PM) • SH 82 at Cemetery Lane (PM) Figure 16 and 17 illustrates existing travel time by mode and peak hour/ direction. For general traffic, existing travel times on SH 82 between Brush Creek Road and N 3 rd Street are approximately 20 minutes for general vehicles in the up valley direction during the AM peak hour and in the down valley direction during the PM peak hour. The BRT and local buses both have a travel time benefit over passenger vehicles during the AM peak hour in the up valley direction. During the PM peak hour, the BRT experiences a smaller benefit over passenger vehicles and the local buses experience roughly the same travel times as passenger vehicles. This is 1 – At signalized intersections, up valley through movements reported in AM and down valley through movements reported in PM. 2 – At unsignalized intersections, worst side-street approach reported. 123 Upper Valley Transit Enhancement Study Technical Report Page 25 because a large portion of the PM delays occur through the one lane section of the S curve where all vehicles share a single lane. For the existing conditions analysis, single occupancy vehicles and HOV vehicles are expected to have the same travel time as HOV lane designations are followed loosely and with no enforcement. The capacity analysis and other Measures Of Effectiveness worksheets for existing conditions can be found in Appendix II. Figure 16: Existing AM Peak Hour Modeled Travel Time 124 Upper Valley Transit Enhancement Study Technical Report Page 26 Figure 17: Existing PM Peak Hour Modeled Travel Time 5. Transit Operations Transit service within the SH 82 corridor is provided by the RFTA (Figure 18). The majority of the routes that serve the corridor extend beyond the corridor boundaries to down valley and Snowmass, and then provide distribution within the City of Aspen. One interesting aspect of the RFTA service is that active routes change significantly between the winter and summer tourist seasons. To align the traffic analysis, this study focused on the pre-pandemic peak summer season (July 2019 , Figure 19). This is illustrated by Table 5, which shows the 2019 RFTA routes along with their total mon thly ridership. The highlighted rows are the routes that operate within the SH 82 corridor. Other routes such as Snowmass DV may connect with corridor service at places such as Brush Creek Park and Ride but do not actually operate within the corridor. As discussed later, Table 5 provides the foundation for the ridership analysis. Figure 19 provides a map of the corridor and the transit routes that serve the stops within it . Again, the BRT, Valley Local, Snowmass, and other routes extend beyond the corridor limits connecting to down valley, resorts, and the City of Aspen business district. As shown in Table 6, RFTA also provided other data items that proved k ey to the analysis. RFTA’s operational protocols are often changed in response to field conditions, thus the actual number of buses on the road every day are put into service in real time to correct existing emerging problems in the daily operations. So, the planned schedules and stops provide d found in the Global Transit Feed Specification may not capture fully the transit service that was actually operated on any given day . Since 2019 RFTA also implemented a system upgrade in the AVL/CAD (now Clever Devic es), obtaining and analyzing 2019 conditions was not possible since the previous system and its custom reporting is no longer available. 125 Upper Valley Transit Enhancement Study Technical Report Page 27 Table 5 RFTA System 2019 Monthly Ridership By Line Table 6 RFTA Data used in the Analysis Data Source Use within Study GTFS Feed from July 2019 Routes, schedules, scheduled times Clever Stops Data for July 2019: Stop times Segments Time Points March 2021 Clever Select Stop activity Q/A check on times Special SQL Report for ons/offs by line and direction Used to develop conversion factors IMS Ridership 2019 Line Ridership By Month 2019 APC Stop Summary - Daily Old system reports Total Ridership for each line by month Daily average ons/offs by quarter (weekday, Sat, Sun) January February March April May June July August September October November December TOTAL Cemetery Lane CL 14,708 11,399 14,156 7,780 5,148 7,360 8,906 7,337 5,560 4,521 5,151 13,816 105,842 Hunter Creek HC 43,020 41,328 42,670 24,735 16,909 22,608 28,374 26,185 18,819 18,409 23,612 41,432 348,101 Castle-Maroon CM 71,210 63,594 66,199 38,696 25,406 34,660 55,919 51,906 36,679 30,685 27,444 64,112 566,510 Dial A Ride 7,728 7,298 8,711 3,880 2,474 4,708 5,985 4,455 3,200 2,525 2,453 8,309 61,726 Burlingame ABC BG?19,408 14,349 15,795 11,466 6,216 11,285 16,398 14,855 8,030 8,509 9,894 17,016 153,221 Galena Street 19,279 16,225 11,219 8,595 0 0 0 0 0 0 2,067 21,478 78,863 CrossTown 4,291 4,178 4,900 1,932 0 2,775 7,833 6,242 2,534 0 198 4,581 39,464 Maroon Creek Road 13,852 10,370 16,933 7,463 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10,592 59,210 Intercept Lot: 5/1/18 - 6/8/18 M-F 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 SH 82 80,891 63,507 72,826 62,039 64,040 85,463 103,099 95,563 77,566 75,727 73,673 81,259 935,653 Carbondale Shuttle 13,786 11,752 13,448 10,730 11,140 11,394 18,510 14,231 10,208 13,846 10,499 12,366 151,910 Bus Rapid Transit BRT 108,456 86,082 91,879 68,379 59,907 86,509 112,032 105,745 64,204 78,136 74,801 98,382 1,034,512 Snowmass-DV SMV 13,979 14,390 14,794 7,090 1,026 1,906 2,490 2,227 1,011 1,662 1,125 9,422 71,122 Snowmass-Intercept SMI 7,580 6,518 7,546 3,182 1,643 36,875 61,593 56,827 17,075 2,099 3,350 13,024 217,312 Snowmass-Aspen SMA 72,651 62,099 66,640 27,417 0 603 3,061 906 1,011 0 1,406 47,269 283,063 Woody Creek WC 1,890 1,246 1,284 708 0 824 1,191 1,123 34 0 50 911 9,261 Grand Hogback HGB 8,668 7,781 8,645 8,199 7,831 8,123 12,189 8,852 7,905 7,618 6,919 9,392 102,122 Snowmass Skier SMS 88,922 91,788 97,917 34,873 0 0 0 0 0 0 6,247 91,043 410,790 Buttermilk Skier BM 26,950 20,492 25,366 6,462 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 15,767 95,037 Highlands (Dec-March) HD+HYS 23,751 20,747 24,474 9,975 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 12,627 91,574 Flyer 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2,613 2,613 Ride Glenwood RG 13,521 12,471 13,462 13,314 13,383 15,254 15,544 14,453 12,919 13,577 11,453 11,471 160,822 MAA MAA 0 0 0 0 0 8,378 33,338 31,742 0 0 0 0 73,458 Burlingame BG 0 0 0 0 0 10,233 29,557 25,263 0 0 0 0 65,053 Maroon Bells MB 0 0 0 0 0 33,009 61,788 58,074 61,302 19,383 0 0 233,556 Specials/Charters NA 36,163 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 36,163 ADA NA 87 121 81 109 79 55 47 49 40 48 59 70 845 Jazz NA 0 0 0 0 0 0 11,001 5,848 0 0 16,849 Senior Van 317 314 352 322 372 312 336 362 294 293 250 356 3,880 TOTAL 691,108 568,049 619,297 357,346 215,574 382,334 578,190 537,398 334,239 277,038 260,651 587,308 5,408,533 2019 Monthly Route 126 Upper Valley Transit Enhancement Study Technical Report Page 28 Figure 18: SH 82 Corridor Transit Services Table 7 provides a summary of the bus frequencies within the corridor between key locations. A transit vehicle is operating within the corridor every 2 minutes in segments further out (towards Brush Creek) and every 1.3 minutes as one approaches downtown Aspen (these are two way frequencies), but based upon the GTFS, RFTA has very similar inbound and outbound service levels , and one can assume a vehicle every 4 minutes and 2.6 minutes operating in each direction at the same locations. Table 8 and Figure 20 provide the total boardings and alightings for stops/stations within the corridor. This includes all transfers at transit hubs such as the Brush Creek Park and Ride . Therefore, the 3,207 total at Brush Creek Park and Ride represents transfers among all of the routes that serve the park and ride lot including the Snowmass DV, Snowmass Intercept, and their interactions with the other routes such as the BRT and Valley Local. 127 Upper Valley Transit Enhancement Study Technical Report Page 29 Table 7: Existing Transit Frequency Segment Buses per 2019 Summer Weekday Peak Hour Both Directions Brush Creek to Harmony 26 Harmony to Roundabout 30 Roundabout to Cemetery 40 Cemetery to Downtown 46 Table 8: Ridership Stop Total Ridership (Boardings + Alightings) BRUSH CREEK PARK AND RIDE 3,207 HIGHWAY 82 ROARING FORK TRAN 25 HIGHWAY 82 AIRPORT 487 HIGHWAY 82 BUTTERMILK 316 HIGHWAY 82 ASPEN COUNTRY INN 29 HIGHWAY 82 TRUSCOTT 179 ANN MAROON CREEK ROUNDABOUT 0 HIGHWAY 82 CEMETERY LANE 12 HIGHWAY 82 MAROON CREEK ROUN 93 MAROON CREEK RD ROUNDABOUT 74 HALLAM ST 8TH ST 580 BLEEKER ST 7TH ST 11 128 Upper Valley Transit Enhancement Study Technical Report Page 30 Figure 19: Summer 2019 Transit Ridership 129 Upper Valley Transit Enhancement Study Technical Report Page 31 As discussed in the methodology section, the route peak hour by direction ridership and mode shares had to be estimated by applying factors to the July 2019 Monthly Route Totals shown in Table 5. Based on this methodology and factors derived from the RFTA data , the routes serving the corridor carry a total AM and PM peak hour ridership of 413 BRT riders and 664 local bus riders for a total of 1,097 riders. Figure 20: Existing Ridership Figure 21: Existing Mode Share 130 Upper Valley Transit Enhancement Study Technical Report Page 32 The peak hour calculations were also used to estimate the mode share of all travelers at the Owl Creek Bridge. Figure 21 shows the UV/IN and DV/OUT shares for the AM and PM peak hours. Noticeably the transit mode share is higher the AM and PM peak directions and is higher in the PM peak. AM peak hour transit share in the UV/IN direction. and 21%. PM peak hour transit mode share in the DV/Out direction is 24%. 