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HomeMy WebLinkAboutInformation Only 022724AGENDA INFORMATION UPDATE February 27, 2024 5:00 PM, I.Information Update I.A Investment Services Update I.B Information on APCHA's Role in Collecting or Advising in the Collection of Housing Data I.C Wildfire Related Code Updates I.D Development Review Info Only Memo - Investment Services Update.docx 2023Feb27_Info Memo_APCHA Data.pdf Attachment A_2022 January - EPS Lumber Yard Market Study.pdf Attachment B_WS 9-14-2020 Lumberyard Outreach with Exhibits.pdf Attachment C_Memo Council WS JAN 10 2022 with all exhibits.pdf Wildfire Related Code Updates Ignition Resistant Design and Construction Guide Memo.docx INFO ONLY - Development Review.pdf 1 1 INFO ONLY MEMORANDUM TO:City Council FROM:Pete Strecker, Finance Director DATE:February 27, 2024 RE:Investment Advisory Services To ensure that the City’s funds are continually being leveraged both responsibly but also effectively, the Finance Director must weigh returns, liquidity and risk and find the correct balance of these often competing factors to produce a positive investment strategy. To guide these decisions, the City Council adopts financial and investment policies (most recently via Resolution 126 (Series 2022)) to establish guidelines around what is acceptable in terms of the type of investment holdings, maximum durations for committing funds, the credit quality of investments, and more. To date, the City Council has supported investment policies that mirror the requirements on local governments as set forth in State Statute, under Section 24-75-601 (C.R.S.), though the Council does have allowances to deviate from this statutory language pursuant to the home rule authority held by the City of Aspen. Currently, the only variance from State statutory language that is present in the City’s policies is that steers new investments consistent with the City’s environmental stewardship stance. Because the City has significant resources and desires to leverage these resources for the benefit of the Community while operating within the parameters of the financial policies in place, the City has enlisted the use of an investment advisory firm (Insight Investment), to provide constant eyes on the financial markets, identify new investment opportunities and evaluate new offerings relative to the City’s current portfolio, assist with making trades, and routinely monitor our policies and that of the State to ensure consistency. This arrangement has given an additional level of scrutiny to the City’s investments and has contributed to the furthering of the strong financial position that Aspen enjoys. It does also come with a cost, as the current arrangement for investment advisory services is stipulated at a monthly fee equal to 8 basis points for the first $20M managed, plus 6 basis points for any amount over $20M managed. This equates to roughly $8K per month for the portion of the portfolio that includes Insight Investment’s support. PILOT PROGRAM While the current arrangement provides positive outcomes, ensuring strong investment selections and appropriate controls are maintained in relation to the City’s policies, staff has been exploring alternative avenues for these same services, as part of its due diligence. With that, Staff has been piloting a new arrangement with Wells Fargo’s Fixed Income Solutions group for the last two quarters of 2023, to sample another advisory provider. This pilot was initiated in part due to the City’s full banking services being provided by Wells Fargo and the synergy possible in establishing investment management under this same partnership. 2 For this pilot, the City began taking cash it had “sidelined” during the low-yield interest rate environment following COVID and began investing these funds with the assistance with Wells Fargo. For this pilot, staff shared the City’s investment policies and discussed the current market conditions and where the City saw opportunity in pushing new investments into the market as interest rates reached perceived near-term highs; discussed the diversification of investments to what was already held under the City’s portfolio; affirmed requirements for highly rated investments; and set expectations to start lengthening portfolio duration to lock in high rates longer. With this, Well Fargo established a proposed ladder of investments that accounted for all of these parameters and provided options for specific investments that could be swapped in or out to achieve the aggregate strategy. Since the initial investment settlements, the City has had some short-term investments mature and staff has used Wells Fargo to reinvest additional funds further out on the curve as part of the overall initial strategy, and each time the overall trade recommendations and discussions around market expectations has been insightful and robust. GOING FORWARD Staff has determined that the services provided by Wells Fargo Fixed Income Solutions group has been at least equal to the services received by Insight Investments, but arguably better. The extent of options being brought forward for each new investment appears to reflect the depth of Wells Fargo in the investments world, with higher level analysis and increased engagement / accessibility. There are also advantages in having these investment services reside under the City’s existing banking arrangement in place with Wells Fargo – this creates for a seamless method for the movement of funds into and out of the markets, without the need for a separate safekeeping bank or wire transfers (which are currently needed with Insight Investments). And, as Wells Fargo is a registered broker-dealer under the Securities and Exchange Commission, Wells Fargo is able to provide the City trades at the same rate as what an investment advisor provides, but without the additional monthly oversight fees that an investment advisor charges. To that end, the City would be able to eliminate roughly $90,000 in annual fees, without losing any of the advisory functions otherwise offered. Finally, it is important to note that the City has direct access and workings with the Director of the Wells Fargo Fixed Income Solutions group, Katiana Siatras (bio attached). Katiana is fully engaged in our monthly market update calls, is our direct point-of-contact for trade discussions, and is constantly assessing our investment strategy with us to ensure compliance with our policies. And while our experience has been extremely positive to date, staff did initiate calls with three other groups that utilize Katiana’s services to inquire deeper from actual clients. Commerce City ($330M), City of Thornton ($560M) and Greeley School District ($150M to $400M) were all highly positive with the experiences they have had with Wells Fargo and with Katiana, many having long tenure in their arrangements with her. NEXT STEPS Because of the multitude of benefits noted above, Staff has initiated a transitioning of investment advisory services and anticipates this to complete within Q1 of 2024. While there are no new financial commitments tied to this transition, in fact there is a reduction in direct cost to the City, staff did want to keep Council informed of this action and of the overall benefits to be realized. 3 INFORMATION ONLY MEMORANDUM TO: Mayor Torre and City Council FROM: Liz Axberg, Housing Policy Analyst Diane Foster, Assistant City Manager THROUGH: Diane Foster, Assistant City Manager MEMO DATE: February 20th, 2024 MEETING DATE: February 27, 2024 RE: Information on APCHA’s Role in Collecting or Advising in the Collection of Housing Data PURPOSE: Inform Council of APCHA’s current and previous roles in collecting or advising on the collection of data. BACKGROUND: At the January 22nd, 2024, Council Work Session, Council inquired about the APCHA Executive Director responsibilities outlined in the IGA, the Intergovernmental Agreement Between the City of Aspen and Pitkin County Establishing the Aspen/Pitkin County Housing Authority. The specific responsibility inquired on was part ‘g’ shown below: g. Investigate and maintain data indicating housing needs within the jurisdiction of the City or the County for the population segments designated herein or identified by the Authority and the means and methods for improving those conditions; This information memo covers when and how APCHA is involved in the development of and advisement on data collection and recent examples of this involvement. While this memo covers the main categories of APCHA’s past and ongoing involvement, the list is not comprehensive. Three of the more recent data collection efforts/studies which APCHA was involved in include: - 2016 Policy Study with Navigate, LLC, WSW Consulting, and Rees Consulting, Inc., - 2019 Greater Roaring Fork Housing Study with Economic Planning Systems (EPS) - 2022 EPS Lumberyard Demographic and Market Assessment Outside of studies and contracted analysis, APCHA provides data-driven recommendations. Two examples of City procedures in which APCHA has a role include: 4 - Category and Unit Type Distribution Recommendations for Development Projects (e.g., Lumberyard); and - Affordable Housing Land Use Code Approval Processes. In addition to the previous and ongoing examples of APCHA’s role in data advisement and collection efforts, in 2024, APCHA staff will be directly involved in the upcoming rental rate study which will analyze rates and affordability for City-owned rental units. DISCUSSION: Included are additional details on the mentioned examples of APCHA’s involvement in data collection and advisement. 1. 2016 APCHA Guidelines Consultant Policy Study In 2016, APCHA contracted with Navigate, LLC, WSW Consulting, and Rees Consulting, Inc., to conduct a comprehensive review of its affordable housing program. APCHA staff, APCHA Board, Aspen City Council, Pitkin County BOCC, and many community stakeholders were involved in the data collection and work completed through this study. This study addressed affordability, income/asset brackets, household size, qualifications, and other APCHA best practices. In the following years, APCHA used data and analysis from this study to assess categories, sales prices, and rental rates. 2. 2019 Greater Roaring Fork Regional Housing Study This regional analysis from 2019 estimated the housing need across the Roaring Fork Valley and the Colorado River Valley, from Aspen and Snowmass Village to Glenwood Springs, and from Parachute to Edwards. The study both collected data through surveys and utilized data from the American Community Survey (ACS). Dynamics, interdependencies, and the “face” (with a regional workforce, resident, and employer survey) of regional housing needs were the main focus of the analysis. The APCHA Executive Director at the time, Mike Kosdrosky, had a seat on the study’s advisory group. 3. 2022 EPS Lumberyard Demographic and Market Assessment (Attachment A) In 2022, EPS prepared a report for the City of Aspen and APCHA to provide an overview of macro level growth trends and demographics in Pitkin County. This assessment also included employment and wage trends and housing characteristics of recently constructed housing in our region. EPS used this data to make recommendations on the mix of units by size and APCHA income categories for the Aspen Lumberyard Affordable Housing project. 5 APCHA management staff were involved throughout the project when answering questions or providing background information on the APCHA program to support the analysis. 4. Category and Unit Type Distribution Recommendations Two of the many variables that went into deciding the category mix and rental vs ownership distribution for the Lumberyard Affordable Housing Project were determined through extensive community outreach and the 2022 EPS Lumberyard Demographic and Market Assessment. APCHA staff were also involved in this data-driven decision process. The two Lumberyard Project memos below provide references of APCHA’s involvement:  September 14, 2020, Work Session: Community Outreach for Lumberyard Conceptual Design Process (Attachment B) o APCHA staff advised discussions on the property’s rental vs ownership unit mix. This advisement is based on data from qualifications and bids.  Page 5 of 8 -- “The Housing Authority reports the greatest need is for rental housing.”  January 10, 2022, Work Session: Lumberyard Schematic Design Process Update #2 (Attachment C) o APCHA staff have been involved throughout the project review including planning financial resources and project scope of work.  Page 5 of 7-- “To develop an approach to the detailed effort with key City management staff, and with the aim of creating a plan that can be executed to implement the project, the project team has a meeting scheduled for January 11, 2022, with City of Aspen and APCHA management staff to review the financial resources and implementation planning scope of work and the associated project opportunities and challenges.” Outside of City-led AH development projects, in many instances, local developers will reach out to APCHA for unit type and category distribution recommendations for planned developments. APCHA staff make recommendations based on data from qualification packets, bids, and lotteries. 5. Land Use Code Approval Processes for Affordable Housing Projects Community Development involves APCHA during the land use code approval process for affordable housing projects. Through this process, APCHA staff review the project details and respond with project recommendations and/or a recommendation for approval if the project meets APCHA’s requirements laid out in the APCHA Housing Development Regulations. All affordable housing development projects in Aspen must abide by the guidelines set forth in the APCHA housing development regulations. 6. 2024 Rental Rate Study At the October 16th, 2023, work session, Aspen City Council approved $50,000 to conduct a rental rate study for City-owned rental units in 2024. Properties in this group include 6 Burlingame, Marolt, Truscott I, Truscott II, and ACI. APCHA staff have been involved in developing the RFP for the project and will continue to be involved in the project in terms of providing data, advising on the collection of data, working with the selected consultant, and reviewing reports and policy recommendations from the study. ATTACHMENTS: A) 2022 EPS Lumberyard Demographic and Market Assessment B) Memo from September 14, 2020, Work session: Community Outreach for Lumberyard Conceptual Design Process C) Memo from January 10th, 2022, Work Session: Lumberyard Schematic Design Process Update #2 CITY MANAGER COMMENTS: 7 Lumber Yard Demographic and Market Assessment Prepared for: City of Aspen Aspen Pitkin Housing Authority Prepared by: Economic & Planning Systems, Inc. EPS #213032 Updated January 6, 2022 8 Table of Contents Trends and Conditions ............................................................................... 1 Introduction ................................................................................................. 1 Population, Household, and Job Trends ............................................................ 1 Age Distribution ............................................................................................ 4 Home Prices ................................................................................................. 5 Key Demographic Finding ............................................................................... 5 2018 Greater Roaring Fork Regional Housing Study ........................................... 6 Employment Trends .................................................................................. 7 Wage and Salary Job Trends ........................................................................... 7 Supply and Demand ................................................................................ 12 Household Income ...................................................................................... 12 Household Size ........................................................................................... 13 Renters and Owners .................................................................................... 14 Housing Units by AMI .................................................................................. 15 Recent Multifamily Projects ........................................................................... 18 Recommendations .................................................................................. 23 APCHA Rental Inventory ............................................................................... 23 Analysis Findings ........................................................................................ 24 Proposed Unit Mix ....................................................................................... 25 9 List of Tables Table 1. Household Composition, Pitkin County, 2012-2019 .................................... 3 Table 2. Wages and Incomes, Top Five Growth Sectors, Pitkin County, 2010-2019 ..... 8 Table 3. Wages and Incomes, Top Sectors, Pitkin County, 2020 ............................. 11 Table 4. Recent Apartment Developments .......................................................... 18 Table 5. Rents by AMI Levels in Recent Properties ............................................... 19 Table 6. APCHA Rental Housing Inventory........................................................... 23 Table 7. Recommended Unit Mix ....................................................................... 25 10 List of Figures Figure 1. Pitkin County Population, 2010-2020 ....................................................... 2 Figure 2. Households vs. Housing Unit Growth, Pitkin County, 2010-2020 .................. 3 Figure 3. Age Distribution, Pitkin County, 2010-2020............................................... 4 Figure 4. Median Home Sale Price, Pitkin County, 2018-2021 ................................... 5 Figure 5. Employment, Pitkin County, 2010-2021 ................................................... 7 Figure 6. Employment Change by sector, Pitkin County, 2010-2019........................... 8 Figure 7. Change in Employment by wage quartile, Pitkin County, 2010-2019 ............. 9 Figure 8. Change in Employment AMI, Pitkin County, 2010-2019 ............................ 10 Figure 9. Change in Renter Households by AMI, 2010-2019 .................................... 12 Figure 10. Change in Owner Households by AMI, 2010-2019 .................................... 13 Figure 11. Households by Size, Market Area, 2010-2019 ......................................... 14 Figure 12. Households by Tenure, 2010-2019, Market Area ...................................... 14 Figure 13. Renter Units by AMI, 2010-2019 ........................................................... 15 Figure 14. Owner Units by AMI, 2010-2019 ........................................................... 16 Figure 15. Rental Units by Bedroom County, Pitkin County, 2010-2019 ...................... 17 11 Economic & Planning Systems, Inc. 213032-Lumber Yard Report 1-6-22.docx 1 Trends and Conditions Introduction This report was prepared for the City of Aspen and the Aspen-Pitkin County Housing Authority, under a subcontract with DHM Design in Carbondale. The purpose of this analysis is to provide recommendations on the unit mix in the Lumber Yard housing development. The City is particularly interested in aligning the development program with job growth and the associated wage and household income levels. The study also examines demographic trends and conditions, and the rental housing supply to address the full range of housing demand and supply in the rental market. The report begins with an overview of macro level growth trends and demographics in Pitkin County. The second chapter reviews employment and wage trends. Chapters 3 and 4 summarize housing supply characteristics including profiles of recently constructed apartments. Chapter 5 contains Economic & Planning Systems’ (EPS) recommendations on the mix of units by size (bedrooms) and APCHA income categories. Population, Household, and Job Trends Over the past decade, the population of Pitkin County has experienced minimal growth, increasing from 17,156 residents in 2010 to 17,363 in 2020, which is an addition of 207 people, as shown in Figure 1. The annual growth rate over this time period was 0.12 percent. The State Demographer estimates that the County’s population actually declined by over 300 since 2016 when the population was 17,691. 12 Lumber Yard Demographic and Market Assessment 2 Figure 1. Pitkin County Population, 2010-2020 When looking at demographic trends in Colorado’s mountain communities, it is also important to examine trends in the number of households, a group of people related or unrelated living in one occupied housing unit. Overall, growth in housing units outpaced household growth, with the overall housing stock increasing by about 9 percent between 2010 and 2019, while the number of households only increased by 4 percent as shown in Figure 2. However, most housing unit growth was in “vacant units” that are largely comprised of second homes. The share of vacant units in Pitkin County increased from 37 percent of all housing units in 2010 to 40 percent of all housing units in 2019. The number of jobs in Pitkin County increased by 19 percent since 2010, compared to only a 4 percent in population. With unemployment generally low after 2012, most of the new jobs could only be filled by an increase in commuting into the county. 17,156 17,128 17,201 17,321 17,521 17,701 17,691 17,658 17,643 17,413 17,363 10,000 11,000 12,000 13,000 14,000 15,000 16,000 17,000 18,000 19,000 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Source: DOLA; Economic & Planning Systems 13 Economic & Planning Systems 3 Figure 2. Households vs. Housing Unit Growth, Pitkin County, 2010-2020 EPS analyzed the composition of households in Pitkin County using estimates from the American Community Survey (ACS) part of the U.S. Census. As of 2019, approximately 42 percent of households in Pitkin County live with an unrelated roommate, up from 39 percent in 2012, while 25 percent live with family members, 19 percent live with a partner or spouse, and 14 percent live alone, as shown in Table 1. This suggests that roommate arrangements are prevalent, which is a source of demand for multi-bedroom unit types. Table 1. Household Composition, Pitkin County, 2012-2019 104% 109% 119% 95% 100% 105% 110% 115% 120% 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 % of 2010 Households Housing Units Vacant Housing Units Source: DOLA; Economic & Planning Systems Description 2012 % Total 2019 % Total Households Living Alone 2,648 16%2,457 14% Living with Roomates 6,665 39%7,550 42% Living with a partner/spouse 3,201 19%3,353 19% Living with family 4,361 26%4,432 25% Total 16,875 100%17,792 100% Source: U.S. Census; Economic & Planning Systems Z:\Shared\Projects\DEN\213032-Aspen Lumber Yard\Data\[213032-HH Characteristics.xlsx]T-Summ 14 Lumber Yard Demographic and Market Assessment 4 Age Distribution The population of Pitkin County has become older over the past decade. The median age increased from 42.1 in 2010 to 44.8 in 2020, while the age cohort with the most significant increase in its share of population over that period was 65 and over, growing from 11.4 percent of the population in 2010 to 19.3 percent of the population in 2020, as shown in Figure 3. In addition, the share of the population aged 0 to 14, 25 to 34, 35 to 44, and 45 to 54 all decreased between 2010 and 2020. Figure 3. Age Distribution, Pitkin County, 2010-2020 14.3% 9.1% 15.3% 16.1% 17.3% 16.4% 11.4%11.9% 11.0% 13.9%13.5%14.2% 16.3% 19.3% 0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% 0-14 15 - 24 25 - 34 35 - 44 45 - 54 55 - 64 65+ 2010 2020 Source: U.S. Census; Economic & Planning Systems 15 Economic & Planning Systems 5 Home Prices Pitkin County continues to have a high-priced housing market that has appreciated significantly in recent years. From 2018 to 2021, the median sale price increased from $2,800,000 to $5,037,000, as shown in Figure 4, with the largest increase occurring between 2019 and 2020, when the median sale price rose by 50 percent year-over-year. In terms of price distribution, approximately 10 percent of the homes sold in 2020 and 2021 were under $500,000, while one- third of homes in 2020 and 2021 were under $1,000,000. Figure 4. Median Home Sale Price, Pitkin County, 2018-2021 Key Demographic Finding Three trends: slow growing to decreasing population, household growth outpacing population growth, and the aging population have important implications on affordable housing, the sustainability of the local economy and character of the place. The decline in population since 2016 is likely comprised of a combination of natural decreases (deaths and aging) and people moving out of the county. The faster rate of household growth compared to population is a complex trend. It may indicate that newer households moving into the county are smaller than the households leaving the county. The new households could be empty nester households and retirees. When paired with the change in age distribution (declines in young and working age population, increase in over 65 population), a picture emerges of an increasingly older wealthier population. $2,800,000 $3,275,000 $5,000,000 $5,037,000 $0 $1,000,000 $2,000,000 $3,000,000 $4,000,000 $5,000,000 $6,000,000 2018 2019 2020 2021 Median Sale Price Source: Land Title Company; Economic & Planning Systems 16 Lumber Yard Demographic and Market Assessment 6 2018 Greater Roaring Fork Regional Housing Study In 2018, EPS and RRC Associates conducted an in-depth housing study for the Greater Roaring Fork Region lying between Aspen, Rifle, and Eagle. The study involved extensive data analysis as well as a detailed survey. The study had the following key takeaways: • The region has a 2,100-unit shortfall in housing for households at 60% of area median income (AMI) and less, and a 1,900-unit shortfall for households between 100 and 160% AMI, the “missing middle”. • Overspending on housing (cost burden) costs the region $54 million per year that could be spent in the local economy or used to save for the future or pay off debt. • More than 26,000 workers (out of 47,000 employed residents) cross paths in their daily commute versus just 19,000 employed residents who live where they work. This cross-commuting impacts roads, quality of life, and the environment. • Year-round business has grown, which can increase the region’s resilience to another down-turn. • The population is aging and retiring; over the next 10 years, it is projected that the population over 65 will increase 60 percent (7,800 people). • Non-local property ownership and short term rentals put pressure on the housing market by reducing supply, which impacts the local workforce and the permanent resident population. Many of these takeaways are confirmed by the analysis in this study, including an aging population and a supply and demand imbalance in the housing stock below 60% of AMI. 17 Economic & Planning Systems 7 Employment Trends This chapter summarizes trends in employment by industry and wage level in Pitkin County. From this information we estimate the household incomes that result from combining multiple job holders into a household. Wage and Salary Job Trends The Pitkin County economy has been generally strong over the past decade, as wage and salary jobs grew by 1,724 or 1.3 percent annually between 2010 and 2019, as shown in Figure 5. The momentum slowed in 2020, when jobs contracted by 9.4 percent due to the economic impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic. As of early 2021, total employment has mostly rebounded to its pre-pandemic levels. Figure 5. Employment, Pitkin County, 2010-2021 Job growth in Pitkin County was primarily driven by tourism-related sectors, including Accommodation and Food Services, Arts and Recreation, and Retail Trade, as shown in Figure 6. Collectively, these sectors accounted for approximately 60 percent of total job growth from 2010 through 2019. As shown in Table 2, the household incomes for these jobs range from 74 percent to 116 percent of area median income. It is important to note that these jobs are essential to the Pitkin County economy and also drive demand for workforce housing. Other sectors that grew included Public Administration (government), Real Estate, and Health Care. 15,003 15,061 15,329 15,707 16,437 15,826 16,129 16,371 16,534 16,801 15,215 16,727 10,000 11,000 12,000 13,000 14,000 15,000 16,000 17,000 18,000 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Source: QCEW;Economic & Planning Systems 18 Lumber Yard Demographic and Market Assessment 8 Figure 6. Employment Change by sector, Pitkin County, 2010-2019 Table 2. Wages and Incomes, Top Five Growth Sectors, Pitkin County, 2010-2019 An analysis by wage quartile shows the range of wage levels where job growth has been. Between 2010 and 2019, 29 percent of new jobs in Pitkin County were at or below the 25th percentile of wages, which equates to $47,372 per year or below $23 per hour, as shown in Figure 7. Just over half of new jobs were in the 25th to 50th percentile of wages, at $47,372 to $61,620 per year or $23 to approximately $30 per hour. The remaining 19 percent of jobs were above $61,620 per year or $30 per hour. 437 433 332 205 172 150 108 100 97 55 50 47 27 14 2 -47 -53 -85 -240 -300 -200 -100 0 100 200 300 400 500 Acc. and Food Services Arts and Recreation Public Admin. Real Estate Retail Trade Health Care Transport and Warehousing Professional and Tech Srvcs Other Services Ag & Forestry Educational Services Management of Companies Manufacturing Wholesale Trade Utilities Finance Information Construction Admin and Waste Services Description % of Job Growth Avg. Wage HH Income [1]AMI APCHA Category Pitkin County Accommodation and Food Services 24%$43,368 $69,389 74%Category 2 Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation 24%$50,024 $80,038 85%Category 3 Public Administration 18%$66,352 $106,163 113%Category 3 Real Estate and Rental and Leasing 11%$68,120 $108,992 116%Category 3 Retail Trade 10%$51,896 $83,034 88%Category 3 [1] Assumes 1.6 Earners per Household Source: BLS; Economic & Planning Systems 19 Economic & Planning Systems 9 Figure 7. Change in Employment by Wage Quartile, Pitkin County, 2010-2019 While wages relate to household income, the above information is only part of the picture as a working household is often comprised of multiple earners. The 2019 housing survey found that on average there are 1.6 earners per household. Household income is therefore estimated by multiplying the average wage for an industry, or the wages in the quartiles shown, by 1.6. This assumes that the “second” 0.6th of an earner makes the same wage as the first (1.0) earner. When thinking about the workforce in a mountain resort area, it is common for people with similar job types to pair up as roommates. The wage information is converted to estimated household income. As shown, 26 percent of the job growth translates to household incomes in APCHA Category 2 (50-85% AMI) and 55 percent of the job growth translates to Category 3 (85-120% AMI). If a goal is to serve the local workforce and employers, then a significant portion of the Lumber Yard unit mix should be in the Category 2 and Category 3 income ranges. 20 Lumber Yard Demographic and Market Assessment 10 Figure 8. Change in Employment AMI, Pitkin County, 2010-2019 A more granular breakdown of sectors in Pitkin County illustrates the wages in specific industries. As shown in Table 3, hotel jobs and restaurant jobs both comprise approximately 10 percent of total employment. For a household with 1.6 earners, hotel jobs pay a household income equivalent to 97 percent of AMI (Category 3) and restaurant jobs pay a household income equivalent to 82 percent of AMI (Category 2). Skiing Facilities, which comprise 9 percent of total jobs, pay a household income equivalent to 109 percent of AMI. For a one-earner household, hotel jobs pay an income equivalent to 74 percent of AMI and restaurants pay an income equivalent to 63 percent of AMI, placing jobholders in Category 2 under APCHA guidelines. In a few sectors with a sizeable presence in Pitkin County, including Supermarkets and Temporary Help Services, incomes in one-earner households place jobholders in Category 1. 0 (0%) 436 (26%) 913 (55%) 117 (7%) 0 (0%) 202 (12%) 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% Below 50% AMI 50%-85% AMI 85%-120% AMI 120%-205% AMI 205%-240% AMI Above 240% AMI Source: QCEW; Economic & Planning Systems 21 Economic & Planning Systems 11 Table 3. Wages and Incomes, Top Sectors, Pitkin County, 2020 Description % of Total Jobs Avg. Wage AMI [1]Category HH Income AMI [2]Category Pitkin County Hotels and Motels 11%$57,092 74%Cat. 2 $91,347 97%Cat. 3 Full-Service Restaurants 10%$48,405 63%Cat. 2 $77,447 82%Cat. 2 Skiing Facilities 9%$63,916 83%Cat. 2 $102,266 109%Cat. 3 Executive and Legislative Offices 6%$68,979 89%Cat. 3 $110,366 117%Cat. 3 Residential Property Managers 5%$73,835 95%Cat. 3 $118,136 126%Cat. 4 General Medical Hospitals 3%$86,511 112%Cat. 3 $138,418 147%Cat. 5 Elementary and Secondary Schools 3%$56,715 73%Cat. 2 $90,743 97%Cat. 3 Temporary Help Services 2%$30,795 40%Cat. 1 $49,272 52%Cat. 2 Landscaping Services 2%$48,181 62%Cat. 2 $77,090 82%Cat. 2 Supermarkets and Grocery Stores 2%$36,052 47%Cat. 1 $57,684 61%Cat. 2 [1] Assumes a 1-person household size [2] Assumes a 2.5-person household size Source: BLS; Economic & Planning Systems C:\Users\Carson\Documents\[QCEW Pitkin Eagle Garfield CLEANED.xlsx]T-6 digit Summ Pitkin 1-Earner Household 1.6-Earner Household 22 Lumber Yard Demographic and Market Assessment 12 Supply and Demand This chapter analyzes supply and demand information on housing and household demographics in Pitkin County and the greater Roaring Fork Valley, including Basalt, Carbondale, and Glenwood Springs – referred to as the Primary Market Area (PMA). Household Income EPS analyzed data on households by income range using census tract-level data from the American Community Survey (ACS). The incomes from the ACS data were translated into area median income using guidelines set by the Aspen-Pitkin County Housing Authority (APCHA). The tracts in this analysis encompass the entire Primary Market Area. From 2010 through 2019, growth in renter households was concentrated above 85% of AMI (above Category 2). The majority of renter household growth was in the 120-205% AMI category (mostly Category 4), as shown in Figure 9. By contrast, the number of renter households below 85% of AMI contracted, indicating a net loss of the lowest-income households. Figure 9. Change in Renter Households by AMI, 2010-2019 -222 -114 190 623 22 198 -600 -400 -200 0 200 400 600 800 Below 50% AMI 50%-85% AMI 85%-120% AMI 120%-205% AMI 205%-240% AMI Above 240% AMI Source: U.S. Census; Economic & Planning Systems 23 Economic & Planning Systems 13 Owner households showed a similar pattern. New household growth primarily occurred in the 85-120% AMI (Category 3) and above 240% AMI categories (Category 5), while there was a significant loss of households below 85% of AMI (Category 2), as shown in Figure 10. Overall, this analysis highlights a pattern in which higher-income households are replacing lower-income households in the Roaring Fork Valley, likely due to displacement of lower-income households because of rising housing costs and scarce supply. Figure 10. Change in Owner Households by AMI, 2010-2019 Household Size Within the Primary Market Area, the most common household size is a two-person household, comprising 39 percent of all households, followed a one-person household with 28 percent, four or more-person household with 17 percent, and a three-person household with 16 percent, as shown in Figure 11. From 2010 and 2019, the share of two-person households grew the most, increasing from 34 to 39 percent of all households, while the share of three-person households increased marginally. The decrease in share of households with 4 or more people, which dropped from 21 to 17 percent of all households, indicates a loss of families and larger households. -500 -265 -8 439 84 457 -600 -400 -200 0 200 400 600 800 Below 50% AMI 50%-85% AMI 85%-120% AMI 120%-205% AMI 205%-240% AMI Above 240% AMI Source: U.S. Census; Economic & Planning Systems 24 Lumber Yard Demographic and Market Assessment 14 Figure 11. Households by Size, Market Area, 2010-2019 Renters and O wners In terms of tenure, owner households comprise approximately two-thirds of all households in the Primary Market Area. The share of renter households within the Primary Market Area increased slightly between 2010 and 2019, increasing from 34 percent to 36 percent of all households, as shown in Figure 12. As such, the share of owner households decreased from 66 to 64 percent of all households. Figure 12. Households by Tenure, 2010-2019, Market Area 30% 34% 14% 21% 28% 39% 16%17% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 1-Person HH 2-Person HH 3-Person HH 4+ Person HH 2010 2019 Source: U.S. Census; Economic & Planning Systems 34% 66% 36% 64% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% Renters Owners 2010 2019 Source: U.S. Census; Economic & Planning Systems 25 Economic & Planning Systems 15 Housing Units by AMI On the supply side, EPS analyzed data on units by value and units by rent using census tract-level data from the American Community Survey (ACS). The incomes from the ACS data were translated into area median income using guidelines set by the Aspen-Pitkin County Housing Authority (APCHA). The tracts in this analysis encompass the entire Primary Market Area. Rental Housing Among rental units, the vast majority of new unit growth occurred between 85% and 120% of AMI, while there was a loss of units below 50% of AMI and above 205% of AMI, as shown in Figure 13. Figure 13. Renter Units by AMI, 2010-2019 -324 -124 -96 212 1,041 235 -600 -400 -200 0 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 Below 50% AMI 50%-85% AMI 85%-120% AMI 120%-205% AMI 205%-240% AMI Above 240% AMI Source: Economic & Planning Systems 26 Lumber Yard Demographic and Market Assessment 16 On the owner side, new unit growth was distributed between units in the 50-85% AMI category and the 120-205% category as shown in Figure 14. These trends reflect increases in rental rates at the low end, and likely conversion of units to ownership or second homes at the higher end. Figure 14. Owner Units by AMI, 2010-2019 -340 -95 -513 554 89 562 -600 -400 -200 0 200 400 600 800 Below 50% AMI 50%-85% AMI 85%-120% AMI 120%-205% AMI 205%-240% AMI Above 240% AMI Source: Economic & Planning Systems 27 Economic & Planning Systems 17 Number of Bedrooms The most common type of rental unit in the Primary Market Area is a 2-bedroom unit, comprising 40 percent of all rental units, as shown in Figure 15. One- and 3-bedroom units both comprise approximately 20 percent of rental units, while studios and 4- and 5-bedroom units comprise less than 10 percent of rental units. Between 2010 and 2019, the share of 2-bedroom units grew significantly, increasing from 32 to 40 percent of all rental units, while the share of 3-bedroom units fell from 26 to 19 percent of units, and the share of 1-bedroom units fell from 22 to 20 percent. The increase in 2-bedroom units is attributed to construction of new APCHA projects and other new apartments noted below. Figure 15. Rental Units by Bedroom County, Pitkin County, 2010-2019 11% 22% 32% 26% 7% 2% 7% 20% 40% 19% 10% 4% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% No Bedroom 1-Bedroom 2-Bedroom 3-Bedroom 4-Bedroom 5+ Bedrooms 2010 2019 Source: U.S. Census; Economic & Planning Systems 28 Lumber Yard Demographic and Market Assessment 18 Recent Multifamily Projects EPS gathered information on recent multifamily projects in the Roaring Fork Valley to gauge what the market has delivered, with a particular focus on unit mix and rental rates. Several multifamily projects, both market rate and affordable, have been built in the Valley over the past decade. A brief description of each project is provided below and project characteristics are summarized in Table 4. Newer apartment developments have rents concentrated in the Category 4 and RO categories. These are not APCHA properties; EPS converted the rental rates to the equivalent APCHA categories and AMI ranges for comparison. As shown in Table 5, the only properties serving people earning less than 120 percent of AMI (Category 4) are properties developed using low income housing tax credits (LIHTC). The two LIHTC projects shown here have rents affordable to people earning between 50 and 85% of AMI (Category 2). Table 4. Recent Apartment Developments Description Units Percent Avg. Size Avg. Rent Per Sq. Ft.Yr Built Type Willits Seven - Basalt 1 Bedroom 18 36%624 $1,901 $3.05 2017 Affordable 2-Bedroom 17 34%909 $2,168 $2.39 2017 Affordable 3-Bedroom 15 30%1,072 $2,280 $2.13 2017 Affordable Total 50 100%855 $2,105 $2.46 2017 Affordable One 10 Harris - Basalt 1 Bedroom 5 10%733 $2,275 $3.10 2018 Market 2-Bedroom 20 41%947 $2,850 $3.01 2018 Market 3-Bedroom 24 49%1,114 $3,450 $3.10 2018 Market Total 49 100%1,007 $3,085 $3.06 2018 Market Six Canyon - Glenwood Spgs 1 Bedroom 55 47%683 $1,840 $2.69 2020 Market 2-Bedroom 61 53%980 $2,308 $2.36 2020 Market Total 116 100%821 $2,086 $2.54 Glenwood Greens - Glenwood Spgs 1 Bedroom 28 47%708 $917 $1.30 2014 LIHTC 2-Bedroom 20 33%950 $1,095 $1.15 2014 LIHTC 3-Bedroom 12 20%1,084 $1,265 $1.17 2014 LIHTC Total 60 100% Roaring Fork Apartments - Basalt 1 Bedroom 45 80%N/A N/A N/A 2018 LIHTC 2-Bedroom 11 20%N/A N/A N/A 2018 LIHTC Total 56 100%N/A N/A N/A 2018 LIHTC 1201 Main - Carbondale 1 Bedroom 15 56%660 $1,800 N/A N/A Market 2-Bedroom 12 44%1,020 $2,800 N/A N/A Market Total 27 100% Source: Economic & Planning Systems Z:\Shared\Projects\DEN\213032-Aspen Lumber Yard\Data\[213032-Apartment Comps.xlsx]T-Summ 29 Economic & Planning Systems 19 Table 5. Rents by AMI Levels in Recent Properties Description Units Avg. Rent Equivalent APCHA Category AMI Willits Seven - Basalt 1 Bedroom 18 $1,901 Cat. 4 120-205% 2-Bedroom 17 $2,168 Cat. 4 120-205% 3-Bedroom 15 $2,280 Cat. 4 120-205% Total 50 $2,105 One 10 Harris - Basalt 1 Bedroom 5 $2,275 RO Above 205% 2-Bedroom 20 $2,850 RO Above 205% 3-Bedroom 24 $3,450 RO Above 205% Total 49 $3,085 Six Canyon - Glenwood Spgs 1 Bedroom 55 $1,840 Cat. 4 120-205% 2-Bedroom 61 $2,308 RO Above 205% Total 116 $2,086 Glenwood Greens - Glenwood Spgs 1 Bedroom 28 $917 Cat. 2 50-85% 2-Bedroom 20 $1,095 Cat. 2 50-85% 3-Bedroom 12 $1,265 Cat. 2 50-85% Total 60 $1,046 Roaring Fork Apartments - Basalt 1 Bedroom 45 N/A Cat. 2 50-85% 2-Bedroom 11 N/A RO Above 205% Total 56 N/A 1201 Main - Carbondale 1 Bedroom 15 $1,800 Cat. 4 120-205% 2-Bedroom 12 $2,800 RO Above 205% Total 27 $2,244 Source: Economic & Planning Systems Z:\Shared\Projects\DEN\213032-Aspen Lumber Yard\Data\[213032-Apartment Comps.xlsx]T-Summ 30 Lumber Yard Demographic and Market Assessment 20 Willits Seven Located in Willits Town Center in Basalt, Willits Seven is a 50-unit apartment complex built in 2017. Willits Seven has a relatively even mixture of 1-, 2-, and 3- bedroom units, and is only leased to employees in Roaring Fork Valley. Units are income-restricted at up to 120% of area median income under current APCHA guidelines (Category 2). Current rents are $1,901 per month for a 1-bedroom, $2,168 for a 2-bedroom, and $2,280 for a 3-bedroom. One 10 Harris Also in Willits Town Center, One 10 Harris is a 49-unit market rate apartment project built in 2018. One 10 Harris sits at the higher end of the apartment market, with rental rates over $3.00 per square foot. Approximately half of the units are 3-bedroom, the highest share of the comparable properties, while 41 percent are 2-bedroom units and 10 percent are 1-bedroom units. 31 Economic & Planning Systems 21 Six Canyon Six Canyon is a 116-unit market-rate apartment project built in 2020 located along U.S. Highway 6 in the northwestern part of Glenwood Springs. The unit mix is evenly split between 1- and 2-bedroom units and the average rent is $2.54 per square foot. It is one of the newest for-rent residential projects in the Roaring Fork Valley. Glenwood Greens Glenwood Greens is a 60-unit affordable apartment project located in Glenwood Springs adjacent to the Glenwood Meadows shopping center. Built in 2014, Glenwood Greens is a low-income housing tax credit (LIHTC) project with below- market rents averaging $1.21 per square foot. The unit mix consists of 28 1 - bedroom units, 20 2-bedroom units, and 12 3-bedroom units. 32 Lumber Yard Demographic and Market Assessment 22 Roaring Fork Apartments The Roaring Fork Apartments is a 56-unit multifamily project located along State Highway 82 in Basalt. Built in 2018, the Roaring Fork received funding from the low-income housing tax credit (LIHTC) program and contains a mixture of affordable units (under 60% of AMI) and market-rate units. Approximately 80 percent of the units are 1-bedroom units and 20 percent are 2-bedroom units. 1201 Main Located in Carbondale at the intersection of Main Street and State Highway 133, 1201 Main is a 27-unit market-rate apartment project. 1201 Main has a mixture of 1- and 2-bedroom units. 33 Economic & Planning Systems 23 Recommendations This chapter provides recommendations and considerations for the unit mix and targeted income ranges for the rental portion of the Lumber Yard development. For context, the chapter begins with a summary of the current unit mix in APCHA’s rental properties. APCHA Rental Inventory APCHA has 1,382 units in its inventory, shown in Table 6. The inventory is concentrated in smaller units ranging from studios (22 percent) and dorm units (15 percent) to 1-bedroom (27 percent) and 2-bedroom units (31 percent). The inventory includes properties built over decades when the focus was on employee and seasonal housing, reflected in the dorm style and 1- and 2-bedroom apartment units. Most of APCHA’s rental inventory is in income Categories 2 and 3 (50-85% AMI and 85-120% AMI), with 56 percent of units. There are another 8 percent of units in Category 1 (under 50% AMI) and a third of the units as RO Category. RO units do not have an income limit; the occupant must be a full time resident and full time employee in Pitkin County with net assets less than $2.4 million. Table 6. APCHA Rental Housing Inventory Rental Category 1 Category 2 Category 3 Category 4 RO Total Units % Mix Unit Type Studio 51 78 80 4 88 301 22% 1-Bedroom 33 144 145 6 39 367 27% 2-Bedroom 17 86 171 28 126 428 31% 3-Bedroom 1 18 43 5 9 76 5% Dorm Units 6 0 10 0 190 206 15% Single-Family 0 0 0 2 2 4 0% Rental Total 108 326 449 45 454 1,382 Rental %8%24%32%3%33%100% Source: APCHA; Economic & Planning Systems Z:\Shared\Projects\DEN\213032-Aspen Lumber Yard\Data\[213032-APCHA inventory.xlsx]APCHA summ 34 Lumber Yard Demographic and Market Assessment 24 Analysis Findings Household Income The number of households in income Categories 1 and 2 in the PMA (Aspen to Glenwood Springs) have declined by approximately 1,100 (renters and owners) over about the past 10 years. Some Category 1 and 2 units should be provided to serve this lower income population and workforce and to help mitigate the increases in housing costs in the Upper, Mid, and Lower Valley areas. Jobs and Economic Base Most of the job growth in Pitkin County over the past 10 years has been in Accommodations and Food Services ($43,368), Arts and Recreation ($50,024), Public Administration ($66,352), and Retail Trade ($51,896). Besides public administration, these industries have average wages ranging from $43,368 to $51,896. For a single earner, those are incomes of 56% to 67% of AMI (Category 2). When multiple earners are considered, the job growth translates to household incomes in 50 to 85 % of AMI (26 percent of new jobs, Category 2) and 85 to 120% of AMI (55 percent of new jobs, Category 3). If a goal is to address workforce and employer needs, then a focus on up to Category 3 is also recommended. When single person households (e.g., a single parent) are considered, targeting the traditional APCHA mix of Category 1, 2, and 3 is still a good approach at Lumber Yard and will address multiple types of housing need. Private Market Development The private market is able to build rental housing in Category 4 and up as the recent projects illustrate. For rental housing, it is recommended that Lumber Yard continue to focus on Category 1, 2, and 3 for the time being. The County and all municipalities should also be encouraging market rate rental housing and looking for ways to incentivize market rate development down into Category 3 or even below. Unit Sizes EPS recommends that the Lumber Yard rental component include 1, 2, and 3 bedroom units. No studio units are recommended. Studio units do not offer the living arrangement flexibility that a unit with a separate bedroom offers. None of the recent projects in the area have included studio units; they are more typical in urban markets. EPS does recommend that the rental component include larger 3- bedroom units. Three bedroom units offer more options for families as well as roommates. There is a long tradition of seasonal workers and “ski bums” pairing up as roommates, which has social benefits and helps to save money on rent. The family market appears to be underserved, which is important in building and maintaining community and a middle class, as well as creating an opportunity for low income residents to live closer to work and attend Aspen schools. 35 Economic & Planning Systems 25 Proposed Unit Mix The recommended unit mix is shown in Table 7. The unit mix covers a wide range of unit types and incomes, focusing mostly on Category 1, Category 2, and Category 3 Units, which collectively comprise 93 percent of proposed rental units, with Category 2 having the largest share of 38 percent of all rental units. On the ownership side, more units are priced at Category 4 and above, with 26 percent of all units are Category 4 and 17 percent of all units are Category 5. This recommendation is for general guidance and does not need to be tied exactly to any final project design. Table 7. Recommended Unit Mix APCHA Category 1 Category 2 Category 3 Category 4 Category 5 Category RO Total % %AMI <50%50-85%>85-130%>130-205%>205-240%no limit Units Mix Rental Product Studio 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0% 1-Bedroom 28 37 35 4 0 0 104 49% 2-Bedroom 15 31 25 7 0 0 78 37% 3-Bedroom 4 12 10 4 0 0 30 14% Rental Total 47 80 70 15 0 0 212 100% Rental %22%38%33%7%0%0% Ownership Product Studio 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0% 1-Bedroom 0 12 12 10 6 0 40 41% 2-Bedroom 0 11 11 12 8 0 42 43% 3-Bedroom 0 0 10 3 3 0 16 16% Ownership Total 0 23 33 25 17 0 98 100% Ownership %0%23%34%26%17%0% Source: Economic & Planning Systems Z:\Shared\Projects\DEN\213032-Aspen Lumber Yard\Data\[Draft Lumberyard Program Updated 11-19-2021.xlsx]T-Program 36 Lumber Yard Demographic and Market Assessment 26 Alternate Unit Mix An alternate unit mix is shown in Table 8. The City of Aspen may be able to decrease public subsidies and/or increase overall public benefit by establishing an employer partnership to house employees who otherwise qualify at the Category 2 and Category 3 levels and who typically reside in roommate arrangements . In this case, modification to the unit mix to accommodate such arrangements is recommended by re-allocating some 1-bedroom units to instead be 3-bedroom units. This alternative arrangement is consistent with the findings of this study, as additional 3-bedroom units meet an established market need. The unit mix shifts 20 1-bedroom units to 3-bedroom units, pulling 10 from Category 2 and 10 from Category 3. In this alternate mix, approximately one-quarter of all units are 3- bedroom units, up from 14 percent in the original scenario. Table 8. Alternate Unit Mix APCHA Category 1 Category 2 Category 3 Category 4 Category 5 Category RO Total % %AMI <50%50-85%>85-130%>130-205%>205-240%no limit Units Mix Rental Product Studio 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0% 1-Bedroom 28 27 25 4 0 0 84 40% 2-Bedroom 15 31 25 7 0 0 78 37% 3-Bedroom 4 22 20 4 0 0 50 24% Rental Total 47 80 70 15 0 0 212 100% Rental %22%38%33%7%0%0% Ownership Product Studio 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0% 1-Bedroom 0 12 12 10 6 0 40 41% 2-Bedroom 0 11 11 12 8 0 42 43% 3-Bedroom 0 0 10 3 3 0 16 16% Ownership Total 0 23 33 25 17 0 98 100% Ownership %0%23%34%26%17%0% Source: Economic & Planning Systems 37 Economic & Planning Systems 27 Appendix Figure 16 Households by Tenure and AMI, Pitkin County, 2010-2019 Figure 17. Households by Tenure and AMI, Primary Market Area, 2010-2019 2010 2019 Change % total 2010 % total 2019 % Change in Share Renter Households Under 30% AMI 407 262 -144 15%10%-5% 30% to 50% AMI 461 528 68 17%20%4% 50% to 60% AMI 270 199 -71 10%8%-2% 60% to 80% AMI 444 403 -41 16%15%-1% 80% to 100% AMI 390 340 -50 14%13%-1% 100% to 120% AMI 217 270 53 8%10%3% Above 120% AMI 594 614 20 21%23%2% Total 2,782 2,616 -166 100%100%0% Owner Households Under 30% AMI 631 210 -421 14%9%-4% 30% to 50% AMI 598 329 -269 13%14%1% 50% to 60% AMI 238 119 -118 5%5%0% 60% to 80% AMI 447 305 -142 10%13%4% 80% to 100% AMI 352 248 -104 8%11%3% 100% to 120% AMI 290 213 -77 6%9%3% Above 120% AMI 2,079 868 -1,211 45%38%-7% Total 4,635 2,292 -2,343 100%100%0% Source: U.S. Census ACS 5-year; Economic & Planning Systems Z:\Shared\Projects\DEN\213032-Aspen Lumber Yard\Data\[213032-HHs by Income.xlsx]Table 5 - Pitkin Summ Households by AMI 2010-2019 2010 2019 Change % total 2010 % total 2019 % Change in Share Renter Households Under 30% AMI 1,161 1,017 -144 19%15%-4% 30% to 50% AMI 1,166 1,088 -78 19%16%-3% 50% to 60% AMI 573 565 -8 9%8%-1% 60% to 80% AMI 916 815 -101 15%12%-3% 80% to 100% AMI 800 767 -33 13%11%-2% 100% to 120% AMI 501 719 218 8%11%2% Above 120% AMI 960 1,803 843 16%27%11% Total 6,077 6,774 697 100%100%0% Owner Households Under 30% AMI 1,384 1,256 -128 12%10%-1% 30% to 50% AMI 1,530 1,159 -372 13%9%-3% 50% to 60% AMI 664 651 -13 6%5%0% 60% to 80% AMI 1,610 1,370 -240 13%11%-2% 80% to 100% AMI 1,273 1,580 307 11%13%2% 100% to 120% AMI 1,030 1,200 170 9%10%1% Above 120% AMI 4,524 5,057 533 38%41%4% Total 12,016 12,273 257 100%100%0% Source: U.S. Census ACS 5-year; Economic & Planning Systems Z:\Shared\Projects\DEN\213032-Aspen Lumber Yard\Data\[213032-HHs by Income.xlsx]Table 5 - PMA Summ Households by AMI 2010-2019 38 Page 1 of 8 MEMORANDUM TO: Mayor Torre and Aspen City Council FROM: Chris Everson, Affordable Housing Project Manager THROUGH: Scott Miller, Public Works Director MEMO DATE: September 11, 2020 MEETING DATE: September 14, 2020 RE: Community Outreach for Lumberyard Conceptual Design Process REQUEST OF COUNCIL: Staff is seeking input from Council for the upcoming round of community outreach for the Lumberyard conceptual design process. Included below are topics planned for the public outreach, including sample questions which the public will be asked to weigh in on. Council is asked to provide input as to whether these are the right questions to ask or whether Council would prefer to ask alternate questions or additional questions as part of the upcoming public feedback process. SUMMARY AND BACKGROUND: Beginning June of 2019, the goal of the Lumberyard conceptual design process has been to create community-vetted conceptual design alternatives for the development of affordable housing at the Lumberyard property, and for Council to select a preferred conceptual design by December 2020. On June 24, 2019, Council approved Resolution #70 of 2019 and associated contract with DHM Design for initial community outreach and conceptual design for the lumber yard affordable housing development for 2019. The first round of public community outreach occurred as planned during the fall of 2019, and a second round of public community outreach occurred again in early 2020. On April 14, 2020, Council approved a contract extension for DHM Design which included a scope of work to allow for the continued conceptual design while the COVID-19 Stay- at-home Order was in place. At a work session on July 6, 2020, DHM Design presented the updated conceptual designs, and Council provided the design team with direction for further plan refinements aiming toward 300+ units. During a consent agenda discussion at Council’s regular meeting on August 11, 2020, Council approved a contract amendment with DHM Design which included a work plan for the Lumberyard conceptual design process through the end of 2020. The work plan aimed to reach a preferred conceptual design by the end of 2020 and included an additional round of public community outreach, consisting mainly of 6 weeks of web - based online feedback through October. During the consent agenda discussion on August 11, Council expressed some interest in reviewing what the public would be specifically asked to weigh in on during the next round of outreach. The discussion below 39 Page 2 of 8 explains the current plan, and requests input from Council as to whether or not Council feels the right questions are being asked and, if not, how the questions should be modified to be more suitable with Council’s expectations. DISCUSSION: The upcoming round of community outreach for the Lumberyard conceptual design process will be the third tranche of public community outreach regarding this project. Council provided their most recent design direction to the Lumberyard team at a work session on July 6, 2020, including the direction to refine the conceptual plans to aim in the area of 300+ units on the site. The next work session for City Council to review the design progress is scheduled for October 26, 2020, and the objective of the upcoming round of community outreach is to collect feedback from the community related to Council’s most recent design direction. At the same time, the design team is also gathering technical data on noise and air quality at the site as well as traffic impact information. Having both the community feedback and the technical data in hand at the next work session with Council on October 26 will allow Council to be fully informed when directing the next set of conceptual plan refinements. After the work session on October 26, the design team expects to prepare near -final versions of the conceptual plan alternatives. Those near-final conceptual plans will be presented to Council at a work session on November 23, and Council will be asked to select a preferred conceptual plan to continue forward with. What tools will be employed for the upcoming community outreach? Before jumping into the outreach topics, it is important to understand the format of the outreach to be performed, or more specifically, the tools which will be employed. Due to the ongoing public health crisis, the outreach will need to rely primarily on approaches that generate participation and feedback without creating health risks for participants. The following tools will be put to use for this purpose: Project Website: All advertising will direct outreach participants to a website which will be available at “aspenlumberyard.com”. The website will offer various ways to learn about the project and provide feedback. Community feedback topics and questions: On the project website, participants will be able to view background information about each topic, consisting of graphic depictions and explanatory text, to first inform them and provide appropriate background and context. Participants will then be asked to answer certain questions after first having the context established. Furthermore, each of the questions will be asked in a manner which requests that they put on their “community hat” and provide answers based on their perception of what the community needs, not based on what they as individuals want. Conceptual Plans: On the project website, participants will be able to view the most recently refined conceptual plan alternatives based on Council input from July. This will include plan alternatives with density ranging from 250 to 350 units. The website will provide a means for collecting participant feedback on the plans. 