131 Upper Valley Transit Enhancement Study Technical Report Page 33 6. Existing Pedestrian and Bicycle Infrastructure This section of the report documents existing walking and biking conditions including gaps and barriers, land use, key connections, location and quality of existing bicycle facilities, and planned bicycle facilities. The robust investment in pedestrian/bicycle infrastructure is embodied by the wide shared -use paths on the down-valley side of SH 82, as well as on Owl Creek Road, Brush Creek Road, and elsewhere, and by the six pedestrian underpasses between Brush Creek Road and Castle Creek (Figure 22). Combined, these assets provide excellent overall connectivity up and down valley. The lack of paved pathways on the up - valley side of SH 82, however, creates several “islands” lacking connectivity on that side of the highway, particularly for Americans with Disabilities Act (ADA) users and pedestrians trying to cross SH 82 between bus stops. Mead & Hunt captured half-mile walksheds for each bus stop on SH 82 between Service Center Road and 7th and Main Streets. This was conducted utilizing a standard ArcGIS network tool, supplemented by a visual review of aerial and street-level imagery. The walksheds represent the industry-standard reasonable distance that the majority of transit passengers would be willing to cover on foot to access their bus. Only ADA-accessible, hard-surface paths were included in the walkshed analysis. The highway itself was considered an impassible barrier west of the Castle Creek Bridge, except for the existing underpasses and the signalized crossing at Owl Creek Road. 132 Upper Valley Transit Enhancement Study Technical Report Page 34 6 Pedestrian Underpasses Figure 22: Pedestrian and Bicycle Infrastructure Map: Pedestrian and Bicycle Infrastructure Map 133 Upper Valley Transit Enhancement Study Technical Report Page 35 6.1 7th and Bleeker (UV) The downtown street grid gives this stop a very complete walkshed (Figure 23). .Many of the downtown streets lack sidewalks, nevertheless the low speeds inherent in the downtown grid pattern with small blocks and traffic controls makes these streets viable pedestrian routes, nevertheless. Figure 23: 7th and Bleeker (UV) Walkshed 134 Upper Valley Transit Enhancement Study Technical Report Page 36 6.2 Hallam and 8th (UV and DV) The downtown street grid gives this stop (Figure 24) a walkshed that is very similar to the 7th and Bleeker stop, extending somewhat further down-valley. Figure 24: Hallam and 8th (UV and DV) Walkshed 135 Upper Valley Transit Enhancement Study Technical Report Page 37 6.3 Cemetery Lane (DV) The walkshed for this stop (Figure 25) represents a hybrid between the omnidirectional walkshed of the downtown stations and the more channelized examples of stations further down valley. The first of the isolated “islands” is evident herein the area around Maroon Creek Road on the up-valley side of SH 82. Figure 25: Cemetery Lane (DV) Walkshed 136 Upper Valley Transit Enhancement Study Technical Report Page 38 6.4 Roundabout (DV) The walkshed for the Roundabout stop (Figure 26) essentially comprises of three small walksheds in the Cemetery Lane, Maroon Creek & Castle Creek Roads, and Truscott Place areas, connected by the shared- use path on the down-valley side of SH 82. Figure 26: Roundabout (DV) Walkshed 137 Upper Valley Transit Enhancement Study Technical Report Page 39 6.5 Truscott (UV & DV) The walksheds of these stops (Figure 27) are largely limited to the down-valley side of SH 82 due to the lack of ADA-accessible pathways on the up-valley side of the highway. The up-valley stop is in fact not connected to any other destinations on that side. Figure 27: Truscott (UV & DV) Walkshed 138 Upper Valley Transit Enhancement Study Technical Report Page 40 6.6 Aspen Country Inn (UV & DV) Due to the lack of a crossing at this stop (Figure 28), the up-valley stop and down-valley stop walksheds are wholly separate. The down-valley walkshed connects the Truscott and Maroon Creek Club areas, whereas the area of the Aspen Country Inn itself is completely isolated from other land uses. Figure 28: Aspen Country Inn (UV & DV) Walkshed 139 Upper Valley Transit Enhancement Study Technical Report Page 41 6.7 Buttermilk (UV and DV) The Buttermilk base area, like the Aspen Country Inn, is an island (Figure 29) due to the lack of paved pathways on that side of SH 82. Due to the signalized crosswalk at Owl Creek Road and the development on Stage Road and Harmony Road, this walkshed overall is somewhat more expansive than the three previous ones. Figure 29: Buttermilk (UV and DV) Walkshed 140 Upper Valley Transit Enhancement Study Technical Report Page 42 6.8 AABC (UV and DV) The pedestrian underpass results in walksheds for each stop at the airport being almost identical (Figure 30). While the land-side portion of the airport is an island, the business park and adjacent neighborhood result in a fairly expansive walkshed on the down-valley side of the highway. Figure 30: AABC (UV and DV) Walkshed 141 Upper Valley Transit Enhancement Study Technical Report Page 43 6.9 Service Center Road (UV and DV) The walksheds for the Service Center Road stops are extremely limited (Figure 31), due to the lack of a safe crossing at this intersection and the lack of an accessible connection to the adjacent residential neighborhood on the down-valley side. Sage Road cannot be considered an accessible route due to its lack of sidewalk and its hard curb-and-gutter edges. No accessible pathways exist on the up-valley side. Figure 31: Service Center Road (UV and DV) Walkshed Planned Facilities Improvements The currently planned singular pedestrian/bicycle improvement is the extension of the existing shared use path on the down-valley side of SH 82 from Airport Business Center to Brush Creek Road. 142 Upper Valley Transit Enhancement Study Technical Report Page 44 7. Future Traffic Forecasts and Traffic Operations 7.1 Regional Growth and Background Developments Future (2025) volumes were developed for the study corridor. Regional growth was applied to the existing volumes based on CDOT’s 20-year factor (0.55 percent per year) provided on the OTIS website for Station 103522 for mainline traffic. Side streets were grown by 0.25 percent per year to account for regional growth. There were four known background developments in the immediate vicinity (Figure 32), and vehicle trips for each of those sites were added to the regional growth. These additional trip totals are shown in Table 9 below and were provided in the Aspen Airport Business Center (AABC) Interim Traffic Impact Study Results memorandum. Figure 32: Background Development Locations 143 Upper Valley Transit Enhancement Study Technical Report Page 45 Table 9: Background Development Trip Generation Volumes Several improvements/modifications are recommended as part of the SH 82 Access Control Plan and included in the Aspen Airport Business Center (AABC) Interim Traffic Impact Study Results memorandum. These improvements are assumed to happen alongside any improvements to the SH 82 corridor and were included in the No Build scenario for this study. These improvements include the following, with the numbers matching the locations numbered in Figure 33 below: • A new signal at the Mountain Rescue Aspen/Lumber Yard entrance (15). o This signal is assumed to have concurrent side -street phasing and protected mainline left-turns from SH 82. • The airport ramp will be closed (17) and realigned as the fourth leg at the Mountain Rescue Aspen/Lumber Yard signal (15). • Sage Way access onto SH 82 will be closed (14). • Sage Way will be extended to form a continuous connection between Mountain Rescue Aspen/Lumber Yard and Service Center Road (12/14). • The airport circulation pattern will be modified (13). This will create an entrance only to the Airport at Aspen Airport Business Center (13). o The entrance only traffic flow simplifies signal phasing at the i ntersection by eliminating a phase for vehicles exiting the Airport. 