40 Page 3 of 8 Event schedule/information for webinars and small pop-up events: The project website will provide information for participants to get further involved if they so desire. General project information and schedule: The project website will allow participants to understand where we’ve been and where we’re heading, including the process to date and information about previous outreach and what has been learned to date. Survey: The survey will available via the project website and will also be distributed through social media and email. The survey is integrated into the website and offers participants a chance to provide feedback on the topic questions and conceptual plan alternatives. Forms for open comments: Form fields will be integrated into the project website for any other comments and ideas from the community. This will allow for folks to provide additional comments as they see fit. Webinar(s): A live internet-based presentation, open to the public and hosted on multiple platforms (Zoom and Facebook Live), with pauses to answer questions and take polls. Also planned are smaller live online events for targeted community groups. Recordings of such live events will be posted on the project website after each such event. Small group in-person pop-up events: These will include 10 or less people at a time, consisting of socially distanced pop-up events to provide some level of personal interaction (if possible, dependent on infection rates locally). What topics will be discussed during the upcoming public outreach? Since meeting with Council in July, the Lumberyard team has studied various alternatives to respond to comments from City Council. From studying these alternatives, certain variables emerged as central topics which are key differentiators. These are the topics which the team is planning to ask the community to weigh in on: • Density and massing trade-offs related to parking • Density and massing trade-offs related to unit mix • Innovations, such as co-living, green roofs, solar, net zero, project phasing • Architectural character • Project add-ons, such as childcare, ancillary surface parking, transit facilities • Amenities, such as bike-share, car-share, parks, community gardens What questions will be asked, and how will those be framed? Each question will include background information to establish context. Below are sample questions within each topic area which have thus far been discussed by the team for potential inclusion. 41 Page 4 of 8 Topic: Density and massing trade-offs related to parking Graphic representation of the trade-offs being discussed: Question 1 Background: • Podium parking is ground-level parking with housing units constructed above • Podium parking is less expensive to construct than underground parking • Podium parking results in more building height and mass or less total units • Podium parking requires drive access through the site, creates bike and ped conflicts • Underground parking is an underground parking garage with buildings above • Underground parking results in less building height and mass or more total units • Underground parking requires ramp access, car circulation occurs underground Question 1a: Is it worth it to the community to have lower building height and massing or the ability to create more units, even if this causes a higher project cost? [ ] No [ ] Yes Question 1b: Does the community benefit more from podium parking or underground parking at the Lumberyard site? [ ] Podium [ ] Underground Comments: 42 Page 5 of 8 Topic: Density and massing trade-offs related to unit mix Graphic representation of the trade-offs being discussed: Question 2 Background: • The Housing Authority reports the greatest need is for rental housing • New ownership units will be available at Burlingame Ranch Phase 3 in 2022 • Ownership units lean towards larger (more 2 & 3 bedrooms with some 1-bedrooms) • Rental units lean towards smaller (more studio and 1-bedrooms with some 2-bedrooms) • Larger units result in more building square footage or less total units • Smaller units result in less building square footage or more total units Question 2: What percentage rental vs ownership do you think the community needs at the Lumberyard? [ %] Rental [ %] Ownership Comments: Question 3 Background: • Studio and one-bedroom units are great for individuals, couples, and seniors. • Two- and three-bedroom units are great for families • Smaller units result in either less building mass or more units total • In the current conceptual plans, the mix is based the unit mix from the findings of the regional housing needs study, 67% studio and one-bedrooms and 33% 2 and 3- bedrooms. Question 3a: What percentage of studio and one-bedroom units do you think the community needs at this site? [ %] Question 3b: What percentage of 2- and 3-bedrooms do you think the community needs at this site? [ %] Question 3c: What percentage of 4+ bedrooms do you think the community needs at this site? [ %] Comments: 43 Page 6 of 8 Topic: Innovation – Co-Living Graphic representation of the trade-offs being discussed: Question 4 Background: • Co-living is an innovative lifestyle trend occurring today in residential development that responds to rising costs of real estate and the need for affordable housing • Co-living employs the use of small individual studio units (not shared), but provides larger shared common-area spaces for lounging, working, exercising, socializing • Each small studio (not shared) is equipped with a small kitchen and a bathroom • Including the common area amenity space, the overall amount of floor area is decreased or there can be more units Question 4a: With the proximity to transit and the AABC, do you think the Lumberyard is a good potential site for co-living? [ ] No [ ] Yes Question 4b: Are you afraid of the concept of co-living due to Covid-19, or do you think that social distancing and other mitigation measures could be successfully implemented? [ ] Afraid due to Covid-19 [ ] I think it could work Question 4c: Are you disinclined to advocate co-living for some other reason? [ ] I do not advocate this [ ] I think it could work Comments: 44 Page 7 of 8 Topic: Architectural Character Background: TBD (Work in process, actual images and quantity of questions will vary) Question 5a: Considering the Lumberyard site and its surrounding neighborhood, please choose the character image which more suitable: Question 5b: Considering the Lumberyard site and its surrounding neighborhood, please choose the character image which more suitable: Question 5c: Considering the Lumberyard site and its surrounding neighborhood, please choose the character image which more suitable: NOTE: The Lumberyard team is also looking into a ranked-choice version of this outreach component. If ranked-choice can be implemented, would Council prefer that? 45 Page 8 of 8 Questions related to the following items are in process and will be similarly framed: • Project add-ons, such as childcare, ancillary surface parking, transit facilities • Amenities, such as bike-share, car-share, parks, community gardens In addition to the questions included above, participants will be able to view the most recently refined conceptual plan alternatives based on Council input from July. This will include plan alternatives with density ranging from 250 to 350 units. For each density scenario, participants will be able to view the updated site plans, parking plans and perspective views, and form fields for comments will be provided. Those comments will be collected with all other participant responses. On the website and during all online events, an email address will also be provided so that participants will be able to provide additional customized input as they see necessary. Included as an exhibit is a draft communications outline which describes the approach, strategy, tactics and timing related to upcoming public communications for the community outreach as conceived to this point. When staff has heard feedback from Council, the communications outline will be updated as needed to be finalized and the work will be initiated. FINANCIAL IMPACTS: n/a RECOMMENDATIONS: Staff recommends that Council consider the topics and questions proposed and provide direction whether these are the right questions to ask or whether Council would prefer to ask alternate questions or additional questions as part of the upcoming public feedback process. CITY MANAGER COMMENTS: EXHIBITS: A – Draft communications outline B - Presentation slides 46 COMMUNICATIONS OUTLINE LUMBER YARD HOUSING PROJECT CAMPAIGN: OCT-NOV 2020 MDC - Manifest Darnauer Communications 600 East Hopkins, Suite 303, Aspen, CO 81611 47 COMMUNICATIONS PLAN OUTLINE - REVISED LUMBERYARD PROJECT Six-week Campaign – Oct 5 through November 6 or 13, 2020 (Proposing limited outreach and advertising Oct 28 through Nov 3 because of the election) APPROACH This fall campaign must utilize a multi-pronged approach because of the changed nature of business and social life during COVID-19. While communication efforts always include many facets, it is even more important now to reach people in new ways. We must realize that people are getting “Zoomed out” and have screen fatigue. We can’t rely solely on online communications. That means open houses via Zoom can’t be the primary way of reaching our audiences. To be effective with online or possibly an in-person open house, there needs to be an incentive for people to participate –a drawing for a product(s), a gift certificate to a restaurant – some motivator to sit in front of the screen for yet another hour. Traditional advertising should be combined with more innovative ways of reaching people in today’s environment. So we propose more direct community outreach to target businesses and a grassroots network in order to reach those most in need of housing. Our plan suggests personal one-on-one public engagement with a handful of important large employers. We strongly suggest a new web project landing page that is a one-stop-shop for information and two-way communication to garner feedback. Aspen Community Voice is too bulky and many people won’t take the time to sign up in order to comment. However, we should connect the two since the City likes to use that platform. We also propose stepping up our visual communications game. Because we’re not meeting in person, it’s even more important that the Lumberyard brand is consistently presented through high quality graphics guided by an artist/graphic designer. STRATEGIES 1. Build awareness of the final stage planning and outreach for the Lumberyard 2. Employ a variety of innovative tactics to generate feedback among target audiences 3. Utilize more one-on-one than group communication tactics to personalize the engagement in a safe manner to influence audiences to act 48 AUDIENCES 1. Large and medium-sized employers 2. Public at large 3. ACRA 4. AYPA 5. Next Gen and possibly CCLC 6. City of Aspen 7. Pitkin County 8. Aspen Skiing Company 9. Aspen Valley Hospital 10. Other Businesses and Non-Profit Organizations a. Tap into the COVID business outreach of the city and county, if possible TACTICS 1. Communication Tools a. One-on-one phone calls or emails  Updates to all outreach audiences with emphasis on employers and business leaders b. Flyers  For employees to post on employee bulletin boards and/or email to employees  Post around town in coffee shops and restaurants c. Fact sheet one-pager on the project progress and updated plans  Call to action with links to survey plus webinar and open house/pop ups dates for community feedback opportunities  Employer emails to staff, post on social media, include in newsletters/eblasts  Request employers post on bulletin boards for offices with on-site staff d. Paid Advertising – media schedules, content, graphic design  Drive time radio  Print – newspaper ads  Digital – Aspen Times and ADN leader board or column ad  CGTV with City’s slate e. Social Media  Paid social on FB and Instagram – geo targeted to Aspen, Snowmass and Basalt and to Glenwood, if budget allows f. Media Outreach  Press release on campaign launch  Release sent to CoA communications department to distribute  Media alerts with date reminders for open houses/pop ups/webinar 49 g. Interactive Website  DHM to create  DHM will coordinate with City on directing AspenCommunityVoice.com to aspenlumberyard.com page  Work with CoA communications department on content for ACV site  MDC to send DHM all graphic elements for incorporation in the website h. Survey to gather broader community feedback  Bob leads on wording; Chris involved  MDC does final edit and gives thoughts on messaging for consistency i. Main Street banner  Two-sided for three weeks (Fees waived by City) j. Possibly a special e-mail to members of associations (eg, lodging, restaurants, some non profits), to include the flyer and/or fact sheet plus a link to the survey k. Eblasts – a series – probably one/week  MDC designs and writes content and distributes to DHM’s general list  Sign as “The Lumberyard Team” l. Emails – personalized to target audience contacts  One/week  Include a graphic to accompany general blurb (MDC writes)  Sent to target audiences for them to send out/post  MDC to coordinate m. A special page to include in ACRA’s September board of directors packet, possibly in lieu of a live presentation n. PowerPoint Presentations for web meetings  DHM designs and provides content o. Open Houses/In person pop-ups  DHM hosts  MDC communicates in advance through social post and media alerts  Do a FB event and push thru City of Aspen – work with Mitzi on content;  Maybe every Thurs have a pop up?? p. Webinars  # TBD  DHM hosts  MDC communicates in advance – MDC advise on appropriate day of week/what dates to avoid  Incentive – Submit your email when you sign up and we’ll do a weekly drawing for six weeks for a $50 (?) gift certificate to a local business –- $300 budget - Delia to check w. Jason – MDH to suggest businesses for gift certificates 50 2. Outreach Meetings/Strategic Partnerships Strategy: Work with organizations and businesses listed below to leverage their databases and social channels in order to create awareness of project status, engage staff and solicit feedback. We will ask them to send an eblast or newsletter to their networks with a one-page fact sheet and links to the survey. DHM creates the PPT for presentations; how MDC should be involved?? a. NextGen Commission (Zoom meeting or submit written summary) b. ACRA Board of Directors update (either via Zoom meeting or written summary) c. ACRA Newsletter to members; possibly distribution of survey to members d. ACRA Public Affairs Committee (either via Zoom meeting or written summary) e. Commercial Core and Lodging Committee (CCLC) – optional f. APCHA database  DHM is adding content to APCHA NL; DHM solicits their input; Chris wants to send emails to those who’s been in lotteries  MDC to coordinate?? g. SkiCo h. St. Regis i. Aspen School District j. City of Aspen k. Pitkin County l. Aspen Valley Hospital 3. Graphic Design – hard designer costs – up to $2,000 a. Flyer b. Fact Sheet c. Print ads d. Digital banner/column ads e. Social media graphics f. Email NL - a general blurb to send out to short blurb w. graphic that others can send out/post – MDC to coordinate g. Eblast design 51 TIMELINE - DRAFT Campaign Launch Oct 5  Six-week campaign Oct 5-Nov 6 or Nov 13  3 of those weeks more intense – weeks of 5th the 12th the 19th  Possible break Oct 28 through Nov3 because of election – if so, we may want to do mini push at the end from Nov 4 –Nov 13  Delia to check w. Jason and Chris  Public webinar should be on the Oct 14 or 15 – MDC to weigh in on best dates and days for them Graphic Design Sept 14 - 25  Flyer  Fact Sheet  Print ads – ¼ pg newspaper  Digital banner/column ads for print  Social media graphics for paid  Email graphic  Eblast design Concept and content development; copy writing Sept 14-18 Campaign launch Press Release Oct 5 Newspaper ad campaign Oct 5 – Nov 6 or 13 Radio ad campaign (length depends on stretch of budget) Oct 5 – Nov 6 or 13 Social media paid campaign Oct 5 – Nov 6 Digital campaign Oct 5 – Nov 6 or 13 Survey platform Oct 5 - Nov 13 Webinars "probably launching" the second week of October Webinar dates Oct 14 or 15 + ?? Website live Oct 5 Aspen Community Voice website content Oct 5 52 Community Outreach for Lumberyard Conceptual Design Process September 14, 202053 •Beginning June of 2019, the goal of the Lumberyard conceptual design process has been to create community-vetted conceptual design alternatives for the development of affordable housing at the Lumberyard property, and for Council to select a preferred conceptual design by December 2020 . •At a work session on July 6, 2020, DHM Design presented the updated conceptual designs, and Council provided the design team with direction for further plan refinements aiming toward 300+ units. Background 2 54 •During a consent agenda discussion at Council’s regular meeting on August 11, 2020, Council approved a contract amendment with DHM Design which included a work plan for the Lumberyard conceptual design process through the end of 2020. •During a consent agenda discussion at Council’s regular meeting on August 11, 2020, Council expressed some interest in reviewing what the public would be specifically asked to weigh in on during the next round of outreach Background 3 55 •The upcoming community outreach for the Lumberyard will be the third tranche of public outreach for this project. •Council provided design direction at a work session in July, including the direction to refine the conceptual plans to aim in the area of 300+ units on the site. •The next work session for Council to review progress is scheduled for October 26. Having both community feedback and technical data in hand at that time will allow Council to be fully informed when directing the next set of conceptual plan refinements. Discussion 4 56 What tools will be employed for the upcoming community outreach? •Project Website •Community feedback topics and questions •Conceptual Plans •Event schedule/information for webinars and small pop-up events •General project information and schedule •Survey •Forms for open comments •Webinars •Small group in-person pop-up events Discussion 5 57 What topics will be discussed during the upcoming public outreach? •Density and massing trade-offs related to parking •Density and massing trade-offs related to unit mix •Innovations, such as co-living, green roofs, solar, net zero, project phasing •Architectural character •Project add-ons, such as childcare, ancillary surface parking, transit facilities •Amenities, such as bike-share, car-share, parks, community gardens Discussion 6 58 What questions will be asked, and how will those be framed? Discussion 7 59 What questions will be asked, and how will those be framed? Discussion 8 60 What questions will be asked, and how will those be framed? Discussion 9 61 What questions will be asked, and how will those be framed? Discussion 10 62 What questions will be asked, and how will those be framed? •Questions related to project add-ons, such as childcare, ancillary surface parking, transit facilities and potential project amenities, such as bike-share, car-share, parks, community gardens will also be similarly framed and asked. •Participants will also be able to view the most recent conceptual plans based on Council input from July,including site plans, parking plans and perspective views, and form fields for comments will be provided. •An email address will also be provided so that participants will be able to provide additional customized input as they see necessary. Discussion 11 63 •Staff recommends that Council consider the topics and questions proposed and provide direction whether these are the right questions to ask or whether Council would prefer to ask alternate questions or additional questions as part of the upcoming public feedback process. •When staff has heard feedback from Council, the communications outline will be updated as needed to be finalized and the work will be initiated. Questions for Council 12 64 Page 1 of 7 MEMORANDUM TO: Mayor and Council Members FROM: Chris Everson, Affordable Housing Project Manager THROUGH: Rob Schober, Capital Asset Director MEMO DATE: January 7, 2022 MEETING DATE: January 10, 2022 RE: Lumberyard Schematic Design Process Update #2 SUMMARY: The project team will present information about project-related topics including site scheme development, architectural precedents, community outreach results, sustainability recommendations, market study and unit mix recommendations, pathways forward, financial resources and implementation planning, ongoing areas of study, and land use actions in process. The project team is seeking Council direction for moving forward based on the specific request of Council described below. BACKGROUND: The packet for Council’s November 1, 2021 work session contained an exhibit which provided detailed background about project work prior to November 1, 2021. At the November 1, 2021 work session, Council agreed to the project values and vision statement. The project team presented four parking/site layout schemes - Pivot, Latch, Hinge, and Flange - and received direction to make modifications prior to seeking community feedback on the four schemes. Throughout December 2021, community outreach #4 included and a month-long survey and community feedback opportunity via the Aspen Community Voice website along with an in- person public outreach event held in downtown Aspen. REQUEST OF COUNCIL: Council is being asked to provide the following direction during the work session: 1. Can the team proceed with a ‘kit of parts’ approach toward a single site scheme based on Council input and the community input received? 2. Acceptance of how the design team will approach finalizing a unit mix moving forward 3. Adoption of baseline sustainability goals and direction to further explore sustainability ‘stretch goals’ 65 Page 2 of 7 DISCUSSION: Site Scheme Development: The design team has made minor modifications to the four site schemes based on Council input from the November 1 work session as well as related to additional design team stakeholder meetings and recommendations as noted. Those are described below, and this list also includes two impactful items from key referral agencies: • Provide an option for a parking structure along the highway • Provide better access to daylight where lacking • Modify underground parking ratios to be 73%, 56%, 40%, 0% • Increase open/green space where appropriate • Modification to Hinge buildings to soften the arrival at the site green space • Elevator access to upper-level units to maximize accessibility (CoA Building Dept.) • Improvements to fire truck access (Aspen Fire Protection District) During the work session, the team will walk through the modifications to the four site schemes and explain the refinements made and the impacts to the project where applicable. Architectural Precedent Study: A study of relevant architectural precedents will be presented. This will include existing precedents in Aspen and the surrounding area as well as an expanded view of pertinent precedents sampled from around the world, intended to help to illustrate the use of double-loaded corridor building types and breezeway-access building types as well as examples of similar size buildings with horizontal articulation and articulating roof elements. The architectural precedent study will conclude with a look at the potential to blend the base of buildings with the pedestrian streetscape with stoops, gardens, and foliage. Community Outreach Results: The team will review the results to date of Lumberyard community outreach #4 which was conducted throughout December 2021, including a public event held in downtown Aspen and a month-long survey and community feedback opportunity via the Aspen Community Voice website. Analysis will include applicability to project recommendations. Sustainability: The team will present the process by which project sustainability recommendations have been developed. This process began with a review of the City of Aspen’s climate action commitments and has been further developed through close collaboration with City of Aspen Environmental Health Climate Action staff and with representation from Aspen’s Community Office for Resource Efficiency (CORE). Project sustainability recommendations will be presented in the format of a baseline certification recommendation and recommended ‘stretch goals’ which will require further research in terms of 66 Page 3 of 7 feasibility. The team assembled a set of ‘must haves’ and ‘nice-to-haves’ as tools for identifying 10 big ideas that should be the focus of the project’s sustainability efforts: 1. Net zero on-site energy (or near net-zero) 2. 100% electric buildings (no on-site fossil fuels) 3. Minimum 15% full EV charging for parking spaces and additional 15% EV-ready spaces 4. Battery storage for partial site back-up power (See Resilient Design #6 below) 5. Equity in project design and in material sourcing 6. Resilient Design to prepare for increasing temperatures, wildfires, power outages, etc. 7. Healthy spaces, air filtration, ventilation, material selection, daylight, acoustics 8. Diversion of construction waste & on-site recycling and composting 9. Requiring third party commissioning and site verification 10. Metering of individual resident utility use This effort has included an extensive review of sustainability certification programs available, the opportunities and challenges associated with those certifications, and an analysis of the best possible fit(s) for this project. As a result of this effort, the project sustainability recommendations are outlined below: Recommended Baseline Sustainability Goals: • Certification to Enterprise Green Communities Plus, which includes WELL Certification (International WELL Building Institute - IWBI), and which is a prerequisite for many types of state and federal funding programs • Net Zero Energy Certification, under any of Passive House PHUIS+ Source Zero, ILFI Zero Energy Petal, Zero Carbon Petal, or DOE Zero Energy Ready Home Recommended Stretch Sustainability Goals: (require further research of feasibility) • Zero Carbon Certification o Embodied Carbon remaining o Put project on the map as a leader in carbon reduction • Living Building Challenge Petal Certification (ILFI Zero Energy Petal, Zero Carbon Petal) o Highest level of green certification o Easily tailored to affordable housing project o Push projects from being less bad to truly regenerative • Recycled water o Irrigation, flushing o Close to plant o Improves resilience 67 Page 4 of 7 Demographic Study and Program Unit Mix Recommendation: The attached Lumber Yard Demographic and Market Assessment was prepared by Economic & Planning Systems, Inc. (EPS) for the City of Aspen with the aim of providing recommendations on the unit and income mix for the Lumberyard affordable housing development. The report seeks to align the affordable housing development program based on analysis of income data for households throughout the Roaring Fork Valley (RFV) and job growth within Pitkin County. The study also examines demographic trends and condition along with other recent additions to the affordable housing supply in the RFV. The report reiterates the findings of the 2018 Greater Roaring Fork Regional Housing Study in terms of the overall scale of the affordable housing need and goes on to additionally conclude mainly the following: • There has been a decline in lower income households throughout the Roaring Fork Valley • Job growth in Pitkin County has been primarily in APCHA Category 3, followed by Category 2 • The project program mix should account for both of those The recommended unit and income mix includes a range of possibilities while maintaining a total of 310 housing units. The baseline recommendation considers a higher concentration of 1-bedroom units, while in the alternate unit mix, EPS recommends that the City consider including more 3- bedroom units in place of 1-bedroom units for the purpose of adding more bedrooms to the project while maintaining a total of 310 units and to house more 3-bedroom families or roommate arrangements. The recommended program unit mix range includes 310 total units apportioned as follows: • 212 rental units proportioned as 40% to 49% 1-bedroom units, 37% 2-bedroom units, and 14% to 24% 3-bedroom units, and across income levels distributed as 22% Category 1, 38% Category 2, 33% Category 3, and 7% Category 4 • 98 ownership units proportioned as 41% 1-bedroom, 43% 2-bedroom, and 16% 3-bedroom, and across income levels distributed as 23% Category 2, 34% Category 3, 26% Category 4, and 17% Category 5. The project team is seeking the ability to work within this range as an opportunity to optimize the project as the design process moves toward full schematic design. The program unit mix will be further refined throughout the remainder of the schematic design process and will be considered for final adoption at the conclusion of the schematic design process and will be included in the affordable housing development application. Pathways Forward: The project team has considered the Council direction to this point along with the feedback received from the community engagement efforts to date. The team will present the Site Matrix 68 Page 5 of 7 Comparison in which over 30 evaluation criteria categories have been developed from the input received. And the four site schemes - Pivot, Latch, Hinge, and Flange - have been ranked in each criteria category. Results and recommendations from this analysis will be presented and discussed. The project team is requesting Council agreement to proceed with a ‘kit of parts’ approach to continuing with the schematic design process toward a single site scheme based on the Site Matrix Comparison discussion. The proposed ‘kit of parts’ will be presented for discussion. This recommendation will primarily consist of utilizing the Hinge site layout and parking scheme as a baseline with proposed modifications and refinements which are consistent with Council and community feedback throughout the process. Proposed modifications and tools to be utilized in further developing the Hinge scheme will include techniques discussed during the precedents section of the presentation, including horizontal and vertical articulation, ground level softening and creation of neighborhood-like elements at the entry of the ground-level units. Financial Resources and Implementation Planning: The project team will review the scope of work and goals related to planning financial resources and the implementation of the development. This effort is being performed with the aim of informing a project implementation phasing plan that may likely be proposed to include an initial access and infrastructure project to be developed by the City of Aspen to prepare the site for development. This could potentially be followed by private development of two or three affordable housing implementation phases. Sources of state and federal funding will be targeted for applicability and potential use to help leverage the City’s investment, and the financial and development scope of study will be used to inform City RFQ/RFP efforts to solicit private development involvement, which could also include ongoing operations and management of housing facilities. This scope of effort will be equally useful should the City remain in the development role for the implementation of housing facilities. To develop an approach to the detailed effort with key City management staff, and with the aim of creating a plan that can be executed to implement the project, the project team has a meeting scheduled for January 11, 2022 with City of Aspen and APCHA management staff to review the financial resources and implementation planning scope of work and the associated project opportunities and challenges. Three such coordination meetings are proposed over the next six months. Progress updates and recommendations are expected from this effort. Ongoing Air Quality Study: City of Aspen Environmental Health Department staff have invested many hours of challenging, detailed cooperation with the Lumberyard project team. The project team is receiving assistance from the City’s Air Quality Program Manager, Jannette Whitcomb, in designing appropriate air quality monitoring, both short term and long term, at the Lumberyard housing project to provide additional air quality information to decision makers, the project design team as well as the community. With the assistance from the City’s air quality monitoring consultant, Air Resource Specialists, we are in receipt of a proposal for a 2022 wintertime VOC snapshot air quality study to improve knowledge on VOC levels during a worse case wintertime scenario. Staff is preparing to commission the study and will submit that for Council’s consent soon. 69 Page 6 of 7 Also, in 2022, the City of Aspen Environmental Health and Sustainability Department plans to expand Aspen’s air quality monitoring program into neighborhoods and outer portions of Aspen using low-cost fine particulate sensors. The first phase will be installing two sensors at the Lumberyard housing project site this January/February of 2022. Staff are currently identifying locations at or near the site for these sensors. This effort will be moving forward with the aim of informing the affordable housing development application, when appropriate. Ongoing Noise Study: The project team is utilizing the noise study information which was previously commissioned to develop noise mitigation strategies and is considering additional scope of study related to noise considerations at the project site. Ongoing Transportation Impact Analysis: On December 14, 2021, Council approved a scope of study with transportation consultant, Fehr & Peers, including a Level Two Transportation Impact Analysis (TIA) and a Transportation Demand Management (TDM) Study which are required for the land use application. The approved scope of work additionally includes analysis of transportation impacts around the AABC area and through the SH 82 corridor. This effort will be getting underway with the aim of informing the affordable housing development application, when appropriate. Land Use Actions in Process: The following two land use approval steps need to occur to make the Lumberyard project site ready for the affordable housing development application. These actions are underway as described below. • Annexation of Mini Storage Site: The land use application to annex the 3-acre Mini Storage site has been submitted to the City of Aspen Community Development Department and 70 Page 7 of 7 reviewed for completeness. Information about the schedule for the public hearing process will be available shortly. • Subdividing the Undeveloped Site: The undeveloped, developable portion of the adjacent Burlingame Lot 1A property needs to be subdivided so that it can be joined with the balance of the project site for development. The application for this action is being prepared. While the prerequisite actions described above are in process, the Lumberyard project team plans to continue to develop the schematic design for affordable housing development with direction from City Council and as informed by the community outreach to date. When City Council is satisfied with the resulting schematic design for affordable housing development, such information will be crafted into a development application and submitted for review and approval. The attached presentation slides contain both a short- and long-term project timeline. FINANCIAL IMPACTS: The 2022 project budget of $1,500,000.00 was approved by City Council. Ongoing financial impacts related to project design decisions are TBD. RECOMMENDATIONS: Staff recommends that Council consider the recommendations and provide the requested direction as recommended or as modified by a majority of Council. CITY MANAGER COMMENTS: EXHIBITS: Exhibit A – Presentation slides Exhibit B – Lumber Yard Market Assessment, Economic & Planning Systems, Inc. 71 ASPEN LUMBERYARD CITY COUNCIL WORK SESSION I JANUARY 10, 2022 72 ASPEN LUMBERYARD 2CUSHING TERRELL 4.0 TODAY’S DEEP DIVE 4.1 DESIGN 4.4 SUSTAINABILITY 4.2 SITE SCHEME DEVELOPMENT 4.5 DEMOGRAPHIC STUDY RESULTS 4.3 PUBLIC OUTREACH RESULTS 4.6 PATHWAYS FORWARD 4.7 FINANCIAL RESOURCES DISCUSSION 5.0 WHERE WE ARE GOING 3.0 VISION & GUIDING PRINCIPLES 2.0 WHERE WE ARE NOW 1.0 WHERE WE HAVE BEEN TODAYS TOPICS 73 ASPEN LUMBERYARD 3CUSHING TERRELL WHERE WE HAVE BEEN 74 ASPEN LUMBERYARD 4CUSHING TERRELL WHERE WE HAVE BEEN Recap of 11.01.2021 City Council Work Session Our Asks from the Meeting: • Reach agreement on Vision and definitions of guiding principles. • Provide feedback on additional explorations or metrics that will assist the council and community in evaluating success moving forward. • Confirm the range of parking alternatives presented today are reasonable for the council to allow the Design Team to present to the community for feedback. Our Takeaways / Tasks: • The Guiding Principles presented reflect project values: Prioritize Quality of Life through Livability, Green Space, Energy Efficiency, and Parking. • Direct Feedback • Push buildings back toward Deer Hill • Explore a scheme with a parking structure similar to those proposed in the site studies • Overall Hinge and Flange (with anticipated modifications) generally aligned more closely with the priorities • Community Feedback sought on modified versions of all four alternatives presented 1.0 22 SPACES 22 SPACES LATCHPIVOTHINGEFLANGE75 ASPEN LUMBERYARD 5CUSHING TERRELL TASK AT HAND Programmatic Elements • 10.5 Acre Site • Program of 310 Affordable Housing Units • High Density 30+ Units per acre • On-site resident parking for 432 cars • Combination of Rental and For Sale Units • Phased approach to construction over 10+ years • Sustainable and Resilient Design • Space for Childcare Center on Site • Trail Connectivity • Access to Daylight Views within Housing Units • A Public Transit Stop • Noise Mitigation to adjacent Highway & Airport • Elevator Access to Upper Level Housing Units • A Safe and Inviting Pedestrian Experience OUR CHALLENGES • Tight spacing between buildings, access to daylight • Concern about building scale, heights and orientation • Noise Mitigation • Elevator access to units • Innovation through modular design and sustainable building strategies • Demographics of target user mix (i.e. “who is this housing for?”) • Maintain a schedule for construction to begin in 2024 1.0 76 ASPEN LUMBERYARD 6CUSHING TERRELL WHERE WE ARE NOW 77 ASPEN LUMBERYARD 7CUSHING TERRELL What will be covered Our ask of you:• Address council’s concerns from the previous effort • Updates on Site Parking Scheme Development • Preliminary Public Outreach Results • An Overview of Sustainable Goal Workshops and Recommendations • An Overview on Demographic Studies and Recommendations on Unit Mix • Pathways Forward Scheme Development: • Can we proceed with a Kit of Parts approach to a single scheme based off of your input and community input? • Acceptance of how the design team will approach finalizing a unit mix moving forward. Sustainability: • Adoption of baseline sustainability program and approach to Net Zero • Acceptance of further exploration of Stretch Goals TODAY’S OBJECTIVES2.0 78 ASPEN LUMBERYARD 8CUSHING TERRELL Near-term Timeline Overall Development Timeline January 10, 2022 Present Public Outreach results to Council Mid January - December 2022 Land Use Entitlement Process and Planned Development Documentation Mid February 2022 Present Progress Update on Schematic Design to Council Mid March 2022 Present Final Schematic Design to Council Late March 2022 Post Final Schematic Design Package on Project Website April – September 2022 Design Development, Land Use Application and Preliminary Budgeting January 2023 – October 2023 Construction Documents October 2023 – January 2024 Bidding February 2024 Construction Start on First Phase 2.0 YOU ARE HERE 2005 2022 2023 2024 ... 20282027202520202019201620112007 City of Aspen Reserves Ability to Develop Housing at 3+ acre “Triangle Parcel” North of BMC West Use of Housing Funds to Purchase BMC West Property 4+ acres Annexation of BMC West Property into Aspen City Limits Lease Assumed by ProBuild/BFS, Extended through 7/31/2025 Community Outreachand Conceptual Design Process Begins Community Outreach, Conceptual DesignTarget of 310 Units,Purchase of 3-acre Mini Storage Property Complete Schematic Design, Submit Development Application forApproval Process Remaining Phases of Housing Construction and Occupancy TBDTarget for First Phase of Housing Construction to Start Target for Occupancy of First Phase of Affordable Housing PD Recording,Construction Documents,Building Permit Application Process Target for Access & Infrastructure Construction Start Parking Alternatives Analysis, Schematic Design Community Outreach, Mini Storage Annexation Application 2021 79 ASPEN LUMBERYARD 9CUSHING TERRELL ENGAGEMENT Public Stakeholder • December 15th afternoon and evening Public Engagement events at the Limelight Hotel - Featuring a Facebook Live Event • Ongoing online Survey available for public input until January 25th • Aspen Community Voice Project page provides project updates and solicits feedback • Next Chance for Engagement: Schematic Design posted to Community Voice Project page • City Engineering and Public Works • City Environmental Health and Sustainability Department Air Quality Climate Action Office Waste & Recycling • City Parks and Open Space • City Parking and Transportation • Community Development • Building Department/ Accessibility • Fire Marshall • APCHA Housing • Pitkin County Community Development • John McBride - Aspen Business Center • CORE • AVLT 2.0 80 ASPEN LUMBERYARD 10CUSHING TERRELL VISION & GUIDING PRINCIPLES 81 ASPEN LUMBERYARD 11CUSHING TERRELL We believe that a strong and diverse year-round community and a viable and healthy local workforce are fundamental cornerstones for the sustainability of the Aspen Area community. We are committed to providing affordable housing because it supports: • A stable community that is invested in the present and future of the Aspen Area. • A reliable workforce, also resulting in greater economic sustainability. • Opportunities for people to live in close proximity to where they work. • A reduction in adverse transportation impacts. • Improved environmental sustainability. • A reduction in down valley growth pressures. • Increased citizen participation in civic affairs, non-profit activities and recreation programs. • A better visitor experience, including an appreciation of our genuine, lights-on community. • A healthy mix of people, including singles, families and seniors. City of Aspen - 2012 Aspen Area Community Plan (Housing Section) Vision Philosophy 3.0 VISION 82 ASPEN LUMBERYARD 12CUSHING TERRELL 3.0 VISION The goal of APCHA is to provide affordable housing opportunities through rental and sale to persons who are or have been actively employed or self- employed within Aspen and Pitkin County, and that provide or have provided goods and services to individuals, businesses or institutional operations, within Aspen and Pitkin County (prior to retirement and/or any disability), and other qualified persons as defined in these Regulations, and as they are amended from time to time. Aspen/Pitkin County Housing Authority (2021 APCHA Housing Regulations) Mission Statement 83 ASPEN LUMBERYARD 13CUSHING TERRELL A stable, thriving affordable neighborhood. Pedestrian friendly, environmentally sustainable, connected, and welcoming. Looks, lives and feels authentically Aspen! VISION STATEMENT 84 ASPEN LUMBERYARD 14CUSHING TERRELL 3.1 COMMUNITY CONNECTION Defining Community Connection Successful neighborhoods are integrated into the fabric of their communities. A big part of this connection is ensuring ease of access to the diversity of modes of transit that already exist in Aspen. Having the ability to select the appropriate mode of transit based on weather, destination, purpose, or whim allows residents of the Lumberyard to leave their cars parked for incidental travel. A connected community can greatly contribute to well-being and contentment in day-to-day life. What success might look like: • Adequate parking on-site so as not to negatively impact neighboring areas • Pedestrian walkways throughout and connecting to the ABC and existing trails • Maintain and improve the bike paths to the ABC and Annie Mitchell • Vehicular connections to the ABC and Highway 82 with appropriate stacking distances • Space for a possible transit stop • Space for multimodal transportation alternatives • Spaces allowing neighbors to engage with one another 85 ASPEN LUMBERYARD 15CUSHING TERRELL Defining Sustainability In working with the City of Aspen Environmental Health & Sustainability department and Community Office for Resource Efficiency (CORE), the design team has defined Sustainability through three pillars: Environment, Economic, and Social. All three are needed to create a strong and long lasting community. Environmental Sustainability - The ability to avoid depletion and degradation of natural resources while allowing for long term environmental quality. Economic Sustainability - The ability of an economy to support an appropriate level of economic capacity and activity to serve societal needs. Social Sustainability - The capacity to create healthy, accessible, livable places for all. What success might look like:Energy • Full Electrified Buildings and Net Zero Energy Site-wide, including on-site storage • Forward-looking Electric Vehicle infrastructure • Leveraging passive solar strategies • Enhanced building commissioning and metering Water • Advanced metering • Low usage building systems and fixtures • Native plantings and xeriscaping Waste & Recycling • C&D waste management and planning • Construction activity pollution prevention Wellness • Healthy and sustainable building materials • Dedicated and filtered fresh air • Increased daylighting and well controlled electric lighting 3.2 SUSTAINABILITY - City of Aspen Climate Plan. As history has shown, Aspen has a civic responsibility to act on behalf of its constituents, a moral imperative to take the steps necessary to meet the challenge of climate change, and the potential to be a catalyst for meaningful and effective action around the state, country and world. 86 ASPEN LUMBERYARD 16CUSHING TERRELL Defining Pedestrian Friendly 3.3 PEDESTRIAN FRIENDLY The goal of this development is to emphasize people over cars. We know there will be a lot of vehicles housed at the lumberyard along with residents. Strategies that calm traffic and reduce physical conflicts between cars and people will be utilized. Providing landscaping or parallel parking along walkways bordering streets helps provide physical separation. Pedestrian friendly means thoughtfully designed sidewalks. Walkways should be connected and well lit. They should be wide enough to allow people to pass comfortably, especially when pushing strollers, walking dogs, or carrying that particularly heavy bag of groceries. A walkway lined with trees providing dappled shade in the summer makes them inviting places to be. What success might look like: • Separated sidewalks • Connected circulation paths throughout the site • Tree-lined walkways • Appropriate lighting strategies • Sidewalks with winter solar access • Snow storage plans and snow shed safety 87 ASPEN LUMBERYARD 17CUSHING TERRELL Defining Living Well At the root of all housing projects, but particularly acute when discussing affordable communities, is the sentiment that everyone deserves a good place to live. What does this mean and how do we get there? Living Well means providing for community members basic needs, but also allowing them the opportunity to thrive and enjoy all the same benefits afforded to all members of the community. At a basic level, Living Well means providing a safe and secure environment. It also means creating an environment that allows for positive physical and mental health. For the sake of this effort the Design Team has categorized items such as indoor air quality, noise and hazard materials under the ‘sustainability’ tag, but it is important to note the interconnectedness. Specific to the way the community members of Aspen at large live, Living Well might mean creating a community that does not preclude or challenge one’s ability to enjoy the natural resources found in abundance in and around the area. 3.4 LIVING WELL What success might look like: • Day-lit indoor spaces with access to views • Adequate storage space for outdoor lifestyle equipment as well as maintenance and repair facilities • Easy access to parking or public transportation when running errands • Quality design & finishes to promote a sense of ownership- Easy access to outdoor spaces • Comfortable spaces to allow for gathering of friends and family • Quiet, efficient and reliable fixtures and equipment • Increased accessibility both on site and within dwellings ASPEN TIMES SKI MAGAZINE 88 ASPEN LUMBERYARD 18CUSHING TERRELL Defining Authentically Aspen A practical rugged quality that reflects the alpine lifestyle of this historic mining town turned ski destination. SURVEY RESULTS: 3.5 AUTHENTICALLY ASPEN “I think keeping it mountain contemporary in style fits best with the ABC area, the aspen ideal, and the appeal to a broader range of inhabitants”. “...Needs to have mountain appeal due to entrance to Aspen and how many people see this every day”. “Efficiency, efficiency, efficiency. The design should be efficient! Aspen has a long history of building very inefficient and affordable housing units with excess emphasis on ‘custom’ design, ‘no 2 units alike’. Housing resources are limited and outstrip demand.” “Keep the mountain aesthetic 89 ASPEN LUMBERYARD 19CUSHING TERRELL COMMENTS & QUESTIONS 90 ASPEN LUMBERYARD 20CUSHING TERRELL TODAY’S DEEP DIVE 91 ASPEN LUMBERYARD 21CUSHING TERRELL 4.1 DESIGN Refinement of November 1,2021 Parking Alternatives site schemes based upon City Council feedback and further Design Team due diligence. Schemes explore various parking strategies and building typologies and their impact on energy performance, quality of life, and connectivity to the community. Timeline NOV. 1, 2021 COUNCIL WORK SESSION: PARKING ALTERNATIVES JAN. 10, 2022 COUNCIL WORK SESSION: UPDATED PARKING ALTERNATIVES How to Use this Section The Design section of this document will focus on the exploration of how to solve the challenges of the Lumberyard project. Design explorations, such as drawings, are a critical tool in which the team synthesizes information into a relatable format to spur discussion and further exploration, but also to drive consensus. The type and scale of these explorations will be particular to the moment in time within the design process, but will always be specific to conversations and studies necessary to move the project forward. This section will serve a chronology of solutions or possibilities presented to various stakeholder groups. 92 ASPEN LUMBERYARD 22CUSHING TERRELL 4.2 SITE SCHEME DEVELOPMENT City Council Feedback from November 1, 2021 Meeting Potential Project Impacts from Other Engagement & Due Diligence Efforts Provide elevator access to all upper units In considering equity, accessibility and potential future code adaptions and recommended amendments the design team is exploring how to approach elevator access to all upper level units. Refined fire truck access At the November work session it was noted that a key driving factor to developing the concept design was to provide fire truck access within 150 feet of all building facades. The design team has continued to test concepts against this requirement. Site Boundaries Through the entitlement process, particular to the south triangle of the site, the team has been working to find a final determination of the site boundaries. Concepts presented today will reflect a change in these boundaries since last meeting, but without detriment to the project. • Prioritize Quality of Life through Livability, Green Space, Energy Efficiency, and Parking. • Push buildings back toward Deer Hill • Explore a scheme with a parking structure similar to those proposed in the site studies • Overall Hinge and Flange (with anticipated modifications) generally aligned more closely with the priorities • Provide better access to daylight where lacking • Explore if the various schemes can have better distribution of underground parking • Break up the large buildings shown in Hinge • Make arrival into site more of a public space 93 ASPEN LUMBERYARD 23CUSHING TERRELL 4.2 PIVOT SITE CONCEPT WHAT HAS CHANGED? • Revised site boundaries at south triangle • Created a mix of building types to allow for better separation between buildings to allow for more access to light and views • Revised building types to allow for potential elevator access to upper floor units NOVEMBER CURRENT 22 SPACES 0 50’ 100’ 200’ 94 ASPEN LUMBERYARD 24CUSHING TERRELL 4.2 Below Grade Parking Greenspace ConnectivityDirect Sun Hours Winter DWELLINGS: PARKING COUNT: DWELLING COUNT: PIVOT SITE CONCEPT 42.3%73%0.6 ACRESBELOW GRADE PARKING 316 63 53 432 UNDERGROUND CARPORT SURFACE TOTAL UPPER UNIT ACCESSED VIA CATWALK DIRECT ACCESS TO LOWER UNITS 2 STORY SINGLE UNIT ELEVATOR FOR ACCESSIBILITY TO UPPER LEVEL UNITS PEDESTRIAN STREETS TO CREATE COMMUNITY SHARED GREENSPACE 4 STORY BLDG Units in Pivot scheme are imagined primarily as two-story structures stacked upon one another with single-story accessible units located on grade. The units would be accessed via exterior stairs located within a covered breezeway With no units back to back the idea was to provide all units with access to southern sun light as well as the ability to have windows on at least two sides. The potential for double-height interior spaces with the two-story units provides an opportunity for a dynamic space while also limiting the height necessary for stairs to access the units. WHY PIVOT? A DIFFERENT TAKE ON APARTMENT LIVING! Pivot began inside out and explores two story units that aren’t back-to-back. This approach provides more access to daylight and views as well as opportunities for cross ventilation. Breaking the buildings apart in this manner creates a series of pedestrian streetscapes occupied by front stoops and balconies providing the opportunity for smaller communities to flourish within the Lumberyard. 