144 Upper Valley Transit Enhancement Study Technical Report Page 46 7.2 2025 Volume Development Future 2025 AM and PM peak hour volumes sets (Appendix III) were developed by applying the regional growths and background development site trips described in the above section. Reassignment of several intersection turning movement volumes was necessary to reflect the new circulation patterns and connections at several intersections in the vicinity of the Airport . Figure 33: Background Improvements 145 Upper Valley Transit Enhancement Study Technical Report Page 47 7.3 Analysis Methodology 7.3.1 Traffic Analysis Methodology Each alternative was evaluated using the same measures described in Section 4.5 Measures of Effectiveness section. Both the Synchro model and Vissim microsimulation model were updated with the 2025 volumes and any roadway improvements/modifications were coded into the models. The results were reported in the same format and using the same methodology as was done for Section 4 Existing Conditions. 7.3.2 Transit Ridership Methodology Since there is no current sub area travel demand model for the Upper Valley the change in ridership from existing conditions to the 2025 No Build, and from the 2025 No Build to each of the alternatives was based on a pivot point sketch method using recommended auto cross-elasticity and transit direct elasticity found through a literature review. As shown in Figure 34, Elasticity rates are calculated based upon the observed percent change in demand (e.g., ridership) divided by the percent change in price (e.g., door-to-door travel time). Elasticity estimates must be calculated based upon the total travel time of each full trip and not just the time spent in the corridor. All other characteristics such as stop locations, frequency, routing, and span of service were assumed to remain the same. Based upon guidance from the literature and TCRP/TRB guidance (Transit Capacity and Quality of Service Handbook, 2013; TCRP 118 BRT Practitioner’s Guide, 2007; TCRP 95 Traveler Responses to Transportation System Changes, 2004 and 2013), the Transit Time Elasticity was assumed to be -0.4 percent, or a 10 percent decrease in transit travel time causes a 4 percent increase in transit ridership. A similar literature review was carried out for auto cross-elasticities (Armando Lago, 1980; TRL, 2004; Frank, et.al, 2008). While no definitive recommendations exist, based upon the studies found the Auto Time Cross-Elasticity was assumed to be -0.2 percent, or a 10 percent increase in auto travel time causes a 2 percent increase in transit ridership. The analysis used as a foundation the 2019 Monthly Ridership by line provided by RFTA (July 2019). In order to apply the elasticity formulas, the overall totals for each line had to be converted to average weekday volumes by direction and time period (AM and PM peak periods and hours). RFTA underwent a system upgrade since 2019, and unfortunately some of the detail that existed in the older system was n o longer available. Therefore, factors were developed based upon the March 2021 Clever Select Stop activity by direction, time, and line provided by RFTA. The following steps were carried out: • Convert monthly to weekday total ridership based upon the weekdays, Saturdays, and Sundays for July 2019, days that the line operated, and average summer weekday and weekend boardings. Factors used were BRT = 0.42, Burlingame = 0.39, and all others 0.36. • Convert total weekday ridership to average weekday ridership by dividing by the 22 weekdays in July 2019. • Convert average weekday ridership to ridership by direction based upon the March 2021 line/stop boardings by direction. Percent UV, DV varied from 0.50 to 0.55. Figure 34 Elasticity Formula 146 Upper Valley Transit Enhancement Study Technical Report Page 48 • Convert the average weekday ridership by direction to AM and PM peak period ridership by direction (RFTA data was provided by time period) using factors based upon the March 2021 line/stop boardings by direction data. • Convert the peak period ridership by direction to peak hour ridership using factors from the boarding data: 0.33 was used for the BRT, Local Valley, and Snowmass Aspen routes , and 0.4 was used for Cemetery Lane, Castle-Maroon, and Burlingame routes. The results of the conversion are shown in Table 10. Table 10 Route 82 Corridor Average weekday Monthly, Peak Period, and Peak Hour Weekday by direction Ridership The next step was to calculate door-to-door travel time for transit riders and auto drivers by adding the average travel time that they take get to or from SH 82 to complete their trip. The schedules where each route goes before and after entering or leaving the corridor were analyzed . The additional time assumed based on this evaluation is shown in Table 11. The BRT, Local Valley, and Snowmass routes spend significant time travelling before they reach the corridor at Brush Cre ek Park and Ride (BRT is over an hour). Table 11 Before/After Times added for to/from corridor Route Before/After SOV time Before/After Transit Time Bus Rapid Transit BRT 20 25 Local Valley L 20 30 Snowmass-Aspen SMA 10 15 Burlingame ABC BG 5 10 Burlingame BG 5 10 Castle-Maroon CM 6 12 Cemetery Lane CL 6 12 With the ridership by line, direction, and time as well as the overall travel times estimated, the last step was to apply the elasticity calculations as follows: • Existing to No Build ridership o Change in ridership due to change in auto travel times from ex isting (cross-elasticity = 0.2 percent) o Additional change in ridership due to change in transit travel times from existing (elasticity = -0.4 percent). This used the auto cross-elasticity results as the input. • No Build to alternative ridership July Am Peak In Am Peak out PM peak IN PM peak Out Am Peak In Am Peak out PM peak IN PM peak Out Cemetery Lane CL 8,906 15.01 5.47 20.55 30.24 6.00 2.19 8.22 12.10 Castle-Maroon CM 55,919 100.40 83.74 148.02 143.19 40.16 33.50 59.21 57.27 Burlingame ABC BG?16,398 47.72 8.32 34.77 50.81 19.09 3.33 13.91 20.33 SH 82 103,099 291.20 136.40 141.71 286.09 96.10 45.01 46.77 94.41 Bus Rapid Transit BRT 112,032 451.54 122.34 165.29 573.88 149.01 40.37 54.54 189.38 Snowmass-Aspen SMA 3,061 - - 9.85 8.98 - - 3.25 2.96 Burlingame BG 29,557 86.01 15.00 62.67 91.59 34.41 6.00 25.07 36.64 TOTAL 328,972 1,240 500 670 1,392 345 130 211 413 Route Peak Period Ridership Peak Hour Ridership 147 Upper Valley Transit Enhancement Study Technical Report Page 49 o Change in ridership due to change in auto travel times from No Build (cross-elasticity = 0.2 percent) o Additional change in ridership due to change in transit travel times from No Build (elasticity = -0.4 percent). This used the auto cross-elasticity results as the input. The results of these calculations are provided in the alternatives sections (Section 7.5 and following). 7.3.3 Pedestrian/Bicycle Analysis Methodology Two separate methodologies were utilized to evaluate pedestrian and bicycle safety , pedestrian exposure (conflicts) and bicycle level of traffic stress. 7.3.3.1 Pedestrian exposure (conflicts) As shown in Figure 35, at a typical four-leg intersection there are over 32 vehicle-vehicle conflict points, where multiple vehicles could desire to cross the same point simultaneously . Additionally, there are 16 vehicle-pedestrian conflict points. A cross-product calculation is calculated for each vehicle-pedestrian conflict point. The calculation multiplied the vehicle volume times the conflicting pedestrian volume to identify intersections and crosswalks with the highest quantified number of hourly or total conflicts . 7.3.3.2 Bicycle Level of Traffic Stress Level of traffic stress (LTS) is an approach that quantifies the amount of discomfort that people feel when they bicycle close to traffic and is correlated to the number of vehicle travel lanes, vehicle speeds , vehicle volumes, and physical configuration of the bicycle facility as follows and shown in Figure 36: • LTS 1: Suitable for children cyclists. Cyclists are either physically separate from traffic or face a limited volume of low-speed traffic in which they rarely have to deal with more than one vehicle at a time. • LTS 2: Limits traffic stress to what the mainstream adult population, called “interested but concerned,” will tolerate. Either cyclists have their own defensible space (i.e., cars reliably stay out of it), or, if in mixed traffic, they have to deal with multiple vehicles at a time only . • LTS 3: A level of traffic stress acceptable to those Geller calls “enthused and confident.” Involves frequent but not severe interaction with moderate speed or multilane traffic. • LTS 4: A level of stress acceptable only to the “strong and fearless.” Involves being forced to mix with moderate speed traffic or close proximity to high-speed traffic. 148 Upper Valley Transit Enhancement Study Technical Report Page 50 Figure 35: Intersection Conflict Points 149 Upper Valley Transit Enhancement Study Technical Report Page 51 Figure 36: Bicycle Level of Traffic Stress 7.4 2025 No Build Analysis 7.4.1 2025 No Build Scenario The 2025 No Build Scenario uses the 2025 AM and PM peak hour volumes and includes the background improvements described in Section 7.1 Regional Growth and Background Developments. Additionally, the 2025 scenarios assume there will be greater enforcement of the segments designated for HOV vehicles only. 7.4.2 2025 No Build Results 7.4.2.1 Traffic Operations Under 2025 No Build conditions, the LOS deteriorates further, and travel times increase, particularly for single occupancy vehicles (SOV). Table 12 and Table 13show the HCM and Vissim analysis results. Figure 37 and Figure 38 show the AM and PM travel time results by mode. Apendix IV contains detailed capacity analysis and other MOE worksheets for 2025 No Build conditions. 