95 ASPEN LUMBERYARD 25CUSHING TERRELL 4.2 LATCH SITE CONCEPT WHAT HAS CHANGED? • Revised site boundaries at south triangle • Revised building types to allow for potential elevator access to upper floor units • Revised frontage road on the northwest site to allow for more space between buildings within the site • Added fire truck access all the way around perimeter of south triangle of site • Refined relationship of underground parking with buildings to be more efficient NOVEMBER CURRENT 22 SPACES 0 50’ 100’ 200’ 96 ASPEN LUMBERYARD 26CUSHING TERRELL 4.2 Units in Latch scheme are imagined primarily as two- story structures stacked upon one another with single- story accessible units located on grade. The units would be accessed via exterior stairs in front of the buildings The units are located back-to-back and side-to-side to reduce the exposure of the building envelope to the elements. The exterior stairs in front of the buildings provide opportunities to break up the massing and scale of the building while as providing shade and dedicated exterior patio space to each unit The potential for double-height interior spaces with the two-story units provides an opportunity for a dynamic space while also limiting the height necessary for stairs to access the units. WHY LATCH? BIGGER GREEN SPACES! Latch strives to provide connected public-facing open spaces on the site. Imagine children playing in the central green space or walking your dog along the landscaped pedestrian alleys. Latch buys bigger green spaces by putting more parking underground. A vehicular loop skirts the perimeter of the site providing functional access while still providing a pedestrian friendly environment. Below Grade Parking Greenspace ConnectivityDirect Sun Hours Winter DWELLINGS: PARKING COUNT: DWELLING COUNT: LATCH SITE CONCEPT 43.2%56%1.25 ACRESBELOW GRADE PARKING 243 91 98 432 UNDERGROUND CARPORT SURFACE TOTAL DIRECT ACCESS TO LOWER UNITS UPPER UNITS ACCESSED VIA CORRIDOR PEDESTRIAN STREETS TO CREATE COMMUNITY 2 STORY SINGLE UNIT ELEVATOR FOR ACCESSIBILITY TO UPPER LEVEL UNITS 4 STORY BLDG 97 ASPEN LUMBERYARD 27CUSHING TERRELL 4.2 HINGE SITE CONCEPT WHAT HAS CHANGED? • Revised site boundaries at south triangle • Revised frontage road on the northwest site to allow for more space between buildings within the site • Added fire truck access all the way around perimeter of south triangle of site • Removed central road and flipped building layout to create a viable centralized green space upon arriving on site • Shifted some underground parking to surface for a better balance between the two NOVEMBER CURRENT 200'100'50'0 SCALE: 1"=100'-0" 0 50’ 100’ 200’ 98 ASPEN LUMBERYARD 28CUSHING TERRELL 4.2 Below Grade Parking Greenspace ConnectivityDirect Sun Hours Winter With the Hinge scheme the name of the game is with the building typology is efficiency. A double loaded corridor to access the units limits exterior snow maintenance on sidewalks. With walls and floors adjoining the exterior envelope exposed to the elements is also greatly reduced versus other options. The result is a much smaller footprint on site, but a much bulkier building Unit layouts in this scenario would work best as single level. With corridors and elevators to access upper floors meeting and exceeding accessibility standards becomes less of a concern. The smaller footprint overall on site allows for the potential of more variation in roof line which is critical in combating the perceived bulk of a building this size. DWELLINGS: WHY HINGE? NEIGHBORHOOD STREETSCAPES! Hinge understands how we live. Our friends come to visit. We run quick errands. And sometimes that happens in a car. Hinge provides parking on the street to accommodate our daily lives. It also provides parking underground for those less frequent trips. Hinge is a walkable neighborhood with architecture defining streetscapes on the public side and cloistered courtyards on the private side. PARKING COUNT: DWELLING COUNT: HINGE SITE CONCEPT 48.9%40%1.77 ACRESBELOW GRADE PARKING 172 120 140 432 UNDERGROUND CARPORT SURFACE TOTAL DOUBLE LOADED COR-RIDOR WITH COMMON AREA ON EACH FLOOR BLDG CONSOLIDATED TO PROVIDE LARGE COMMUNITY GREEN SPACE 1 STORY SINGLE UNIT ELEVATOR FOR ACCESSIBILITY TO UPPER LEVEL UNITS 4 STORY BLDG 99 ASPEN LUMBERYARD 29CUSHING TERRELL 4.2 FLANGE SITE CONCEPT WHAT HAS CHANGED? • Revised site boundaries at south triangle • Added standalone parking structure within highway buffer at northwest corner of site to allow more room within the site • Addition of parking structure also allowed for better separation between buildings to allow more access to light and views • Revised building types to allow for potential elevator access to upper floors NOVEMBER CURRENT 0 50’ 100’ 200’ 100 ASPEN LUMBERYARD 30CUSHING TERRELL 4.2 Units in Flange scheme are imagined as single- story structures stacked upon one another with accessible units located on grade. The units would be accessed via exterior stairs located within a covered breezeway. The units are located back-to-back and in most locations side-to-side to reduce the exposure of the building envelope to the elements. Similar to the double-loaded corridor typology this creates an efficient footprint across the site. The smaller footprint overall on site in this case allows for more surface parking, but with an alternative parking strategy it would also create opportunity for more variation in roof line. WHY FLANGE? LET’S BE GOOD STEWARDS! Flange explores providing all parking through a variety of street spaces, lots and carports maximizing the challenging site boundaries. With Flange the initial carbon footprint has a smaller offset by not constructing an underground garage. The resultant neighborhood is a walkable balance between our vehicles and other modes of connection. Below Grade Parking Greenspace ConnectivityDirect Sun Hours Winter DWELLINGS: PARKING COUNT: DWELLING COUNT: FLANGE SITE CONCEPT 42.4%0%0.5 ACRESBELOW GRADE PARKING 147 140 145 432 PARKING DECK CARPORT SURFACE TOTAL 1 STORY SINGLE UNIT ELEVATOR FOR ACCESSIBILITY TO UPPER LEVEL UNITS WALK-UP BREEZEWAY ACCESS TO EACH UNIT PEDESTRIAN STREETS TO CREATE COMMUNITY 4 STORY BLDG 101 ASPEN LUMBERYARD 31CUSHING TERRELL 4.2 SITE SCHEME DEVELOPMENT 4-Story Precedents in Aspen North of Nell - Aspen Aspen Square Hotel - Aspen 102 ASPEN LUMBERYARD 32CUSHING TERRELL 4.2 SITE SCHEME DEVELOPMENT Hotel Jerome - Aspen 4-Story Precedents in Aspen Lift One Condos - Aspen 103 ASPEN LUMBERYARD 33CUSHING TERRELL 4.2 SITE SCHEME DEVELOPMENT North of Nell Building Ground Level Floorplate: 20,468 SF Pivot Building Ground Level Floorplate: 11,356 SF Hinge Building Ground Level Floorplate: 36,198 SF Latch Building Ground Level Floorplate: 6,300 SF Flange Building Ground Level Floorplate: 12,096 SF Building Scale Comparison In Aspen Lumberyard Typologies 86’238’150’42’216’56’276’66’66’124’ 287’167’68’ 104 ASPEN LUMBERYARD 34CUSHING TERRELL 4.2 SITE SCHEME DEVELOPMENT Hinge Green Space Scale Comparison Paepcke Park 1.5 Acres Glory Hole Park 1.2 Acres Koch Park 1.2 Acres Hinge’s Center Park 0.94 Acres 105 ASPEN LUMBERYARD 35CUSHING TERRELL 4.2 SITE SCHEME DEVELOPMENT Green Leaf Lofts - Glenwood Springs 4-Story Precedents in the Roaring Fork Valley Glenwood Green Apartments - Glenwood Springs 106 ASPEN LUMBERYARD 36CUSHING TERRELL 4.2 SITE SCHEME DEVELOPMENT Six Canyon - Glenwood Springs 4-Story Precedents in the Roaring Fork Valley Roaring Fork Apartments - Basalt 107 ASPEN LUMBERYARD 37CUSHING TERRELL 4.2 SITE SCHEME DEVELOPMENT 4-Story Precedents around the World Huski Apartments - Falls Creek, Australia Oporto Anselmo Apartments - Porto, Portugal Similar Typologies - Double Loaded Corridor Buildings 108 ASPEN LUMBERYARD 38CUSHING TERRELL 4.2 SITE SCHEME DEVELOPMENT 4-Story Precedents around the World Valenton Housing - Valenton, France The Beverly - Los Angeles, CA Similar Typologies - Breezeway 109 ASPEN LUMBERYARD 39CUSHING TERRELL 4.2 SITE SCHEME DEVELOPMENT 4-Story Precedents around the World Tributary Rise - Vestavia, AL Tietgen Residence Hall - Copenhagen, Denmark • Various sized windows • Facades broken up by multiple materials • Various textures and colors • Shading elements • Balconies with varying depths New Water Condos Vancouver, Canada Horizontal Articulation 110 ASPEN LUMBERYARD 40CUSHING TERRELL 4.2 SITE SCHEME DEVELOPMENT Precedents around the World Vertical Articulation • Set backs • A distinct ground floor level • Recessed/extruding balconies Terrace House - Frankfurt, GermanyBenedict Commons - Aspen, CO Virginia Placer - Telluride, CO Preston on Fourteenth - Mission, Canada 111 ASPEN LUMBERYARD 41CUSHING TERRELL 4.2 SITE SCHEME DEVELOPMENT Precedents around the World Softened Ground Plane • Blending the buildings base with the pedestrian street • Stoops, porches, and private balconies • Gardens and foliage • Soft lines The Three Sisters - Chicago, IL Legends Park Apartments - Memphis, TN Venue on 16th - Denver, CO 112 ASPEN LUMBERYARD 42CUSHING TERRELL 4.2 SITE SCHEME DEVELOPMENT Interior Corridor Precedents Cornerstone Village - Pittsburgh, PA Cornerstone Village - Pittsburgh, PA ERG 6 Apartments - Jurmala, Latvia Tietgen Residence Hall - Copenhagen, Denmark • Access to natural light • Open central staircase • A variety of high quality materials and textures • Dynamic lighting • Areas for informal gatherings or quite reflection 113 ASPEN LUMBERYARD 1CUSHING TERRELL 4.3 PUBLIC OUTREACH RESULTS The following summary of responses represents: • Open House Event (12/15) - 40 Attendees • On-line Survey (In Progress, Closes 1/15) - 204 Responses (as of 1/7) • Respondent questions at the Open House and on the Survey mirror each other • Our primary outcome for this effort was to ask the public to identify the best kit of parts by choosing weighted priorities. They had to do this knowing they had limited resources. Responses are also separated by a key demographic: do you see yourself living at the Lumberyard? Outreach Channels 114 ASPEN LUMBERYARD 2CUSHING TERRELL 25-30% of Open House Attendees and Survey Respondents Identify as Prospective Residents --------------------------------------------------------------- All Survey Respondents: 84% Live in the City of Aspen or Pitkin County 91% Work in the City of Aspen or Pitkin County --------------------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------------- Of Prospective Residents: 75% 1 or 2 Person Household <2% 3 Person Household 21% 4 or More --------------------------------------------------------------- Of Prospective Residents: 21% Live OUTSIDE the City of Aspen or Pitkin County Only 7% Work OUTSIDE the City of Aspen or Pitkin County ------------------------------------------------------------------- Suggests this project WILL house a measurable number of people who currently work in the City/County but are unable to live there. ------------------------------------------------------------------- Demographics 4.3 PUBLIC OUTREACH RESULTS 115 ASPEN LUMBERYARD 3CUSHING TERRELL Open Space 4.3 Findings at the Open House and via the survey indicate that people want to see plenty of open space. Survey respondents averaged 35 out of 100 toward MORE open space. Respondents via the survey preferred slightly larger, concentrated open space (57 out of 100). Open House attendees tended toward larger, concentrated open space as well. Of respondents who are prospective residents, their desire for smaller, distributed space is slightly higher (52 instead of 57). 0 0 OH 100 100 PUBLIC OUTREACH RESULTS: OPEN SPACE 116 ASPEN LUMBERYARD 4CUSHING TERRELL 4.3 PUBLIC OUTREACH RESULTS: OPEN SPACE 2: OH prospective resident 12: Survey prospective resident 6: OH non-prospective resident 36: Survey non-prospective resident 8: OH prospective resident 30: Survey prospective resident 19: OH non-prospective resident 89: Survey non-prospective resident 0: OH prospective resident 10: Survey prospective resident 6: OH non-prospective resident 29: Survey non-prospective resident 117 ASPEN LUMBERYARD 5CUSHING TERRELL 4.3 PUBLIC OUTREACH RESULTS: PARKING 11.5: OH prospective resident 41: Survey prospective resident 22.5: OH non-prospective resident 95: Survey non-prospective resident 2.5: OH prospective resident 11: Survey prospective resident 4.5: OH non-prospective resident 59: Survey non-prospective resident 118 ASPEN LUMBERYARD 6CUSHING TERRELL 4.3 PUBLIC OUTREACH RESULTS: STORAGE 9: OH prospective resident 31: Survey prospective resident 16.5: OH non-prospective resident 77: Survey non-prospective resident 5: OH prospective resident 21: Survey prospective resident 16.5: OH non-prospective resident 77: Survey non-prospective residentIT’S A TI E! 119 ASPEN LUMBERYARD 7CUSHING TERRELL 4.3 PUBLIC OUTREACH RESULTS: EXTRA PARKING 2: OH prospective resident 12: Survey prospective resident 9: OH non-prospective resident 30: Survey non-prospective resident 12: OH prospective resident 31: Survey prospective resident 18: OH non-prospective resident 95: Survey non-prospective resident COMM E N T S:If Yes, th e n p ut e xtr a off- site an d c h ar g e f or it! COMM E N T S: No, sho ul d b e f or pri m ar y vehicle s, bi k e s, str oll er s, etc. 120 ASPEN LUMBERYARD 8CUSHING TERRELL 4.3 PUBLIC OUTREACH RESULTS: UNIT ACCESS 0: OH prospective resident 12: Survey prospective resident 2.5: OH non-prospective resident 27: Survey non-prospective resident 12: OH prospective resident 40: Survey prospective resident 24.5: OH non-prospective resident 125: Survey non-prospective resident 121 ASPEN LUMBERYARD 9CUSHING TERRELL 4.3 PUBLIC OUTREACH RESULTS: UNIT TYPE 3.5: OH prospective resident 17: Survey prospective resident 8.5: OH non-prospective resident 66: Survey non-prospective resident 9.5: OH prospective resident 35: Survey prospective resident 16.5: OH non-prospective resident 88: Survey non-prospective resident 122 ASPEN LUMBERYARD 10CUSHING TERRELL 4.3 PUBLIC OUTREACH RESULTS: SHARED WALLS 3: OH prospective resident 23: Survey prospective resident 9: OH non-prospective resident 42: Survey non-prospective resident 5: OH prospective resident 25: Survey prospective resident 8: OH non-prospective resident 88: Survey non-prospective resident 4: OH prospective resident 4: Survey prospective resident 6: OH non-prospective resident 24: Survey non-prospective resident 123 ASPEN LUMBERYARD 11CUSHING TERRELL Costs were assigned to the ‘kit of parts’ for the project. When give limited resources ($100) participants had to decide where to spend those limited resources. NET ZERO BUILDINGS - $80 UNDERGROUND PARKING - $60 LARGE PROGRAMMED OPEN SPACE - $60 PEDESTRIAN FIRST DESIGN - $60 ENHANCED ARCHITECTURAL STYLE - $40 COVERED / STRUCTURED PARKING - $40 SMALLER BUILDINGS - $40 SURFACE PARKING - $20 ENHANCED AMENITIES - $20 Trade-offs 4.3 PUBLIC OUTREACH RESULTS PROSPECTIVE RESIDENTS RANKING ENHANCED AMENITIES 19 NET ZERO BUILDINGS 19 UNDERGROUND PARKING 13.33 ENHANCED ARCHITECTURAL STYLE 10 COVERED / STRUCTURED PARKING 6.5 SURFACE PARKING 5 OPEN SPACE 4.67 PEDESTRIAN FIRST DESIGN 4.33 SMALLER BUILDINGS 4 NON-PROSPECTIVE RESIDENTS RANKING UNDERGROUND PARKING 42.33 NET ZERO BUILDINGS 37.75 PEDESTRIAN FIRST DESIGN 36.67 ENHANCED AMENITIES 30 OPEN SPACE 19.33 ENHANCED ARCHITECTURAL STYLE 18.5 COVERED / STRUCTURED PARKING 15.5 SURFACE PARKING 15 SMALLER BUILDINGS 12 124 ASPEN LUMBERYARD 12CUSHING TERRELL 4.3 PUBLIC OUTREACH RESULTS The following considerations can be summarized from the outreach efforts and should be discussed as we move forward: • Generally, prospective and non-prospective residents gave similar feedback. • ‘Hiding’ parking via underground was consistent throughout the outreach, including all participants who want to spend limited resources on this. • When considering the trade-offs, underground parking and net-zero were both in the top three. Pedestrian first design was less important to non-residents which is worth discussion. • Enhanced amenities ranked high for both and talks directly to the livability of the units. Carefully consider what amenities will take the units ‘over the top’ in livability. Cross-reference this with great storage (parking and in-unit), decks and private open spaces, quality interior finishes, etc. • Open space should be generous but everyone is looking for a balance between small and large spaces. Prospective residents seem to pushing for smaller spaces and spending less on the ‘amenities’ so O.S should be modestly programmed. • The survey closes EOW but the feedback has been consistent so no surprises are anticipated. Considerations 125 ASPEN LUMBERYARD 44CUSHING TERRELL 4.4 SUSTAINABILITY Our Process to Achieve Success City of Aspen Commitments: • 80% reduction in GHG emissions by 2050 from 2004 baseline. • This requires a 26% reduction in the residential sector The Six Categories of the Climate Action Plan: • Reduces Greenhouse Gas Emissions • Promotes Equity • Fosters Economic Sustainability • Improves Local Environmental Quality • Enhances Public Health and Safety • Builds Resilience Guiding Principles Energy & Environment To move on from current practices to design buildings that benefit people without sacrificing the ecosystem or needs of future generations. A design that takes current UN SDG (Sustainable Development Goals) goals into consideration. A design that not only reduces operational impact, but also impact during the construction process. Equity To create a development that enables all people to participate, prosper, and reach their full potential. Create a positive impact for people who have been disadvantaged or excluded. Resilience The ability to adapt to changing conditions and maintain functionality when faced with know environmental and infrastructural vulnerabilities. Resilient design to deal with warming climate, wildfires and drought. Recommended Targets 1. Near Net Zero On-Site Energy 2. Fully Electrified Buildings 3. Minimum of 15% full EV charging for parking spaces and additional 15% of EV-Ready Spaces 4. Battery Storage for partial back-up power of site* 5. Equity in project design and in material sourcing 6. Resilient Design to protect against wildfire, power outages and higher temperatures 7. Focus on healthy spaces through filtration, material selection, daylight, acoustic and ventilation 8. Diversion of construction waste & On-Site Recycling and Composting 9. Requiring Third party commissioning and site verification 10. Metering of individual resident utility use Identify The Baseline Stakeholder Goal Setting • Performance Targets • Programs or Methodologies for implementation within design and construction • Metrics for evaluation both now and on-going • Identify hazards, vulnerabilities, opportunities and their impacts Create Path for Implementation 126 ASPEN LUMBERYARD 45CUSHING TERRELL 4.4 SUSTAINABILITY Set a Baseline Strategy: Adopt Enterprise Green Communities Plus Why Adopt a Sustainability Certification Program? Accountability & Structure • Cementing community goals as project requirements • Continuity of project goals from design team to contractor to eventual building operations • Specific and measurable goals to guide design and measure success Funding Opportunities • The majority of tax credit financing programs require projects to achieve one of the certification programs outlined here • Supported by the community Why Choose Enterprise Green Communities Plus? • Nation’s only green building program design explicitly for affordable housing • Best aligned with stakeholder / design team project goals • Interactive design approaches that give residents a voice in the design process • A path to zero energy with strategies to help all developments move closer to zero emissions • Healthy living practices such as ample ventilation and healing-centered design • Water standards that promote efficiency and protect against lead poisoning • Resilience requirements that prepare homes for local climate hazards • Certification process is a good value, versus many other programs, balancing checks & balances and documentation Comparison: Certification Programs vs. Project Goals 127 ASPEN LUMBERYARD 46CUSHING TERRELL 4.4 SUSTAINABILITY Net Zero Alignment with Aspen Climate Targets & Public Engagement • Aspen’s Climate Action Plan provides a green house gas reduction kit of tools. Pursuing or requiring Net Zero is included • Aspen’s Climate Action Plan also sets a 47% reduction of green house gas emissions by 2030. While it is hard to say how the future developments contribution to this reduction target, it highlights the importance of being aggressive in reduction targets for the planning of new developments today • The public engagement efforts during concept design as well as this team’s schematic design, the public has expressed continued support for Aspen to generally be a leader in sustainability, but also specifically in pursuing Net Zero energy targets for the Lumberyard project Recommendation: Minimum 75% On-Site Renewable Energy Achieving 100% on-site renewable, based upon the limited development of the project to-date, appears to be a stretch, but achieving close to Net Zero is a possibility. This is achievable with strategies such as highly-insulated envelope, heat pump technology, passive orientation, and PV located on roof and parking structures. As further design development occurs, energy modeling will inform the project feasibility of pushing toward 100% energy use offset, but based upon city climate action targets and public feedback, the design team would recommend proceeding under the assumption of setting a 75% offset baseline. On-Site Energy Production: Cost of PV system and any on-site storage/infrastructure Building Envelope: Insulation and window performance beyond code minimums Systems: All-Electric HVAC and plumbing systems required. Centralized systems may be required to reduce consumption Design: Optimal passive orientation and PV location drive building design Services: Requires alignment with capabilities local utilities. May be operational hurdles with resident metering. Project Impacts 128 ASPEN LUMBERYARD 47CUSHING TERRELL 4.4 SUSTAINABILITY Stretch Goals Stretch goals may be stretch because of their feasibility within the project context, or because at this early point in the projects development not enough information is available to establish whether their pursuit is possible. The programs / targets presented here represent an extraordinary commitment to leadership in sustainability. The selected opportunities here are in line with the project’s goals / targets established in the design team’s goal setting efforts. The design team would like to gauge the City Council’s interest in further investigation in any or all of these programs / targets. Recycled water • Irrigation, Flushing • Close to plant • Improves resiliency Challenges: Unknown if capacity available to connect to plant, potential regulatory hurdles, additional piping required to serve site Zero Carbon Certification • Only Embodied Carbon remaining • Put project on the map as a leader in carbon reduction Challenges: Cost Living Building Challenge Petal Certification • Highest level of green certification • Easily tailored to affordable housing project • Push projects from being less bad to truly regenerative • Cement the City of Aspen as a leader when it comes to sustainability Challenges: Cost + Added Complexity of design process 129 ASPEN LUMBERYARD 48CUSHING TERRELL 4.4 SUSTAINABILITY Colorado Affordable Housing Reference Projects Allison Village Arvada, CO EGC + ZERH In Construction Basalt Vista Affordable Housing Community Basalt, CO Net Zero + All Electric In Construction 1500 N Valentia Denver, CO EGC + ZERH In Construction Alta Verde Breckenridge, CO EGC + ZERH In Construction Cadence Fort Collins, CO EGC + ZERH In Construction 130 ASPEN LUMBERYARD 49CUSHING TERRELL 4.5 DEMOGRAPHIC STUDY RESULTS Economic & Planning Systems, Inc. (EPS) had done a Demographic and Market Assessment for the City of Aspen with the aim of providing recommendations on the unit and income mix for the Lumberyard. The report seeks to align the affordable housing development program based on analysis of income data for households throughout the Roaring Fork Valley (RFV) and job growth within Pitkin County. The study also examines demographic trends and condition along with other recent additions to the affordable housing supply in the RFV. The report reiterates the findings of the 2018 Greater Roaring Fork Regional Housing Study in terms of the overall scale of the affordable housing needs. Summary • There has been a decline in lower income households throughout the Roaring Fork Valley • Job growth in Pitkin County has been primarily in APCHA Category 3, followed by Category 2 • The project program mix should account for both of those The Main Takeaways from this Study 131 ASPEN LUMBERYARD 50CUSHING TERRELL 4.5 DEMOGRAPHIC STUDY RESULTS Change in Renter Households by AMI 2010 - 2019 • Household growth overwhelmingly in category 3 and above • Loss of renter households in category 2 and below • Employment growth is among lower-incomes, yet household growth is among higher incomes • Workers being pushed to other areas • Housing units are not being occupied by new job holders • Household growth overwhelmingly in category 3 and above • Declines in Category 1 & 2 Change in Owner Households by AMI 2010 - 2019 EPS Report Takeaways CAT. 1 CAT. 1CAT. 2 CAT. 2CAT. 3 CAT. 3CAT. 4 CAT. 4CAT. 5 CAT. 5CAT. RO CAT. RO 132 ASPEN LUMBERYARD 51CUSHING TERRELL 4.5 DEMOGRAPHIC STUDY RESULTS Change in employment by AMI, Market Area • Market area: Aspen to Glenwood • Converted wages to household income using APCHA AMI guidelines • 1.6 earners per hh • 39% of job growth under 80% of AMI; 35% between 80% and 120% • High demand under 80% of AMI EPS Report Takeaways CAT. ROCAT. 5CAT. 4CAT. 3CAT. 2CAT. 1 133 ASPEN LUMBERYARD 52CUSHING TERRELL 4.5 DEMOGRAPHIC STUDY RESULTS The recommended unit and income mix includes a range of possibilities while maintaining a total of 310 housing units. The baseline recommendation considers a higher concentration of 1-bedroom units, while in the alternate unit mix, EPS recommends that the City consider including more 3-bedroom units in place of 1-bedroom units for the purpose of adding more bedrooms to the project while maintaining a total of 310 units and to house more 3-bedroom families or roommate arrangements. Unit Mix Range Recommended Unit Mix Alternate Unit Mix 134 ASPEN LUMBERYARD 53CUSHING TERRELL 4.6 PATHWAYS FORWARD ExploreResearch Evolve Recommend To date the primary objectives of the design team were to: 1. Define what success looks like overall for the project moving forward; and 2. Research and explore parking alternatives that will drive forward successful site and building design. Through council, stakeholder, and public engagement, the design team has been able to evolve site concepts based upon parking alternatives to a point that allows for evaluation to these concepts against overall project goals. The design team will present our comparative analysis of the parking alternatives developed to this point and will ask for the adoption of a recommended path forward allowing future development under a single scheme. 