150 Upper Valley Transit Enhancement Study Technical Report Page 52 Table 12: 2025 No Build Capacity Analysis Table (HCM) Table 13: 2025 No Build Capacity Analysis Table (Vissim) 1 – At signalized intersections, up valley through movements reported in AM and down valley through movements reported in PM. 2 – At unsignalized intersections, worst side-street approach reported. 1 – At signalized intersections, up valley through movements reported in AM and down valley through movements reported in PM. 2 – At unsignalized intersections, worst side-street approach reported. 151 Upper Valley Transit Enhancement Study Technical Report Page 53 The following intersections operate with LOS E or F during at least one peak hour based on at least one of the methodologies described above: • SH 82 at Brush Creek Road (PM) • SH 82 at Service Center Road (AM/PM) • SH 82 at Airport Business Center Road (AM) • SH 82 at Airport Exit/Mountain Rescue Station (AM) • SH 82 at Harmony Road (AM) • SH 82 at Owl Creek Road (AM) • SH 82 at The Inn at Aspen (AM) • SH 82 at Tiehack Road (AM) • SH 82 at Aspen Country Inn (PM) • SH 82 at Pyramid Road/Truscott Place (PM) • SH 82 at Hideaway Lane (AM/PM) • SH 82 at Maroon Creek Road/Castle Creek Road (AM/PM) • SH 82 at Cemetery Lane (PM) 7.4.2.2 Travel Times During the AM peak hour (Figure 37), up valley travel times increase to over 33 minutes for SOV vehicles and over 23 minutes for HOV vehicles. BRT and local bus travel times remain consistent to those under Existing Conditions during the AM peak hour because there are already bus only lanes provided in the areas experiencing the most congestion. During the PM peak hour (Figure 38), SOV and HOV vehicles experience travel times increases to over 23 minutes in total, while BRT and local bus travel times increase modestly. 152 Upper Valley Transit Enhancement Study Technical Report Page 54 Figure 37: 2025 No Build AM Peak Hour Modeled Travel Time 153 Upper Valley Transit Enhancement Study Technical Report Page 55 Figure 38: 2025 No Build PM Peak Hour Modeled Travel Time 154 Upper Valley Transit Enhancement Study Technical Report Page 56 7.4.2.3 Transit In the 2025 No Build Alternative the peak direction door to door travel time for those travelling the full corridor (UV/IN in the AM) goes from 40.62 minutes to 53.32 minutes due to the increased growth in the corridor, while the transit travel times remain roughly the same (37.52 minutes versus 37.72 minutes). This illustrates the importance of the auto time cross-elasticity since, due to the worsening congestion, as shown in Figure 39 the total AM and PM peak hour transit ridership increases to 1119 from the existing value of 1097. Figure 40 shows the No Build transit mode share at the Owl Creek Bridge, which is the same as the existing conditions. Figure 39: 2025 No Build Transit Ridership 155 Upper Valley Transit Enhancement Study Technical Report Page 57 7.4.2.4 Figure 40: 2025 No Build Mode SharePedestrian and Bicycle SH 82 itself is an LTS-4 pathway, as are Owl Creek Road and Brush Creek Road . The parallel shared-use path provides a LTS-1 connection, however, through most of the corridor. Most of the side streets feeding into SH 82 are LTS-2 or -3 corridors as shown in Figure 41 Figure 41: Bicycle Level of Stress - No Build 156 Upper Valley Transit Enhancement Study Technical Report Page 58 7.5 Alternatives Development and Evaluation The following sections describe the development and description of the alternatives defined in this study 7.6 2025 Alternative 1 – Maximized Multimodal Right-of-Way 7.6.1 2025 Alternative 1 Scenario Alternative 1 involves intersection, bus priority, and pedestrian and bicycle improvements. This alternative also involves transportation systems management and operations/ transportation demand management . 7.6.1.1 Intersection Improvements SH 82 at Service Center Road (Figure 42) At the intersection of SH 82 at Service Center Road the following improvements are included: • New full color traffic signal o The traffic signal will operate with protected left -turn movements for mainline SH 82 and the side streets will operate concurrently. o The traffic signal will provide signalized pedestrian crossings of the up valley leg of SH 82 and both legs of Service Center Road. Figure 42: SH 82 at Service Center Road – New Traffic Signal New At-Grade Crosswalks Full Color Traffic Signal 157 Upper Valley Transit Enhancement Study Technical Report Page 59 SH 82 at Owl Creek Road (Figure 43 and Figure 44) At the intersection of SH 82 at Owl Creek Road the following improvements are included: • Construct new pedestrian underpass to replace the existing at -grade crossing of SH 82 on the up valley leg Figure 43: SH 82 at Owl Creek Road – Pedestrian Underpass Remove At- grade Crossing 158 Upper Valley Transit Enhancement Study Technical Report Page 60 • Extend the HOV lane up valley through the Harmony Road and Owl Creek Road intersections (Figure 44) to reduce upstream queueing experienced during the AM peak hours . The buses can use the HOV lane or the shoulder in this segment. Figure 44: SH 82 Up Valley HOV Lane Extension Extend HOV Lane Through Harmony Road and Owl Creek Road SH 82 159 Upper Valley Transit Enhancement Study Technical Report Page 61 SH 82 at Maroon Creek Road/Castle Creek Road Roundabout (Figure 45) At the intersection of SH 82 at Maroon Creek Road/Castle Creek Road the following improvements are included: • Channelize the down valley outer approach lane entering the Maroon Creek Roundabout with a vertical barrier to achieve better lane utilization through the roundabout and remove conflicts with circulating/turning vehicles providing additional capacity. o Providing channelization will make the outer lane the dominant lane in the merge downstream of the roundabout (i.e., left-turns from Maroon Creek Road/Castle Creek Road will “yield” to through vehicles in the outer lane). o Special consideration of snow removal needs will be included in the selection of the proper channelization device type. Figure 45: Down Valley Channelization at Maroon Creek Roundabout Provide Channelization of Down Valley Approach Through Vehicles to Use Outer Lane 160 Upper Valley Transit Enhancement Study Technical Report Page 62 7.6.1.2 Bus Priority Improvements Run BRT Through Airport The BRT will run through the Airport on a separate bi-directional guideway with a replacement stop at the terminal. This use of a separate guideway will necessitate additional signal phases (Figure 46 and Figure 47) at the Mountain Rescue Station/Lumber Yard signal and at the Aspen Airport Business Center Road signal for down valley movements. Figure 46: Additional Signal Phase for Buses Exiting Airport Guideway Figure 47: Additional Signal Phase for Buses Entering Airport Guideway Exclusive Bus Only Phase for Exiting Airport Guideway Exclusive Bus Only Phase for Entering Airport Guideway 161 Upper Valley Transit Enhancement Study Technical Report Page 63 Harmony Road/Owl Creek Road Bypass Improvements at these intersections will channelize a bus bypass lane at the Harmony Road signal in the up valley direction and at the Owl Creek Road signal in the down valley direction (red arrows in Figure 48). This will allow buses to avoid one traffic signal in both directions. Additionally, the far side curb will be pulled back at Owl Creek Road to allow buses to use the existing right-turn lane as a queue jump and avoid having to merge back into mainline traffic prior to stopping (orange arrow in Figure 48). Figure 48: Channelized Bus Bypass Lanes at Harmony/Owl Creek Channelized Up Valley Bypass Lane for Buses at Harmony Road Channelized Down Valley Bypass Lane for Buses at Owl Creek Road Pull curb back to allow direct access to far side bus stop from right-turn lane 162 Upper Valley Transit Enhancement Study Technical Report Page 64 Cemetery Lane At Cemetery Lane, the channelization islands will be pulled back (Figure 49) to provide a queue jump at Cemetery Lane for buses in the down valley direction. The second lane will be extended as a bus only lane to the second approach lane of the Maroon Creek Roundabout for better lane continuity and utilization. Figure 49: Cemetery Lane Queue Jump and Lane Extension 7.6.1.3 Pedestrian and Bicycle Improvements Speed Limit Reduction The posted speed limit would be reduced from 55 MPH to 45 MPH from 2,500’ north of Service Center Road to the Airport Road On-Ramp (where the speed limit currently reduces to 45 MPH). SH 82 at Service Center Road Signalized at-grade crossings of SH 82 and Service Center Road are provided as shown in Figure 50. SH 82 at Owl Creek Road A pedestrian underpass will replace the existing at-grade crossing of SH 82 on the up valley leg as shown in Figure 43. SH 82 Trail Connection A trail on the Aspen Country Inn side of the road will be connected to Truscott Place in the up valley direction and Owl Creek Road in the down valley direction. The trail will provide access to safe crossings of SH 82 from Aspen Country Inn and other areas on that side of the road. Provide 2nd Lane for Bus Only Connecting from Cemetery Lane Down Valley Acceleration Lane to Maroon Creek Roundabout Pull back channelization islands Cemetery Lane 163 Upper Valley Transit Enhancement Study Technical Report Page 65 Figure 50: Trail Connection Between Owl Creek and Truscott Sage Way Sidewalks Sidewalks will be provided the full length of Sage Way. 7.6.1.4 Transportation Systems Management and Operations/ Transportation Demand Management Enforcement of HOV Lane Enforcement of the posted HOV lane restrictions is assumed as part of this alternative . Options for enforcement include manual and/or automated cameras/devices. 7.6.2 2025 Alternative 1 Results Under 2025 Alternative 1 conditions, the LOS improves at some key intersections, particularly at the Maroon Creek Road/Castle Creek Road during the PM peak hour in the down valley direction. Table 14 and Table 15 show the HCM and Vissim analysis results. Figure 51 and Figure 52 show the AM and PM travel time results by mode. Apendix V contains detailed capacity analysis and other MOE worksheets for 2025 Alternative 1 conditions. Trail Connection from Aspen Country Inn to Truscott Place and Owl Creek 164 Upper Valley Transit Enhancement Study Technical Report Page 66 Table 14: 2025 Alternative 1 Capacity Analysis Table (HCM) 1 – At signalized intersections, up valley through movements reported in AM and down valley through movements reported in PM. 2 – At unsignalized intersections, worst side-street approach reported. 165 Upper Valley Transit Enhancement Study Technical Report Page 67 Table 15: 2025 Alternative 1 Capacity Analysis Table (Vissim) 7.6.2.1 Traffic Operations The following intersections operate with LOS E or F during at least one peak hour based on at least one of the methodologies described above: • SH 82 at Brush Creek Road (PM) • SH 82 at Harmony Road (AM) • SH 82 at The Inn at Aspen (AM) • SH 82 at Stage Road (PM) • SH 82 at Tiehack Road (AM) • SH 82 at Aspen Country Inn (PM) • SH 82 at Pyramid Road/Truscott Place (AM/PM) • SH 82 at Hideaway Lane (AM/PM) • SH 82 at Maroon Creek Road/Castle Creek Road (AM) 1 – At signalized intersections, up valley through movements reported in AM and down valley through movements reported in PM. 2 – At unsignalized intersections, worst side-street approach reported. 166 Upper Valley Transit Enhancement Study Technical Report Page 68 7.6.2.2 Travel Times During the AM peak hour, up valley travel times reduce substantially for SOV and HOV vehicles (11 and 6 minutes, respectively) but increase modestly for BRT and local buses. During the PM peak hour, SOV and HOV vehicles experience travel time decreases of 11-12 minutes in the down valley direction, while BRT and local bus travel times experience travel time decreases of 2 -3 minutes over No Build conditions. The PM improvements for all modes can be attributed to quicker travel times in the down valley direction between Aspen and the Maroon Creek Roundabout. Figure 51: 2025 Alt 1 AM Peak Hour Modeled Travel Time 167 Upper Valley Transit Enhancement Study Technical Report Page 69 Figure 52: 2025 Alt 1 PM Peak Hour Modeled Travel Time 7.6.2.3 Transit Alternative 1 has auto travel times for those traveling the full corridor in the middle of the alternatives (41.65), but still much better than No Build (53.317). This causes ridership to drop from No Build, especially since it also has higher transit travel times, which, at 39.13 for those traveling the full corridor on BRT, are the worst of all of the alternatives. Figure 53 shows its total AM and PM peak hour ridership within the corridor at 1094, which is also in the middle of the different alternatives rider ship estimates. Figure 54 shows that Alternative 1 rat the Owl Creek Bridge mode shares is very similar to Alternatives 2 and 4. 168 Upper Valley Transit Enhancement Study Technical Report Page 70 Figure 53: Alternative 1 Transit Ridership Figure 54: Alternative 1 Mode Share 169 Upper Valley Transit Enhancement Study Technical Report Page 71 7.6.2.4 Pedestrian and Bicycle For Alternative 1 the main improvements in pedestrian accessibility (shown on walkshed Figure 55 through Figure 61) are around Tiehack Road, Aspen Country Inn, and the Pyramid Road neighborhood as a result of the additional sidewalk, trail and pedestrian crossing improvements. Figure 55: Alternative 1 Overall Walkshed 170 Upper Valley Transit Enhancement Study Technical Report Page 72 Figure 56: Alternative 1 - Roundabout (DV) Walkshed 171 Upper Valley Transit Enhancement Study Technical Report Page 73 Figure 57: Alternative 1 - Truscott (UV & DV) Walkshed 172 Upper Valley Transit Enhancement Study Technical Report Page 74 Figure 58: Alternative 1 - Aspen Country Inn (UV & DV) 173 Upper Valley Transit Enhancement Study Technical Report Page 75 Figure 59: Alternative 1 - Buttermilk (UV & DV) Walksheds 174 Upper Valley Transit Enhancement Study Technical Report Page 76 Figure 60: Alternative 1 - AABC (UV & DV) Walksheds 175 Upper Valley Transit Enhancement Study Technical Report Page 77 Figure 61: Alternative 1 - Service Center Road (UV & DV) Walksheds 176 Upper Valley Transit Enhancement Study Technical Report Page 78 For bicycles, the new trail on the up valley side of SH 82 (Figure 62) improves the LTS to a ‘1’ between Truscott Place and Owl Creek Road. Figure 62: Bicycle Level of Stress - Alternative 1 7.7 2025 Alternative 2 – Spot Multimodal Improvements 7.7.1 2025 Alternative 2 Scenario The improvements included as part of Alternative 2 are described below. 7.7.1.1 Intersection Improvements SH 82 at Service Center Road This intersection will have a new full traffic signal as described in Alternative 1. SH 82 at Owl Creek Road The HOV lane will be extended through this intersection as described under Alternative 1 . However, the at- grade pedestrian crossing will remain in this scenario (i.e., as it does under existing conditions). SH 82 at Maroon Creek Road/Castle Creek Road Roundabout In addition to the down valley bypass lane described in Alternative 1, Alternative 2 will allow up valley through movements for HOV vehicles from the outer lane of the roundabout (in addition to buses and right - turning vehicles) in the AM peak hours. This creates better lane utilization in the up valley direction. 177 Upper Valley Transit Enhancement Study Technical Report Page 79 Figure 63: Channelization and Up Valley Lane Assignment 7.7.1.2 Bus Priority Improvements Harmony Road/Owl Creek Road The far side curb will be pulled back (as described in Alternative 1) at Owl Creek Road to allow buses to use the existing right-turn lane as a queue jump and avoid having to merge back into mainline traffic prior to stopping. Cemetery Lane At Cemetery Lane, the channelization islands will be pulled back to provide a queue jump at Cemetery Lane for buses in the down valley direction. The second lane will be extended to the second approach lane of the Maroon Creek Roundabout to provide better lane continuity and utilization (as described in Alternative 1). 7.7.1.3 Pedestrian and Bicycle Improvements Speed Limit Reduction The posted speed limit would be reduced from 55 MPH to 45 MPH from 2,500’ north of Service Center Road to the Airport Road On-Ramp (where the speed limit currently reduces to 45 MPH). SH 82 at Service Center Road Signalized at-grade pedestrian crossings of SH 82 and Service Center Road are provided . SH 82 at Aspen Country Inn Under Alternative 2, a HAWK, High intensity Activated crossWalK, signal will be installed on SH 82 at Aspen Country Inn to allow pedestrians to cross SH 82 at that location. It is activated by pedestrians and will hold mainline SH 82 traffic while pedestrians are completing the crossing movement. Provide Channelization of Down Valley Approach. Through Vehicles to use Outer Lane Allow HOV Vehicles to go Through from Outer Approach Lane (AM Peak hours) 178 Upper Valley Transit Enhancement Study Technical Report Page 80 7.7.1.4 Transportation Systems Management and Operations/Transportation Demand Managemen t Enforcement of HOV Lane Enforcement of the posted HOV lane restrictions is assumed as part of this alternative . Options for enforcement include manual and/or automated cameras/devices. 7.7.2 2025 Alternative 2 Results 7.7.2.1 Traffic Operations Under 2025 Alternative 2 conditions, the LOS improves at some key intersections, particularly at the Maroon Creek Road/Castle Creek Road during the AM peak hour in the up valley direction and the PM peak hour in the down valley direction. Table 16 and Table 17Table 13 show the HCM and Vissim analysis results. Figure 64 and Figure 65 show the AM and PM travel time results by mode. Apendix VI contains detailed capacity analysis and other MOE worksheets for 2025 Alternative 2 conditions. Table 16: 2025 Alternative 2 Capacity Analysis Table (HCM) 1 – At signalized intersections, up valley through movements reported in AM and down valley through movements reported in PM. 2 – At unsignalized intersections, worst side-street approach reported. 