135 ASPEN LUMBERYARD 54CUSHING TERRELL 4.6 PATHWAYS FORWARD Site Comparison Matrix Good Construction Cost Project Phasing (Does scheme allow for project to be phased) Building Envelope (Linear Feet of Exterior Exposed to Elements) Elevators (Minimum Number of Anticipated Elevators) Interior Corridors (Cost associated with constructing int. common space) Operations & Maintenance Waste Management (Ease of accommodate waste infrastructure) Snow Storage (For plowing of roads, drives & parking) Snow Removal (Sidewalks / Exit Stairs & Catwalks) Elevator Maintenance (Annual maintenance based on number of elevators) Mechanical Systems (Ability to centralize systems / simplify maintenance) Parks Dept Maintained Green Spaces x45 x46x31Baseline Baseline 12 20106 x2.15 x1.79 x1.44Parking (Relative cost based on mix of parking types) Good Best BestBest Good Best BetterBetter Good Best Better NoNoNo Better No Yes Yes YesYesYes NoNo Streets Dept Maintained Streets (Paved areas likely designated as streets v. parking lots) Better Best GoodBetter Better Best GoodBetter PIVOT PROJECT FEASIBILITY LATCH HINGE FLANGE Community Connection PIVOT Buffer to Annie Mitchell (Building at within Triangle Adjacent to Annie Mitchell) Parked Entirely on Site GUIDING PRINCIPLES LATCH HINGE FLANGE On-Site Daycare Sustainability Net-Zero Ability (Ability of on-site PV to offset energy consumption) Stormwater (Ease of Surface Detention v. Underground Detention) Access to Daylight (Direct Sun Hours at all S/E/W Unit Faces) Pedestrian Friendly Concentrated Green Space Trail Connectivity Public Transit Stop Safe Site Circulation (street / driveways limited in traversing site) Living Well Universal Design (Units can be accessed by elevator and/or from inside) Access to Views (Uninterrupted view >60' before adjacent structure) Outside of Noise Buffer (Units Outside 200' buffer from Hwy 82) Mechanical Noise (Ability for Centralized Systems vs. Individual Units) Authentically Aspen Design Innovative (Ability for architectural variation) Potential for some 3-story Roofs Mass & Scale (Option w/ Smallest Structures) Exterior Accessed Units (Can units be access without using an interior corridor) Parking Near Unit (Parking Distributed Proportionately w/ Units) Storage At/Near Parking (Cover Parking w/ Room to Add Storage Space) 42.3% 0.6 acres 0.5 acres1.25 acres 1.77 acres Mixed Most Best Best GoodBetter Better Best Most BestBest Better Half BetterBetter Good Best BetterBetter Better Better GoodBest Better Best GoodBest Better Unlikely Unlikely UnlikelyLikely Best GoodGood Best Good BetterBetter All All All1/3rd MostAllAll MixedUnderground No No Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Some Some Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Surface 43.2%48.9%42.4% Best Better GoodBetter Yes Good Construction Cost Project Phasing (Does scheme allow for project to be phased) Building Envelope (Linear Feet of Exterior Exposed to Elements) Elevators (Minimum Number of Anticipated Elevators) Interior Corridors (Cost associated with constructing int. common space) Operations & Maintenance Waste Management (Ease of accommodate waste infrastructure) Snow Storage (For plowing of roads, drives & parking) Snow Removal (Sidewalks / Exit Stairs & Catwalks) Elevator Maintenance (Annual maintenance based on number of elevators) Mechanical Systems (Ability to centralize systems / simplify maintenance) Parks Dept Maintained Green Spaces x45 x46x31Baseline Baseline 12 20106 x2.15 x1.79 x1.44Parking (Relative cost based on mix of parking types) Good Best BestBest Good Best BetterBetter Good Best Better NoNoNo Better No Yes Yes YesYesYes NoNo Streets Dept Maintained Streets (Paved areas likely designated as streets v. parking lots) Better Best GoodBetter Better Best GoodBetter PIVOT PROJECT FEASIBILITY LATCH HINGE FLANGE Community Connection PIVOT Buffer to Annie Mitchell (Building at within Triangle Adjacent to Annie Mitchell) Parked Entirely on Site GUIDING PRINCIPLES LATCH HINGE FLANGE On-Site Daycare Sustainability Net-Zero Ability (Ability of on-site PV to offset energy consumption) Stormwater (Ease of Surface Detention v. Underground Detention) Access to Daylight (Direct Sun Hours at all S/E/W Unit Faces) Pedestrian Friendly Concentrated Green Space Trail Connectivity Public Transit Stop Safe Site Circulation (street / driveways limited in traversing site) Living Well Universal Design (Units can be accessed by elevator and/or from inside) Access to Views (Uninterrupted view >60' before adjacent structure) Outside of Noise Buffer (Units Outside 200' buffer from Hwy 82) Mechanical Noise (Ability for Centralized Systems vs. Individual Units) Authentically Aspen Design Innovative (Ability for architectural variation) Potential for some 3-story Roofs Mass & Scale (Option w/ Smallest Structures) Exterior Accessed Units (Can units be access without using an interior corridor) Parking Near Unit (Parking Distributed Proportionately w/ Units) Storage At/Near Parking (Cover Parking w/ Room to Add Storage Space) 42.3% 0.6 acres 0.5 acres1.25 acres 1.77 acres Mixed Most Best Best GoodBetter Better Best Most BestBest Better Half BetterBetter Good Best BetterBetter Better Better GoodBest Better Best GoodBest Better Unlikely Unlikely UnlikelyLikely Best GoodGood Best Good BetterBetter All All All1/3rd MostAllAll MixedUnderground No No Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Some Some Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Surface 43.2%48.9%42.4% Best Better GoodBetter Yes 136 ASPEN LUMBERYARD 55CUSHING TERRELL 4.6 PATHWAYS FORWARD Core Concepts from Hinge! Why is Hinge the best launching pad? • Strongest alignment to Guiding Principles per initial metrics • A reduction of underground parking by 51 - 60% from concept design • Best access to daylight & views / separation between buildings • Most cost effective... energy efficiency, fewest number of elevators, least amount building perimeter, relationship to underground parking • Provides flexibility with further development of parking & building design Strategies for Success Already in place with Hinge: • Fewer and more condensed buildings producing larger consolidated green space • Balanced approach to parking between underground and surface • Parking directly related to building footprint • Centralized and public facing green space • Buildings outside of noise buffer to highway/airport ‘Kit of Parts’ for further development: • Use efficiency of building layout on site plan to leverage horizontal and vertical building articulation • Mix and Match building typologies to allow for ground level entry direct into unit • Soften ground plan through layering landscaped areas and patios as transitions to building • Create light-filled and dynamic interior common spaces • Explore opportunity for more Green Space due to ability to increase underground parking + Latch Hinge 137 ASPEN LUMBERYARD 56CUSHING TERRELL 4.7 FINANCIAL RESOURCES • Review of market information • Unit mix, rent and income assumptions • Rental and for-sale housing options • Underwriting assumptions • Rent and income requirements • Comparison with APCHA standards • Phasing and schedule provide input to project schedule • Flow of funds and phasing work • Timing of outside funding resources • Site and infrastructure development • Optimizing funding sources to leverage Aspen’s investment • Opportunities to attract private investment • Possible developer RFP Scope & Goals Prepare Sources and Uses Statement Identify Funding Sources from State and Federal Programs Development Strategy 138 ASPEN LUMBERYARD 57CUSHING TERRELL 4.7 FINANCIAL RESOURCES Schedule for City Department Head Coordination and Input Focus for January 11th Financial Resources Meeting with City Council • Budgeting - Cost estimate for all aspects of the project • Phasing of work and flow of funds • Beginning with site and infrastructure development • Leveraging other funding sources • Timing of city fund to support this and other affordable housing initiatives • Funding strategy and underwriting assumptions Late March 2022 June 2022January 11, 2022 Third MeetingInitial Meeting Second Meeting 139 ASPEN LUMBERYARD 58CUSHING TERRELL COMMENTS & QUESTIONS 140 ASPEN LUMBERYARD 59CUSHING TERRELL WHERE ARE WE GOING 141 ASPEN LUMBERYARD 60CUSHING TERRELL WHERE WE ARE GOING Our Ask of You Today Moving Forward Scheme Development: • What kit of parts can we move forward with to develop a single scheme? • Acceptance on range of unit mix and awareness of impacts moving forward. Sustainability: • Adoption of baseline sustainability program and approach to net zero. • Acceptance of further exploration to reach goals.Mid February: Council Work Session Presenting Design Progress The design team will look to present a single refined site scheme that will look for the development in the areas of site infrastructure and logistics. At this time the design team will also present preliminary building concepts looking for feedback on final unit mix as well as a more informed conversation on architectural character. YOU ARE HERE 2022 2027 2028 ...20242023 2025 Complete Schematic Design, Submit Development Application forApproval Process Remaining Phases of Housing Construction and Occupancy TBDTarget for First Phase of Housing Construction to Start Target for Occupancy of First Phase of Affordable Housing PD Recording,Construction Documents,Building Permit Application Process Target for Access & Infrastructure Construction Start 142 thank you.thank you. 303 East 17th Avenue, Suite 105 Denver, CO 80203 720.359.1416 cushingterrell.com 143 ASPEN LUMBERYARD 62CUSHING TERRELL APPENDIX 144 Lumber Yard Demographic and Market Assessment Prepared for: City of Aspen Prepared by: Economic & Planning Systems, Inc. EPS #213032 January 6, 2022 145 Table of Contents Trends and Conditions ............................................................................... 1 Introduction ................................................................................................. 1 Population, Household, and Job Trends ............................................................ 1 Age Distribution ............................................................................................ 4 Home Prices ................................................................................................. 5 Key Demographic Finding ............................................................................... 5 2018 Greater Roaring Fork Regional Housing Study ........................................... 6 Employment Trends .................................................................................. 7 Wage and Salary Job Trends ........................................................................... 7 Supply and Demand ................................................................................ 12 Household Income ...................................................................................... 12 Household Size ........................................................................................... 13 Renters and Owners .................................................................................... 14 Housing Units by AMI .................................................................................. 15 Recent Multifamily Projects ........................................................................... 18 Recommendations .................................................................................. 23 APCHA Rental Inventory ............................................................................... 23 Analysis Findings ........................................................................................ 24 Proposed Unit Mix ....................................................................................... 25 146 List of Tables Table 1. Household Composition, Pitkin County, 2012-2019 .................................... 3 Table 2. Wages and Incomes, Top Five Growth Sectors, Pitkin County, 2010-2019 ..... 8 Table 3. Wages and Incomes, Top Sectors, Pitkin County, 2020 ............................. 11 Table 4. Recent Apartment Developments .......................................................... 18 Table 5. Rents by AMI Levels in Recent Properties ............................................... 19 Table 6. APCHA Rental Housing Inventory........................................................... 23 Table 7. Recommended Unit Mix ....................................................................... 25 147 List of Figures Figure 1. Pitkin County Population, 2010-2020 ....................................................... 2 Figure 2. Households vs. Housing Unit Growth, Pitkin County, 2010-2020 .................. 3 Figure 3. Age Distribution, Pitkin County, 2010-2020............................................... 4 Figure 4. Median Home Sale Price, Pitkin County, 2018-2021 ................................... 5 Figure 5. Employment, Pitkin County, 2010-2021 ................................................... 7 Figure 6. Employment Change by sector, Pitkin County, 2010-2019........................... 8 Figure 7. Change in Employment by wage quartile, Pitkin County, 2010-2019 ............. 9 Figure 8. Change in Employment AMI, Pitkin County, 2010-2019 ............................ 10 Figure 9. Change in Renter Households by AMI, 2010-2019 .................................... 12 Figure 10. Change in Owner Households by AMI, 2010-2019 .................................... 13 Figure 11. Households by Size, Market Area, 2010-2019 ......................................... 14 Figure 12. Households by Tenure, 2010-2019, Market Area ...................................... 14 Figure 13. Renter Units by AMI, 2010-2019 ........................................................... 15 Figure 14. Owner Units by AMI, 2010-2019 ........................................................... 16 Figure 15. Rental Units by Bedroom County, Pitkin County, 2010-2019 ...................... 17 148 Economic & Planning Systems, Inc. 213032-Lumber Yard Report 1-6-22.docx 1 Trends and Conditions Introduction This report was prepared for the City of Aspen and the Aspen-Pitkin County Housing Authority, under a subcontract with DHM Design in Carbondale. The purpose of this analysis is to provide recommendations on the unit mix in the Lumber Yard housing development. The City is particularly interested in aligning the development program with job growth and the associated wage and household income levels. The study also examines demographic trends and conditions, and the rental housing supply to address the full range of housing demand and supply in the rental market. The report begins with an overview of macro level growth trends and demographics in Pitkin County. The second chapter reviews employment and wage trends. Chapters 3 and 4 summarize housing supply characteristics including profiles of recently constructed apartments. Chapter 5 contains Economic & Planning Systems’ (EPS) recommendations on the mix of units by size (bedrooms) and APCHA income categories. Population, Household, and Job Trends Over the past decade, the population of Pitkin County has experienced minimal growth, increasing from 17,156 residents in 2010 to 17,363 in 2020, which is an addition of 207 people, as shown in Figure 1. The annual growth rate over this time period was 0.12 percent. The State Demographer estimates that the County’s population actually declined by over 300 since 2016 when the population was 17,691. 149 Lumber Yard Demographic and Market Assessment 2 Figure 1. Pitkin County Population, 2010-2020 When looking at demographic trends in Colorado’s mountain communities, it is also important to examine trends in the number of households, a group of people related or unrelated living in one occupied housing unit. Overall, growth in housing units outpaced household growth, with the overall housing stock increasing by about 9 percent between 2010 and 2019, while the number of households only increased by 4 percent as shown in Figure 2. However, most housing unit growth was in “vacant units” that are largely comprised of second homes. The share of vacant units in Pitkin County increased from 37 percent of all housing units in 2010 to 40 percent of all housing units in 2019. The number of jobs in Pitkin County increased by 19 percent since 2010, compared to only a 4 percent in population. With unemployment generally low after 2012, most of the new jobs could only be filled by an increase in commuting into the county. 17,156 17,128 17,201 17,321 17,521 17,701 17,691 17,658 17,643 17,413 17,363 10,000 11,000 12,000 13,000 14,000 15,000 16,000 17,000 18,000 19,000 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Source: DOLA; Economic & Planning Systems 150 Economic & Planning Systems 3 Figure 2. Households vs. Housing Unit Growth, Pitkin County, 2010-2020 EPS analyzed the composition of households in Pitkin County using estimates from the American Community Survey (ACS) part of the U.S. Census. As of 2019, approximately 42 percent of households in Pitkin County live with an unrelated roommate, up from 39 percent in 2012, while 25 percent live with family members, 19 percent live with a partner or spouse, and 14 percent live alone, as shown in Table 1. This suggests that roommate arrangements are prevalent, which is a source of demand for multi-bedroom unit types. Table 1. Household Composition, Pitkin County, 2012-2019 104% 109% 119% 95% 100% 105% 110% 115% 120% 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 % of 2010 Households Housing Units Vacant Housing Units Source: DOLA; Economic & Planning Systems Description 2012 % Total 2019 % Total Households Living Alone 2,648 16%2,457 14% Living with Roomates 6,665 39%7,550 42% Living with a partner/spouse 3,201 19%3,353 19% Living with family 4,361 26%4,432 25% Total 16,875 100%17,792 100% Source: U.S. Census; Economic & Planning Systems Z:\Shared\Projects\DEN\213032-Aspen Lumber Yard\Data\[213032-HH Characteristics.xlsx]T-Summ 151 Lumber Yard Demographic and Market Assessment 4 Age Distribution The population of Pitkin County has become older over the past decade. The median age increased from 42.1 in 2010 to 44.8 in 2020, while the age cohort with the most significant increase in its share of population over that period was 65 and over, growing from 11.4 percent of the population in 2010 to 19.3 percent of the population in 2020, as shown in Figure 3. In addition, the share of the population aged 0 to 14, 25 to 34, 35 to 44, and 45 to 54 all decreased between 2010 and 2020. Figure 3. Age Distribution, Pitkin County, 2010-2020 14.3% 9.1% 15.3% 16.1% 17.3% 16.4% 11.4%11.9% 11.0% 13.9%13.5%14.2% 16.3% 19.3% 0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% 0-14 15 - 24 25 - 34 35 - 44 45 - 54 55 - 64 65+ 2010 2020 Source: U.S. Census; Economic & Planning Systems 152 Economic & Planning Systems 5 Home Prices Pitkin County continues to have a high-priced housing market that has appreciated significantly in recent years. From 2018 to 2021, the median sale price increased from $2,800,000 to $5,037,000, as shown in Figure 4, with the largest increase occurring between 2019 and 2020, when the median sale price rose by 50 percent year-over-year. In terms of price distribution, approximately 10 percent of the homes sold in 2020 and 2021 were under $500,000, while one- third of homes in 2020 and 2021 were under $1,000,000. Figure 4. Median Home Sale Price, Pitkin County, 2018-2021 Key Demographic Finding Three trends: slow growing to decreasing population, household growth outpacing population growth, and the aging population have important implications on affordable housing, the sustainability of the local economy and character of the place. The decline in population since 2016 is likely comprised of a combination of natural decreases (deaths and aging) and people moving out of the county. The faster rate of household growth compared to population is a complex trend. It may indicate that newer households moving into the county are smaller than the households leaving the county. The new households could be empty nester households and retirees. When paired with the change in age distribution (declines in young and working age population, increase in over 65 population), a picture emerges of an increasingly older wealthier population. $2,800,000 $3,275,000 $5,000,000 $5,037,000 $0 $1,000,000 $2,000,000 $3,000,000 $4,000,000 $5,000,000 $6,000,000 2018 2019 2020 2021 Median Sale Price Source: Land Title Company; Economic & Planning Systems 153 Lumber Yard Demographic and Market Assessment 6 2018 Greater Roaring Fork Regio nal Housing Study In 2018, EPS and RRC Associates conducted an in-depth housing study for the Greater Roaring Fork Region lying between Aspen, Rifle, and Eagle. The study involved extensive data analysis as well as a detailed survey. The study had the following key takeaways: • The region has a 2,100-unit shortfall in housing for households at 60% of area median income (AMI) and less, and a 1,900-unit shortfall for households between 100 and 160% AMI, the “missing middle”. • Overspending on housing (cost burden) costs the region $54 million per year that could be spent in the local economy or used to save for the future or pay off debt. • More than 26,000 workers (out of 47,000 employed residents) cross paths in their daily commute versus just 19,000 employed residents who live where they work. This cross-commuting impacts roads, quality of life, and the environment. • Year-round business has grown, which can increase the region’s resilience to another down-turn. • The population is aging and retiring; over the next 10 years, it is projected that the population over 65 will increase 60 percent (7,800 people). • Non-local property ownership and short term rentals put pressure on the housing market by reducing supply, which impacts the local workforce and the permanent resident population. Many of these takeaways are confirmed by the analysis in this study, including an aging population and a supply and demand imbalance in the housing stock below 60% of AMI. 154 Economic & Planning Systems 7 Employment Trends This chapter summarizes trends in employment by industry and wage level in Pitkin County. From this information we estimate the household incomes that result from combining multiple job holders into a household. Wage and Salary Job Trends The Pitkin County economy has been generally strong over the past decade, as wage and salary jobs grew by 1,724 or 1.3 percent annually between 2010 and 2019, as shown in Figure 5. The momentum slowed in 2020, when jobs contracted by 9.4 percent due to the economic impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic. As of early 2021, total employment has mostly rebounded to its pre-pandemic levels. Figure 5. Employment, Pitkin County, 2010-2021 Job growth in Pitkin County was primarily driven by tourism-related sectors, including Accommodation and Food Services, Arts and Recreation, and Retail Trade, as shown in Figure 6. Collectively, these sectors accounted for approximately 60 percent of total job growth from 2010 through 2019. As shown in Table 2, the household incomes for these jobs range from 74 percent to 116 percent of area median income. It is important to note that these jobs are essential to the Pitkin County economy and also drive demand for workforce housing. Other sectors that grew included Public Administration (government), Real Estate, and Health Care. 15,003 15,061 15,329 15,707 16,437 15,826 16,129 16,371 16,534 16,801 15,215 16,727 10,000 11,000 12,000 13,000 14,000 15,000 16,000 17,000 18,000 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Source: QCEW;Economic & Planning Systems 155 Lumber Yard Demographic and Market Assessment 8 Figure 6. Employment Change by sector, Pitkin County, 2010-2019 Table 2. Wages and Incomes, Top Five Growth Sectors, Pitkin County, 2010-2019 An analysis by wage quartile shows the range of wage levels where job growth has been. Between 2010 and 2019, 29 percent of new jobs in Pitkin County were at or below the 25th percentile of wages, which equates to $47,372 per year or below $23 per hour, as shown in Figure 7. Just over half of new jobs were in the 25th to 50th percentile of wages, at $47,372 to $61,620 per year or $23 to approximately $30 per hour. The remaining 19 percent of jobs were above $61,620 per year or $30 per hour. 437 433 332 205 172 150 108 100 97 55 50 47 27 14 2 -47 -53 -85 -240 -300 -200 -100 0 100 200 300 400 500 Acc. and Food Services Arts and Recreation Public Admin. Real Estate Retail Trade Health Care Transport and Warehousing Professional and Tech Srvcs Other Services Ag & Forestry Educational Services Management of Companies Manufacturing Wholesale Trade Utilities Finance Information Construction Admin and Waste Services Description % of Job Growth Avg. Wage HH Income [1]AMI APCHA Category Pitkin County Accommodation and Food Services 24%$43,368 $69,389 74%Category 2 Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation 24%$50,024 $80,038 85%Category 3 Public Administration 18%$66,352 $106,163 113%Category 3 Real Estate and Rental and Leasing 11%$68,120 $108,992 116%Category 3 Retail Trade 10%$51,896 $83,034 88%Category 3 [1] Assumes 1.6 Earners per Household Source: BLS; Economic & Planning Systems 156 Economic & Planning Systems 9 Figure 7. Change in Employment by Wage Quartile, Pitkin County, 2010-2019 While wages relate to household income, the above information is only part of the picture as a working household is often comprised of multiple earners. The 2019 housing survey found that on average there are 1.6 earners per household. Household income is therefore estimated by multiplying the average wage for an industry, or the wages in the quartiles shown, by 1.6. This assumes that the “second” 0.6th of an earner makes the same wage as the first (1.0) earner. When thinking about the workforce in a mountain resort area, it is common for people with similar job types to pair up as roommates. The wage information is converted to estimated household income. As shown, 26 percent of the job growth translates to household incomes in APCHA Category 2 (50-85% AMI) and 55 percent of the job growth translates to Category 3 (85-120% AMI). If a goal is to serve the local workforce and employers, then a significant portion of the Lumber Yard unit mix should be in the Category 2 and Category 3 income ranges. 157 Lumber Yard Demographic and Market Assessment 10 Figure 8. Change in Employment AMI, Pitkin County, 2010-2019 A more granular breakdown of sectors in Pitkin County illustrates the wages in specific industries. As shown in Table 3, hotel jobs and restaurant jobs both comprise approximately 10 percent of total employment. For a household with 1.6 earners, hotel jobs pay a household income equivalent to 97 percent of AMI (Category 3) and restaurant jobs pay a household income equivalent to 82 percent of AMI (Category 2). Skiing Facilities, which comprise 9 percent of total jobs, pay a household income equivalent to 109 percent of AMI. For a one-earner household, hotel jobs pay an income equivalent to 74 percent of AMI and restaurants pay an income equivalent to 63 percent of AMI, placing jobholders in Category 2 under APCHA guidelines. In a few sectors with a sizeable presence in Pitkin County, including Supermarkets and Temporary Help Services, incomes in one-earner households place jobholders in Category 1. 