179 Upper Valley Transit Enhancement Study Technical Report Page 81 Table 17: 2025 Alternative 2 Capacity Analysis Table (Vissim) The following intersections operate with LOS E or F during at least one peak hour based on at least one of the methodologies described above: • SH 82 at Brush Creek Road (PM) • SH 82 at Stage Road (PM) • SH 82 at Tie Hack Road (AM) • SH 82 at Aspen Country Inn (PM) • SH 82 at Pyramid Road/Truscott Place (PM) • SH 82 at Hideaway Lane (AM/PM) • SH 82 at Maroon Creek Road/Castle Creek Road (AM) 7.7.2.2 Travel Times During the AM peak hour, up valley travel times reduce substantially for SOV and HOV vehicles (by 21 and 12 minutes, respectively), and travel times for BRT and local buses remain consistent to No Build conditions. During the PM peak hour, the travel times for SOV and HOV vehicles are similar to those experienced under Alternative 1 (11- to 12-minute benefit over No Build in the down valley direction). BRT 1 – At signalized intersections, up valley through movements reported in AM and down valley through movements reported in PM. 2 – At unsignalized intersections, worst side-street approach reported. 180 Upper Valley Transit Enhancement Study Technical Report Page 82 travel times improve by an additional 1-2 minutes over Alternative 1 (3-4 minutes over No Build), and local bus travel times remain consistent with those under Alternative 1. Figure 64: 2025 Alt 2 AM Peak Hour Modeled Travel Time Figure 65: 2025 Alt 2 PM Peak Hour Modeled Travel Time 181 Upper Valley Transit Enhancement Study Technical Report Page 83 7.7.2.3 Transit For Alternative 2, the Auto travel times improve significantly from No Build, but the transit travel times are slightly worse. This leads to Alternative 2 having the lowest total AM and PM corridor ridership of 1085, and also the lowest transit mode share. These are illustrated in Figure 66 and Figure 67. Figure 66: Alternative 2 Transit Ridership Figure 67: Alternative 2 Mode Share 182 Upper Valley Transit Enhancement Study Technical Report Page 84 7.7.2.4 Pedestrian and Bicycle The improvements to pedestrian accessibility in Alternative 2 are primarily in combining the walksheds across SH 82 where new controlled pedestrian crosswalks are provided (e.g., Service Center Road and Aspen Country Inn) and are shown in Figure 68-70. There are no changes to the bicycle level of traffic stress. Figure 68: Alternative 2 - Aspen Country Inn (UV & DV) Walksheds 183 Upper Valley Transit Enhancement Study Technical Report Page 85 Figure 69: Alternative 2 - AABC (UV & DV) Walksheds 184 Upper Valley Transit Enhancement Study Technical Report Page 86 Figure 70: Alternative 2 - Service Center Road (UV & DV) Walksheds 185 Upper Valley Transit Enhancement Study Technical Report Page 87 7.8 2025 Alternative 3 – Traffic Technology Application 7.8.1 2025 Alternative 3 Scenario Alternative 3 focuses on technology improvements related to traffic signal operations. 7.8.1.1 Signal Operations For the SH 82 at Airport Business Center Road, Mountain Rescue Station /Lumber Yard, Harmony Road, and Owl Creek Road intersections, the signal operations (cycle lengths, offset, and phasing) were modified from the traditional "Ring barrier controller," using resequencing (e.g., lead vs. lag, Figure 71) of the mainline left-turn phasing. By separate sequencing of the left-turn movements, along with enhanced detection, additional green time is provided to the mainline (including buses). Figure 71: Traditional Ring and Barrier Signal Phasing (Top) vs. Lead-Lag Left-turn Phasing (Bottom) The flexible signal phasing and detection allows additional signal priority for the buses through green extensions or red truncations more frequently and in better response to bus positioning . Both the signal phasing and transit signal priority can maintain the existing cycle lengths and improve overall vehicle and transit progression. 186 Upper Valley Transit Enhancement Study Technical Report Page 88 7.8.1.2 Transportation Systems Management and Operations/Transportation Demand Management Enforcement of HOV Lane Enforcement of the posted HOV lane restrictions is assumed as part of this alternative . Options for enforcement include manual and/or automated cameras/devices. 7.8.2 2025 Alternative 3 Results 7.8.2.1 Roadway Conditions and Traffic Operations Under 2025 Alternative 3 conditions, the LOS remains fairly similar to those under the No Build conditions, with some minor improvements in the area between Airport Business Center Road and Owl Creek Road. Table 18 and Table 19 show the HCM and Vissim analysis results. Figure 72 and Figure 73 show the AM and PM travel time results by mode. Appendix VII contains detailed capacity analysis and other MOE worksheets for 2025 Alternative 3 conditions. Table 18: 2025 Alternative 3 Capacity Analysis Table (HCM) 1 – At signalized intersections, up valley through movements reported in AM and down valley through movements reported in PM. 2 – At unsignalized intersections, worst side-street approach reported. 187 Upper Valley Transit Enhancement Study Technical Report Page 89 Table 19: 2025 Alternative 3 Capacity Analysis Table (Vissim) The following intersections operate with LOS E or F during at least one peak hour based on at least one of the methodologies described above: • SH 82 at Brush Creek Road (PM) • SH 82 at Service Center Road (AM/PM) • SH 82 at Airport Business Center Road (AM) • SH 82 at Airport Exit/Mountain Rescue Station (AM) • SH 82 at Harmony Road (AM) • SH 82 at Stage Road (PM) • SH 82 at Tiehack Road (AM) • SH 82 at Aspen County Apartments (PM) • SH 82 at Pyramid Road/Truscott Place (PM) • SH 82 at Hideaway Lane (AM/PM) • SH 82 at Maroon Creek Road/Castle Creek Road (AM/PM) • SH 82 at Cemetery Lane (PM) 1 – At signalized intersections, up valley through movements reported in AM and down valley through movements reported in PM. 2 – At unsignalized intersections, worst side-street approach reported. 188 Upper Valley Transit Enhancement Study Technical Report Page 90 7.8.2.2 Travel Times Alternative 3 shows some modest travel time improvements over the No Build conditions for all modes . However, since it is primarily based on signal timing technology, it does not show the same level of improvement as Alternative 1 and Alternative 2, which improve approaches to the Maroon Creek Roundabout. Figure 72: 2025 Alt 3 AM Peak Hour Modeled Travel Time 189 Upper Valley Transit Enhancement Study Technical Report Page 91 Figure 73: 2025 Alt 3 PM Peak Hour Modeled Travel Time 7.8.2.3 Transit Alternative 3’s estimated door to door auto travel time for trips entering at Brush Creek P ark and Ride and travelling the full length of the corridor and then exiting is 51.43 minutes, which is almost as congested as the No Build (53.32). It also has the best transit travel times (BRT = 37.5 minutes UV/IN). As shown in Figure 74, this results in the highest AM and PM Peak Hour ridership of all of the alternatives. As shown in Figure 75, Alternative 3 also has the highest transit mode share of all the alternatives. 190 Upper Valley Transit Enhancement Study Technical Report Page 92 Figure 74: Alternative 2 Transit Ridership Figure 75: Alternative 3 Mode Share 7.8.2.4 Pedestrian and Bicycle There are no changes to pedestrian and bicycle conditions under Alternative 3. 191 Upper Valley Transit Enhancement Study Technical Report Page 93 7.9 2025 Alternative 4 Evaluation 7.9.1 2025 Alternative 4 Scenario The following improvements are included in Alternative 4. 7.9.1.1 Intersection Improvements SH 82 at Owl Creek Road At the intersection of SH 82 at Owl Creek Road the following improvements are included: • Construct new pedestrian underpass to replace the existing at -grade crossing of SH 82 on the up valley leg. This is shown in Figure 43 in the Alternative 1 section. SH 82 at Maroon Creek Road/Castle Creek Road Roundabout At the intersection of SH 82 at Maroon Creek Road/Castle Creek Road the following improvements are included: • Channelize the down valley outer approach lane entering the Maroon Creek Roundabout with a vertical barrier to achieve better lane utilization through the roundabout and remove conflicts with circulating/turning vehicles providing additional capacity. o Providing channelization will make the outer lane the dominant lane in the merge downstream of the roundabout (i.e., left turns from Maroon Creek road/Castle Creek Road will “yield” to through vehicles in the outer lane). o Special consideration of snow removal needs will be included in the selection of the proper channelization device type. The improvement is the same as that proposed under Alternative 1 and shown in Figure 45. 7.9.1.2 Bus Priority Improvements Harmony Road/Owl Creek Road Bypass Improvements at these intersections will channelize a bus bypass lane at the Harmony Road signal in the up valley direction and at the Owl Creek Road signal in the down valley direction (shown with red arrows in Figure 48 under Alternative 1). This will allow buses to avoid one traffic signal in both directions. Additionally, the far side curb will be pulled back at Owl Creek Road to allow buses to use the existing right - turn lane as a queue jump and avoid having to merge back into mainline traffic prior to stopping (shown with orange arrow in Figure 48 under Alternative 1). Cemetery Lane At Cemetery Lane, the channelization islands will be pulled back to provide a queue jump at Cemetery Lane for buses in the down valley direction. The second lane will be extended as a bus only lane to the second approach lane of the Maroon Creek Roundabout to provide better lane continuity and utilization . This improvement is the same as that proposed in Alternative 1 and shown in Figure 49. 192 Upper Valley Transit Enhancement Study Technical Report Page 94 7.9.1.3 Pedestrian and Bicycle Improvements SH 82 at Owl Creek Road A pedestrian underpass will replace the existing at-grade crossing of SH 82 on the up valley leg as shown in Figure 43. 7.9.1.4 Transportation Systems Management and Operations/Transportation Demand Management Enforcement of HOV Lane Enforcement of the posted HOV lane restrictions is assumed as part of this alternative . Options for enforcement include manual and/or automated cameras/devices. 7.9.2 2025 Alternative 4 Results 7.9.2.1 Roadway Conditions and Traffic Operations Under 2025 Alternative 4 conditions, the level of service is similar to those of Alternative 1, with significant improvements particularly for the Maroon Creek Road/Castle Creek Road during the PM peak hour in the down valley direction. Table 20 and Table 21 show the HCM and Vissim analysis results. Figure 76 and Figure 77 show the AM and PM travel time results by mode . Appendix VIII contains detailed capacity analysis and other MOE worksheets for 2025 Alternative 4 conditions. Table 20: 2025 Alternative 4 Capacity Analysis Table (HCM) 1 – At signalized intersections, up valley through movements reported in AM and down valley through movements reported in PM. 2 – At unsignalized intersections, worst side-street approach reported. 193 Upper Valley Transit Enhancement Study Technical Report Page 95 Table 21: 2025 Alternative 4 Capacity Analysis Table (Vissim) The following intersections operate with LOS E or F during at least one peak hour based on at least one of the methodologies described above: • SH 82 at Brush Creek Road (PM) • SH 82 at Service Center Road (AM/PM) • SH 82 at Harmony Road (AM) • SH 82 at Owl Creek Road (AM) • SH 82 at The Inn At Aspen (AM) • SH 82 at Tiehack Road (AM) • SH 82 at Aspen County Apartments (PM) • SH 82 at Pyramid Road/Truscott Place (AM/PM) • SH 82 at Hideaway Lane (AM/PM) • SH 82 at Maroon Creek Road/Castle Creek Road (AM) 1 – At signalized intersections, up valley through movements reported in AM and down valley through movements reported in PM. 2 – At unsignalized intersections, worst side-street approach reported. 194 Upper Valley Transit Enhancement Study Technical Report Page 96 7.9.2.2 Travel Times Alternative 4 travel times are much like those under Alternative 1. During the AM peak hour in the up valley direction, SOV travel times remain consistent with those under Alternative 1 (12-minute travel time savings over No Build), while HOV travel times increase by 4 minutes (still a 3-minute travel time savings over No Build), and BRT and local bus travel times decrease by 1 -2 minutes (consistent with No Build). PM travel times remain consistent to those in Alternative 1 for all modes, which show substantial trav el time improvements over No Build for all modes. Figure 76: 2025 Alt 4 AM Peak Hour Modeled Travel Time 195 Upper Valley Transit Enhancement Study Technical Report Page 97 Figure 77: 2025 Alt 4 PM Peak Hour Modeled Travel Time 7.9.2.3 Transit Alternative 4’s AM and PM peak hour total ridership of 1098 is comparable to the existing corridor ridership of 1097 but lower than the No Build and Alternative 3 transit ridership. These auto travel times are at the same level as existing, and transit travel times are the same as the No Build. Figure 78 shows these peak hour totals for the BRT, other Bus and Total in the corridor. Figure 79 shows the inbound and outbound mode share at the Owl Cre ek Bridge. 7.9.2.4 Pedestrian and Bicycle Pedestrian accessibility and bicycle level of traffic stress for Alternative 4 would be identical to the No Build. 196 Upper Valley Transit Enhancement Study Technical Report Page 98 Figure 78 Alternative 4 Transit Ridership Figure 79 Alternative 4 Mode Share 197 Upper Valley Transit Enhancement Study Technical Report Page 99 8. Comparison of Alternatives Figure 80: Person Throughput Comparison Person throughput was calculated as an MOE to compare the alternatives. The person throughput over the Maroon Creek bridge is shown above in Figure 80. During the AM peak hour, person throughput is highest under Alternative 2, followed closely by Alternative 1 and Alternative 4, both of which have a slight improvement over the No Build conditions. During the PM peak hour, Alternatives 1, 2, and 4 all have similar person throughput improvements over No Build conditions. 198 Upper Valley Transit Enhancement Study Technical Report Page 100 199 Upper Valley Transit Enhancement Study Technical Report Page 101 Figure 81: Travel Time Comparison Travel times for each scenario are shown above in Figure 81 to allow for easy comparison of the alternatives. Travel times for each alternative are described in each alternative section, but the following comparisons should be noted for each peak hour: AM Peak Hour • Alternative 2 performs best for SOV and HOV vehicles in the up valley direction, although BRT and local bus travel times remain pretty consistent to those under No Build conditions . This is due to the fact that bus only lanes already exist in most locations that experience congestion during the AM peak hour. • Alternative 3 performs similar to the No Build scenario in the up valley direction with only modest improvements in travel times for all modes. • Alternatives 1 and 4 perform similarly in the up valley direction. Both show improvements for SOV and HOV vehicles over the No Build conditions, although Alternative 4 trades off some HOV travel time benefit for an additional 1-2 minutes of BRT and bus travel time savings. PM Peak Hour • Alternatives 1, 2, and 4 show similar benefits over the No Build travel times in the down valley direction. All provide the down valley bypass lane through the Maroon Creek Roundabout, which reduces delays and queues experienced leaving Aspen through the S curve and Cemetery Lane segments. In this area, all modes share a single lane so all modes benefit. • Alternative 3 operates with travel times similar to those under No Build conditions as the primary focus is signal timing, and no modifications to the roundabout are included. 200 Upper Valley Transit Enhancement Study Technical Report Page 102 Table 22: Capacity Analysis Comparison (HCM) 1 – At signalized intersections, up valley through movements reported in AM and down valley through movements reported in PM. 2 – At unsignalized intersections, worst side-street approach reported. 201 Upper Valley Transit Enhancement Study Technical Report Page 103 Table 23: Capacity Analysis Comparison (Vissim) Table 22 and Table 23 show a comparison of the LOS and delay for each scenario using the HCM and Vissim microsimulation methodologies. These results and failing intersections are highlighted in more detail under the write-up for each alternative. 1 – At signalized intersections, up valley through movements reported in AM and down valley through movements reported in PM. 2 – At unsignalized intersections, worst side-street approach reported. 202 Upper Valley Transit Enhancement Study Technical Report Page 104 Figure 82: Fuel Used and Efficiency 203 Upper Valley Transit Enhancement Study Technical Report Page 105 Figure 83: Emissions Comparison Fuel efficiency and consumption and emissions, summarized for each scenario in Figure 82 and Figure 83, respectively, were used as a secondary performance measure. Stopped vehicles emit and consume less per second than moving vehicles. Therefore, it is possible that by improving traffic flow, more cars are moving and emissions increase. 8.1 Transit Ridership Table 24, Figure 84 and Figure 85 provide a comparison of the transit ridership results discussed in the previous section. Again, these are derived based on the elasticity calculations for the scenario door to door auto (cross elasticity of 0.2) and transit travel times (elasticity of -0.4). Very little variation is evident across all of the alternatives (primarily due to the relatively small elasticity values). Given this observation, these are the highlights of the changes that do occur: • The increase between existing and 2025 No Build is primarily due to the significant increase in auto travel times with only very small changes in transit times (due to bus only lanes, etc.). 