0 (0%) 436 (26%) 913 (55%) 117 (7%) 0 (0%) 202 (12%) 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% Below 50% AMI 50%-85% AMI 85%-120% AMI 120%-205% AMI 205%-240% AMI Above 240% AMI Source: QCEW; Economic & Planning Systems 158 Economic & Planning Systems 11 Table 3. Wages and Incomes, Top Sectors, Pitkin County, 2020 Description % of Total Jobs Avg. Wage AMI [1]Category HH Income AMI [2]Category Pitkin County Hotels and Motels 11%$57,092 74%Cat. 2 $91,347 97%Cat. 3 Full-Service Restaurants 10%$48,405 63%Cat. 2 $77,447 82%Cat. 2 Skiing Facilities 9%$63,916 83%Cat. 2 $102,266 109%Cat. 3 Executive and Legislative Offices 6%$68,979 89%Cat. 3 $110,366 117%Cat. 3 Residential Property Managers 5%$73,835 95%Cat. 3 $118,136 126%Cat. 4 General Medical Hospitals 3%$86,511 112%Cat. 3 $138,418 147%Cat. 5 Elementary and Secondary Schools 3%$56,715 73%Cat. 2 $90,743 97%Cat. 3 Temporary Help Services 2%$30,795 40%Cat. 1 $49,272 52%Cat. 2 Landscaping Services 2%$48,181 62%Cat. 2 $77,090 82%Cat. 2 Supermarkets and Grocery Stores 2%$36,052 47%Cat. 1 $57,684 61%Cat. 2 [1] Assumes a 1-person household size [2] Assumes a 2.5-person household size Source: BLS; Economic & Planning Systems C:\Users\Carson\Documents\[QCEW Pitkin Eagle Garfield CLEANED.xlsx]T-6 digit Summ Pitkin 1-Earner Household 1.6-Earner Household 159 Lumber Yard Demographic and Market Assessment 12 Supply and Demand This chapter analyzes supply and demand information on housing and household demographics in Pitkin County and the greater Roaring Fork Valley, including Basalt, Carbondale, and Glenwood Springs – referred to as the Primary Market Area (PMA). Household Inc ome EPS analyzed data on households by income range using census tract-level data from the American Community Survey (ACS). The incomes from the ACS data were translated into area median income using guidelines set by the Aspen-Pitkin County Housing Authority (APCHA). The tracts in this analysis encompass the entire Primary Market Area. From 2010 through 2019, growth in renter households was concentrated above 85% of AMI (above Category 2). The majority of renter household growth was in the 120-205% AMI category (mostly Category 4), as shown in Figure 9. By contrast, the number of renter households below 85% of AMI contracted, indicating a net loss of the lowest-income households. Figure 9. Change in Renter Households by AMI, 2010-2019 -222 -114 190 623 22 198 -600 -400 -200 0 200 400 600 800 Below 50% AMI 50%-85% AMI 85%-120% AMI 120%-205% AMI 205%-240% AMI Above 240% AMI Source: U.S. Census; Economic & Planning Systems 160 Economic & Planning Systems 13 Owner households showed a similar pattern. New household growth primarily occurred in the 85-120% AMI (Category 3) and above 240% AMI categories (Category 5), while there was a significant loss of households below 85% of AMI (Category 2), as shown in Figure 10. Overall, this analysis highlights a pattern in which higher-income households are replacing lower-income households in the Roaring Fork Valley, likely due to displacement of lower-income households because of rising housing costs and scarce supply. Figure 10. Change in Owner Households by AMI, 2010-2019 Household Size Within the Primary Market Area, the most common household size is a two-person household, comprising 39 percent of all households, followed a one-person household with 28 percent, four or more-person household with 17 percent, and a three-person household with 16 percent, as shown in Figure 11. From 2010 and 2019, the share of two-person households grew the most, increasing from 34 to 39 percent of all households, while the share of three-person households increased marginally. The decrease in share of households with 4 or more people, which dropped from 21 to 17 percent of all households, indicates a loss of families and larger households. -500 -265 -8 439 84 457 -600 -400 -200 0 200 400 600 800 Below 50% AMI 50%-85% AMI 85%-120% AMI 120%-205% AMI 205%-240% AMI Above 240% AMI Source: U.S. Census; Economic & Planning Systems 161 Lumber Yard Demographic and Market Assessment 14 Figure 11. Households by Size, Market Area, 2010-2019 Renters and Owners In terms of tenure, owner households comprise approximately two-thirds of all households in the Primary Market Area. The share of renter households within the Primary Market Area increased slightly between 2010 and 2019, increasing from 34 percent to 36 percent of all households, as shown in Figure 12. As such, the share of owner households decreased from 66 to 64 percent of all households. Figure 12. Households by Tenure, 2010-2019, Market Area 30% 34% 14% 21% 28% 39% 16%17% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 1-Person HH 2-Person HH 3-Person HH 4+ Person HH 2010 2019 Source: U.S. Census; Economic & Planning Systems 34% 66% 36% 64% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% Renters Owners 2010 2019 Source: U.S. Census; Economic & Planning Systems 162 Economic & Planning Systems 15 Housing Units by AMI On the supply side, EPS analyzed data on units by value and units by rent using census tract-level data from the American Community Survey (ACS). The incomes from the ACS data were translated into area median income using guidelines set by the Aspen-Pitkin County Housing Authority (APCHA). The tracts in this analysis encompass the entire Primary Market Area. Rental Housing Among rental units, the vast majority of new unit growth occurred between 85% and 120% of AMI, while there was a loss of units below 50% of AMI and above 205% of AMI, as shown in Figure 13. Figure 13. Renter Units by AMI, 2010-2019 -324 -124 -96 212 1,041 235 -600 -400 -200 0 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 Below 50% AMI 50%-85% AMI 85%-120% AMI 120%-205% AMI 205%-240% AMI Above 240% AMI Source: Economic & Planning Systems 163 Lumber Yard Demographic and Market Assessment 16 On the owner side, new unit growth was distributed between units in the 50-85% AMI category and the 120-205% category as shown in Figure 14. These trends reflect increases in rental rates at the low end, and likely conversion of units to ownership or second homes at the higher end. Figure 14. Owner Units by AMI, 2010-2019 -340 -95 -513 554 89 562 -600 -400 -200 0 200 400 600 800 Below 50% AMI 50%-85% AMI 85%-120% AMI 120%-205% AMI 205%-240% AMI Above 240% AMI Source: Economic & Planning Systems 164 Economic & Planning Systems 17 Number of Bedrooms The most common type of rental unit in the Primary Market Area is a 2-bedroom unit, comprising 40 percent of all rental units, as shown in Figure 15. One- and 3-bedroom units both comprise approximately 20 percent of rental units, while studios and 4- and 5-bedroom units comprise less than 10 percent of rental units. Between 2010 and 2019, the share of 2-bedroom units grew significantly, increasing from 32 to 40 percent of all rental units, while the share of 3-bedroom units fell from 26 to 19 percent of units, and the share of 1-bedroom units fell from 22 to 20 percent. The increase in 2-bedroom units is attributed to construction of new APCHA projects and other new apartments noted below. Figure 15. Rental Units by Bedroom County, Pitkin County, 2010-2019 11% 22% 32% 26% 7% 2% 7% 20% 40% 19% 10% 4% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% No Bedroom 1-Bedroom 2-Bedroom 3-Bedroom 4-Bedroom 5+ Bedrooms 2010 2019 Source: U.S. Census; Economic & Planning Systems 165 Lumber Yard Demographic and Market Assessment 18 Recent Multifamily Projects EPS gathered information on recent multifamily projects in the Roaring Fork Valley to gauge what the market has delivered, with a particular focus on unit mix and rental rates. Several multifamily projects, both market rate and affordable, have been built in the Valley over the past decade. A brief description of each project is provided below and project characteristics are summarized in Table 4. Newer apartment developments have rents concentrated in the Category 4 and RO categories. These are not APCHA properties; EPS converted the rental rates to the equivalent APCHA categories and AMI ranges for comparison. As shown in Table 5, the only properties serving people earning less than 120 percent of AMI (Category 4) are properties developed using low income housing tax credits (LIHTC). The two LIHTC projects shown here have rents affordable to people earning between 50 and 85% of AMI (Category 2). Table 4. Recent Apartment Developments Description Units Percent Avg. Size Avg. Rent Per Sq. Ft.Yr Built Type Willits Seven - Basalt 1 Bedroom 18 36%624 $1,901 $3.05 2017 Affordable 2-Bedroom 17 34%909 $2,168 $2.39 2017 Affordable 3-Bedroom 15 30%1,072 $2,280 $2.13 2017 Affordable Total 50 100%855 $2,105 $2.46 2017 Affordable One 10 Harris - Basalt 1 Bedroom 5 10%733 $2,275 $3.10 2018 Market 2-Bedroom 20 41%947 $2,850 $3.01 2018 Market 3-Bedroom 24 49%1,114 $3,450 $3.10 2018 Market Total 49 100%1,007 $3,085 $3.06 2018 Market Six Canyon - Glenwood Spgs 1 Bedroom 55 47%683 $1,840 $2.69 2020 Market 2-Bedroom 61 53%980 $2,308 $2.36 2020 Market Total 116 100%821 $2,086 $2.54 Glenwood Greens - Glenwood Spgs 1 Bedroom 28 47%708 $917 $1.30 2014 LIHTC 2-Bedroom 20 33%950 $1,095 $1.15 2014 LIHTC 3-Bedroom 12 20%1,084 $1,265 $1.17 2014 LIHTC Total 60 100% Roaring Fork Apartments - Basalt 1 Bedroom 45 80%N/A N/A N/A 2018 LIHTC 2-Bedroom 11 20%N/A N/A N/A 2018 LIHTC Total 56 100%N/A N/A N/A 2018 LIHTC 1201 Main - Carbondale 1 Bedroom 15 56%660 $1,800 N/A N/A Market 2-Bedroom 12 44%1,020 $2,800 N/A N/A Market Total 27 100% Source: Economic & Planning Systems Z:\Shared\Projects\DEN\213032-Aspen Lumber Yard\Data\[213032-Apartment Comps.xlsx]T-Summ 166 Economic & Planning Systems 19 Table 5. Rents by AMI Levels in Recent Properties Description Units Avg. Rent Equivalent APCHA Category AMI Willits Seven - Basalt 1 Bedroom 18 $1,901 Cat. 4 120-205% 2-Bedroom 17 $2,168 Cat. 4 120-205% 3-Bedroom 15 $2,280 Cat. 4 120-205% Total 50 $2,105 One 10 Harris - Basalt 1 Bedroom 5 $2,275 RO Above 205% 2-Bedroom 20 $2,850 RO Above 205% 3-Bedroom 24 $3,450 RO Above 205% Total 49 $3,085 Six Canyon - Glenwood Spgs 1 Bedroom 55 $1,840 Cat. 4 120-205% 2-Bedroom 61 $2,308 RO Above 205% Total 116 $2,086 Glenwood Greens - Glenwood Spgs 1 Bedroom 28 $917 Cat. 2 50-85% 2-Bedroom 20 $1,095 Cat. 2 50-85% 3-Bedroom 12 $1,265 Cat. 2 50-85% Total 60 $1,046 Roaring Fork Apartments - Basalt 1 Bedroom 45 N/A Cat. 2 50-85% 2-Bedroom 11 N/A RO Above 205% Total 56 N/A 1201 Main - Carbondale 1 Bedroom 15 $1,800 Cat. 4 120-205% 2-Bedroom 12 $2,800 RO Above 205% Total 27 $2,244 Source: Economic & Planning Systems Z:\Shared\Projects\DEN\213032-Aspen Lumber Yard\Data\[213032-Apartment Comps.xlsx]T-Summ 167 Lumber Yard Demographic and Market Assessment 20 Willits Seven Located in Willits Town Center in Basalt, Willits Seven is a 50-unit apartment complex built in 2017. Willits Seven has a relatively even mixture of 1-, 2-, and 3- bedroom units, and is only leased to employees in Roaring Fork Valley. Units are income-restricted at up to 120% of area median income under current APCHA guidelines (Category 2). Current rents are $1,901 per month for a 1-bedroom, $2,168 for a 2-bedroom, and $2,280 for a 3-bedroom. One 10 Harris Also in Willits Town Center, One 10 Harris is a 49-unit market rate apartment project built in 2018. One 10 Harris sits at the higher end of the apartment market, with rental rates over $3.00 per square foot. Approximately half of the units are 3-bedroom, the highest share of the comparable properties, while 41 percent are 2-bedroom units and 10 percent are 1-bedroom units. 168 Economic & Planning Systems 21 Six Canyon Six Canyon is a 116-unit market-rate apartment project built in 2020 located along U.S. Highway 6 in the northwestern part of Glenwood Springs. The unit mix is evenly split between 1- and 2-bedroom units and the average rent is $2.54 per square foot. It is one of the newest for-rent residential projects in the Roaring Fork Valley. Glenwood Greens Glenwood Greens is a 60-unit affordable apartment project located in Glenwood Springs adjacent to the Glenwood Meadows shopping center. Built in 2014, Glenwood Greens is a low-income housing tax credit (LIHTC) project with below- market rents averaging $1.21 per square foot. The unit mix consists of 28 1- bedroom units, 20 2-bedroom units, and 12 3-bedroom units. 169 Lumber Yard Demographic and Market Assessment 22 Roaring Fork Apartments The Roaring Fork Apartments is a 56-unit multifamily project located along State Highway 82 in Basalt. Built in 2018, the Roaring Fork received funding from the low-income housing tax credit (LIHTC) program and contains a mixture of affordable units (under 60% of AMI) and market-rate units. Approximately 80 percent of the units are 1-bedroom units and 20 percent are 2-bedroom units. 1201 Main Located in Carbondale at the intersection of Main Street and State Highway 133, 1201 Main is a 27-unit market-rate apartment project. 1201 Main has a mixture of 1- and 2-bedroom units. 170 Economic & Planning Systems 23 Recommendations This chapter provides recommendations and considerations for the unit mix and targeted income ranges for the rental portion of the Lumber Yard development. For context, the chapter begins with a summary of the current unit mix in APCHA’s rental properties. APCHA Rental Inventory APCHA has 1,382 units in its inventory, shown in Table 6. The inventory is concentrated in smaller units ranging from studios (22 percent) and dorm units (15 percent) to 1-bedroom (27 percent) and 2-bedroom units (31 percent). The inventory includes properties built over decades when the focus was on employee and seasonal housing, reflected in the dorm style and 1- and 2-bedroom apartment units. Most of APCHA’s rental inventory is in income Categories 2 and 3 (50-85% AMI and 85-120% AMI), with 56 percent of units. There are another 8 percent of units in Category 1 (under 50% AMI) and a third of the units as RO Category. RO units do not have an income limit; the occupant must be a full time resident and full time employee in Pitkin County with net assets less than $2.4 million. Table 6. APCHA Rental Housing Inventory Rental Category 1 Category 2 Category 3 Category 4 RO Total Units % Mix Unit Type Studio 51 78 80 4 88 301 22% 1-Bedroom 33 144 145 6 39 367 27% 2-Bedroom 17 86 171 28 126 428 31% 3-Bedroom 1 18 43 5 9 76 5% Dorm Units 6 0 10 0 190 206 15% Single-Family 0 0 0 2 2 4 0% Rental Total 108 326 449 45 454 1,382 Rental %8%24%32%3%33%100% Source: APCHA; Economic & Planning Systems Z:\Shared\Projects\DEN\213032-Aspen Lumber Yard\Data\[213032-APCHA inventory.xlsx]APCHA summ 171 Lumber Yard Demographic and Market Assessment 24 Analysis Findings Household Income The number of households in income Categories 1 and 2 in the PMA (Aspen to Glenwood Springs) have declined by approximately 1,100 (renters and owners) over about the past 10 years. Some Category 1 and 2 units should be provided to serve this lower income population and workforce and to help mitigate the increases in housing costs in the Upper, Mid, and Lower Valley areas. Jobs and Economic Base Most of the job growth in Pitkin County over the past 10 years has been in Accommodations and Food Services ($43,368), Arts and Recreation ($50,024), Public Administration ($66,352), and Retail Trade ($51,896). Besides public administration, these industries have average wages ranging from $43,368 to $51,896. For a single earner, those are incomes of 56% to 67% of AMI (Category 2). When multiple earners are considered, the job growth translates to household incomes in 50 to 85 % of AMI (26 percent of new jobs, Category 2) and 85 to 120% of AMI (55 percent of new jobs, Category 3). If a goal is to address workforce and employer needs, then a focus on up to Category 3 is also recommended. When single person households (e.g., a single parent) are considered, targeting the traditional APCHA mix of Category 1, 2, and 3 is still a good approach at Lumber Yard and will address multiple types of housing need. Private Market Development The private market is able to build rental housing in Category 4 and up as the recent projects illustrate. For rental housing, it is recommended that Lumber Yard continue to focus on Category 1, 2, and 3 for the time being. The County and all municipalities should also be encouraging market rate rental housing and looking for ways to incentivize market rate development down into Category 3 or even below. Unit Sizes EPS recommends that the Lumber Yard rental component include 1, 2, and 3 bedroom units. No studio units are recommended. Studio units do not offer the living arrangement flexibility that a unit with a separate bedroom offers. None of the recent projects in the area have included studio units; they are more typical in urban markets. EPS does recommend that the rental component include larger 3- bedroom units. Three bedroom units offer more options for families as well as roommates. There is a long tradition of seasonal workers and “ski bums” pairing up as roommates, which has social benefits and helps to save money on rent. The family market appears to be underserved, which is important in building and maintaining community and a middle class, as well as creating an opportunity for low income residents to live closer to work and attend Aspen schools. 172 Economic & Planning Systems 25 Proposed Unit Mix The recommended unit mix is shown in Table 7. The unit mix covers a wide range of unit types and incomes, focusing mostly on Category 1, Category 2, and Category 3 Units, which collectively comprise 93 percent of proposed rental units, with Category 2 having the largest share of 38 percent of all rental units. On the ownership side, more units are priced at Category 4 and above, with 26 percent of all units are Category 4 and 17 percent of all units are Category 5. This recommendation is for general guidance and does not need to be tied exactly to any final project design. Table 7. Recommended Unit Mix APCHA Category 1 Category 2 Category 3 Category 4 Category 5 Category RO Total % %AMI <50%50-85%>85-130%>130-205%>205-240%no limit Units Mix Rental Product Studio 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0% 1-Bedroom 28 37 35 4 0 0 104 49% 2-Bedroom 15 31 25 7 0 0 78 37% 3-Bedroom 4 12 10 4 0 0 30 14% Rental Total 47 80 70 15 0 0 212 100% Rental %22%38%33%7%0%0% Ownership Product Studio 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0% 1-Bedroom 0 12 12 10 6 0 40 41% 2-Bedroom 0 11 11 12 8 0 42 43% 3-Bedroom 0 0 10 3 3 0 16 16% Ownership Total 0 23 33 25 17 0 98 100% Ownership %0%23%34%26%17%0% Source: Economic & Planning Systems Z:\Shared\Projects\DEN\213032-Aspen Lumber Yard\Data\[Draft Lumberyard Program Updated 11-19-2021.xlsx]T-Program 173 Lumber Yard Demographic and Market Assessment 26 Alternate Unit Mix An alternate unit mix is shown in Table 8. The City of Aspen may be able to decrease public subsidies and/or increase overall public benefit by establishing an employer partnership to house employees who otherwise qualify at the Category 2 and Category 3 levels and who typically reside in roommate arrangements. In this case, modification to the unit mix to accommodate such arrangements is recommended by re-allocating some 1-bedroom units to instead be 3-bedroom units. This alternative arrangement is consistent with the findings of this study, as additional 3-bedroom units meet an established market need. The unit mix shifts 20 1-bedroom units to 3-bedroom units, pulling 10 from Category 2 and 10 from Category 3. In this alternate mix, approximately one-quarter of all units are 3- bedroom units, up from 14 percent in the original scenario. Table 8. Alternate Unit Mix APCHA Category 1 Category 2 Category 3 Category 4 Category 5 Category RO Total % %AMI <50%50-85%>85-130%>130-205%>205-240%no limit Units Mix Rental Product Studio 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0% 1-Bedroom 28 27 25 4 0 0 84 40% 2-Bedroom 15 31 25 7 0 0 78 37% 3-Bedroom 4 22 20 4 0 0 50 24% Rental Total 47 80 70 15 0 0 212 100% Rental %22%38%33%7%0%0% Ownership Product Studio 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0% 1-Bedroom 0 12 12 10 6 0 40 41% 2-Bedroom 0 11 11 12 8 0 42 43% 3-Bedroom 0 0 10 3 3 0 16 16% Ownership Total 0 23 33 25 17 0 98 100% Ownership %0%23%34%26%17%0% Source: Economic & Planning Systems 174 Economic & Planning Systems 27 Appendix Figure 16 Households by Tenure and AMI, Pitkin County, 2010-2019 Figure 17. Households by Tenure and AMI, Primary Market Area, 2010-2019 2010 2019 Change % total 2010 % total 2019 % Change in Share Renter Households Under 30% AMI 407 262 -144 15%10%-5% 30% to 50% AMI 461 528 68 17%20%4% 50% to 60% AMI 270 199 -71 10%8%-2% 60% to 80% AMI 444 403 -41 16%15%-1% 80% to 100% AMI 390 340 -50 14%13%-1% 100% to 120% AMI 217 270 53 8%10%3% Above 120% AMI 594 614 20 21%23%2% Total 2,782 2,616 -166 100%100%0% Owner Households Under 30% AMI 631 210 -421 14%9%-4% 30% to 50% AMI 598 329 -269 13%14%1% 50% to 60% AMI 238 119 -118 5%5%0% 60% to 80% AMI 447 305 -142 10%13%4% 80% to 100% AMI 352 248 -104 8%11%3% 100% to 120% AMI 290 213 -77 6%9%3% Above 120% AMI 2,079 868 -1,211 45%38%-7% Total 4,635 2,292 -2,343 100%100%0% Source: U.S. Census ACS 5-year; Economic & Planning Systems Z:\Shared\Projects\DEN\213032-Aspen Lumber Yard\Data\[213032-HHs by Income.xlsx]Table 5 - Pitkin Summ Households by AMI 2010-2019 2010 2019 Change % total 2010 % total 2019 % Change in Share Renter Households Under 30% AMI 1,161 1,017 -144 19%15%-4% 30% to 50% AMI 1,166 1,088 -78 19%16%-3% 50% to 60% AMI 573 565 -8 9%8%-1% 60% to 80% AMI 916 815 -101 15%12%-3% 80% to 100% AMI 800 767 -33 13%11%-2% 100% to 120% AMI 501 719 218 8%11%2% Above 120% AMI 960 1,803 843 16%27%11% Total 6,077 6,774 697 100%100%0% Owner Households Under 30% AMI 1,384 1,256 -128 12%10%-1% 30% to 50% AMI 1,530 1,159 -372 13%9%-3% 50% to 60% AMI 664 651 -13 6%5%0% 60% to 80% AMI 1,610 1,370 -240 13%11%-2% 80% to 100% AMI 1,273 1,580 307 11%13%2% 100% to 120% AMI 1,030 1,200 170 9%10%1% Above 120% AMI 4,524 5,057 533 38%41%4% Total 12,016 12,273 257 100%100%0% Source: U.S. Census ACS 5-year; Economic & Planning Systems Z:\Shared\Projects\DEN\213032-Aspen Lumber Yard\Data\[213032-HHs by Income.xlsx]Table 5 - PMA Summ Households by AMI 2010-2019 175 INFORMATIONAL MEMORANDUM TO: Aspen City Council FROM: Matt Kuhn, Parks and Open Space Director Diane Foster, Assistant City Manager THROUGH:Sara Ott, City Manager MEMO DATE:February 22, 2024 MEETING DATE:February 27, 2024 RE:Wildfire Related Code Updates & Ignition Resistant Design and Construction Guide This informational memosummarizes the currentefforts of city departments to increase wildfire resiliency in the Aspen community. There is no request of City Council. Currently, staff across departments are working to publish a guide to explain the intersection of various City codes related to wildfire resiliency within our urban forest and built environment. Staff are also investigating and preparing possible municipal code updates related to wildfire resilience. Please contact the City Manager for any follow up questions or comments. SUMMARY AND BACKGROUND:Recent wildfires in Hawaii, California, on the front range of Colorado and locally demonstrate the increasingly catastrophic nature of wildfire events. City staff have been working on a plan and evaluating specific responses to reconcile current city code with efforts to reduce and mitigate wildfire risks in the Aspen area. This interdepartmental team represents a range of stakeholders with a focus on those that have oversight and involvement in development and in the management of Aspen’s urban forest and built environment. The team consists of: Diane Foster, Assistant City Manager Matt Kuhn, Parks and Open Space Director Justin Forman, Utilities Director Ben Anderson, Community Development Director Austin Weiss, Parks and Recreation Director John Spiess, Open Space and Natural Resource Manager, Parks Dept. Kirsten Armstrong, Principal Planner, Historic Preservation, Comm Dev. Bonnie Muhigirwa, Chief Building Official, Comm Dev., Megan Killer, Plans Review Technician – WELS, Utilities Dept., Steve Hunter, Utilities Resource Manager, Utilities Dept. 176 The following memo is divided into four parts: forestry, historic preservation, building codes, and utilities. Each section discusses current efforts in these areas and the various components and considerations for near and mid-term policy and code changes. Forestry: In the mid 1990’s Aspen’s City Council recognized the environmental, aesthetic and health benefits of the urban forest. The code that was developed at this time was robust and groundbreaking in its protection of trees. The code gave the city forester and the Parks and Open Space department broad oversite of the urban forest and the removal of trees related to the development of properties. While the code does address some climatic factors it does not specifically address the risk of wildfire and owners’ efforts to pursue wildfire mitigation strategies in their landscape. The City of Aspen Parks and Open Space department has been working with the Aspen Fire Protection District (AFPD) on a unified approach to wildfire mitigation strategies within city limits. To frame the discussion and potential outcomes, the department is working with the AFPD to agree on standards for mapping of wildfire risk, as well as best practices for wildfire mitigation actions. Risk Mapping: The Parks and Open Space department and AFPD are considering the use National Hazard and Risk Model (No-HARM) for mapping of wildfire risk in the Aspen area. The National Hazard and Risk Model, maintained by FEMA, is a decision support tool for wildfire hazard and risk assessment. Incorporating the predicted severity (hazard) and the predicted frequency (risk) of a wildfire in a given location. This mapping can help property owners and city staff understand the environmental wildfire risk specific to a property. The natural environment risk layer (the No-HARM Wildfire Map) captures vegetation, topography, neighboring land features and many other elements inherent to a defined land area. 177 Fire Mitigation Best Practices: The Parks and Open Space department also had lengthy discussions with the AFPD about guidelines and best practices related to fire mitigation in the landscape. The National Fire Protection Agency (NFPA) has developed the Firewise USA program to help residents reduce wildfire risks on their property. This model has been adapted across the country by local organizations to reflect local risks and provide region specific guidance. Critical to the Firewise program is the definition of the home ignition zone and how to manage the landscape surrounding structures. Recognizing that lots within the City of Aspen can be smaller than other wildland-urban communities, the zone measurements are proposed to be adjusted (from what is shown in the above graphic): Home Ignition Zone NFPA – Dimensions Modified Aspen Dimensions Zone 1 – Immediate Zone 0-5 ft.0-5 ft. Zone 2 – Intermediate zone 5-30 ft.5 - 15 ft Zone 3 – Extended zone 30 – 100 ft.15 – 30+ ft . Tree Removal Allowances and Fire Mitigation: The Parks and Open Space department has been working to build a draft evaluation tool (matrix) that accounts for a properties risk level and Firewise best management practices. This tool attempts to balance the historic values and benefits of having a healthy and diverse urban forest with fuel reduction best practices. The draft matrix (left) uses a properties risk level mapping to guide the allowances for removals, pruning and planting per home ignitions zones. This matrix is being refined with AFPD and will be included in future documentation. 