204 Upper Valley Transit Enhancement Study Technical Report Page 106 • Alternatives 1, 2, and 4 have lower ridership due to the improvements in auto travel times and similar or worse transit times. • Alternative 2 has the lowest ridership (1085) due to some increases in transit times . • Alternative 3 has the highest ridership (1120) due to both transit improvements and slight increases in auto times. • Alternative 4 maintains existing ridership levels. Table 24 Transit Peak Hour Corridor Ridership existing Conditions 2025 Nobuild 2025 Alt1 2025 Alt 2 2025 Alt 3 2025 Alt 4 BRT 433 446 431 427 447 433 Local Bus 664 673 663 657 673 665 Total 1097 1119 1094 1085 1120 1098 Figure 84: Transit Ridership Comparison 205 Upper Valley Transit Enhancement Study Technical Report Page 107 Figure 85 shows all of the AM and PM Peak hour UV and DV mode shares at Maroon Creek Bridge provided previously. Again, only slight differences can be observed . PM BRT and other Bus share (combined ~ 21 – 24 percent) is greater in the PM (combined ~ 21 – 24 percent outbound) than in the AM (combined ~ 13 – 14 percent outbound). Alternative 3 has the highest percent transit. Figure 85: Mode Share Comparison Figure 86illustrates the cross-product of total vehicle conflicts x pedestrian volumes for each alterantive. Intersections lacking pedestrian movements have cross-product of zero. The results of the analysis shown below find that the highest number of pedestrian conflicts is in Alternative 1 (13,713), followed by Al ternative 2 (10,713), followed by Alternative 3 and the No Build (2,800). The higher conflics for Alternatives 1 and 2 are primariiliy related to the at-grade pedestrian crossing improvements at Service Center Road and Aspen Country Inn as well as the new shared use path connections at Tie Hack . For Alternative 4, those 206 Upper Valley Transit Enhancement Study Technical Report Page 108 improvements are not provided, but the pedestrian underpass is provided at Owl Creek, elimnating those conflicts entirely. Figure 86: Cross-Product of Ped/Vehicle Conflicts 207 Upper Valley Transit Enhancement Study Technical Report Page 109 9. Summary of Findings and Recommended Mobility Package 9.1 Summary of Findings The Upper Valley Transit Enhancement study documented existing corridor travel patterns, previous studies and recommendations, transit service, walking and biking connections , and gaps and traffic operations analysis (level of service, travel time and person throughput). A menu of multimodal mobility and priority improvements were identified and evaluated to compliment the investment in VelociRFTA BRT as well as enhance carpool, overall corridor travel time, and pedestrian and bicycle access to all bus stops/ stations. The improvement options included intersection traffic controls/channeliztion, new/upgraded pedestrian and bicycle infrastructure, spot bus priority geometric and operational treatments. The findings indicate: • Average daily traffic volumes along SH 82 average between 20,000 and 26,000 vehicles per day. • The corridor is served by up to 8 bus routes with up to 50 buses per hour in some segments, 3,000 boardings per day at some bus stops, and 1,000 total passengers per hour in peak periods. • Vehicle travel times in the corridor range from under 15 minutes in the off -peak direction to over 30 minutes in the peak direction in the 2025 No Build. • Multiple intersections operate with a LOS E or LOS F during at least one peak hour under 2025 No Build conditions (Brush Creek Road, Service Center Road, Airport Business Center Road, Mountain Rescue, Owl Creek, Harmony Aspen Inn, Tie hack Road, Pyramid Road/Truscott, Hideaway Lane, Maroon Creek/ Castle Creek and Cemetery Lane). • Over 30 previous studies were conducted in the corridor by the City, County, or State over the past two decades recommending dozens of roadway, transit, pedestrian , and bicycle improvements. • The bus stops/stations have significant gaps and barriers in pedestrian and bicycle accessibility particularly with crossing SH 82. • Two corridor-wide bus priority options were evaluated, including extended dedicated bus lanes/guideways and spot bus priority treatments (channelization and queue jumps) blended with additional HOV facilities. • The spot bus priority improvements along with intersection channelization performed optimally for traffic operations, reducing overall travel time for general traffic by up to 33 percent. The full summary of Measures of Effectiveness for each alternative including cost and scoring are show n below: 208 Upper Valley Transit Enhancement Study Technical Report Page 110 Category MOE Criteria to Earn 0 1 2 3 Multimodal Person Throughput Minor or major decrease in person throughput No significant change in person throughput Minor increase in person throughput Major increase in person throughput HOV Travel Time Major increase in travel time Minor increase or no significant change in travel time Minor decrease in travel time Major decrease in travel time Non-Auto Mode Share Minor or major decrease in non-auto mode share No significant change in non-auto mode share Minor increase in non-auto mode share Major increase in non-auto mode share Vehicle Intersection LOS Major increase in number of failing approaches Minor increase or no change in number of failing approaches Minor decrease in number of failing approaches Major decrease in number of failing approaches Auto Travel Time Major increase in travel time Minor increase or no significant change in travel time Minor decrease in travel time Major decrease in travel time Crash Reduction Propensity Increase of any degree in crash propensity No significant change in crash propensity Minor decrease in crash propensity Major decrease in crash propensity Pedestrian/Bicycle Walkshed Walkshed reduction of any size No chance to walkshed Minor walkshed increase Major walkshed increase Pedestrian Exposure/Conflicts Major increase in number of intersection conflicts Minor increase in number of intersection conflicts No change in number of intersection conflicts Minor decrease in number of intersection conflicts Bicycle LTS Decrease of any size in LF of roadway/pathway at LTS ≤2 No change in LF of roadway/pathway at LTS ≤2 Minor increase in LF of roadway/pathway at LTS ≤2 Major increase in LF of roadway/pathway at LTS ≤2 Transit Ridership Minor or major decrease in transit ridership No significant change in transit ridership Minor increase in transit ridership Major increase in transit ridership Transit Travel Time Major increase in travel time Minor increase or no significant change in travel time Minor decrease in travel time Major decrease in travel time Other Impacts Cost High-cost improvements Moderate-cost improvements Low-cost improvements Cost can be absorbed in normal maintenance/operations Regulatory Impact High regulatory impacts Moderate regulatory impacts Low regulatory impacts No regulatory impacts Stakeholder Preference Non-preferred by all Preferred lightly by some; non-preferred by some Preferred highly by some/lightly by all; non- preferred by none Highly preferred by all stakeholders Emissions Minor or major increase in emissions No significant change in emissions Minor decrease in emissions Major decrease in emissions 209 Upper Valley Transit Enhancement Study Technical Report Page 111 Improvement Package Multimodal Vehicular Pedestrian/Bicycle Transit Other Factors Scoring Cost Estimate Person Throughput HOV Travel Time Non-Auto Mode Share Intersection LOS Auto Travel Time Crash Reduction Propensity Walkshed Pedestrian Exposure/ Conflicts Bicycle LTS Ridership Transit Travel Time Cost Regulatory Impact Stakeholder Preference Emissions Raw (0-45) Adjusted (0-3) Build Alternative 1 High Transit Priority Improvements 26/45 1.73 $16,000,000 – $19,000,000 5/9 6/9 6/9 4/6 5/12 Build Alternative 2 Moderate Transit Priority Improvements 28/45 1.87 $3,000,000 – $4,000,000 7/9 7/9 3/9 3/6 8/12 Build Alternative 3 Technology Improvements 22/45 1.47 $100,000 – $200,000 3/9 4/9 4/9 3/6 8/12 Build Alternative 4 Stakeholder- Preferred Alternative 25/45 1.67 $15,000,000 – $19,000,000 4/9 6/9 5/9 3/6 7/12 210 Upper Valley Transit Enhancement Study Technical Report Page 112 10. Recommendations and Phasing Based on the results of the analysis, the spot bus priority improvements (channelization/queue jumps), in combination with the roundabout channelization and a pedestrian underpass at Owl Creek is suggested for advancement to engineering design. The costs are estimated to be approximately $15 to $18 million . At this time, adjusting the limits of the HOV lanes and/or dedicated bus lanes is not recommended until further exploration can be undertaken of the reimbursement obligations and compatibility within the Entrance to Aspen Record of Decision. 10.1 Mobility Package Phasing Mobility package phasing is suggested as follows: Short-term Recommendations: • Conduct a pilot channelization of the down valley roundabout outer lan e. If successful, deploy permanently (in summer season). • Construct additional bus priority treatments (channelization at Owl Creek/ Harmony) and queue jumps at Cemetery Lane. • Enforce HOV lane compliance. Mid-term Recommendations: Bus priority design elements. • Construct an Owl Creek pedestrian underpass. • Construct a shared use path connection from Aspen Country Inn to Owl Creek . 211