178 Next Steps: The Parks and Open Space department staff aim to next consider levels of mitigation fee reduction and further look for opportunities to incentivize replanting removed trees with Firewise plant alternatives. The team also aims to develop agreements between AFPD and the City regarding the cooperation for property assessments, as well as finalizing the methodologies for wildfire related tree removal within the City of Aspen. Building Codes: In January 2023, City Council adopted the 2021 International Building Codes. As part of this adoption, staff added local amendments that incorporated sections of the International Wildland-Urban Interface Code (IWUIC) specific to ignition resistant construction. These regulations are intended to “mitigate risk to life and structures from intrusion of fire from wildland fire exposures and fire exposures from adjacent structures and to mitigate structure fires from spreading to wildland fuels.” The regulations pertain to every new building and addition as well as certain exterior alterations to existing structures. Some highlights of the ignition resistant construction requirements include the following: Roofs and re-roofs require a Class A assembly (highest level of fire resistance) Protection of eaves, gutters, and downspouts. Exterior walls must be ignition-resistant, 1-hour fire-resistance-rated, fire-retardant treated, or equivalent. Projections (including decks) must be ignition-resistant, 1-hour fire-resistance-rated, fire-retardant treated, or equivalent. These provisions are still new, and staff is becoming familiar with the various testing methods for ignition-resistance to provide maximum flexibility for building owners without compromising safety. Staff is also closely following the State of Colorado Wildfire Resiliency Code Board created by the legislature in 2023 to establish codes and best practices for the wildland-urban interface across the state and will ensure that the local code is in line with any future State requirements. Next Steps: The Community Development Department is working on aligning the IWUIC provisions with the Historic Preservation guidelines for designated properties. Historic Preservation: The City of Aspen Historic Preservation Design Guidelines begin by stating that “Aspen is a unique community, rich with history, dramatic landscapes, a vibrant economy, and vital cultural scene. Each of these elements contributes to the appeal of the City and enhances its livability. Within this context, the preservation of historic resources is a high priority.”Preservation prioritizes original materials as much as possible, for authenticity in communicating the stories that these resources played a part in, throughout the growth of Aspen to today. To break Aspen’s Historic Preservation Program down into numbers, there are two historic districts which encapsulate a total of 81 designated historic resources. Not all of these designated resources in the historic districts are buildings, they also include resources such as 179 the Pedestrian Malls and Paepcke Park Gazebo. The Aspen Meadows Campus has historically designated components, including a mix of buildings, landscapes, and art objects. There are parcels within the city that were designated as part of historic lot split, but do not include historic buildings. Aspen also has designated resources that are parks, cemeteries, bridges, and ruins or other structures not classified as buildings. For further context, GIS data suggests that there are a total of 17,885 parcels not designated or in historic districts, 500 parcels that are within historic districts but not individually designated, and 755 parcels on the roughly 314 individually designated historic resources described above. Although the relation of parcel to building is not an equal comparison, considering procedures such as lot splits and condominiumization, it does provide a starting point for understanding an important point - a very small portion of the building stock in Aspen consists of designated historic buildings. Currently, the building code aligns with Historic Preservation review in requiring a Class A roof assembly. It is important to note that wood shingle roofs must meet this requirement, and there are different ways that this can be done through pressure-impregnation of the shingles with fire retardant polymers and certain types of underlayment. Wood shingles are not necessarily required on a designated resource, and it has generally been the practice of the historic preservation program to allow for replacement with architectural asphalt shingles. This substitute is a generally accepted practice across the nation in historic preservation. Depending on a resource’s specific character defining features, often this substitute can be reviewed at a staff level but may be referred to the Historic Preservation Commission (HPC) if necessary. Further, landscaping near the resource is encouraged to be minimal, and a 1 foot wide, pea gravel filled maintenance border is required around the historic resource for several reasons, which helps with defensible space. This particular provision is in alignment with Parks’ efforts described above related to Home Ignition Zones. Next Steps: Historic Preservation Staff are currently scheduling conversations with HPC to open dialogue about newer substitute roof materials on the market, insurance company concerns, benchmark what other communities are doing to address historic preservation’s intersection with wildfire mitigation, and brainstorm next steps as we navigate these emerging challenges. Staff has reached out to the Professional Insurance Agents of Colorado (PIACC) and History Colorado, the State Historic Preservation Office of Colorado to facilitate these planned conversations and will continue outreach as needed. Long range goals include participation in the creation of a larger document addressing wildfire concerns in the community and the identification and coordination of a prioritization plan for historic and community resources in the event of wildfire. Community Wildfire Protection Plans and Prioritization Plans help the community come together in mutual understanding and allow first responders to triage more effectively. Further, the implementation of Community Wildfire Protection Plans can allow for the application to grants for the purpose of undertaking work to protect a site, including mitigation and defensible space work. 180 Water Efficient Landscaping Standards (WELS): The Water Efficient Landscaping Standards, WELS, set a Maximum Allowable Outdoor Water Budget for residential and commercial properties became effective on January 1 st, 2019. This is to ensure the landscape receives the amount of water necessary for the plants to be healthy, but not overwatered. Healthy plants that receive the proper watering and routine maintenance tend to be more ignition resistant. Currently WELS states “All landscape plantings for properties located in the Moderate or High Wildfire Hazard zone of the City must be Firewise.” WELS provides two appendices relating to ignition resistant plants with best practices from CSU Extensions as well as the City of Aspen Wildfire Hazard Assessment Maps. Next Steps: The long-term goals for incorporation of ignition resistant practices into WELS include creating requirements of ignition resistant best practices and plantings in Aspen, supporting a community network for creating defensible space within the smaller lots in Aspen’s core, and balancing ignition resistant, waterwise and aesthetically pleasing landscapes to maintain the uniqueness and beauty of Aspen. Conclusion: This memo for informational purposes only and does not require Council feedback at this time. Staff will be returning to Council with draft guide in the near future. Staff will continue to work with Aspen Fire Protection District as the City navigates challenges of building urban wildfire resilience. Any approval of municipal code changes will be through ordinance. 181 INFORMATION ONLY TO: Aspen City Council FROM: Ben Anderson, Community Development Director THRU: Sara Ott, City Manager MEMO DATE: February 22, 2024 RE: Development Review: Comparative Data and Summary of Process and Customer Experience Improvements REQUEST OF COUNCIL: This memo serves to update Council on the current status of development review, with a specific lens on Community Development, but also in relationship to other City agencies that play important roles as referral agencies to building permits and in the granting of their own distinct permits. This memo serves to provide information and there is no specific request of Council from staff. Should Council desire additional information, please discuss further with the City Manager. The memo contains two categories of information. First, as our reporting capacities within Salesforce have improved dramatically in the last 18 months or so, we are able to provide more reliable and better framed data that captures important metrics across the review process. The data provided within this memo illustrates this reporting progress and serves as a place holder as we continue to work on more regular, more useful, and better depicted updates on the volume, scale, and timeliness of permit and development review. Secondly, this memo provides a qualitative summary of the myriad process improvements and customer experience upgrades that are either in progress or have been completed since the Spring of 2023. Some of these items are specific and tactical. Others are strategic, systemic, and more significant. All are having tangible effects in building trust and collaboration across review agencies, in making processes more efficient internally, and in improving the experience for our customers. SUMMARY AND STAFF DISCUSSION: The data provided below is a snapshot derived from permit and review data produced by improved reporting functionality from the Salesforce permitting platform. The summary data is a work in progress and staff welcomes inquiries or suggestions for the framing of this data that would be helpful. Working with the City Manager’s office, staff intends to arrive at a quarterly reported data set that can show trends over time in permit volume, permit type, complexity, and the success of our efforts to improve the development review process. 182 Info Only Memo; 2/22/24 Development Review – Status Update Page 2 of 11 Permit and Review Data – 2023 SUBMITTED Permit Volume Summary; Comparing 2022 and 2023 Building Permits – Residential and Commercial 2023 2022 Difference % Change 535 448 +87 19.4% Increase All Permits (*Engineering, ComDev, Utilities, Parks) 2023 2022 Difference % Change 2,102 1,974 +128 6.5% Increase *Includes: building, mechanical, electric, EPIC, IFFR, repairs, plumbing, fences, signs, temp. structures/tents, right-of-way, encroachments, landscaping, trees, utilities. Table 1. ISSUED Permit Volume Summary; Comparing 2022 and 2023 Building Permits – Residential and Commercial 2023 2022 Difference % Change 491 405 +86 21.2% Increase All Permits (*Engineering, ComDev, Utilities, Parks) 2023 2022 Difference % Change 1,986 1,863 +123 6.6% Increase *Includes: building, mechanical, electric, EPIC, IFFR, repairs, plumbing, fences, signs, temp. structures/tents, right-of-way, encroachments, landscaping, trees, utilities. Table 2. SUBMITTED Permit Valuation Summary; Comparing 2022 and 2023 Building Permits – Residential and Commercial 2023 2022 Difference % Change $612,722,805 $249,012,450 $363,710,355 146% Increase Lift One Lodge was submitted in 2023 and distorts these numbers – less L1L below $413,223,088 $249,012,450 $164,210,638 66% Increase Table 3. ISSUED Permit Valuation Summary; Comparing 2022 and 2023 Building Permits – Residential and Commercial 2023 2022 Difference % Change $302,767,506 $276,819,772 $25,947,734 9.4% Increase Table 4. Submitted and Issued permit data provide similar results but do offer an important snapshot differentiating when permits come into our system and when permits are issued following review. The Volume Summaries above (Tables 1 and 2) are probably the best measure of the permit pressures on staff from year to year across review agencies. Valuation (Tables 3 and 4) is an interesting measure that provides a view into permit complexity but has issues in comparing this quality year over year. Staff is evaluating new ways to understand and measure permit complexity. 183 Info Only Memo; 2/22/24 Development Review – Status Update Page 3 of 11 The following tables are the beginning efforts of staff to report review data out of Salesforce – in terms of timeliness across different types of permits and reviews. The first table shows review volume across all review agencies year over year. Total Reviews across all referral agencies; Comparing 2022 and 2023 2023 2022 Difference % Change 4,963 4,438 +525 11.8% Increase *ComDev, Engineering, Parks, Utilities A review is any formal touch that a referral agency has on a permit following submittal, but before issuance. Table 5. The table below (Table 6.) has important information related to building permit volume by type – year over year. Additionally, the second column in each year shows the total time that a permit once in review – sits in the hands of City staff and in the hands of the applicant as City staff are waiting for response to comments. In most categories of permits there has been an improvement in the number of days that permits are sitting with City staff prior to issuance. While there is more to do, these improvements can be attributed to specific improvements that have been made within the process. Building Permits by Type Number Issued 2022 Avg Days City / Avg Days w/ Appl. 2022* Number Issued 2023 Avg Days City / Avg Days w/ Appl. 2023* RESIDENTIAL Major Permits 34 206 / 64 29 184 / 50 Minor Permits 87 92 / 17 57 76 / 22 Mini Permits 22 28 / 1 55 21 / 3 Repairs/Roofs/IFFR 118 13 / 1 151 9 / 1 Change Orders 54 64 / 10 98 59 / 11 COMMERCIAL Major Permits 4 227 / 34 9 164 / 71 Minor Permits 16 69 / 7 16 60 / 10 Mini/EPIC 23 35 / 1 26 26 / 8 Repair/Roof/IFFR 23 18 / 2 35 16 / 3 Change Orders 16 56 / 4 10 58 / 3 *Note: the important data on this shows the average number of days prior to issuance that a permit is in City staff queues versus average number of days in it takes for the applicant to respond to comments. Table 6. Table 7, on the following page differentiates Round 1 reviews (the first round of review following submission) across review agencies between Q1 and Q4 of 2023. Staff is continuing to build out the best way to report and display the data in this area. Like the data in Table 6, this data shows quantifiable improvement that seem attributable to specific improvements described below. 184 Info Only Memo; 2/22/24 Development Review – Status Update Page 4 of 11 Table 7. Anticipated Review Timelines (aspen.gov/244/Building-Permit-Timelines): "…turnaround times begin once a permit application is deemed complete and are subject to change based on queue volume. Additional review rounds are dependent upon number of departments requiring rereview and compliance, see Response to Comments. “ Q1 Vs. Q4 Round 1 Building Permit Review Times 2023 Source: Salesforce These two clips from ComDev’s webpage give guidance to applicants about anticipated wait times for the completion of the first round of reviews (across all review agencies) for different types of permits. ComDev is striving to update this quarterly. 185 Info Only Memo; 2/22/24 Development Review – Status Update Page 5 of 11 Land Use – Total Pre-Applications, Applications, POD Inquiries, RDS Review Requests ; 2021 - 2023 Pre-Application Summaries 2023 2022 2021 Pre-Application Summaries provide the basis for an eventual land use application - Free 149 140 154 Land Use Applications 2023 2022 2021 These are full applications that translate into an Administrative or Board Review 98 121 136 Planner of the Day (POD) Inquiries and Reponses 2023 2022 2021 Formal inquiries via phone, email, or walk-ins to our planner of the day service 381 375 582 Residential Design Standards Reviews (RDS) 2023 2022 2021 Reviews for new construction and any external changes to existing residences 95 85 107 Table 8. Table 8, above, describes volume related to the Planning function, while related and intersecting, it is distinct from the permit process described above. Volumes for key services remain relatively constant, year-to -year. Process and Customer Experience Improvements Following direction from the City Manager’s Office in the Spring of 2023, Community Development, in full partnership with City Engineering, Utilities, Parks, and other referral agencies, has initiated several formal projects to work on improving processes, reducing silos between agencies, and in finding alignment in efforts to make development more efficient and effective. It should be noted that these kinds of efforts across City agencies have not happened consistently in the City’s past and are a direct outcome of improved communication and trust between those responsible for development review. In this new context, opportunities abound for collaboration and creative problem solving. New Working Groups and Strategic Initiatives Permit Advisory Group – This group has been meeting regularly to identify points of friction and inefficiencies within the flow of permit review. The group has identified several necessary improvements (described specifically below) and has helped to refine the reporting needs evolving from Salesforce. Code Alignment Group – Similar representation as the Permit Advisory Group, but with a different purpose. This group has created space and a process to do two things: 1) Communicate with other agencies when proposed changes are emerging to adopted regulatory codes and standards, and 2) Identify areas across the City codes that may be in conflict, or work against each other, or prevent better coordination with customers. This group meets quarterly and has implemented formal communication and documentation methodologies as new code is considered. 186 Info Only Memo; 2/22/24 Development Review – Status Update Page 6 of 11 Staff Reorganization for Permit Process Oversight and Enhancements – ComDev leadership has been working with the Public Works Director and Deputy Director, the SIO team, Finance, and HR to build a new concept for a more centralized permit intake, coordination, and analysis function that would wield influence and provide analysis across the entirety of the development review context. We are currently finalizing proposed job descriptions and aligning proposed functionality across the review agencies. This reconfigured permit intake and analysis function would be primarily housed under ComDev but will result in increased coordination across review agencies. Talking Permits – This is a meeting that has informally happened for some time but has recently become more regular and better structured. This is a large and fluid group that meets twice a month and includes all front-line staff that are involved in any type of development review. It is a time to talk about challenges and successes broadly and to troubleshoot and provide status updates on significant or complex permits. Consultant Review of Planning Process and Code – ComDev should have a contract in place within the next month with a private planning firm to review our processes as they relate to the Land Use Code and to provide recommendations for optimizing the use of our current staff and in proposing both code and non-code related improvements to our processes and review effectiveness. Specific Process and Customer Experience Improvements The following are descriptions of specific, often tactical changes that have been made or will soon be implemented by the individual agencies that are most involved in our review processes. Some of these changes have risen independently within review agencies as they have internally identified areas for improvement, others have emerged directly from the work of the Permit Advisory Group. City Website and Department Webpages A common and significant improvement across agencies that has happened in coordination with the larger City effort to bring the website into conformance with accessibility requirements – are fundamentally redesigned webpages for the review agencies. Required processes are described more clearly, necessary documents and checklists are re-designed and more easily and centrally available. Staff has received feedback from customers that these improvements are noticeable and much appreciated. Salesforce Since its inception as the database for our permitting and development review function, Salesforce (permitting software platform) has been a continual work-in- progress. Across the board, reporting ability and case tracking have improved significantly. Two recent improvements are likely to provide the most impact. First, over the last year, several new fields have been added to the permit pages to bring more powerful reporting capacity in differentiating between permit types. Once fully 187 Info Only Memo; 2/22/24 Development Review – Status Update Page 7 of 11 implemented, these changes will allow for more granular analysis than has previously been available. Second, a full redesign of the customer portal will significantly improve the customer experience when interacting with Salesforce. The new portal is scheduled to be implemented by early summer. Community Development Building • Creation of “over-the-counter” permits for like-for-like window replacements. This process which will be implemented by the end of February will serve as a test case for other possible permit types that could be handled similarly – with the purposes of streamlining application process and reducing permit issuance times for less complex and less impactful development. • Work on the website brought web administrators across review agencies together in an organized way to create shared SOPs and customer facing consistency. • Expedited permits for projects pursuing 100% electric. • Worked in partnership with City GIS staff to create a new, interactive permitting map – allowing for public access to all permits in review or recently issued. • Leadership across referral agencies to identify and implement process efficiencies and improved channels of communication. Planning and Zoning • Creation of affidavits from owner/contractors to eliminate the need for zoning review and inspection on certain types of permits – like-for-like fenestration replacement, interior remodels that do not impact floor area, and ground mounted mechanical equipment. This removes steps throughout the permitting and inspection process. • Cross training between inspectors so that different kinds of inspections can be combined when appropriate. This is particularly impactful on mechanical permits. • Development of outdoor lighting compliance calculator to ease permit submission requirements for customers and improve consistency and efficiency of lighting review under new regulations. • New process in development for differentiating administrative PD amendments between changes that just need to be memorialized in approval documents and changes that are more substantial and require review and potentially conditions of approval. • Significant improvement to internal processes to ensure that inquiries to planner of the day or requests for Pre-Application Summaries are responded to in a timely manner. 188 Info Only Memo; 2/22/24 Development Review – Status Update Page 8 of 11 Engineering Construction Management • New Salesforce fields that allow review staff to better differentiate and prioritize reviews and inspections. • Internal process improvements to “triage” and provide reviews and inspections. Development Review/URMP • Focused improvements to the website to clarify process and submittal requirements. • Staff are building a library of standardized review comments and templates to more efficiently respond to common scenarios. • Restructured staff meetings to give more time to coordination on development reviews. • Development of a training program in support of on-boarding new development review staff. Utilities The items described below may seem very technical, but combined are probably the most immediately impactful improvements to date in reducing overall review times and improving the customer experience. They have required significant coordination between ComDev, Utilities, Engineering, and SIO staff to implement. These not only required changes to the permit process – but also significant modifications within Salesforce to facilitate. • A major victory has been the removal of a separate UTWC sub-permit when a master permit includes “adding, changing, or removal of plumbing fixtures.” Finding compliance is now simply part of the Utilities/Engineering reviews under the master permit. Eliminating this sub-permit brings numerous staff efficiencies and reduces overall permit issuance times. • Connected to the elimination of the UTWC sub-permit, necessary Utilities documentation is now included as part of the total permit submission and is now reviewed for completeness by ComDev intake staff with the whole of the permit materials, rather than separately by Utilities/Engineering staff. • Coordination with ComDev staff to include any necessary tap fees within the total permit fees at permit issuance. Tap fees have historically been collected separately by Utilities and at times served to unnecessarily delay permit issuance. • Tactical changes to more readily facilitate “like for like” fixture replacements and reviews of Change Orders to reduce review queues in process. 189 Info Only Memo; 2/22/24 Development Review – Status Update Page 9 of 11 Parks In 2023, Parks hired a new Permit Coordinator following the retirement of a longtime staffer. This transition offered an opportunity to rethink this role and bring improvements to longstanding processes. • Better training and onboarding – including intentional cross training with other referral agencies and the development of SOPs. • Focusing on internal and external communication and building efficiencies in the use of Salesforce and Bluebeam – staff worked to reduce building permit review queue times and stand-alone Parks’ permit review times. • Implemented a new fee-structure to simplify and clarify Parks’ permit fees. Continuing Challenges: Staff turnover within review agencies – In the last year, review agencies have had more than ten (10) new, front line staff members with a direct role in development review. Engineering has had recent success in the hiring of three, new staff engineers in filling vacancies that opened following staff departures – but in general, vacancies and challenging hiring processes have been the norm. Inconsistent capacity with third-party permit review support – ComDev has long relied on the occasional contracted support of third-party plans examination review. Building staff have engaged these services for particularly complex projects or when there are concerns about staff capacity and review turn-around times. For building review, ComDev continues to have contracts with firms that we have long-standing relationships with – but have found recently that their capacity to take on reviews at different times or of differing complexities is also limited and cannot be assumed to be relied on at any given moment. Additionally, adoption of the new 2021 Building Code and specific standards related to demolition allotments have created hesitancy in bringing on third party reviews for some projects. Role of Salesforce – Changing long-standing processes is a difficult task in itself, but the implementation of changes can at times be paced entirely by the complexity of the programming work required in Salesforce to implement the process change. Both our staff and consultant capacity to implement these changes has dramatically improved, but the inherent challenge remains. Salesforce (and particularly Aspen’s platform) is incredibly powerful and complex but is often not as nimble as staff would hope or assume and at times can delay or preclude even minor process improvements. Risk Assessment – Development review staff take their jobs very seriously. They know the stakes of their work are very high – whether through a life-safety lens, an environmental stewardship lens, a development impact lens, or any other of a number of community expectations through which their work is evaluated. With 190 Info Only Memo; 2/22/24 Development Review – Status Update Page 10 of 11 stakes this high, staff are often reluctant to eliminate steps or processes which allow them to carefully verify that a project is compliant with Aspen’s numerous regulatory documents. However, we also know that “streamlining” or “efficiency creation” requires some loosening of the grip. Finding the right balance requires careful evaluation and developing trust – most importantly with those submitting permit applications. Some staff are more comfortable with this type of work than others – and managers need to do better at setting the parameters of the risk the organization should take on in pursuit of efficiency. This is a particularly difficult challenge to navigate with less experienced staffers. When turnover is high, new staff is much less likely to apply discretion, take agency, or find efficiency while meeting the intent of a particular regulation. Conclusion: While new dynamics are continually being introduced and evaluated within Aspen’s development context, two things have not changed. First, Aspen’s regulatory environment remains complex with locally implemented rules on land use, development impacts, building efficiency and performance, historic preservation, community character, water quality and efficiency, and tree protection. This regulatory environment requires numerous touches on every permit across development review staff to ensure compliance with these community implemented standards. Second, permit volumes and complexity continue to increase. The intersection of these distinct factors contributes to long-standing concerns from the development community that permit issuance times are unacceptably long and the process overly cumbersome. Staff is well aware of these concerns and has over the years been in a continual state of searching for areas of improvement, processes that could be eliminated or made more efficient, and more targeted allocation of staff resources and focus. In past years, improvements have been made and tangible modifications to process efficiency and customer experience have been implemented. And yet, there is consensus that we can and should do better. The memo provides numerous examples of current and near future actions in this area. While these specific improvements are significant, perhaps more important is a sea change in the attitudes that development review staff are bringing to these efforts to improve. Previously established silos are eroding, staff cooperation across agencies to improve Salesforce and the information available to customers on our website has been notable, and the trust necessary to pursue doing things differently is building. While all of this will take time to fully implement and realize the benefits of these efforts, the entire context around process improvement and enhancing the customer experience feels very different in this moment. 191 Info Only Memo; 2/22/24 Development Review – Status Update Page 11 of 11 City Manager Comments: The Administration has put in considerable efforts on the permitting process improvements over several years. More progress has been made in the past year due to heavy emphasis on a collaborative culture between staff. Moving forward, I anticipate making resource requests in the 2025 budget to further this work even more. These requests will be a combination of additional staffing for coordination and oversight of permitting, along with resources for third party vendors in plan review, drafting proposed code amendments, and process enhancements in Salesforce and within staff activities. - SGO 192